Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026

Loyola Chicago def. Southeast Mo. St. 3–2

Loyola Chicago beat visiting Southeast Mo. St. 3-2 (25-18, 19-25, 25-20, 21-25, 15-10) on Thu, Sep 10, 2026. Leyna Nguyen led Loyola Chicago with 23 kills; Southeast Mo. St.'s Lucy Arndt had a match-high 24.

Data through · final Sep 10

Set12345Sets
SEMO18252025102
LOYCHI25192521153

Win probability

Loyola Chicago above 50 · Southeast Mo. St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+12.3% LOYCHIrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.3% to Loyola Chicago — set 5, SEMO 7-8 LOYCHI. Attack error by Alaina Lester. LOYCHI win probability 49% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SEMO 47.0%53.0% LOYCHI

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0
11.3%
3-1
17.5%
3-2
18.2%

Loyola Chicago wins

3-0
13.8%
3-1
20.0%
3-2
19.2%
SEMO break %
41.0% vs this opp
LOYCHI break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alaina LesterAttack error+12.3%

    Attack error by Alaina Lester

    Set 5 · SEMO 7-8 LOYCHI · LOYCHI 49% → 62%

  2. 02
    Loyola ChicagoAce+12.0%

    Loyola Chicago ace on Lucy Arndt

    Set 5 · SEMO 7-9 LOYCHI · LOYCHI 62% → 74%

  3. 03

    Marin Johnson stuffed by Claire Van Den Herik & Avary DeBlieck

    Set 5 · SEMO 7-10 LOYCHI · LOYCHI 74% → 84%

  4. 04
    Lucy ArndtAttack error+10.4%

    Attack error by Lucy Arndt

    Set 5 · SEMO 5-5 LOYCHI · LOYCHI 39% → 49%

  5. 05
    Jacey YoungKill+9.6%

    Kill by Jacey Young

    Set 5 · SEMO 4-2 LOYCHI · SEMO 57% → 67%

  6. 06

    Paige Smith stuffed by Mallory Bohl & Katie Scherer

    Set 5 · SEMO 2-2 LOYCHI · LOYCHI 41% → 50%

  7. 07
    Southeast Mo. St.Ace+8.9%

    Southeast Mo. St. ace on Leyna Nguyen

    Set 5 · SEMO 1-0 LOYCHI · SEMO 47% → 56%

  8. 08
    Lucy ArndtKill+8.9%

    Kill by Lucy Arndt (set by Megan Holder)

    Set 5 · SEMO 2-0 LOYCHI · SEMO 56% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524761.27910117500024
517546.26112312010120
510226.30801010031.512.5
55520.000100000216
5003.00028301400003
3128-.12510200010.51.5
56516.063000200217
51011.0007021430001
4002.00021001000000
4001.000000000000
23031.000000000003
1113.000300300001
Team totals6827190.216636873918598
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523650.3400107402125
517229.51701060031.519.5
55214.2140000036611
59227.2590002002110
51011.0914832110010.54.5
52214.00000010031.53.5
5001.0003411200004
5003.0001011020000
5001.0003022300000
2128-.12510020010.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals5816158.266569674631812105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 SEMO · LOYCHI 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 7 SEMOLOYCHI 6

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 SEMOLOYCHI 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 SEMOLOYCHI 4

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 3 SEMOLOYCHI 3

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 SEMOLOYCHI 4

Bars above the line = Loyola Chicago leads, below = Southeast Mo. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southeast Mo. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
64%14/22
2
57%8/14
47%7/15
3
57%8/14
43%6/14
4
50%7/14
42%5/12
5
40%6/15
22%2/9
6
60%6/10
14%1/7
All
54%43/79
44%35/79

Loyola Chicago

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
42%5/12
2
53%8/15
47%7/15
3
62%8/13
27%3/11
4
58%7/12
56%10/18
5
75%6/8
50%6/12
6
46%6/13
45%5/11
All
56%44/79
46%36/79

