Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

Southeast Mo. St. def. Saint Louis 3–1

Southeast Mo. St. beat Saint Louis 3-1 (33-31, 25-23, 20-25, 25-17) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Southeast Mo. St.'s Reagan Nelson led with 17 kills, and Holland Guilliams added 24 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
SEMO332520253
ST LOU312325171

Win probability

Saint Louis above 50 · Southeast Mo. St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.9% ST LOUrally 199 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.9% to Saint Louis — set 1, SEMO 27-28 ST LOU. Kill by Tamia Maddox. ST LOU win probability 26% → 35%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SEMO 76.1%23.9% ST LOU

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0
27.9%
3-1
29.0%
3-2
19.1%

Saint Louis wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.1%
3-2
11.6%
SEMO break %
43.8% vs this opp
ST LOU break %
38.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tamia MaddoxKill+8.9%

    Kill by Tamia Maddox

    Set 1 · SEMO 27-28 ST LOU · ST LOU 26% → 35%

  2. 02
    Reagan NelsonKill+8.1%

    Kill by Reagan Nelson

    Set 1 · SEMO 30-29 ST LOU · SEMO 72% → 80%

  3. 03
    Southeast Mo. St.Ace+7.1%

    Southeast Mo. St. ace on Ellie Rink

    Set 1 · SEMO 33-31 ST LOU · SEMO 80% → 87%

  4. 04

    Kill by Katherine St. John (set by Reagan Nelson)

    Set 1 · SEMO 28-28 ST LOU · SEMO 65% → 72%

  5. 05
    Tea KalajdzicKill+6.3%

    Kill by Tea Kalajdzic (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 1 · SEMO 28-29 ST LOU · ST LOU 28% → 35%

  6. 06
    Saint LouisService error+6.3%

    Saint Louis service error

    Set 1 · SEMO 29-29 ST LOU · SEMO 65% → 72%

  7. 07
    Reagan NelsonKill+5.5%

    Kill by Reagan Nelson (set by Ellie Burns)

    Set 1 · SEMO 24-23 ST LOU · SEMO 74% → 80%

  8. 08
    Ellie RinkKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ellie Rink (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 1 · SEMO 24-24 ST LOU · ST LOU 20% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417951.1573106300018
414537.243110151111.516.5
47316.2501001022310
48231.194100100008
4235-.20001120010.53.5
4001.00020011400000
411425.2800001022314
4105.20019321400004
4000–9212420002
3000–000000000
2000–001100000
1000–000001011
Team totals6026171.1995486796669103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412647.12822216202115
48314.35700020233.511.5
49531.12901130010.510.5
45314.143000302449
44013.3084300100031.55.5
27424.125011330008
412325.36011332010.513.5
4000–2142010001
4000–400800000
3000–000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5724169.195526116884141196

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SEMO · ST LOU 5

Set 1

33-31

Longest run 6 SEMOST LOU 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 SEMOST LOU 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 SEMOST LOU 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 6 SEMOST LOU 2

Bars above the line = Saint Louis leads, below = Southeast Mo. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southeast Mo. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
39%7/18
2
79%11/14
31%5/16
3
56%9/16
31%4/13
4
69%9/13
53%10/19
5
64%9/14
63%15/24
6
39%9/23
25%3/12
All
61%59/97
43%44/102

