Southeast Mo. St. def. Saint Louis 3–1
Southeast Mo. St. beat Saint Louis 3-1 (33-31, 25-23, 20-25, 25-17) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Southeast Mo. St.'s Reagan Nelson led with 17 kills, and Holland Guilliams added 24 digs.
Data through · final Sep 18
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 33 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 3 |
| ST LOU | 31 | 23 | 25 | 17 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.9% to Saint Louis — set 1, SEMO 27-28 ST LOU. Kill by Tamia Maddox. ST LOU win probability 26% → 35%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Southeast Mo. St. wins
Saint Louis wins
- SEMO break %
- 43.8% vs this opp
- ST LOU break %
- 38.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02
- 03Southeast Mo. St.Ace+7.1%
Southeast Mo. St. ace on Ellie Rink
Set 1 · SEMO 33-31 ST LOU · SEMO 80% → 87%
- 04Katherine St. JohnKill+6.3%
Kill by Katherine St. John (set by Reagan Nelson)
Set 1 · SEMO 28-28 ST LOU · SEMO 65% → 72%
- 05Tea KalajdzicKill+6.3%
Kill by Tea Kalajdzic (set by Jetta Brenning)
Set 1 · SEMO 28-29 ST LOU · ST LOU 28% → 35%
- 06Saint LouisService error+6.3%
Saint Louis service error
Set 1 · SEMO 29-29 ST LOU · SEMO 65% → 72%
- 07Reagan NelsonKill+5.5%
Kill by Reagan Nelson (set by Ellie Burns)
Set 1 · SEMO 24-23 ST LOU · SEMO 74% → 80%
- 08Ellie RinkKill+5.5%
Kill by Ellie Rink (set by Jetta Brenning)
Set 1 · SEMO 24-24 ST LOU · ST LOU 20% → 26%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 51 | .157 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 37 | .243 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 16 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 31 | .194 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 25 | .280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .200 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 60 | 26 | 171 | .199 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 79 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 103 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 47 | .128 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 14 | .357 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 31 | .129 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | .308 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 24 | .125 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 4 | 12 | 3 | 25 | .360 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 24 | 169 | .195 | 52 | 6 | 11 | 68 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 96 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
33-31
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
20-25
Set 4
25-17
Bars above the line = Saint Louis leads, below = Southeast Mo. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Southeast Mo. St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71%12/17 | 39%7/18 |
| 2 | 79%11/14 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 56%9/16 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 69%9/13 | 53%10/19 |
| 5 | 64%9/14 | 63%15/24 |
| 6 | 39%9/23 | 25%3/12 |
| All | 61%59/97 | 43%44/102 |
Saint Louis
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86%12/14 | 50%10/20 |
| 2 | 56%10/18 | 20%3/15 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 38%6/16 |
| 4 | 39%9/23 | 31%4/13 |
| 5 | 53%9/17 | 40%6/15 |
| 6 | 56%9/16 | 50%9/18 |
| All | 57%58/102 | 39%38/97 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
199 rallies
| # | SEMO-ST LOU | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Megan Holder | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SEMO | ST LOU | Attack err | Reagan Nelson | +1.4 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Megan Holder | +1.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Megan Holder | +1.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SEMO | ST LOU×4 | Attack err | Sydney Miller | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +2.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +2.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Bad set | Megan Holder | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Megan Holder | +1.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | SEMO | ST LOU×3 | Serve err | Southeast Mo. St. | +1.8 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Anna Boatner | +2.5 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Lucy Rankin | +2.5 |
| 13 | 5-8 | ST LOU | SEMO×6 | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Megan Holder | +1.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Attack err | Ellie Rink | +2.3 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Ellie Burns | +2.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Attack err | Tamia Maddox | +2.5 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Tamia Maddox | +2.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Kill | Alaina Lester | set Ellie Burns | +2.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +1.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Ellie Burns | +1.6 |
| 21 | 11-10 | SEMO | ST LOU×4 | Attack err | Lucy Arndt | +1.6 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Lucy Arndt | +2.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Blocked | Alaina Lester | blk Ellie Rink, Anna Boatner | +2.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Anna Boatner | +3.1 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | ST LOU | SEMO×3 | Kill | Ellie Burns | set Holland Guilliams | +1.9 |
| 26 | 13-13 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Tamia Maddox | +3.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Blocked | Tea Kalajdzic | blk Katherine St. John | +2.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | SEMO | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +2.1 |
| 29 | 14-15 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Kayla Jansen | set Jetta Brenning | +3.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Blocked | Reagan Nelson | blk Tea Kalajdzic, Kayla Jansen | +3.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +2.2 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +2.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Megan Holder | +2.3 |
| 34 | 16-18 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Kayla Jansen | set Jetta Brenning | +2.8 |
| 35 | 16-19 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Holland Guilliams | +3.8 |
| 36 | 17-19 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +2.0 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Alaina Lester | set Megan Holder | +3.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | SEMO | ST LOU | Serve err | Southeast Mo. St. | +3.2 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | ST LOU | SEMO×3 | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Marin Johnson | +2.6 |
| 40 | 20-20 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Blocked | Tamia Maddox | blk Katherine St. John, Alaina Lester | +4.5 |
