Final · 5 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Miami (FL) def. Stanford 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Stanford 71.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (FL) beat visiting Stanford 3-2 (22-25, 26-24, 25-20, 22-25, 16-14) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Miami (FL)'s Ruth Martinez led with 21 kills, and Gaby Arroyo added 19 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set12345Sets
STAN25242025142
MIAMI22262522163

Match story · from the official box score

5 aces from Ariana Rodriguez, and Miami (FL) needed each of them.

From the official box score. Without play-by-play that matches the result, there are no win-probability numbers here. Stanford went in at 71% by RallyIQ.

No single phase cleared the thresholds (8 pts of break %, .080 of hitting, a 5-point run).

StanfordMiami (FL)

Hitting
Stanford .238·Miami (FL) .181
Aces
Stanford 8·Miami (FL) 11
Serve err
Stanford 16·Miami (FL) 7
Blocks
Stanford 13·Miami (FL) 93 BS · 20 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Stanford 61·Miami (FL) 66

Win probability

Miami (FL) above 50 · Stanford below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+30.7% MIAMIrally 218 · set 5

Biggest swing: 30.7% to Miami (FL) — set 5, STAN 14-16 MIAMI. Kill by Ruth Martinez (set by Ariana Rodriguez). MIAMI win probability 69% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STAN 69.4%30.6% MIAMI

Stanford wins

3-0
22.8%
3-1
26.6%
3-2
19.9%

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
5.9%
3-1
10.8%
3-2
14.0%
STAN break %
43.4% vs this opp
MIAMI break %
39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ruth MartinezKill+30.7%

    Kill by Ruth Martinez (set by Ariana Rodriguez)

    Set 5 · STAN 14-16 MIAMI · MIAMI 69% → 100%

  2. 02
    Ruth MartinezKill+27.7%

    Kill by Ruth Martinez (set by Ariana Rodriguez)

    Set 5 · STAN 14-15 MIAMI · MIAMI 42% → 69%

  3. 03
    Julia BlyashovKill+25.8%

    Kill by Julia Blyashov (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 5 · STAN 14-13 MIAMI · STAN 51% → 77%

  4. 04
    Lizzy AndrewAce+21.0%

    Ace by Lizzy Andrew

    Set 5 · STAN 13-13 MIAMI · STAN 30% → 51%

  5. 05
    Sonja DanilovicKill+18.3%

    Kill by Sonja Danilovic (set by Ariana Rodriguez)

    Set 5 · STAN 14-14 MIAMI · MIAMI 23% → 42%

  6. 06
    Asia HarveyKill+14.0%

    Kill by Asia Harvey (set by Ariana Rodriguez)

    Set 2 · STAN 24-25 MIAMI · MIAMI 19% → 33%

  7. 07
    Julia BlyashovKill+13.5%

    Kill by Julia Blyashov (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 5 · STAN 12-13 MIAMI · STAN 16% → 30%

  8. 08
    Sonja DanilovicKill+13.4%

    Kill by Sonja Danilovic (set by Ariana Rodriguez)

    Set 5 · STAN 9-12 MIAMI · MIAMI 71% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520748.271004151010.520.5
513528.2860322014319
58427.14801260010.59.5
5106.167523270052.56.5
5000–203710000
2116.00000010010.51.5
511231.2900004324415
5000–2121120001
5000–001600000
37214.357100000429
1014-.250000010000
1000–000200000
Team totals6122164.23857816611132013108
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5211356.1430019004223
518944.2050017402119
514436.2781014100014
5316.33347521600219
52211.000020301437
5329.111000000425
5000–10201910002
5000–021500002
5000–001310000
1004.000000000000
Team totals6131166.181581176681169111

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 STAN · MIAMI 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 STANMIAMI 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 STANMIAMI 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 STANMIAMI 6

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 5 STANMIAMI 6

Set 5

14-16

Longest run 4 STANMIAMI 4

Bars above the line = Miami (FL) leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
14%1/7
2
50%7/14
53%9/17
3
47%7/15
42%5/12
4
100%5/5
17%1/6
5
71%5/7
55%6/11
6
71%5/7
50%5/10
All
61%37/61
43%27/63

