Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Miami (FL) def. Notre Dame 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Miami (FL) 86.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (FL) beat visiting Notre Dame 3-1 (25-18, 25-14, 23-25, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Miami (FL)'s Asia Harvey led with 17 kills, and Gaby Arroyo added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set1234Sets
N DAME181425151
MIAMI252523253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Miami (FL) held Notre Dame to .094 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 2.1 points on one rally; Notre Dame topped out at 13% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Miami (FL) 87% before first serve.

Notre DameMiami (FL)
  • Break %+18.0 pts
    31.549.5

    On serve: 48/97 against 23/73 (Notre Dame sideout 50.5%).

  • Hitting+.212
    .094.306

    Kills and errors: 52–15 vs 41–29.

  • Longest run+3
    36

    Up 5–3 in the second set, Miami (FL) scored 6 straight to make it 11–3. That set ended 25–14.

Miami (FL) above 50Notre Dame belowMax swing 2.1%

Notre DameMiami (FL)

Aces
Notre Dame 4·Miami (FL) 9
Serve err
Notre Dame 8·Miami (FL) 10
Blocks
Notre Dame 6·Miami (FL) 101 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Notre Dame 43·Miami (FL) 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (FL) above 50 · Notre Dame below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.1% N DAMErally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Notre Dame — set 3, N DAME 25-23 MIAMI. Attack error by Asia Harvey. MIAMI win probability 94% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N DAME 12.3%87.7% MIAMI

Notre Dame wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
6.7%

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
40.8%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.3%
N DAME break %
38.1% vs this opp
MIAMI break %
47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Asia HarveyAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Asia Harvey

    Set 3 · N DAME 25-23 MIAMI · N DAME 6% → 8%

  2. 02
    Mae KordasKill+2.0%

    Kill by Mae Kordas (set by Maya Baker)

    Set 3 · N DAME 24-22 MIAMI · N DAME 5% → 7%

  3. 03
    Asia HarveyAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Asia Harvey

    Set 4 · N DAME 4-4 MIAMI · N DAME 7% → 9%

  4. 04
    Anna BjorkKill+1.8%

    Kill by Anna Bjork

    Set 3 · N DAME 23-22 MIAMI · N DAME 3% → 5%

  5. 05
    Chichi NnajiAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Chichi Nnaji

    Set 4 · N DAME 4-6 MIAMI · MIAMI 93% → 94%

  6. 06
    Maya BakerAce+1.5%

    Ace by Maya Baker

    Set 4 · N DAME 10-12 MIAMI · N DAME 4% → 5%

  7. 07
    Mae KordasKill+1.5%

    Kill by Mae Kordas (set by Maya Baker)

    Set 4 · N DAME 3-4 MIAMI · N DAME 5% → 7%

  8. 08
    Mae KordasAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Mae Kordas

    Set 4 · N DAME 5-8 MIAMI · MIAMI 94% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411843.0701124112214
411727.14810103010.511.5
48519.158000300008
44217.11801120031.56.5
4204.5002611700214
3126-.16700110010.51.5
4000–6111620001
4011-1.000101510000
4000–000310000
3000–00000010.50.5
2002.000000100000
1337.000000100003
1112.000000000001
1000–000000000
1000–200000000
Team totals4129128.0943748439110672
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417741.2440257002120
411116.62510000111.512.5
410327.2591113300011
46217.23501120073.510.5
4408.50042221000639
44212.167001300215
4000–020400002
4000–2101500001
2000–000000000
Team totals5215121.306469104441181098

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 N DAME · MIAMI 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 N DAMEMIAMI 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 N DAMEMIAMI 6

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 N DAMEMIAMI 5

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 N DAMEMIAMI 5

Bars above the line = Miami (FL) leads, below = Notre Dame leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Notre Dame

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
33%4/12
2
60%9/15
23%3/13
3
75%9/12
53%10/19
4
32%8/25
27%3/11
5
41%7/17
27%3/11
6
60%6/10
0%0/7
All
51%49/97
32%23/73

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
50%8/16
2
60%9/15
36%5/14
3
57%8/14
31%4/13
4
73%8/11
38%5/13
5
89%8/9
71%20/28
6
78%7/9
46%6/13
All
68%50/73
49%48/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

