Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

North Florida def. Furman 3–1

North Florida beat Furman 3-1 (21-25, 25-20, 25-18, 25-18) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. North Florida's Kaili Doctor led with 28 kills, and Emma Pohlmann added 18 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set1234Sets
FURMAN252018181
NO FLA212525253

Win probability

North Florida above 50 · Furman below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.9% FURMANrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Furman — set 1, FURMAN 22-20 NO FLA. Attack error by Kaili Doctor. NO FLA win probability 54% → 48%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FURMAN 40.7%59.3% NO FLA

Furman wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.8%

North Florida wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.9%
FURMAN break %
41.6% vs this opp
NO FLA break %
43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kaili DoctorAttack error+5.9%

    Attack error by Kaili Doctor

    Set 1 · FURMAN 22-20 NO FLA · FURMAN 46% → 52%

  2. 02
    Kaili DoctorKill+5.3%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 3 · FURMAN 16-18 NO FLA · NO FLA 61% → 67%

  3. 03
    Ashtan DodsonAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Ashtan Dodson

    Set 3 · FURMAN 15-16 NO FLA · NO FLA 56% → 61%

  4. 04
    Kaili DoctorKill+5.1%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 1 · FURMAN 20-20 NO FLA · NO FLA 53% → 58%

  5. 05
    Ashley SteinAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Ashley Stein

    Set 3 · FURMAN 15-15 NO FLA · NO FLA 51% → 56%

  6. 06
    Dakota SpurrierAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Dakota Spurrier

    Set 1 · FURMAN 23-20 NO FLA · FURMAN 52% → 57%

  7. 07
    Kaili DoctorKill+4.7%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 3 · FURMAN 16-19 NO FLA · NO FLA 67% → 72%

  8. 08
    Kaili DoctorKill+4.6%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor

    Set 3 · FURMAN 15-14 NO FLA · NO FLA 47% → 51%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Furmanaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410328.25001051010.511.5
410536.1390002002111
48115.46700110031.59.5
48227.2221031610008
4418.375022100006
4001.0001901700000
4000–5301500003
4001.0001900500000
35316.125000200005
2319.222000000003
2036-.500000110000
2003.000001210000
Team totals4819150.193446857506381
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
428449.49000180010.528.5
415649.18410013200015
44110.300000101226
4307.4295020140010.55.5
4439.111102200215
4115.000000920001
4011-1.0005321800003
4000–1011010000
37116.375000100218
3000–000000000
Team totals6217146.308585676618596

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 FURMAN · NO FLA 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 FURMANNO FLA 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 FURMANNO FLA 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 FURMANNO FLA 5

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 FURMANNO FLA 5

Bars above the line = North Florida leads, below = Furman leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
31%4/13
2
73%8/11
18%2/11
3
53%8/15
60%12/20
4
62%8/13
27%3/11
5
44%8/18
47%7/15
6
41%7/17
33%4/12
All
52%49/95
39%32/82

North Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
60%12/20
2
60%9/15
31%4/13
3
53%8/15
43%6/14
4
53%8/15
47%7/15
5
73%8/11
43%6/14
6
57%8/14
58%11/19
All
61%50/82
48%46/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#FURMAN-NO FLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.4
20-2NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Floridaaced Ashtan Dodson+2.3
30-3NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+2.2
41-3NO FLAFURMANAttack errYarimar Francis Garay+1.5
51-4FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.6
62-4NO FLAFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.6
72-5FURMANNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+1.7
83-5NO FLAFURMANBlockedDakota Spurrierblk Kacie Moore, Izzy Castelloe+1.6
94-5FURMANFURMANBad setLeah McDonald+2.4
104-6FURMANNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.9
115-6NO FLAFURMAN×4KillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
126-6FURMANFURMAN×4KillKacie Mooreset Kaili Doctor+2.7
137-6FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errDakota Spurrier+2.8
148-6FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errKaili Doctor+2.9
158-7FURMANNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+2.0
168-8NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.9
179-8NO FLAFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+2.2
189-9FURMANNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.2
1910-9NO FLAFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
2010-10FURMANNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.2
2110-11NO FLANO FLA×3KillSofia Dawsonset Yarimar Francis Garay+3.1
2210-12NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.0
2311-12NO FLAFURMANServe errNorth Florida+2.1
2411-13FURMANNO FLAServe errFurman+2.3
2512-13NO FLAFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+2.2
2613-13FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurman+3.4
2714-13FURMANFURMAN×4Bad setSofia Dawson+3.6
2815-13FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurmanaced Dakota Spurrier+3.7
2915-14FURMANNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.5
3015-15NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.7
3116-15NO FLAFURMANAttack errYarimar Francis Garay+3.0
3216-16FURMANNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.9
3317-16NO FLAFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+3.1
3418-16FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Kaili Doctor+4.3
3519-16FURMANFURMAN×3KillLindsay Walchset Morgan Baldridge+3.9
3619-17FURMANNO FLAServe errFurman+2.3
3719-18NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+4.0
3820-18NO FLAFURMANKillLindsay Walchset Morgan Baldridge+3.6
3920-19FURMANNO FLAServe errFurman+3.1
4020-20NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+5.1
4121-20NO FLAFURMAN×4KillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+4.3
4222-20FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errKaili Doctor+5.9
4323-20FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errDakota Spurrier+4.7
4424-20FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+2.8
4524-21FURMANNO FLAServe errFurman+0.6
4625-21NO FLAFURMANServe errNorth Florida+1.4
Set 2
10-1FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.9
21-1NO FLAFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+2.0
31-2FURMANNO FLAServe errFurman+2.0
41-3NO FLANO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.6
52-3NO FLAFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.9
63-3FURMANFURMANBlockedSasha Bespalyblk Amber Watson, Kacie Moore+2.8
73-4FURMANNO FLAServe errFurman+2.1
84-4NO FLAFURMANServe errNorth Florida+2.1
94-5FURMANNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.1
104-6NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.8
114-7NO FLANO FLA×3BlockedAmber Watsonblk Haleina Bowers, Sofia Dawson+2.7
125-7NO FLAFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
135-8FURMANNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.0
145-9NO FLANO FLABad setMorgan Baldridge+2.4
156-9NO FLAFURMANKillLindsay Walchset Morgan Baldridge+1.6
167-9FURMANFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Kennedy Seekford+2.6
177-10FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.1
187-11NO FLANO FLAAttack errLindsay Walch+2.5
198-11NO FLAFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.6
209-11FURMANFURMANAttack errYarimar Francis Garay+2.7
219-12FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.2
229-13NO FLANO FLAAttack errIzzy Castelloe+2.7
2310-13NO FLAFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+1.7
2410-14FURMANNO FLAKillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+2.0
2511-14NO FLAFURMAN×4KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.7
2612-14FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurmanaced Leah McDonald+2.8
2713-14FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurmanaced Leah McDonald+3.4
2814-14FURMANFURMAN×4KillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+3.9
2914-15FURMANNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.0
3015-15NO FLAFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+3.0
3115-16FURMANNO FLAKillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+3.2
3216-16NO FLAFURMANAttack errLeah McDonald+3.2
3316-17FURMANNO FLA×4Attack errAshtan Dodson+3.3
3416-18NO FLANO FLA×4KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+4.4
3516-19NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errKacie Moore+3.9
3616-20NO FLANO FLA×4BlockedAshley Steinblk Kaili Doctor, Haleina Bowers+3.0
3717-20NO FLAFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.6
3818-20FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Dakota Spurrier+3.1
3918-21FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.1
4018-22NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.0
4119-22NO FLAFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
4219-23FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.1
4319-24NO FLANO FLAAceNorth Floridaaced Brooke Scheffler+1.3