Saint Louis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%12/14
50%10/20
2
56%10/18
20%3/15
3
64%9/14
38%6/16
4
39%9/23
31%4/13
5
53%9/17
40%6/15
6
56%9/16
50%9/18
All
57%58/102
39%38/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#SEMO-ST LOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.3
21-1SEMOST LOUAttack errReagan Nelson+1.4
32-1ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.3
43-1SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.8
53-2SEMOST LOU×4Attack errSydney Miller+1.3
63-3ST LOUST LOU×4KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.0
73-4ST LOUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.3
83-5ST LOUST LOU×4Bad setMegan Holder+2.4
94-5ST LOUSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+1.5
104-6SEMOST LOU×3Serve errSoutheast Mo. St.+1.8
114-7ST LOUST LOU×3KillAnna Boatner+2.5
124-8ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Lucy Rankin+2.5
135-8ST LOUSEMO×6KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.5
146-8SEMOSEMO×6Attack errEllie Rink+2.3
157-8SEMOSEMO×6KillKatherine St. Johnset Ellie Burns+2.4
168-8SEMOSEMO×6Attack errTamia Maddox+2.5
179-8SEMOSEMO×6AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Tamia Maddox+2.4
1810-8SEMOSEMO×6KillAlaina Lesterset Ellie Burns+2.2
1910-9SEMOST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.5
2011-9ST LOUSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Ellie Burns+1.6
2111-10SEMOST LOU×4Attack errLucy Arndt+1.6
2211-11ST LOUST LOU×4AceSaint Louisaced Lucy Arndt+2.6
2311-12ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedAlaina Lesterblk Ellie Rink, Anna Boatner+2.9
2411-13ST LOUST LOU×4KillAnna Boatner+3.1
2512-13ST LOUSEMO×3KillEllie Burnsset Holland Guilliams+1.9
2613-13SEMOSEMO×3AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Tamia Maddox+3.0
2714-13SEMOSEMO×3BlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Katherine St. John+2.9
2814-14SEMOST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.1
2914-15ST LOUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+3.4
3014-16ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Tea Kalajdzic, Kayla Jansen+3.6
3115-16ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+2.2
3215-17SEMOST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.7
3316-17ST LOUSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+2.3
3416-18SEMOST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.8
3516-19ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Holland Guilliams+3.8
3617-19ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+2.0
3718-19SEMOSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+3.7
3818-20SEMOST LOUServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+3.2
3919-20ST LOUSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Marin Johnson+2.6
4020-20SEMOSEMO×3BlockedTamia Maddoxblk Katherine St. John, Alaina Lester+4.5
4121-20SEMOSEMO×3AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Ellie Rink+4.8
4221-21SEMOST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+3.3
4322-21ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+3.7
4422-22SEMOST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.8
4523-22ST LOUSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Ellie Burns+4.4
4623-23SEMOST LOUBlockedSydney Millerblk Anna Boatner+4.3
4724-23ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+5.5
4824-24SEMOST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+5.5
4925-24ST LOUSEMOKillSydney Millerset Megan Holder+5.5
5025-25SEMOST LOUAttack errLucy Arndt+5.5
5126-25ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+5.5
5226-26SEMOST LOUBlockedLucy Arndtblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+5.5
5327-26ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+5.5
5427-27SEMOST LOUBlockedReagan Nelsonblk Anna Boatner+5.5
5527-28ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddox+8.9
5628-28ST LOUSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Reagan Nelson+6.3
5728-29SEMOST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+6.3
5829-29ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+6.3
5930-29SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelson+8.1
6030-30SEMOST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+5.5
6131-30ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+5.5
6231-31SEMOST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+5.5
6332-31ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+5.5
6433-31SEMOSEMOAceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Ellie Rink+7.1
Set 2
11-0SEMOSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+1.5
22-0SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Holland Guilliams+1.4
32-1SEMOST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.0
43-1ST LOUSEMO×3Serve errSaint Louis+1.0
54-1SEMOSEMO×3Attack errTamia Maddox+1.3
65-1SEMOSEMO×3BlockedKayla Jansenblk Lucy Arndt+1.1
75-2SEMOST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+0.7
86-2ST LOUSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+0.8
96-3SEMOST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.7
106-4ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.3
117-4ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.9
127-5SEMOST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+0.9
138-5ST LOUSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Holland Guilliams+1.0
148-6SEMOST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+0.9
159-6ST LOUSEMO×3KillKatherine St. Johnset Ellie Burns+1.0
1610-6SEMOSEMO×3KillSydney Miller+1.2
1711-6SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Reagan Nelson+1.0
1811-7SEMOST LOU×5KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.6
1911-8ST LOUST LOU×5Attack errMarin Johnson+1.1
2011-9ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedSydney Millerblk Kayla Jansen+1.4
2111-10ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedMarin Johnsonblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+1.7
2211-11ST LOUST LOU×5Attack errReagan Nelson+2.0
2312-11ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.4
2412-12SEMOST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.5
2513-12ST LOUSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Holland Guilliams+1.5
2614-12SEMOSEMOAceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Lara Zigic+2.0
2714-13SEMOST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+1.4
2815-13ST LOUSEMOAttack errTamia Maddox+1.4
2915-14SEMOST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Ellie Rink+1.4
3015-15ST LOUST LOUAttack errKatherine St. John+2.4
3116-15ST LOUSEMOBlockedEllie Rinkblk Alaina Lester+1.7
3217-15SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Alaina Lester+2.3
3317-16SEMOST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.5
3417-17ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.7