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#SEMO-LOYCHISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LOYCHILOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.5
21-1LOYCHISEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+1.8
32-1SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Paige Smith+2.6
42-2SEMOLOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+1.8
53-2LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.9
64-2SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+2.7
74-3SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+1.8
85-3LOYCHISEMOKillKatarina Miscevicset Megan Holder+1.9
95-4SEMOLOYCHI×6KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.8
105-5LOYCHILOYCHI×6AceLoyola Chicago+2.8
115-6LOYCHILOYCHI×6KillMallory Bohlset Mya Ball+2.8
125-7LOYCHILOYCHI×6Attack errMarin Johnson+2.8
135-8LOYCHILOYCHI×6BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Mallory Bohl+2.7
145-9LOYCHILOYCHI×6KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.4
156-9LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Brooklyn Ritter+1.5
166-10SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Jae Fitting+1.7
176-11LOYCHILOYCHIBlockedBrooklyn Ritterblk Mallory Bohl+2.1
187-11LOYCHISEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Brooklyn Ritter+1.2
197-12SEMOLOYCHIServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+1.5
208-12LOYCHISEMO×7KillBrooklyn Ritterset Nina Schuberth+1.2
219-12SEMOSEMO×7KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+2.2
2210-12SEMOSEMO×7BlockedAvary DeBlieckblk Reagan Nelson+2.6
2311-12SEMOSEMO×7AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Leyna Nguyen+3.1
2412-12SEMOSEMO×7AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Jordan Bruckner+3.4
2513-12SEMOSEMO×7KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+3.6
2614-12SEMOSEMO×7BlockedClaire Van Den Herikblk Paige Smith, Alaina Lester+3.6
2714-13SEMOLOYCHIAttack errPaige Smith+2.3
2815-13LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+2.6
2915-14SEMOLOYCHI×5KillKatie Schererset Tenley Davis+2.4
3015-15LOYCHILOYCHI×5AceLoyola Chicagoaced Nina Schuberth+3.9
3115-16LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+4.1
3215-17LOYCHILOYCHI×5BlockedPaige Smithblk Leyna Nguyen, Avary DeBlieck+4.0
3315-18LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+3.6
3416-18LOYCHISEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+2.1
3516-19SEMOLOYCHIServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+2.6
3616-20LOYCHILOYCHIKillKatie Scherer+2.9
3717-20LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Nina Schuberth+1.4
3817-21SEMOLOYCHIBlockedLucy Arndtblk Mallory Bohl, Katie Scherer+2.1
3918-21LOYCHISEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Brooklyn Ritter+1.3
4018-22SEMOLOYCHI×4Attack errLucy Arndt+2.0
4118-23LOYCHILOYCHI×4Attack errKatarina Miscevic+1.6
4218-24LOYCHILOYCHI×4Attack errReagan Nelson+0.6
4318-25LOYCHILOYCHI×4Attack errLucy Arndt+0.1
Set 2
11-0SEMOSEMO×3KillPaige Smithset Nina Schuberth+2.5
22-0SEMOSEMO×3AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Leyna Nguyen+2.5
33-0SEMOSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+2.4
43-1SEMOLOYCHIBlockedAlaina Lesterblk Avary DeBlieck+1.6
54-1LOYCHISEMO×4KillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+1.7
65-1SEMOSEMO×4KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+2.3
76-1SEMOSEMO×4BlockedAvary DeBlieckblk Paige Smith, Alaina Lester+2.1
87-1SEMOSEMO×4KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+1.8
97-2SEMOLOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.1
107-3LOYCHILOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.8
118-3LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.5
129-3SEMOSEMOBad setJae Fitting+1.8
139-4SEMOLOYCHI×4KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.0
149-5LOYCHILOYCHI×4BlockedPaige Smithblk Leyna Nguyen, Mallory Bohl+1.8
159-6LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.2
169-7LOYCHILOYCHI×4BlockedKatarina Miscevicblk Katie Scherer, Mallory Bohl+2.5
1710-7LOYCHISEMOAttack errKatie Scherer+2.0
1811-7SEMOSEMOBlockedLeyna Nguyenblk Marin Johnson, Katarina Miscevic+2.6
1911-8SEMOLOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.5
2012-8LOYCHISEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+1.8
