Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on ACCN

Louisville def. Miami (FL) 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Louisville 96.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 2:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Louisville won at Miami (FL) 3-1 (25-18, 25-15, 21-25, 25-12) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Chloe Meester and Chloe Chicoine led Louisville with 14 kills each; Miami (FL)'s Ruth Martinez had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set1234Sets
LOUIS252521253
MIAMI181525121

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Miami (FL) hit .111. Louisville held them there all match.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.8 points. Miami (FL) peaked at 5% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Louisville went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

LouisvilleMiami (FL)
  • Break %+17.8 pts
    51.633.8

    49 of 95 on serve vs 24 of 71, so Miami (FL)'s sideout was 48.4%.

  • Hitting+.216
    .327.111

    50 K / 14 E against 42 K / 28 E.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    6 straight Louisville points in the second set stretched a 4–2 lead to 10–2. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Miami (FL) above 50Louisville belowMax swing 0.8%

LouisvilleMiami (FL)

Aces
Louisville 8·Miami (FL) 5
Serve err
Louisville 8·Miami (FL) 7
Blocks
Louisville 9·Miami (FL) 41 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Louisville 47·Miami (FL) 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (FL) above 50 · Louisville below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100rally 166 · set 4

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Louisville stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOUIS 95.4%4.6% MIAMI

Louisville wins

3-0
56.5%
3-1
29.4%
3-2
9.5%

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.3%
3-2
2.8%
LOUIS break %
47.5% vs this opp
MIAMI break %
34.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414525.3600211000016
414239.30801310100015
412327.3330001004214
48111.63600000052.510.5
4214.25042001000424
2023-.667000001011
4000–020800002
4000–023120002
4000–2111620001
3001.00000000031.51.5
Team totals5014110.3274488475116996
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4151042.1190236002118
48825.00010061111.59.5
48110.70010000010.58.5
44111.27311120010.55.5
45726-.077000800005
4208.2503411100010.53.5
4000–212530001
3000–000210000
2000–000000000
1013-.333000100000
1001.000000100000
Team totals4228126.111395741816470

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LOUIS · MIAMI 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 3 LOUISMIAMI 3

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 LOUISMIAMI 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 2 LOUISMIAMI 6

Set 4

25-12

Longest run 4 LOUISMIAMI 2

Bars above the line = Miami (FL) leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%9/9
46%6/13
2
64%9/14
47%8/17
3
45%9/20
63%15/24
4
73%8/11
47%8/17
5
75%6/8
57%8/14
6
67%6/9
40%4/10
All
66%47/71
52%49/95

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
13%1/8
2
47%9/19
36%5/14
3
41%9/22
47%8/17
4
53%8/15
38%5/13
5
38%6/16
11%1/9
6
71%5/7
40%4/10
All
48%46/95
34%24/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