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
42%5/12
2
70%7/10
36%4/11
3
55%6/11
63%12/19
4
56%5/9
0%0/6
5
45%5/11
17%1/6
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
57%36/63
39%24/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

218 rallies

#STAN-MIAMISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1STANMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.6
21-1MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.5
31-2STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.7
42-2MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.6
53-2STANSTANAttack errAsia Harvey+2.2
63-3STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.6
74-3MIAMISTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+1.6
84-4STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.7
95-4MIAMISTANServe errMiami (FL)+1.6
106-4STANSTANAttack errRuth Martinez+2.2
116-5STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.5
127-5MIAMISTANServe errMiami (FL)+1.6
137-6STANMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Gaby Arroyo+1.6
147-7MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Ipar Kurt+2.5
158-7MIAMISTANBlockedAriana Rodriguezblk Ipar Kurt, Logan Parks+1.8
168-8STANMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
179-8MIAMISTAN×3KillLogan Parks+1.8
1810-8STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.4
1911-8STANSTAN×3AceLizzy Andrewaced Asia Harvey+2.2
2011-9STANMIAMI×5Serve errLizzy Andrew+1.5
2111-10MIAMIMIAMI×5KillRuth Martinez+2.4
2211-11MIAMIMIAMI×5KillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo+2.8
2311-12MIAMIMIAMI×5Attack errJulia Blyashov+3.1
2411-13MIAMIMIAMI×5Attack errElla Andrews+3.2
2512-13MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.1
2612-14STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+2.4
2713-14MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.2
2813-15STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.6
2914-15MIAMISTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.3
3015-15STANSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+3.4
3115-16STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.7
3215-17MIAMIMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Gaby Arroyo+3.9
3316-17MIAMISTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.4
3417-17STANSTANAttack errSonja Danilovic+3.8
3517-18STANMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+3.1
3618-18MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+2.9
3719-18STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+4.2
3819-19STANMIAMIServe errMalyssa Cawa+3.1
3919-20MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovic+4.9
4020-20MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+3.4
4120-21STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+4.0
4221-21MIAMISTAN×4Serve errSonja Danilovic+3.7
4322-21STANSTAN×4KillJulia Blyashovset Julia Blyashov+5.8
4423-21STANSTAN×4AceLogan Parksaced Asia Harvey+5.2
4524-21STANSTAN×4Bad setGaby Arroyo+3.5
4624-22STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
4725-22MIAMISTANAttack errAsia Harvey+2.2
Set 2
11-0MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.2
22-0STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Malyssa Cawa+1.6
32-1STANMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
43-1MIAMISTANAttack errRuth Martinez+1.2
53-2STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
64-2MIAMISTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.2
74-3STANMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
84-4MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedJordyn Harveyblk Denitsa Angelova, Asia Harvey+1.9
94-5MIAMIMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+2.0
105-5MIAMISTANServe errMiami (FL)+1.4
115-6STANMIAMIServe errStanford+1.5
126-6MIAMISTAN×3KillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+1.4
137-6STANSTAN×3BlockedDenitsa Angelovablk Ipar Kurt+2.0
148-6STANSTAN×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Ipar Kurt+1.9
158-7STANMIAMIAttack errIpar Kurt+1.3
169-7MIAMISTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.4
179-8STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.4
189-9MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Spencer Etzler+2.1
1910-9MIAMISTANServe errMiami (FL)+1.5
2010-10STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.6
2111-10MIAMISTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.6
2212-10STANSTANAceLogan Parksaced Gaby Arroyo+2.1
2312-11STANMIAMI×5KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.5
2412-12MIAMIMIAMI×5Bad setLogan Parks+2.4
