CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Southeast Mo. St. def. Bradley 32

(21-25, 23-25, 29-27, 25-22, 15-13)
Set1*2345Sets
SEMO21232925153
BRAD25252722132
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BRAD above 50 · SEMO below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100BRADSEMOBiggest swing +21.6% SEMO · S5 13-12rally 225 · set 5

Biggest swing: 21.6% to Southeast Mo. St. — set 5, SEMO 13-12 BRAD. Attack error by Chloe Parker. BRAD win probability 54%33%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SEMO 45.0%55.0% BRAD

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0
10.5%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
17.8%

Bradley wins

3-0
14.7%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
19.4%
SEMO break %
41.3% vs this opp
BRAD break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Chloe ParkerAttack error+21.6%

    Attack error by Chloe Parker

    Set 5 · SEMO 13-12 BRAD · SEMO 46%67%

  2. 02
    Gracie FurlongAttack error+20.9%

    Attack error by Gracie Furlong

    Set 5 · SEMO 14-12 BRAD · SEMO 67%88%

  3. 03
    Alaina LesterKill+20.0%

    Kill by Alaina Lester (set by Megan Holder)

    Set 5 · SEMO 15-13 BRAD · SEMO 80%100%

  4. 04
    Reagan NelsonKill+15.4%

    Kill by Reagan Nelson (set by Megan Holder)

    Set 5 · SEMO 11-11 BRAD · SEMO 31%46%

  5. 05

    Kill by Adeline Goedheer (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 5 · SEMO 11-12 BRAD · BRAD 54%67%

  6. 06
    Reagan NelsonKill+12.5%

    Kill by Reagan Nelson (set by Megan Holder)

    Set 5 · SEMO 12-12 BRAD · SEMO 33%46%

  7. 07
    Gracie FurlongKill+12.2%

    Kill by Gracie Furlong (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 5 · SEMO 7-8 BRAD · BRAD 50%62%

  8. 08
    Lucy ArndtAttack error+11.8%

    Attack error by Lucy Arndt

    Set 5 · SEMO 7-9 BRAD · BRAD 62%74%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524660.300203154111.525.5
521662.242110121010.522.5
59118.44410010031.510.5
50003500500000
4416.500000000215
1002.000000000000
58325.20000020153.511.5
5116.000421200636
5204.50023311300005
4001.000010630001
40000001610000
3317.286300300003
21011.000000000001
2000000100000
Team totals7319192.2816975761121811113
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5201060.167020184010.522.5
518432.4381003004220
513429.3101101014317
59021.42900010052.511.5
51210-.1006411150031.53.5
51011.000101610001
514741.17110041010.514.5
50005511310005
5001.0001101900001
31011.000000100001
3000010000001
Team totals7727196.2557411381711810112

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 SEMO · BRAD 5

Set 1*

21-25

Longest run 2 SEMOBRAD 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 SEMOBRAD 3

Set 3

29-27

Longest run 4 SEMOBRAD 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 7 SEMOBRAD 5

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 3 SEMOBRAD 3

Bars above the line = Bradley leads, below = Southeast Mo. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Southeast Mo. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
50%9/18
2
56%10/18
33%5/15
3
53%8/15
53%9/17
4
80%8/10
20%2/10
5
53%8/15
56%10/18
6
55%6/11
50%7/14
All
57%50/87
46%42/92

Bradley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
50%7/14
2
56%10/18
44%8/18
3
57%8/14
41%7/17
4
67%8/12
50%8/16
5
35%7/20
33%4/12
6
64%7/11
30%3/10
All
54%50/92
43%37/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