| 41 | 21-20 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Ellie Rink | +4.8 |
| 42 | 21-21 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +3.3 |
| 43 | 22-21 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Ellie Burns | +3.7 |
| 44 | 22-22 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +3.8 |
| 45 | 23-22 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Alaina Lester | set Ellie Burns | +4.4 |
| 46 | 23-23 | SEMO | ST LOU | Blocked | Sydney Miller | blk Anna Boatner | +4.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Ellie Burns | +5.5 |
| 48 | 24-24 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +5.5 |
| 49 | 25-24 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Sydney Miller | set Megan Holder | +5.5 |
| 50 | 25-25 | SEMO | ST LOU | Attack err | Lucy Arndt | +5.5 | |
| 51 | 26-25 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Megan Holder | +5.5 |
| 52 | 26-26 | SEMO | ST LOU | Blocked | Lucy Arndt | blk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning | +5.5 |
| 53 | 27-26 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Megan Holder | +5.5 |
| 54 | 27-27 | SEMO | ST LOU | Blocked | Reagan Nelson | blk Anna Boatner | +5.5 |
| 55 | 27-28 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | +8.9 | |
| 56 | 28-28 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Reagan Nelson | +6.3 |
| 57 | 28-29 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +6.3 |
| 58 | 29-29 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +6.3 | |
| 59 | 30-29 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | +8.1 | |
| 60 | 30-30 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +5.5 |
| 61 | 31-30 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +5.5 | |
| 62 | 31-31 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +5.5 |
| 63 | 32-31 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Megan Holder | +5.5 |
| 64 | 33-31 | SEMO | SEMO | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Ellie Rink | +7.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Megan Holder | +1.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Holland Guilliams | +1.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +1.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | ST LOU | SEMO×3 | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Attack err | Tamia Maddox | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Blocked | Kayla Jansen | blk Lucy Arndt | +1.1 |
| 7 | 5-2 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Kayla Jansen | set Jetta Brenning | +0.7 |
| 8 | 6-2 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Megan Holder | +0.8 |
| 9 | 6-3 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +0.7 |
| 10 | 6-4 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +1.3 |
| 11 | 7-4 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Ellie Burns | +0.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +0.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Holland Guilliams | +1.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +0.9 |
| 15 | 9-6 | ST LOU | SEMO×3 | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Ellie Burns | +1.0 |
| 16 | 10-6 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Kill | Sydney Miller | +1.2 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Reagan Nelson | +1.0 |
| 18 | 11-7 | SEMO | ST LOU×5 | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +0.6 |
| 19 | 11-8 | ST LOU | ST LOU×5 | Attack err | Marin Johnson | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | ST LOU | ST LOU×5 | Blocked | Sydney Miller | blk Kayla Jansen | +1.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | ST LOU | ST LOU×5 | Blocked | Marin Johnson | blk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning | +1.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | ST LOU | ST LOU×5 | Attack err | Reagan Nelson | +2.0 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Megan Holder | +1.4 |
| 24 | 12-12 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Kayla Jansen | set Jetta Brenning | +1.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Holland Guilliams | +1.5 |
| 26 | 14-12 | SEMO | SEMO | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Lara Zigic | +2.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Jetta Brenning | set Lara Zigic | +1.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | ST LOU | SEMO | Attack err | Tamia Maddox | +1.4 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Jetta Brenning | set Ellie Rink | +1.4 |
| 30 | 15-15 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Attack err | Katherine St. John | +2.4 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | ST LOU | SEMO | Blocked | Ellie Rink | blk Alaina Lester | +1.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Alaina Lester | +2.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | SEMO | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +1.5 |
| 34 | 17-17 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +2.7 |
| 35 | 17-18 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +3.1 |
| 36 | 18-18 | ST LOU | SEMO×5 | Blocked | Ellie Rink | blk Katherine St. John | +2.1 |
| 37 | 19-18 | SEMO | SEMO×5 | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Tamia Maddox | +3.1 |
| 38 | 20-18 | SEMO | SEMO×5 | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Ellie Burns | +2.8 |
| 39 | 21-18 | SEMO | SEMO×5 | Attack err | Ellie Rink | +2.2 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | SEMO | SEMO×5 | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Holland Guilliams | +1.5 |
| 41 | 22-19 | SEMO | ST LOU | Attack err | Reagan Nelson | +0.6 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Ellie Burns | +0.9 |
| 43 | 23-20 | SEMO | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +0.4 |
| 44 | 23-21 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Blocked | Reagan Nelson | blk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning | +1.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Reagan Nelson | +2.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Megan Holder | +3.0 |
| 47 | 24-23 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +1.7 |