2512-13MIAMIMIAMI×5KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+2.6
2612-14MIAMIMIAMI×5KillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+2.8
2712-15MIAMIMIAMI×5AceMiami (FL)aced Julia Blyashov+2.7
2813-15MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Malyssa Cawa+1.6
2913-16STANMIAMIAttack errJulia Blyashov+2.1
3014-16MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+1.7
3114-17STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.1
3215-17MIAMISTANServe errMiami (FL)+1.7
3316-17STANSTANBlockedRuth Martinezblk Lizzy Andrew, Ipar Kurt+2.8
3416-18STANMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+2.5
3516-19MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Ipar Kurt+3.2
3617-19MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+1.8
3718-19STANSTANAttack errLogan Wiley+3.1
3818-20STANMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+2.8
3918-21MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)+3.5
4019-21MIAMISTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.8
4120-21STANSTAN×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Ella Andrews, Logan Parks+3.4
4221-21STANSTAN×3Attack errRuth Martinez+4.3
4321-22STANMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+3.7
4422-22MIAMISTANAttack errAsia Harvey+3.5
4522-23STANMIAMIServe errStanford+4.4
4623-23MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+4.1
4723-24STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+5.6
4824-24MIAMISTANKillJordyn Harveyset Spencer Etzler+5.6
4924-25STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+14.0
Set 3
10-1STANMIAMIServe errStanford+2.3
20-2MIAMIMIAMIAttack errJordyn Harvey+3.3
31-2MIAMISTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.2
42-2STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Erika Sayer+3.2
53-2STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+3.1
63-3STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+2.3
74-3MIAMISTANAttack errRuth Martinez+2.2
85-3STANSTANAceLogan Parksaced Asia Harvey+3.0
95-4STANMIAMIServe errLogan Parks+2.1
106-4MIAMISTANKillErika Sayerset Logan Parks+2.2
116-5STANMIAMIServe errStanford+2.2
127-5MIAMISTANKillErika Sayerset Logan Parks+2.2
137-6STANMIAMIBlockedIpar Kurtblk Denitsa Angelova, Ariana Rodriguez+2.2
148-6MIAMISTAN×4Attack errSonja Danilovic+2.3
159-6STANSTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.9
1610-6STANSTAN×4BlockedDenitsa Angelovablk Lizzy Andrew, Ipar Kurt+2.5
1711-6STANSTAN×4KillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+2.1
1811-7STANMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
1911-8MIAMIMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+2.3
2011-9MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errLizzy Andrew+2.9
2112-9MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+2.3
2213-9STANSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.7
2313-10STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.7
2414-10MIAMISTANServe errAriana Rodriguez+2.0
2514-11STANMIAMI×4Attack errJulia Blyashov+1.7
2614-12MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errErika Sayer+3.0
2714-13MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errJordyn Harvey+3.8
2814-14MIAMIMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo+4.5
2915-14MIAMISTANKillErika Sayerset Logan Parks+3.3
3015-15STANMIAMI×6KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+3.4
3115-16MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errJulia Blyashov+5.2
3215-17MIAMIMIAMI×6BlockedJulia Blyashovblk Denitsa Angelova, Ruth Martinez+5.5
3315-18MIAMIMIAMI×6KillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+5.3
3415-19MIAMIMIAMI×6KillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo+4.6
3515-20MIAMIMIAMI×6KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+3.5
3616-20MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.5
3716-21STANMIAMIServe errJulia Blyashov+2.5
3817-21MIAMISTANAttack errAsia Harvey+1.3
3918-21STANSTANAceSpencer Etzleraced Olivia Durst+2.9
4018-22STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Sonja Danilovic+3.4
4118-23MIAMI
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.8
4219-23MIAMISTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.7
4319-24STANMIAMIServe errJordyn Harvey+1.6
4420-24MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+0.4
4520-25STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.9
Set 4
11-0MIAMISTANBlockedRuth Martinezblk Ipar Kurt, Erika Sayer+2.6
22-0STANSTANKillIpar Kurt+3.5
32-1STANMIAMIServe errSpencer Etzler+2.5
43-1MIAMISTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.5