225 rallies

Rally log

#SEMO-BRADSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.5
21-1BRADSEMOAttack errAlaina Lester+1.8
32-1SEMOSEMOFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.6
42-2SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.8
53-2BRADSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+1.9
64-2SEMOSEMOAttack errChloe Parker+2.7
74-3SEMOBRAD×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.8
84-4BRADBRAD×4AceBRAD serveraced Team+2.7
94-5BRADBRAD×4AceBRAD serveraced Reagan Nelson+2.7
104-6BRADBRAD×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.7
115-6BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.9
126-6SEMOSEMOAceSEMO serveraced Gracie Furlong+2.8
136-7SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.1
147-7BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+2.1
157-8SEMOBRAD×3Attack errLucy Arndtblk Mairen Mannon+2.1
167-9BRADBRAD×3KillMaria Drappset Megan DePoorter+2.9
177-10BRADBRAD×3Attack errReagan Nelson+2.7
188-10BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.8
198-11SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.0
209-11BRADSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Ellie Burns+1.8
219-12SEMOBRAD×3KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+2.1
229-13BRADBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.5
239-14BRADBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.1
2410-14BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.2
2511-14SEMOSEMOKillAlaina Lester+2.2
2611-15SEMOBRADServe errSEMO server+1.9
2712-15BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.6
2812-16SEMOBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.9
2913-16BRADSEMOKillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+1.6
3014-16SEMOSEMOAceSEMO serveraced Gracie Furlong+2.8
3114-17SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.4
3214-18BRADBRADKillMairen Mannonset Lauren Dale+2.8
3315-18BRADSEMOAttack errGracie Furlong+1.5
3416-18SEMOSEMOAttack errLauren Daleblk Katarina Miscevic, Marin Johnson+2.9
3516-19SEMOBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.6
3617-19BRADSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+2.1
3717-20SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.7
3818-20BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+2.1
3918-21SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.9
4019-21BRADSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+2.1
4119-22SEMOBRAD×3Attack errPaige Smithblk Adeline Goedheer, Gracie Furlong+3.0
4219-23BRADBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.7
4319-24BRADBRAD×3KillLauren Daleset Ava Patchett+1.2
4420-24BRADSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+0.2
4521-24SEMOSEMOAttack errLauren Daleblk Katarina Miscevic, Paige Smith+0.7
4621-25SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.2
Set 2
11-0SEMOSEMOKillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+2.4
22-0SEMOSEMOAceSEMO serveraced Eirini Bitsaktsi+2.4
32-1SEMOBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.7
42-2BRADBRAD×3Attack errKatarina Miscevicblk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker+2.4
52-3BRADBRAD×3AceBRAD serveraced Reagan Nelson+2.5
63-3BRADSEMOKillSydney Millerset Megan Holder+1.8
73-4SEMOBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+1.8
84-4BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+1.8
94-5SEMOBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.9
104-6BRADBRADAttack errMarin Johnsonblk Lauren Dale, Mairen Mannon+2.5
115-6BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.8
125-7SEMOBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.9
136-7BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.8
146-8SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.9
156-9BRADBRADAceBRAD serveraced Nina Schuberth+2.5
167-9BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.7
177-10SEMOBRADKillEirini Bitsaktsiset Paige Smith+1.9
188-10BRADSEMOKillPaige Smithset Katarina Miscevic+1.7
198-11SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.9
208-12BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.4
219-12BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.5
229-13SEMOBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.7
239-14BRADBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.0
2410-14BRADSEMOServe errBRAD server+1.1
2510-15SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.5
2610-16BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.5
2711-16BRADSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+0.8
2811-17SEMOBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+1.1
2912-17BRADSEMO×3Serve errBRAD server+0.7
3013-17SEMOSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.5
