FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Miami (FL) def. California 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Miami (FL) 60.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (FL) beat visiting California 3-0 (25-19, 25-22, 25-17) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Miami (FL)'s Ruth Martinez led with 15 kills, and Gaby Arroyo added 16 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set123Sets
CAL1922170
MIAMI2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Ruth Martinez. Miami (FL) swept California.

Win probability never moved more than 3.9 points on one rally; California topped out at 49% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Miami (FL) 60% before first serve.

CaliforniaMiami (FL)
  • Break %+16.1 pts
    25.041.1

    Points won on own serve: 30 of 73 vs 15 of 60. California sided out 58.9% of the time.

  • Hitting+.144
    .176.320

    49 kills, 16 errors vs 34 kills, 15 errors.

Miami (FL) above 50California belowMax swing 3.9%

CaliforniaMiami (FL)

Aces
California 3·Miami (FL) 6
Serve err
California 5·Miami (FL) 5
Blocks
California 9·Miami (FL) 62 BS · 14 BA vs 2 BS · 8 BA
Digs
California 34·Miami (FL) 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (FL) above 50 · California below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.9% MIAMIrally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.9% to Miami (FL) — set 1, CAL 15-17 MIAMI. Ashley Li stuffed by Logan Wiley. MIAMI win probability 62% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CAL 36.4%63.6% MIAMI

California wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.1%
3-2
15.7%

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
19.2%
3-1
24.4%
3-2
20.0%
CAL break %
38.5% vs this opp
MIAMI break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Logan WileyBlock+3.9%

    Ashley Li stuffed by Logan Wiley

    Set 1 · CAL 15-17 MIAMI · MIAMI 62% → 66%

  2. 02

    Ace by Billie Reiter

    Set 1 · CAL 13-14 MIAMI · MIAMI 58% → 62%

  3. 03
    Asia HarveyKill+3.6%

    Kill by Asia Harvey (set by Ariana Rodriguez)

    Set 1 · CAL 13-13 MIAMI · MIAMI 55% → 58%

  4. 04
    Ashley LiAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Ashley Li

    Set 1 · CAL 16-19 MIAMI · MIAMI 66% → 70%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sawyer Thomsen (set by Anna Flores)

    Set 1 · CAL 11-9 MIAMI · CAL 44% → 47%

  6. 06
    Abby ZimmermanAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Abby Zimmerman

    Set 1 · CAL 9-9 MIAMI · MIAMI 56% → 59%

  7. 07

    Dominique Phills stuffed by Denitsa Angelova & Ariana Rodriguez

    Set 2 · CAL 13-16 MIAMI · MIAMI 82% → 85%

  8. 08

    Ace by Abby Zimmerman on Sonja Danilovic

    Set 2 · CAL 13-14 MIAMI · CAL 18% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38424.16703311112213
38626.07700010010.58.5
37216.313000100218
34013.30800000153.57.5
3219.111280160031.53.5
3000–000200000
33014.21400121010.53.5
14Elise LauL/DS
3000–000000000
3000–000200000
3000–300900000
2022-1.000000020000
2000–000000000
1204.500000000002
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3415108.1763135346214958
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315533.30300070010.515.5
312217.5880314100015
36315.20011100010.57.5
3509.55600000132.57.5
3339.00042031000214
3000–000100000
38320.25000040111.59.5
3000–020400002
3000–2001610000
1000–000000000
Team totals4916103.320456546328675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CAL · MIAMI 4

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 CALMIAMI 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 CALMIAMI 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 CALMIAMI 3

Bars above the line = Miami (FL) leads, below = California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
20%2/10
2
50%8/16
31%4/13
3
78%7/9
0%0/8
4
50%7/14
42%5/12
5
67%6/9
22%2/9
6
60%6/10
25%2/8
All
59%43/73
25%15/60