4420-24NO FLAFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Ashtan Dodson+0.2
4520-25FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+0.5
Set 3
10-1NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.2
20-2NO FLANO FLABlockedAmber Watsonblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Sasha Bespaly+3.1
31-2NO FLAFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+2.3
42-2FURMANFURMAN×3Bad setSofia Dawson+3.3
53-2FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+3.5
63-3FURMANNO FLAKillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+2.5
74-3NO FLAFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.6
85-3FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errDakota Spurrier+3.6
96-3FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errDakota Spurrier+3.6
106-4FURMANNO FLAKillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+2.4
117-4NO FLAFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+2.7
127-5FURMANNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.4
138-5NO FLAFURMANAttack errHaleina Bowers+2.8
148-6FURMANNO FLAKillSofia Dawsonset Julianna Santiago+2.5
159-6NO FLAFURMANAttack errKaili Doctor+2.8
1610-6FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+3.6
1710-7FURMANNO FLAAttack errIzzy Castelloe+2.3
1811-7NO FLAFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+2.7
1911-8FURMANNO FLAServe errFurman+2.3
2012-8NO FLAFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+2.8
2112-9FURMANNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.3
2213-9NO FLAFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+2.8
2314-9FURMANFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+3.3
2414-10FURMANNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.9
2514-11NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.2
2614-12NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errAmber Watson+3.8
2715-12NO FLAFURMANServe errNorth Florida+3.4
2815-13FURMANNO FLA×4KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.9
2915-14NO FLANO FLA×4KillKaili Doctor+4.6
3015-15NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errAshley Stein+5.0
3115-16NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errAshtan Dodson+5.2
3216-16NO FLAFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+3.9
3316-17FURMANNO FLA×3BlockedRebekah Buchholzblk Haleina Bowers+4.1
3416-18NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+5.3
3516-19NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+4.7
3617-19NO FLAFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Kennedy Seekford+2.8
3717-20FURMANNO FLA×5KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+3.6
3817-21NO FLANO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.7
3917-22NO FLANO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.3
4017-23NO FLANO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Dakota Spurrier+1.1
4117-24NO FLANO FLA×5AceNorth Floridaaced Lauren Haynes+0.4
4218-24NO FLAFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Emily Navarro·
4318-25FURMANNO FLABlockedLauren Haynesblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Sasha Bespaly+0.1
Set 4
10-1FURMANNO FLA×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+2.2
20-2NO FLANO FLA×3KillSasha Bespaly+2.9
30-3NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.8
41-3NO FLAFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Emily Navarro+1.9
51-4FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.1
62-4NO FLAFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Emily Navarro+2.0
73-4FURMANFURMANBlockedDakota Spurrierblk Izzy Castelloe, Kacie Moore+3.0
83-5FURMANNO FLAKillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+2.3
94-5NO FLAFURMANServe errNorth Florida+2.2
104-6FURMANNO FLAAttack errAshley Stein+2.3
115-6NO FLAFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Haleina Bowers+2.3
126-6FURMANFURMAN×3AceFurmanaced Julianna Santiago+3.4
137-6FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errEmma Pohlmann+3.6
147-7FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.6
158-7NO FLAFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+2.7
169-7FURMANFURMANAttack errKaili Doctor+3.7
179-8FURMANNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.6
189-9NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+3.7
199-10NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Florida+3.8
2010-10NO FLAFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+2.8
2110-11FURMANNO FLAKillSofia Dawsonset Emma Pohlmann+2.9
2211-11NO FLAFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Emily Navarro+2.9
2311-12FURMANNO FLA×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+3.0
2411-13NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.9
2511-14NO FLANO FLA×3KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+3.6
2612-14NO FLAFURMANServe errNorth Florida+2.4
2713-14FURMANFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+3.8
2813-15FURMANNO FLA×5Serve errFurman+3.1
2913-16NO FLANO FLA×5KillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+3.9
3013-17NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errLauren Haynes+3.2
3113-18NO FLANO FLA×5KillHaleina Bowers+2.5
3213-19NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errLauren Haynes+1.7
3314-19NO FLAFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+0.8
3415-19FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Kacie Moore+1.7
3516-19FURMANFURMAN×3Bad setSofia Dawson+2.5
3616-20FURMANNO FLABad setMorgan Baldridge+2.5
3717-20NO FLAFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
3817-21FURMANNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.5
3917-22NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.1
4017-23NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.0
4118-23NO FLAFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
4218-24FURMANNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.5
4318-25NO FLANO FLAAceNorth Floridaaced Amber Watson+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Furman first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).