Southeast Mo. State def. Kansas City 3-0 Volleyball (Sep 19)

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

3:0

Southeast Mo. St. won at Kansas City 3-0 (25-16, 25-19, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Southeast Mo. St.'s Reagan Nelson led with 22 kills, and Holland Guilliams added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SEMO	25	25	25	3
KC	16	19	15	0

Win probability

Kansas City above 50 · Southeast Mo. St. below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Kansas City — set 2, SEMO 10-13 KC. Kill by Emry Brown. KC win probability 13% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SEMO 83.0%17.0% KC

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0

34.7%

3-1

31.0%

3-2

17.3%

Kansas City wins

3-0

2.6%

3-1

5.5%

3-2

8.8%

SEMO break %: 46.8% vs this opp
KC break %: 39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Emry BrownKill+1.9%
Kill by Emry Brown
Set 2 · SEMO 10-13 KC · KC 13% → 15%
02
Alaina LesterKill+1.8%
Kill by Alaina Lester (set by Ellie Burns)
Set 2 · SEMO 14-14 KC · SEMO 88% → 90%
03
Mia WeaverKill+1.8%
Kill by Mia Weaver (set by Savy Repinski)
Set 2 · SEMO 10-12 KC · KC 11% → 13%
04
Southeast Mo. St.Ace+1.8%
Southeast Mo. St. ace on Megan Lawson
Set 2 · SEMO 13-14 KC · SEMO 86% → 88%
05
Alaina LesterBlock+1.8%
Stella Smith stuffed by Alaina Lester
Set 2 · SEMO 15-14 KC · SEMO 90% → 91%
06
Mila Zoric&Ryanne WattreeBlock+1.7%
Reagan Nelson stuffed by Mila Zoric & Ryanne Wattree
Set 2 · SEMO 6-9 KC · KC 12% → 14%
07
Mila ZoricKill+1.6%
Kill by Mila Zoric (set by Savy Repinski)
Set 1 · SEMO 4-4 KC · KC 15% → 17%
08
Savy RepinskiBad set+1.6%
Bad set by Savy Repinski
Set 2 · SEMO 16-14 KC · SEMO 91% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Southeast Mo. St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Reagan NelsonOH	3	22	4	40	.450	1	1	1	10	0	0	0	23
2Lucy ArndtOH	3	12	1	21	.524	1	0	0	3	0	2	1	13
24Alaina LesterMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	1	1	1	5	3.5	9.5
4Marin JohnsonOH	3	3	3	18	.000	0	0	0	2	1	2	2	5
19Jacey YoungMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	2	4	0	2	1	3
11Megan HolderS	3	1	0	2	.500	21	0	0	5	0	0	0	1
1Nina SchuberthL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	2	4	0	0	0	2
6Ellie BurnsS	3	0	0	2	.000	16	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
8Holland GuilliamsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	16	0	0	0	0
5Alayna ChristnerOH	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
22Katherine St. JohnOH	1	1	2	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
14Harper HighfillL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	12	109	.321	46	3	8	51	2	14	9	75

Kansas Cityhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ryanne WattreeOH	3	10	8	28	.071	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
9Emry BrownOH	3	7	5	23	.087	0	0	8	0	0	0	7
14Mila ZoricMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
20Mia WeaverOH	3	2	1	10	.100	0	2	8	0	2	1	3
11Stella SmithMB	3	1	1	7	.000	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	2.5
10Coco BuschhornS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	1	3	0	0	0	0
13Clarke HenryOH	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Natalie PtacekOH	3	1	1	7	.000	0	0	3	0	2	1	2
22Savy RepinskiS	3	0	1	2	-.500	9	0	4	0	0	0	0
12Chloe KaminskiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	12	2	0	0	0
6Megan LawsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
19Gizem ErogluMB	1	1	0	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		29	19	103	.097	27	4	43	3	12	6	50

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SEMO · KC 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 SEMOKC 2