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
30%3/10
2
69%9/13
53%10/19
3
73%8/11
33%4/12
4
70%7/10
42%5/12
5
67%6/9
45%5/11
6
100%6/6
33%3/9
All
75%45/60
41%30/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#CAL-MIAMISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.7
21-1MIAMICAL×3KillAshley Liset Sophia Johnson+1.7
32-1CALCAL×3Attack errRuth Martinez+2.6
43-1CALCAL×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Sawyer Thomsen, Abby Zimmerman+2.7
53-2CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.7
64-2MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.9
74-3CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.7
85-3MIAMICALAttack errRuth Martinez+1.9
95-4CALMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
106-4MIAMICALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+1.9
117-4CALCALAttack errAsia Harvey+2.8
127-5CALMIAMIServe errGrace Agolli+1.7
137-6MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAshley Li+2.8
148-6MIAMICALKillAnna Flores+2.1
158-7CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.9
169-7MIAMICALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+2.1
179-8CALMIAMIServe errAnna Flores+2.0
189-9MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAbby Zimmerman+3.1
1910-9MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+2.2
2011-9CALCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+3.3
2111-10CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+2.1
2212-10MIAMICALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+2.3
2312-11CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+2.1
2413-11MIAMICALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+2.4
2513-12CALMIAMI×3Serve errAbby Zimmerman+2.2
2613-13MIAMIMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+3.6
2713-14MIAMIMIAMI×3AceBillie Reiter+3.7
2814-14MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+2.5
2914-15CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+2.6
3015-15MIAMICALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+2.6
3115-16CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+2.7
3215-17MIAMIMIAMIBlockedAshley Liblk Logan Wiley+3.9
3316-17MIAMICALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+2.4
3416-18CALMIAMI×4KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.7
3516-19MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errAshley Li+3.6
3616-20MIAMIMIAMI×4KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+2.7
3716-21MIAMIMIAMI×4KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.7
3817-21MIAMICALServe errAriana Rodriguez+0.6
3918-21CALCALAttack errRuth Martinez+1.7
4018-22CALMIAMI×3KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
4118-23MIAMIMIAMI×3AceSonja Danilovicaced Grace Agolli+1.4
4218-24MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errAbby Zimmerman+0.5
4319-24MIAMICALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.1
4419-25CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
Set 2
11-0MIAMICALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.6
21-1CALMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.5
31-2MIAMIMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+2.3
41-3MIAMIMIAMI×4AceSonja Danilovicaced Dominique Phills+2.2
51-4MIAMIMIAMI×4AceSonja Danilovicaced Dominique Phills+2.1
62-4MIAMICALServe errSonja Danilovic+1.3
72-5CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.4
83-5MIAMICALBlockedAsia Harveyblk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores+1.4
94-5CALCALAceAbby Zimmermanaced Gaby Arroyo+2.3
104-6CALMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.6
115-6MIAMICALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.6
125-7CALMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.6
135-8MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAbby Zimmerman+2.3
146-8MIAMICAL×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Cari Bohm, Ashley Li+1.4
157-8CALCAL×3KillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+2.4
168-8CALCAL×3BlockedSonja Danilovicblk Sawyer Thomsen, Anna Flores+2.7
178-9CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Gaby Arroyo+1.8
188-10MIAMIMIAMIAceDenitsa Angelova+2.7
199-10MIAMICALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.7
209-11CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
2110-11MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.8
2210-12CALMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.9
2310-13MIAMIMIAMIBlockedDominique Phillsblk Ruth Martinez, Logan Wiley+2.6
2411-13MIAMICALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.6
2511-14CALMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
2612-14MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.6
2713-14CALCALAceAbby Zimmermanaced Sonja Danilovic+2.9
2813-15CALMIAMI×4Serve errAbby Zimmerman+2.1
2913-16MIAMIMIAMI×4BlockedDominique Phillsblk Denitsa Angelova, Ariana Rodriguez+2.9
3013-17MIAMIMIAMI×4KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.4
3113-18MIAMIMIAMI×4KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
3214-18MIAMICALBlockedDenitsa Angelovablk Cari Bohm+0.8
3314-19CALMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.1
3415-19MIAMICALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.8
3515-20CALMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.1
3616-20MIAMICALKillAshley Liset Stalena Van Deusen+0.7
3716-21CALMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Sophia Johnson+1.1
3817-21MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.6
3917-22CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
4018-22MIAMICALKillGrace Agolliset Sophia Johnson+0.5
4118-23CALMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
4219-23MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.3
4320-23CALCALBlockedDenitsa Angelovablk Cari Bohm, Grace Agolli+1.0
4420-24CALMIAMIServe errAbby Zimmerman+1.3
4521-24MIAMICALAttack errAriana Rodriguez+0.4
4622-24CALCALKillAnna Floresset Sonja Danilovic+1.3
4722-25CALMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+2.2
Set 3
11-0CALCALBlockedAriana Rodriguezblk Abby Zimmerman+1.5
21-1CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
31-2MIAMIMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.4
42-2MIAMICALServe errAriana Rodriguez+1.0
52-3CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
62-4MIAMIMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+1.4
73-4MIAMICALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+0.9
83-5CALMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
93-6MIAMIMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.4
103-7MIAMIMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Denitsa Angelova+1.2
114-7MIAMICALBlockedAsia Harveyblk Abby Zimmerman, Cari Bohm+0.7
124-8CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
134-9MIAMIMIAMIAceBillie Reiteraced Abby Zimmerman+1.1
145-9MIAMICALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.6
155-10CALMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.7
165-11MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAnna Flores+0.9
176-11MIAMICALAttack errAriana Rodriguez+0.5
186-12CALMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.6
197-12MIAMICALServe errDenitsa Angelova+0.4
208-12CALCALKillAshley Liset Sophia Johnson+0.9
218-13CALMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguez+0.7
228-14MIAMIMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
239-14MIAMICALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.4
249-15CALMIAMIAttack errSawyer Thomsen+0.6
2510-15MIAMICALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.4
2610-16CALMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
2711-16MIAMICAL×3Attack errDenitsa Angelova+0.4
2812-16CALCAL×3KillArissa Carbonaraset Anna Flores+0.8
2913-16CALCAL×3AceAbby Zimmerman+1.1
3013-17CALMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
3113-18MIAMIMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelova+1.1
3214-18MIAMICALKillArissa Carbonaraset Anna Flores+0.5
3314-19CALMIAMIBlockedAshley Liblk Asia Harvey+0.7
3415-19MIAMICALBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores+0.5
3515-20CALMIAMI×3Attack errAshley Li+0.7
3615-21MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errAshley Li+0.6
3715-22MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedSawyer Thomsenblk Logan Wiley, Ariana Rodriguez+0.3
3816-22MIAMICALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.1
3916-23CALMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
4017-23MIAMICALServe errAriana Rodriguez·
4117-24CALMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
4217-25MIAMIMIAMIBlockedAbby Zimmermanblk Asia Harvey, Logan Wiley·

Score shown after each rally, California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).