166 rallies

#LOUIS-MIAMISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0MIAMILOUISBlockedLogan Wileyblk Addison Makun
21-1LOUISMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
31-2MIAMIMIAMIAceAriana Rodriguezaced Payton Petersen
42-2MIAMILOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
53-2LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Payton Petersen
64-2LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errRuth Martinez
74-3LOUISMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez
84-4MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedAddison Makunblk Logan Wiley, Ruth Martinez
94-5MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errKalyssa Blackshear
105-5MIAMILOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
116-5LOUISLOUISAttack errRuth Martinez
126-6LOUISMIAMIServe errKamden Schrand
136-7MIAMIMIAMIAceGaby Arroyoaced Kamden Schrand
147-7MIAMILOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
158-7LOUISLOUISAceHannah Kennyaced Asia Harvey
168-8LOUISMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
179-8MIAMILOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
1810-8LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedAsia Harveyblk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello
1911-8LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errRuth Martinez
2011-9LOUISMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
2111-10MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errChloe Meester
2211-11MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errChloe Meester
2312-11MIAMILOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
2413-11LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
2513-12LOUISMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez
2614-12MIAMILOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
2715-12LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
2815-13LOUISMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Asia Harvey
2916-13MIAMILOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
3017-13LOUISLOUIS×3AceChloe Meesteraced Gaby Arroyo
3118-13LOUISLOUIS×3AceChloe Meester
3218-14LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Logan Wiley
3318-15MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAddison Makun
3419-15MIAMILOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
3519-16LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Chloe Meester
3620-16MIAMILOUISServe errGaby Arroyo
3721-16LOUISLOUISAttack errAsia Harvey
3821-17LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
3922-17MIAMILOUIS×3Serve errRuth Martinez
4023-17LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedAsia Harveyblk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello
4124-17LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
4224-18LOUISMIAMIBlockedBrooke Bultemablk Asia Harvey
4325-18MIAMILOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
Set 2
11-0LOUISLOUISAttack errAsia Harvey
22-0LOUISLOUISAttack errRuth Martinez
32-1LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
43-1MIAMILOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
54-1LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshear
64-2LOUISMIAMIServe errKamden Schrand
75-2MIAMILOUIS×6Serve errGaby Arroyo
86-2LOUISLOUIS×6KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
97-2LOUISLOUIS×6BlockedSonja Danilovicblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema
108-2LOUISLOUIS×6KillChloe Chicoine
119-2LOUISLOUIS×6KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
1210-2LOUISLOUIS×6Attack errSonja Danilovic
1310-3LOUISMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
1410-4MIAMIMIAMI×3AceRuth Martinezaced Kamden Schrand
1510-5MIAMIMIAMI×3AceRuth Martinezaced Chloe Chicoine
1611-5MIAMILOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
1712-5LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
1813-5LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen
1913-6LOUISMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
2013-7MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez
2114-7MIAMILOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
2214-8LOUISMIAMIServe errPayton Petersen
2314-9MIAMIMIAMIAceDenitsa Angelovaaced Payton Petersen
2415-9MIAMILOUISServe errDenitsa Angelova
2515-10LOUISMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
2615-11MIAMIMIAMIAttack errChloe Chicoine
2716-11MIAMILOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
2816-12LOUISMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
2917-12MIAMILOUISKillKalyssa Blackshear
3018-12LOUISLOUISAceKamden Schrandaced Gaby Arroyo
3118-13LOUISMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
3219-13MIAMILOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3320-13LOUISLOUIS×4KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3421-13LOUISLOUIS×4AceHannah Kenny
3522-13LOUISLOUIS×4BlockedElla Thompsonblk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello
3622-14LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
3723-14MIAMILOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
3823-15LOUISMIAMIServe errChloe Chicoine
3924-15MIAMILOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
4025-15LOUISLOUISAcePayton Petersenaced Stalena Van Deusen
Set 3
11-0MIAMILOUISBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Kalyssa Blackshear, Hannah Sherman
22-0LOUISLOUISAttack errRuth Martinez
32-1LOUISMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
42-2MIAMIMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
53-2MIAMILOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
64-2LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
74-3LOUISMIAMIAttack errChloe Meester
85-3MIAMILOUISBlockedAsia Harveyblk Hannah Sherman, Kalyssa Blackshear
95-4LOUISMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
106-4MIAMILOUISAttack errAsia Harvey
116-5LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo
127-5MIAMILOUISServe errRuth Martinez
137-6LOUISMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez
148-6MIAMILOUISKillNayelis Cabello
158-7LOUISMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez
169-7MIAMILOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
179-8LOUISMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
189-9MIAMIMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo
199-10MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errKalyssa Blackshear
209-11MIAMIMIAMI×4Bad setNayelis Cabello
2110-11MIAMILOUISServe errAriana Rodriguez
2210-12LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
2311-12MIAMILOUISAttack errRuth Martinez
2412-12LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
2512-13LOUISMIAMIServe errKamden Schrand
2612-14MIAMIMIAMIBlockedChloe Chicoineblk Denitsa Angelova, Ruth Martinez
2713-14MIAMILOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
2813-15LOUISMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
2914-15MIAMILOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
3014-16LOUISMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez
3115-16MIAMILOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
3216-16LOUISLOUISBad setGaby Arroyo
3316-17LOUISMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Denitsa Angelova
3417-17MIAMILOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
3518-17LOUISLOUISAttack errSonja Danilovic
3618-18LOUISMIAMIAttack errChloe Meester
3719-18MIAMILOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
3819-19LOUISMIAMI×6KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
3919-20MIAMIMIAMI×6KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
4019-21MIAMIMIAMI×6KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
4119-22MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errNayelis Cabello
4219-23MIAMIMIAMI×6BlockedKalyssa Blackshearblk Ariana Rodriguez, Asia Harvey
4319-24MIAMIMIAMI×6KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez
4420-24MIAMILOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Payton Petersen
4521-24LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
4621-25LOUISMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
Set 4
11-0LOUISLOUISAttack errRuth Martinez
21-1LOUISMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez
32-1MIAMILOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
43-1LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errRuth Martinez
54-1LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedAsia Harveyblk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema
64-2LOUISMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
75-2MIAMILOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello
86-2LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errRuth Martinez
97-2LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello
107-3LOUISMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez
118-3MIAMILOUIS×3Serve errRuth Martinez
129-3LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errAsia Harvey
1310-3LOUISLOUIS×3AceChloe Chicoineaced Gaby Arroyo
1410-4LOUISMIAMIServe errChloe Chicoine
1511-4MIAMILOUIS×4KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
1612-4LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errDenitsa Angelova
1713-4LOUISLOUIS×4KillNayelis Cabelloset Ariana Rodriguez
1814-4LOUISLOUIS×4Attack errSonja Danilovic
1914-5LOUISMIAMIAttack errChloe Meester
2014-6MIAMIMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Nayelis Cabello
2115-6MIAMILOUISBad setStalena Van Deusen
2215-7LOUISMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez
2316-7MIAMILOUISBlockedRuth Martinezblk Kalyssa Blackshear, Hannah Sherman
2417-7LOUISLOUISAttack errSonja Danilovic
2517-8LOUISMIAMIServe errChloe Meester
2618-8MIAMILOUISBad setGaby Arroyo
2719-8LOUISLOUISAceKamden Schrand
2819-9LOUISMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
2920-9MIAMILOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
3020-10LOUISMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
3120-11MIAMIMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez
3221-11MIAMILOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
3322-11LOUISLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
3422-12LOUISMIAMIServe errChloe Chicoine
3523-12MIAMILOUIS×3KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello
3624-12LOUISLOUIS×3KillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello
3725-12LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errSonja Danilovic

Score shown after each rally, Louisville first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).