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 SEMOKC 4

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 3 SEMOKC 2

Bars above the line = Kansas City leads, below = Southeast Mo. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southeast Mo. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	46%6/13
2	88%7/8	56%9/16
3	70%7/10	42%5/12
4	100%6/6	33%3/9
5	86%6/7	63%10/16
6	75%6/8	25%2/8
All	78%40/51	47%35/74

Kansas City

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	42%5/12
2	50%7/14	11%1/9
3	67%6/9	30%3/10
4	46%6/13	14%1/7
5	50%6/12	0%0/6
6	75%6/8	14%1/7
All	53%39/74	22%11/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	SEMO-KC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Holland Guilliams	+1.4
2	1-1	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.2
3	2-1	KC	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Lucy Arndt	+1.1
4	2-2	SEMO	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Ryanne Wattree	+1.2
5	3-2	KC	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+1.1
6	4-2	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Emry Brown	blk Alaina Lester, Marin Johnson	+1.4
7	4-3	SEMO	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Chloe Kaminski	+1.1
8	4-4	KC	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Savy Repinski	+1.6
9	5-4	KC	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+1.2
10	5-5	SEMO	KC	Bad set	Ellie Burns		+1.3
11	6-5	KC	SEMO×5	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Ellie Burns	+1.2
12	7-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+1.5
13	8-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth	+1.3
14	9-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Savy Repinski		+1.1
15	10-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek		+0.9
16	10-6	SEMO	KC	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Mila Zoric, Natalie Ptacek	+0.6
17	10-7	KC	KC	Blocked	Alaina Lester	blk Stella Smith, Mia Weaver	+1.1
18	11-7	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth	+0.9
19	11-8	SEMO	KC	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+0.8
20	12-8	KC	SEMO	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.9
21	12-9	SEMO	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.9
22	13-9	KC	SEMO×5	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.9
23	14-9	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Emry Brown		+1.0
24	15-9	SEMO	SEMO×5	Bad set	Coco Buschhorn		+0.7
25	16-9	SEMO	SEMO×5	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.5
26	17-9	SEMO	SEMO×5	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.3
27	17-10	SEMO	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.2
28	17-11	KC	KC	Attack err	Marin Johnson		+0.3
29	18-11	KC	SEMO	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		+0.3
30	19-11	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder	+0.3
31	19-12	SEMO	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.1
32	20-12	KC	SEMO×3	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder	+0.2
33	21-12	SEMO	SEMO×3	Blocked	Emry Brown	blk Alaina Lester, Katherine St. John	+0.1
34	22-12	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	·
35	22-13	SEMO	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	·
36	23-13	KC	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Ellie Burns	·
37	23-14	SEMO	KC	Attack err	Katherine St. John		·
38	24-14	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	·
39	24-15	SEMO	KC	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		·
40	24-16	KC	KC	Blocked	Katherine St. John	blk Stella Smith, Clarke Henry	·
41	25-16	KC	SEMO	Blocked	Clarke Henry	blk Jacey Young, Katherine St. John	·
Set 2
1	1-0	KC	SEMO	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		+0.8
2	1-1	SEMO	KC	Attack err	Jacey Young		+0.9
3	2-1	KC	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+0.8
4	2-2	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.9
5	3-2	KC	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Holland Guilliams	+0.8
6	3-3	SEMO	KC	Attack err	Lucy Arndt		+0.9
7	4-3	KC	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.9
8	4-4	SEMO	KC	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Stella Smith, Natalie Ptacek	+0.9
9	5-4	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+0.9
10	5-5	SEMO	KC	Kill	Clarke Henry	set Savy Repinski	+1.0
11	6-5	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+0.9
12	6-6	SEMO	KC×4	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.0
13	6-7	KC	KC×4	Attack err	Reagan Nelson		+1.4
14	6-8	KC	KC×4	Attack err	Marin Johnson		+1.6
15	6-9	KC	KC×4	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Mila Zoric, Ryanne Wattree	+1.7
16	7-9	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+1.1
17	8-9	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Ryanne Wattree	blk Lucy Arndt, Jacey Young	+1.5
18	8-10	SEMO	KC	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.3