| 48 | 25-23 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Holland Guilliams | +3.8 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ST LOU | SEMO | Attack err | Anna Boatner | +0.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | SEMO | ST LOU | Attack err | Reagan Nelson | +0.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +0.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Holland Guilliams | +0.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Megan Holder | +0.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SEMO | ST LOU | Attack err | Lucy Arndt | +0.6 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Reagan Nelson | +1.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ST LOU | SEMO×3 | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Holland Guilliams | +0.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Kill | Alaina Lester | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Attack err | Kayla Jansen | +0.8 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +0.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Alaina Lester | set Megan Holder | +0.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Jetta Brenning | set Lucy Rankin | +0.6 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ST LOU | SEMO | Attack err | Anna Alexander | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Holland Guilliams | +0.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | SEMO | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Kayla Jansen | set Jetta Brenning | +0.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | +0.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Lucy Rankin | +1.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +1.2 |
| 20 | 10-10 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Ellie Burns | +0.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | SEMO | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Holland Guilliams | +1.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | SEMO | ST LOU | Serve err | Southeast Mo. St. | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | +1.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Ellie Burns | +0.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | +0.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Blocked | Reagan Nelson | blk Anna Boatner, Ellie Rink | +1.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +0.9 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +1.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Megan Holder | +0.9 |
| 30 | 15-15 | SEMO | SEMO | Attack err | Ellie Rink | +1.4 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +1.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Megan Holder | +1.0 |
| 33 | 17-16 | SEMO | SEMO | Attack err | Ellie Rink | +1.5 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | SEMO | ST LOU×4 | Serve err | Southeast Mo. St. | +1.0 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Attack err | Katherine St. John | +1.7 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Attack err | Katherine St. John | +1.8 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Holland Guilliams | +1.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Ellie Burns | +0.9 |
| 39 | 18-21 | SEMO | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | +1.3 |
| 40 | 18-22 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Attack err | Reagan Nelson | +1.4 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | +0.8 |
| 42 | 19-23 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Alaina Lester | set Ellie Burns | +0.2 |
| 43 | 20-23 | SEMO | SEMO | Blocked | Anna Alexander | blk Katherine St. John, Sydney Miller | +0.6 |
| 44 | 20-24 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | +0.8 |
| 45 | 20-25 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Blocked | Katherine St. John | blk Anna Boatner, Anna Alexander | +0.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Lara Zigic | +1.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Megan Holder | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +1.8 |
| 4 | 1-3 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Reagan Nelson | +2.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | SEMO | SEMO | Blocked | Anna Boatner | blk Alaina Lester | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | SEMO | ST LOU | Attack err | Alaina Lester | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | ST LOU | SEMO×6 | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Anna Alexander | +2.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Kill | Alaina Lester | +2.4 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Attack err | Tea Kalajdzic | +2.1 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Blocked | Tea Kalajdzic | blk Alaina Lester, Lucy Arndt | +1.8 |
| 13 | 9-4 | SEMO | SEMO×6 | Attack err | Kayla Jansen | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | SEMO | ST LOU | Serve err | Southeast Mo. St. | +0.9 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | ST LOU | SEMO×4 | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.0 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | SEMO | SEMO×4 | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Ellie Burns | +1.2 |
| 17 | 12-5 | SEMO | SEMO×4 | Ace | Southeast Mo. St. | aced Anna Alexander | +0.9 |
| 18 | 13-5 | SEMO | SEMO×4 | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Ellie Burns | +0.6 |
| 19 | 13-6 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Jetta Brenning | set Anna Alexander | +0.3 |
| 20 | 13-7 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Lucy Rankin | +0.6 |
| 21 | 14-7 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Reagan Nelson | set Lucy Arndt | +0.6 |
| 22 | 14-8 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | +0.4 |
| 23 | 15-8 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Ellie Burns | +0.6 |
| 24 | 15-9 | SEMO | ST LOU | Serve err | Southeast Mo. St. | +0.4 | |
| 25 | 16-9 | ST LOU | SEMO×3 | Kill | Marin Johnson | set Megan Holder | +0.5 |
| 26 | 17-9 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Attack err | Tea Kalajdzic | +0.5 | |
| 27 | 18-9 | SEMO | SEMO×3 | Blocked | Anna Boatner | blk Jacey Young | +0.3 |
| 28 | 18-10 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Ellie Rink | +0.1 |
| 29 | 19-10 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +0.2 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | SEMO | ST LOU | Attack err | Lucy Arndt | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 20-11 | ST LOU | SEMO | Serve err | Saint Louis | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +0.1 |
| 33 | 21-12 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Ellie Burns | +0.1 |
| 34 | 21-13 | SEMO | ST LOU | Blocked | Alaina Lester | blk Kayla Jansen | · |
| 35 | 22-13 | ST LOU | SEMO | Attack err | Anna Alexander | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 22-14 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | · |
| 37 | 23-14 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Katherine St. John | set Ellie Burns | · |
| 38 | 23-15 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | · |
| 39 | 23-16 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | ST LOU | SEMO | Attack err | Tea Kalajdzic | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | SEMO | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Alexander | set Jetta Brenning | · |
| 42 | 25-17 | ST LOU | SEMO | Kill | Lucy Arndt | set Reagan Nelson | · |
Score shown after each rally, Southeast Mo. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).