170 rallies

#N DAME-MIAMISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIAMIMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Maya Baker+1.2
21-1MIAMIN DAMEKillGrace Langerset Maya Baker+1.0
31-2N DAMEMIAMI×3KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.9
41-3MIAMIMIAMI×3AceSonja Danilovicaced Maya Evens+1.1
51-4MIAMIMIAMI×3KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
62-4MIAMIN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Evens+0.7
73-4N DAMEN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Evens+1.2
83-5N DAMEMIAMIServe errMaya Evens+0.9
94-5MIAMIN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.9
105-5N DAMEN DAMEAttack errDenitsa Angelova+1.4
115-6N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+1.0
126-6MIAMIN DAMEServe errRuth Martinez+1.1
136-7N DAMEMIAMI×3KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.1
146-8MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errSydney Helmers+1.3
156-9MIAMIMIAMI×3AceAsia Harveyaced Mae Kordas+1.1
167-9MIAMIN DAMEServe errAsia Harvey+0.8
177-10N DAMEMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
188-10MIAMIN DAMEKillMaya Baker+0.9
198-11N DAMEMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.9
208-12MIAMIMIAMIAttack errChichi Nnaji+1.0
219-12MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.7
2210-12N DAMEN DAMEAttack errSonja Danilovic+1.2
2310-13N DAMEMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Sonja Danilovic+0.9
2410-14MIAMIMIAMIBlockedGrace Langerblk Logan Wiley+1.0
2511-14MIAMIN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.7
2612-14N DAMEN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+1.3
2712-15N DAMEMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
2812-16MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAnna Bjork+1.1
2913-16MIAMIN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+0.7
3014-16N DAMEN DAMEBlockedAsia Harveyblk Maya Baker, Anna Bjork+1.3
3114-17N DAMEMIAMIServe errCarla Mercado+1.1
3214-18MIAMIMIAMIBlockedMae Kordasblk Denitsa Angelova, Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
3315-18MIAMIN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.7
3415-19N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.9
3515-20MIAMIMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
3616-20MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.4
3716-21N DAMEMIAMI×3KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
3816-22MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedSydney Helmersblk Ariana Rodriguez, Logan Wiley+0.4
3916-23MIAMIMIAMI×3AceDenitsa Angelovaaced Carla Mercado+0.2
4017-23MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens·
4117-24N DAMEMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
4218-24MIAMIN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Baker·
4318-25N DAMEMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez·
Set 2
10-1N DAMEMIAMIServe errGrace Langer+0.6
21-1MIAMIN DAMEBlockedRuth Martinezblk Mae Kordas, Anna Bjork+0.7
31-2N DAMEMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.6
41-3MIAMIMIAMIAttack errMae Kordas+0.8
52-3MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Lily Fenton+0.6
62-4N DAMEMIAMIServe errMae Kordas+0.6
72-5MIAMIMIAMIAceGaby Arroyoaced Sydney Helmers+0.7
83-5MIAMIN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Lily Fenton+0.5
93-6N DAMEMIAMI×6KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
103-7MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errGrace Langer+0.6
113-8MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errSydney Helmers+0.5
123-9MIAMIMIAMI×6KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
133-10MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errIsabella Sangha+0.3
143-11MIAMIMIAMI×6KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
154-11MIAMIN DAMEBad setSonja Danilovic+0.1
164-12N DAMEMIAMI×3KillAriana Rodriguez+0.1
174-13MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errChichi Nnaji+0.1
184-14MIAMIMIAMI×3AceAsia Harveyaced Mae Kordas+0.1
195-14MIAMIN DAMEServe errAsia Harvey·
205-15N DAMEMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
215-16MIAMIMIAMIAttack errMae Kordas·
226-16MIAMIN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Baker·
236-17N DAMEMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez·
247-17MIAMIN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker·
257-18N DAMEMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez·
267-19MIAMIMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez·
278-19MIAMIN DAME×3Serve errSonja Danilovic·
289-19N DAMEN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker·
2910-19N DAMEN DAME×3KillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker·
3010-20N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez·
3111-20MIAMIN DAMEBlockedRuth Martinezblk Maya Baker, Sydney Helmers·
3212-20N DAMEN DAMEBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Kailyn Greene- Gordon, Anna Bjork·
3312-21N DAMEMIAMI×4Serve errAnna Bjork·
3412-22MIAMIMIAMI×4KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez·
3512-23MIAMIMIAMI×4AceOlivia Durstaced Chloe Hooker·
3612-24MIAMIMIAMI×4KillAsia Harveyset Olivia Durst·
3713-24MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker·
3814-24N DAMEN DAMEBad setAriana Rodriguez·
3914-25N DAMEMIAMIAttack errChichi Nnaji·
Set 3
11-0MIAMIN DAMEAttack errSonja Danilovic+0.4
22-0N DAMEN DAMEAceMaya Evensaced Sonja Danilovic+0.5