19	9-10	KC	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+1.1
20	10-10	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+1.5
21	10-11	SEMO	KC×3	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.3
22	10-12	KC	KC×3	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+1.8
23	10-13	KC	KC×3	Kill	Emry Brown		+1.9
24	11-13	KC	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder	+1.2
25	11-14	SEMO	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+1.5
26	12-14	KC	SEMO×5	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+1.2
27	13-14	SEMO	SEMO×5	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Megan Lawson	+1.8
28	14-14	SEMO	SEMO×5	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Ellie Burns	+1.8
29	15-14	SEMO	SEMO×5	Blocked	Stella Smith	blk Alaina Lester	+1.8
30	16-14	SEMO	SEMO×5	Bad set	Savy Repinski		+1.6
31	16-15	SEMO	KC	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.2
32	17-15	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+1.3
33	17-16	SEMO	KC	Kill	Clarke Henry	set Savy Repinski	+1.2
34	18-16	KC	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Ellie Burns	+1.3
35	18-17	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.3
36	19-17	KC	SEMO×4	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth	+1.4
37	20-17	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Megan Holder	set Reagan Nelson	+1.6
38	21-17	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		+1.1
39	22-17	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+0.6
40	22-18	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.3
41	23-18	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+0.4
42	24-18	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.2
43	24-19	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	·
44	25-19	KC	SEMO	Blocked	Emry Brown	blk Marin Johnson, Alaina Lester	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+0.5
2	2-0	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		+0.5
3	2-1	SEMO	KC	Blocked	Marin Johnson	blk Mia Weaver, Mila Zoric	+0.4
4	3-1	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+0.4
5	4-1	SEMO	SEMO	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Chloe Kaminski	+0.4
6	4-2	SEMO	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.3
7	5-2	KC	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.3
8	6-2	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Ryanne Wattree	blk Alaina Lester, Lucy Arndt	+0.4
9	6-3	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.3
10	7-3	KC	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder	+0.3
11	7-4	SEMO	KC	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Savy Repinski	+0.3
12	8-4	KC	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.3
13	8-5	SEMO	KC	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+0.3
14	9-5	KC	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+0.3
15	10-5	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+0.3
16	11-5	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Clarke Henry		+0.3
17	11-6	SEMO	KC	Kill	Clarke Henry	set Chloe Kaminski	+0.2
18	11-7	KC	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.3
19	12-7	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+0.3
20	13-7	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth	+0.3
21	13-8	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.2
22	13-9	KC	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Chloe Kaminski	+0.3
23	14-9	KC	SEMO	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.3
24	14-10	SEMO	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.2
25	15-10	KC	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Megan Holder	+0.3
26	15-11	SEMO	KC	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+0.2
27	16-11	KC	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.3
28	17-11	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Emry Brown	blk Alaina Lester, Alayna Christner	+0.3
29	17-12	SEMO	KC	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+0.1
30	18-12	KC	SEMO×3	Serve err	Kansas City		+0.2
31	19-12	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Holland Guilliams	+0.1
32	20-12	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Chloe Kaminski	+0.1
33	20-13	SEMO	KC	Kill	Gizem Eroglu	set Savy Repinski	·
34	21-13	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	·
35	21-14	SEMO	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Savy Repinski	·
36	22-14	KC	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Holland Guilliams	·
37	23-14	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		·
38	24-14	SEMO	SEMO×3	Blocked	Ryanne Wattree	blk Marin Johnson	·
39	24-15	SEMO	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	·
40	25-15	KC	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	·

Score shown after each rally, Southeast Mo. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southeast Mo. St. def. Kansas City 3–0