2112-9SEMOLOYCHIServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+1.6
2213-9LOYCHISEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+1.9
2314-9SEMOSEMOBlockedTenley Davisblk Marin Johnson, Alaina Lester+2.3
2414-10SEMOLOYCHIKillTenley Davisset Mya Ball+1.2
2515-10LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Nina Schuberth+1.6
2615-11SEMOLOYCHIKillAvary DeBlieckset Mya Ball+1.2
2716-11LOYCHISEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+1.6
2817-11SEMOSEMO×3Attack errTenley Davis+1.7
2918-11SEMOSEMO×3AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Leyna Nguyen+1.2
3018-12SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+0.5
3119-12LOYCHISEMOAttack errLeyna Nguyen+0.8
3219-13SEMOLOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+0.4
3319-14LOYCHILOYCHIAttack errLucy Arndt+1.0
3420-14LOYCHISEMO×3Serve errLoyola Chicago+1.0
3521-14SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.8
3622-14SEMOSEMO×3Attack errMallory Bohl+0.4
3722-15SEMOLOYCHI×3KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+0.1
3822-16LOYCHILOYCHI×3Bad setEllie Burns+0.3
3922-17LOYCHILOYCHI×3KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+0.5
4023-17LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.7
4123-18SEMOLOYCHIKillMya Ballset Sam Falk+0.2
4224-18LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+0.4
4324-19SEMOLOYCHIServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.1
4425-19LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+0.2
Set 3
11-0LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+2.4
21-1SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.4
32-1LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+2.5
42-2SEMOLOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+2.4
53-2LOYCHISEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+2.5
64-2SEMOSEMOKillNina Schuberthset Katarina Miscevic+3.6
74-3SEMOLOYCHI×3BlockedKatarina Miscevicblk Mallory Bohl+2.4
84-4LOYCHILOYCHI×3AceLoyola Chicagoaced Lucy Arndt+3.6
94-5LOYCHILOYCHI×3Attack errLucy Arndt+3.7
105-5LOYCHISEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+2.6
116-5SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+3.8
126-6SEMOLOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+2.7
137-6LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+2.8
148-6SEMOSEMOAttack errClaire Van Den Herik+3.9
158-7LOYCHI
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
168-8LOYCHILOYCHIAceLoyola Chicagoaced Lucy Arndt+4.0
179-8LOYCHISEMOServe errLoyola Chicago+2.9
189-9SEMOLOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+2.9
1910-9LOYCHISEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+3.0
2010-10SEMOLOYCHIKillAvary DeBlieckset Mya Ball+3.0
2110-11LOYCHILOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+4.4
2211-11LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+3.1
2311-12SEMOLOYCHI×4Attack errLucy Arndt+3.2
2411-13LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+4.5
2511-14LOYCHILOYCHI×4Attack errMarin Johnson+4.2
2611-15LOYCHILOYCHI×4Attack errMarin Johnson+3.6
2712-15LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Nina Schuberth+2.1
2812-16SEMOLOYCHIKillMallory Bohlset Mya Ball+2.6
2913-16LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+2.1
3013-17SEMOLOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+2.6
3114-17LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+2.1
3215-17SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+3.9
3315-18SEMOLOYCHIBad setLucy Arndt+3.4
3416-18LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Lucy Arndt+2.8
3516-19SEMOLOYCHI×4Serve errSoutheast Mo. St.+3.5
3616-20LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+3.9
3716-21LOYCHILOYCHI×4AceLoyola Chicagoaced Lucy Arndt+2.6
3816-22LOYCHILOYCHI×4AceLoyola Chicagoaced Nina Schuberth+1.5
3917-22LOYCHISEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+0.4
4018-22SEMOSEMOKillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+1.2
4118-23SEMOLOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.5
4219-23LOYCHISEMOAttack errLeyna Nguyen+0.6
4319-24SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Jae Fitting+1.1
4420-24LOYCHISEMOAttack errLeyna Nguyen+0.3
4520-25SEMOLOYCHIKillMallory Bohlset Mya Ball+0.6
Set 4
11-0SEMOSEMOAttack errLeyna Nguyen+3.3
21-1SEMOLOYCHI×3KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.3
31-2LOYCHILOYCHI×3KillLeyna Nguyenset Jae Fitting+3.4