32-1N DAMEMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Logan Wiley+0.4
43-1MIAMIN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.4
54-1N DAMEN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Maya Evens+0.6
65-1N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errAsia Harvey+0.6
75-2N DAMEMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
86-2MIAMIN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.5
96-3N DAMEMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
106-4MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedAnna Bjorkblk Asia Harvey, Denitsa Angelova+0.6
116-5MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedSydney Helmersblk Denitsa Angelova, Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
127-5MIAMIN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Carla Mercado+0.5
138-5N DAMEN DAME×3BlockedDenitsa Angelovablk Sydney Helmers+0.7
149-5N DAMEN DAME×3AceAnna Bjorkaced Sonja Danilovic+0.7
159-6N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
169-7MIAMIMIAMIAttack errCarla Mercado+0.6
1710-7MIAMIN DAMEServe errAsia Harvey+0.5
1810-8N DAMEMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
1911-8MIAMIN DAMEServe errDenitsa Angelova+0.5
2012-8N DAMEN DAMEAttack errAsia Harvey+0.7
2112-9N DAMEMIAMI×5Serve errSydney Helmers+0.4
2212-10MIAMIMIAMI×5Attack errMae Kordas+0.6
2312-11MIAMIMIAMI×5KillSonja Danilovicset Gaby Arroyo+0.7
2412-12MIAMIMIAMI×5Attack errMae Kordas+0.7
2512-13MIAMIMIAMI×5AceAriana Rodriguez+0.6
2613-13MIAMIN DAMEServe errAriana Rodriguez+0.5
2713-14N DAMEMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
2814-14MIAMIN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Baker+0.5
2914-15N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
3015-15MIAMIN DAMEAttack errAsia Harvey+0.5
3115-16N DAMEMIAMIBlockedSydney Helmersblk Ruth Martinez, Denitsa Angelova+0.5
3216-16MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens+0.6
3316-17N DAMEMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.6
3416-18MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errSydney Helmers+0.7
3516-19MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedSydney Helmersblk Ariana Rodriguez, Denitsa Angelova+0.6
3617-19MIAMIN DAMEServe errAsia Harvey+0.4
3717-20N DAMEMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguez+0.4
3818-20MIAMIN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Baker+0.4
3919-20N DAMEN DAMEAceSydney Helmersaced Sonja Danilovic+0.7
4019-21N DAMEMIAMIServe errSydney Helmers+0.6
4120-21MIAMIN DAMEServe errAriana Rodriguez+0.6
4221-21N DAMEN DAMEKillAnna Bjork+1.1
4321-22N DAMEMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+0.9
4422-22MIAMIN DAME×3KillChichi Nnajiset Mae Kordas+1.0
4523-22N DAMEN DAME×3KillAnna Bjork+1.8
4624-22N DAMEN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+2.0
4724-23N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
4825-23MIAMIN DAMEAttack errAsia Harvey+2.1
Set 4
10-1N DAMEMIAMI×3Serve errMaya Baker+1.1
20-2MIAMIMIAMI×3AceAriana Rodriguezaced Mae Kordas+1.4
30-3MIAMIMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
41-3MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.9
51-4N DAMEMIAMIAttack errMae Kordas+0.9
62-4MIAMIN DAME×3KillChichi Nnajiset Maya Baker+1.0
73-4N DAMEN DAME×3KillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+1.5
84-4N DAMEN DAME×3Attack errAsia Harvey+1.8
94-5N DAMEMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
104-6MIAMIMIAMIAttack errChichi Nnaji+1.6
115-6MIAMIN DAMEKillChichi Nnajiset Maya Baker+1.2
125-7N DAMEMIAMI×3KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
135-8MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errMae Kordas+1.4
145-9MIAMIMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
156-9MIAMIN DAMEAttack errAsia Harvey+0.8
166-10N DAMEMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguez+0.9
176-11MIAMIMIAMIAttack errSydney Helmers+1.0
187-11MIAMIN DAMEServe errAsia Harvey+0.6
197-12N DAMEMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+0.7
208-12MIAMIN DAME×3KillSydney Helmersset Maya Evens+0.6
219-12N DAMEN DAME×3BlockedLogan Wileyblk Grace Langer, Sydney Helmers+1.2
2210-12N DAMEN DAME×3AceMaya Baker+1.5
2310-13N DAMEMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
2411-13MIAMIN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.2
2511-14N DAMEMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
2611-15MIAMIMIAMIAttack errChichi Nnaji+1.4
2712-15MIAMIN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.9
2812-16N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
2913-16MIAMIN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.9
3013-17N DAMEMIAMI×5BlockedAngie Desamoursblk Denitsa Angelova, Ruth Martinez+1.1
3113-18MIAMIMIAMI×5BlockedAngie Desamoursblk Ariana Rodriguez, Asia Harvey+1.0
3213-19MIAMIMIAMI×5AceOlivia Durstaced Maya Evens+0.7
3313-20MIAMIMIAMI×5BlockedAngie Desamoursblk Ariana Rodriguez, Denitsa Angelova+0.4
3413-21MIAMIMIAMI×5KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
3514-21MIAMIN DAMEKillAngie Desamoursset Maya Baker+0.1
3614-22N DAMEMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
3714-23MIAMIMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez·
3815-23MIAMIN DAMEKillMaya Bakerset Sydney Helmers·
3915-24N DAMEMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez·
4015-25MIAMIMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez·

Score shown after each rally, Notre Dame first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).