3114-17SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGracie Furlongblk Alaina Lester, Paige Smith+2.0
3214-18SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.9
3315-18BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.5
3415-19SEMOBRADServe errSEMO server+1.9
3516-19BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.4
3616-20SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.0
3717-20BRADSEMO×3KillKatarina Miscevicset Megan Holder+1.4
3818-20SEMOSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Lucy Arndt+2.8
3919-20SEMOSEMO×3KillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+3.9
4019-21SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+3.5
4120-21BRADSEMOBad setAva Patchett+2.9
4220-22SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+3.8
4321-22BRADSEMOKillEllie Burnsset Katarina Miscevic+3.0
4421-23SEMOBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+4.3
4522-23BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+3.1
4622-24SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+5.0
4723-24BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+2.8
4823-25SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+6.6
Set 3
11-0BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Alaina Lester+1.1
21-1SEMOBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.1
31-2BRADBRAD×3KillAdeline Goedheer+1.5
41-3BRADBRAD×3KillMaren Ouelletteset Mairen Mannon+1.5
52-3BRADSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.0
63-3SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.5
74-3SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Reagan Nelson+1.6
84-4SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.1
94-5BRADBRADAttack errAlaina Lesterblk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker+1.6
105-5BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Alayna Christner+1.2
115-6SEMOBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.2
125-7BRADBRAD×3AceBRAD serveraced Nina Schuberth+1.6
135-8BRADBRAD×3AceBRAD serveraced Team+1.5
146-8BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Alayna Christner+1.0
157-8SEMOSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+1.6
167-9SEMOBRAD×3KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+1.2
177-10BRADBRAD×3KillLauren Daleset Ava Patchett+1.6
187-11BRADBRAD×3AceBRAD serveraced Nina Schuberth+1.5
198-11BRADSEMO×4KillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+0.9
209-11SEMOSEMO×4Attack errLauren Daleblk Katarina Miscevic, Reagan Nelson+1.5
2110-11SEMOSEMO×4Attack errMairen Mannon+1.7
2211-11SEMOSEMO×4Attack errLauren Daleblk Katarina Miscevic, Marin Johnson+1.9
2311-12SEMOBRADAttack errLucy Arndt+1.4
2412-12BRADSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.4
2513-12SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGracie Furlongblk Alaina Lester, Marin Johnson+2.1
2614-12SEMOSEMO×3Serve errSEMO server+2.1
2714-13SEMOBRADServe errSEMO server+1.4
2814-14BRADBRADAttack errReagan Nelsonblk Maria Drapp, Adeline Goedheer+2.2
2915-14BRADSEMOAttack errGracie Furlong+1.7
3015-15SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.6
3116-15BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.7
3216-16SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.7
3317-16BRADSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Megan Holder+1.8
3417-17SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.8
3518-17BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Alayna Christner+2.0
3619-17SEMOSEMOAttack errLucy Arndt+2.7
3719-18SEMOBRAD×3Serve errSEMO server+1.7
3819-19BRADBRAD×3KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.9
3919-20BRADBRAD×3KillMairen Mannon+3.2
4020-20BRADSEMOAttack errLauren Dale+2.2
4121-20SEMOSEMOAceSEMO serveraced Gracie Furlong+3.5
4221-21SEMOBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.5
4322-21BRADSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+2.9
4422-22SEMOBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+2.8
4522-23BRADBRADAceBRAD serveraced Lucy Arndt+4.7
4623-23BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+3.2
4723-24SEMOBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Chloe Parker+4.2
4824-24BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+4.2
4925-24SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+6.0
5025-25SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+4.3
5126-25BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+4.3
5226-26SEMOBRADKillLauren Daleset Ava Patchett+4.3
5327-26BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+4.3
5427-27SEMOBRADAttack errReagan Nelson+4.3
5528-27BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Katarina Miscevic+4.3
5629-27SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+6.1
Set 4