41-3LOYCHILOYCHI×3KillMallory Bohlset Mya Ball+3.3
52-3LOYCHISEMOBad setMya Ball+2.3
62-4SEMOLOYCHIKillMallory Bohlset Mya Ball+2.4
73-4LOYCHISEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+2.3
84-4SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Reagan Nelson+3.5
95-4SEMOSEMO×3Attack errMallory Bohl+3.6
105-5SEMOLOYCHIAttack errPaige Smith+2.5
116-5LOYCHISEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+2.6
127-5SEMOSEMO×3KillJacey Young+3.7
138-5SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+3.6
148-6SEMOLOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+2.3
159-6LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+2.6
1610-6SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Nina Schuberth+3.4
1710-7SEMOLOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+2.1
1810-8LOYCHILOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Sam Falk+3.4
1911-8LOYCHISEMOKillJacey Youngset Ellie Burns+2.7
2011-9SEMOLOYCHIServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+2.4
2112-9LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Nina Schuberth+2.8
2213-9SEMOSEMOKillPaige Smith+3.6
2313-10SEMOLOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+2.1
2414-10LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Nina Schuberth+2.6
2514-11SEMOLOYCHIServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+2.1
2615-11LOYCHISEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+2.6
2715-12SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.1
2816-12LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+2.7
2916-13SEMOLOYCHIBlockedMarin Johnsonblk Mallory Bohl, Claire Van Den Herik+2.1
3017-13LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+2.7
3118-13SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+3.0
3218-14SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+1.5
3318-15LOYCHILOYCHIAceLoyola Chicagoaced Nina Schuberth+3.0
3419-15LOYCHISEMOServe errLoyola Chicago+2.8
3519-16SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.0
3619-17LOYCHILOYCHIAttack errReagan Nelson+4.0
3720-17LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+3.7
3820-18SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.8
3921-18LOYCHISEMOServe errLoyola Chicago+3.9
4021-19SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.8
4121-20LOYCHILOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+5.8
4222-20LOYCHISEMO×3Serve errLoyola Chicago+5.4
4323-20SEMOSEMO×3AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Jordan Bruckner+6.0
4424-20SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+3.3
4524-21SEMOLOYCHIAttack errReagan Nelson+0.7
4625-21LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.3
Set 5
11-0SEMOSEMOAceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Leyna Nguyen+8.9
22-0SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+8.9
32-1SEMOLOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+5.9
42-2LOYCHILOYCHIBlockedPaige Smithblk Mallory Bohl, Katie Scherer+9.1
53-2LOYCHISEMOKillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+6.8
64-2SEMOSEMOKillJacey Young+9.6
74-3SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+6.2
85-3LOYCHISEMOAttack errLeyna Nguyen+7.0
95-4SEMOLOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Jordan Bruckner+6.5
105-5LOYCHILOYCHIAttack errLucy Arndt+10.4
116-5LOYCHISEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+7.8
126-6SEMOLOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+7.6
137-6LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+8.2
147-7SEMOLOYCHI×4KillClaire Van Den Herikset Sam Falk+8.1
157-8LOYCHILOYCHI×4Attack errAlaina Lester+12.3
167-9LOYCHILOYCHI×4AceLoyola Chicagoaced Lucy Arndt+12.0
177-10LOYCHILOYCHI×4BlockedMarin Johnsonblk Claire Van Den Herik, Avary DeBlieck+10.5
188-10LOYCHISEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+5.6
198-11SEMOLOYCHI×4Attack errReagan Nelson+7.7
208-12LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+7.7
218-13LOYCHILOYCHI×4AceLoyola Chicagoaced Lucy Arndt+4.3
228-14LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.6
239-14LOYCHISEMOServe errLoyola Chicago+0.2
2410-14SEMOSEMOAttack errKatie Scherer+0.8
2510-15SEMOLOYCHIServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+1.3

Score shown after each rally, Southeast Mo. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).