3517-18ST LOUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.1
3618-18ST LOUSEMO×5BlockedEllie Rinkblk Katherine St. John+2.1
3719-18SEMOSEMO×5AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Tamia Maddox+3.1
3820-18SEMOSEMO×5KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+2.8
3921-18SEMOSEMO×5Attack errEllie Rink+2.2
4022-18SEMOSEMO×5KillReagan Nelsonset Holland Guilliams+1.5
4122-19SEMOST LOUAttack errReagan Nelson+0.6
4223-19ST LOUSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Ellie Burns+0.9
4323-20SEMOST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+0.4
4423-21ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+1.3
4523-22ST LOUST LOU×3AceSaint Louisaced Reagan Nelson+2.6
4624-22ST LOUSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+3.0
4724-23SEMOST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.7
4825-23ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Holland Guilliams+3.8
Set 3
11-0ST LOUSEMOAttack errAnna Boatner+0.6
21-1SEMOST LOUAttack errReagan Nelson+0.6
31-2ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+0.9
42-2ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Holland Guilliams+0.6
53-2SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+0.9
63-3SEMOST LOUAttack errLucy Arndt+0.6
73-4ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Reagan Nelson+1.0
84-4ST LOUSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Holland Guilliams+0.6
95-4SEMOSEMO×3KillAlaina Lester+0.9
106-4SEMOSEMO×3Attack errKayla Jansen+0.8
116-5SEMOST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.6
127-5ST LOUSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+0.6
137-6SEMOST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Lucy Rankin+0.6
148-6ST LOUSEMOAttack errAnna Alexander+0.6
159-6SEMOSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Holland Guilliams+0.8
169-7SEMOST LOU×4KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+0.5
179-8ST LOUST LOU×4KillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning+0.9
189-9ST LOUST LOU×4KillAnna Alexanderset Lucy Rankin+1.0
199-10ST LOUST LOU×4KillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.2
2010-10ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+0.8
2111-10SEMOSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Holland Guilliams+1.1
2211-11SEMOST LOUServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.8
2311-12ST LOUST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning+1.2
2412-12ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.8
2512-13SEMOST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning+0.9
2612-14ST LOUST LOUBlockedReagan Nelsonblk Anna Boatner, Ellie Rink+1.4
2713-14ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+0.9
2813-15SEMOST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.0
2914-15ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.9
3015-15SEMOSEMOAttack errEllie Rink+1.4
3115-16SEMOST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.1
3216-16ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.0
3317-16SEMOSEMOAttack errEllie Rink+1.5
3417-17SEMOST LOU×4Serve errSoutheast Mo. St.+1.0
3517-18ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errKatherine St. John+1.7
3617-19ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errKatherine St. John+1.8
3717-20ST LOUST LOU×4AceSaint Louisaced Holland Guilliams+1.7
3818-20ST LOUSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Ellie Burns+0.9
3918-21SEMOST LOU×3KillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning+1.3
4018-22ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errReagan Nelson+1.4
4118-23ST LOUST LOU×3KillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning+0.8
4219-23ST LOUSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Ellie Burns+0.2
4320-23SEMOSEMOBlockedAnna Alexanderblk Katherine St. John, Sydney Miller+0.6
4420-24SEMOST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning+0.8
4520-25ST LOUST LOUBlockedKatherine St. Johnblk Anna Boatner, Anna Alexander+0.4
Set 4
10-1SEMOST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Lara Zigic+1.8
21-1ST LOUSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+1.7
31-2SEMOST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.8
41-3ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Reagan Nelson+2.7
52-3ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+1.8
63-3SEMOSEMOBlockedAnna Boatnerblk Alaina Lester+2.6
73-4SEMOST LOUAttack errAlaina Lester+1.9
84-4ST LOUSEMO×6Serve errSaint Louis+1.8
95-4SEMOSEMO×6AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Anna Alexander+2.5
106-4SEMOSEMO×6KillAlaina Lester+2.4
117-4SEMOSEMO×6Attack errTea Kalajdzic+2.1
128-4SEMOSEMO×6BlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Alaina Lester, Lucy Arndt+1.8
139-4SEMOSEMO×6Attack errKayla Jansen+1.5
149-5SEMOST LOUServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.9
1510-5ST LOUSEMO×4Serve errSaint Louis+1.0
1611-5SEMOSEMO×4KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.2
1712-5SEMOSEMO×4AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Anna Alexander+0.9
1813-5SEMOSEMO×4KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+0.6
1913-6SEMOST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Anna Alexander+0.3
2013-7ST LOUST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Lucy Rankin+0.6
2114-7ST LOUSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Lucy Arndt+0.6
2214-8SEMOST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning+0.4
2315-8ST LOUSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Ellie Burns+0.6
2415-9SEMOST LOUServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.4
2516-9ST LOUSEMO×3KillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+0.5
2617-9SEMOSEMO×3Attack errTea Kalajdzic+0.5
2718-9SEMOSEMO×3BlockedAnna Boatnerblk Jacey Young+0.3
2818-10SEMOST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Ellie Rink+0.1
2919-10ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+0.2
3019-11SEMOST LOUAttack errLucy Arndt+0.1
3120-11ST LOUSEMOServe errSaint Louis+0.1
3220-12SEMOST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+0.1
3321-12ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.1
3421-13SEMOST LOUBlockedAlaina Lesterblk Kayla Jansen·
3522-13ST LOUSEMOAttack errAnna Alexander+0.1
3622-14SEMOST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning·
3723-14ST LOUSEMOKillKatherine St. Johnset Ellie Burns·
3823-15SEMOST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning·
3923-16ST LOUST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning·
4024-16ST LOUSEMOAttack errTea Kalajdzic+0.1
4124-17SEMOST LOUKillAnna Alexanderset Jetta Brenning·
4225-17ST LOUSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Reagan Nelson·

Score shown after each rally, Southeast Mo. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).