53-2STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.6
64-2MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+2.6
74-3STANMIAMIServe errMalyssa Cawa+2.6
85-3MIAMISTAN×5BlockedAsia Harveyblk Logan Parks, Lizzy Andrew+2.7
96-3STANSTAN×5BlockedAsia Harveyblk Logan Parks, Erika Sayer+3.4
107-3STANSTAN×5AceLizzy Andrewaced Sonja Danilovic+3.0
118-3STANSTAN×5KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.6
129-3STANSTAN×5Attack errAsia Harvey+2.1
139-4STANMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguez+1.3
1410-4MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.5
1510-5STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.2
1611-5MIAMISTANKillErika Sayerset Logan Parks+1.5
1711-6STANMIAMIServe errKoko Kirsch+1.2
1812-6MIAMISTANKillErika Sayerset Logan Parks+1.5
1913-6STANSTANAttack errRuth Martinez+1.5
2013-7STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
2114-7MIAMISTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.1
2214-8STANMIAMIServe errJordyn Harvey+0.8
2315-8MIAMISTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.0
2415-9STANMIAMIAttack errLizzy Andrew+0.7
2516-9MIAMISTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.0
2616-10STANMIAMIServe errLizzy Andrew+0.7
2717-10MIAMISTAN×3KillErika Sayerset Logan Parks+1.0
2818-10STANSTAN×3BlockedSonja Danilovicblk Jordyn Harvey, Erika Sayer+0.8
2919-10STANSTAN×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Erika Sayer, Julia Blyashov+0.4
3019-11STANMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Gaby Arroyo+0.2
3120-11MIAMISTANKillErika Sayerset Logan Parks+0.3
3220-12STANMIAMI×4Serve errJulia Blyashov+0.1
3320-13MIAMIMIAMI×4AceMiami (FL)aced Ipar Kurt+0.3
3420-14MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errErika Sayer+0.6
3520-15MIAMIMIAMI×4AceMiami (FL)aced Spencer Etzler+1.0
3621-15MIAMISTANAttack errRuth Martinez+1.1
3722-15STANSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.7
3822-16STANMIAMIBlockedKaci Demariablk Logan Wiley, Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
3923-16MIAMISTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.4
4024-16STANSTANBlockedLogan Wileyblk Lizzy Andrew+0.2
4124-17STANMIAMI×6Attack errLizzy Andrew·
4224-18MIAMIMIAMI×6AceMiami (FL)aced Kaci Demaria+0.1
4324-19MIAMIMIAMI×6KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
4424-20MIAMIMIAMI×6KillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+0.4
4524-21MIAMIMIAMI×6KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.9
4624-22MIAMIMIAMI×6BlockedLizzy Andrewblk Asia Harvey, Denitsa Angelova+2.4
4725-22MIAMISTANBlockedAsia Harveyblk Logan Parks, Lizzy Andrew+5.1
Set 5
10-1MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+8.8
21-1MIAMISTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+6.1
32-1STANSTANAttack errRuth Martinez+8.5
42-2STANMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+6.3
52-3MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Malyssa Cawa+9.6
63-3MIAMISTANAttack errSonja Danilovic+6.6
73-4STANMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+7.3
83-5MIAMIMIAMI×4BlockedJulia Blyashovblk Logan Wiley, Ruth Martinez+10.5
93-6MIAMIMIAMI×4BlockedJordyn Harveyblk Ruth Martinez, Logan Wiley+10.2
103-7MIAMIMIAMI×4BlockedJulia Blyashovblk Ruth Martinez, Logan Wiley+9.2
114-7MIAMISTANAttack errRuth Martinez+5.0
125-7STANSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Spencer Etzler+8.8
135-8STANMIAMIServe errJulia Blyashov+8.1
146-8MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+6.3
156-9STANMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+8.5
166-10MIAMIMIAMIBlockedLizzy Andrewblk Denitsa Angelova+9.8
177-10MIAMISTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+4.7
188-10STANSTAN×3Attack errAsia Harvey+9.1
199-10STANSTAN×3AceJordyn Harveyaced Asia Harvey+11.9
209-11STANMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+11.1
219-12MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+13.4
2210-12MIAMISTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+6.2
2310-13STANMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+10.3
2411-13MIAMISTAN×4KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+5.5
2512-13STANSTAN×4KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+13.5
2613-13STANSTAN×4AceLizzy Andrew+21.0
2714-13STANSTAN×4KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+25.8
2814-14STANMIAMI×3KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+18.3
2914-15MIAMIMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+27.7
3014-16MIAMIMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+30.7

Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).