11-0SEMOSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Megan Holder+3.2
21-1SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.3
31-2BRADBRADAceBRAD serveraced Holland Guilliams+3.3
42-2BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+2.3
53-2SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+3.4
63-3SEMOBRAD×3KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+2.4
73-4BRADBRAD×3KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+3.4
83-5BRADBRAD×3Attack errLucy Arndt+3.4
94-5BRADSEMO×3Attack errChloe Parker+2.3
105-5SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+3.5
116-5SEMOSEMO×3AceSEMO serveraced Lauren Dale+3.6
126-6SEMOBRAD×4Bad setLucy Arndt+2.6
136-7BRADBRAD×4KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+3.7
146-8BRADBRAD×4Attack errMarin Johnsonblk Mairen Mannon, Maria Drapp+3.6
156-9BRADBRAD×4KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.4
167-9BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+2.3
178-9SEMOSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+3.6
188-10SEMOBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+2.7
199-10BRADSEMO×7KillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+2.6
2010-10SEMOSEMO×7AceSEMO serveraced Ava Patchett+4.0
2111-10SEMOSEMO×7KillEllie Burnsset Maria Drapp+4.2
2212-10SEMOSEMO×7Attack errGracie Furlongblk Marin Johnson, Alaina Lester+4.2
2313-10SEMOSEMO×7KillReagan Nelsonset Katarina Miscevic+4.0
2414-10SEMOSEMO×7AceSEMO serveraced Gracie Furlong+3.6
2515-10SEMOSEMO×7Attack errMairen Mannon+3.1
2615-11SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Ava Patchett+1.7
2716-11BRADSEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Ellie Burns+2.2
2817-11SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGracie Furlong+2.3
2918-11SEMOSEMO×3KillAlaina Lester+1.6
3018-12SEMOBRAD×5KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+0.7
3118-13BRADBRAD×5AceBRAD serveraced Reagan Nelson+1.5
3218-14BRADBRAD×5Attack errReagan Nelson+2.1
3318-15BRADBRAD×5KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+3.0
3418-16BRADBRAD×5Attack errReagan Nelson+3.9
3519-16BRADSEMOServe errBRAD server+3.6
3619-17SEMOBRADServe errSEMO server+2.8
3719-18BRADBRADKillLauren Daleset Ava Patchett+5.2
3820-18BRADSEMOAttack errMaria Drapp+4.6
3920-19SEMOBRAD×4KillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+3.9
4020-20BRADBRAD×4KillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+6.8
4120-21BRADBRAD×4KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+7.5
4220-22BRADBRAD×4Attack errLucy Arndtblk Chloe Parker, Mairen Mannon+7.2
4321-22BRADSEMO×5KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+4.1
4422-22SEMOSEMO×5Attack errChloe Parker+8.3
4523-22SEMOSEMO×5Attack errLauren Daleblk Marin Johnson+10.3
4624-22SEMOSEMO×5KillLucy Arndt+10.0
4725-22SEMOSEMO×5Attack errMairen Mannonblk Katarina Miscevic, Marin Johnson+4.4
Set 5
11-0SEMOSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Megan Holder+8.8
22-0SEMOSEMOAttack errGracie Furlong+8.9
32-1SEMOBRADAttack errReagan Nelsonblk Adeline Goedheer, Maria Drapp+6.0
42-2BRADBRADAttack errAlayna Christner+9.1
53-2BRADSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+6.9
63-3SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+6.7
74-3BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+7.2
84-4SEMOBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+7.0
94-5BRADBRADKillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+10.3
105-5BRADSEMOAttack errLauren Dale+7.3
116-5SEMOSEMOAttack errMaria Drappblk Katarina Miscevic, Lucy Arndt+11.0
126-6SEMOBRADKillLauren Daleset Maria Drapp+7.7
137-6BRADSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+8.4
147-7SEMOBRAD×3KillMairen Mannonset Maria Drapp+8.2
157-8BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+12.2
167-9BRADBRAD×3Attack errLucy Arndt+11.8
178-9BRADSEMOAttack errMairen Mannonblk Reagan Nelson+7.5
188-10SEMOBRADAttack errMarin Johnson+9.1
198-11BRADBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+10.8
209-11BRADSEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Reagan Nelson+5.6
2110-11SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGracie Furlong+11.4
2211-11SEMOSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+15.4
2311-12SEMOBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+12.8
2412-12BRADSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+12.5
2513-12SEMOSEMO×3Attack errChloe Parker+21.6
2614-12SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGracie Furlong+20.9
2714-13SEMOBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+8.3
2815-13BRADSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+20.0

Score shown after each rally, Southeast Mo. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.