FinalWed, Sep 2, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

0:3

HomeSEC

Kentucky def. UCLA 3–0

(25-13, 25-18, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UCLA	13	18	23	0
UK	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UK above 50 · UCLA below

Biggest swing: 0.8% to Kentucky — set 1, UCLA 0-1 UK. Kentucky ace on Maggie Li. UK win probability 93% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UCLA 7.3%92.7% UK

UCLA wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.2%

3-2

4.3%

Kentucky wins

3-0

49.6%

3-1

31.0%

3-2

12.1%

UCLA break %: 34.9% vs this opp
UK break %: 45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UK serverAce+0.8%
Kentucky ace on Maggie Li
Set 1 · UCLA 0-1 UK · UK 93% → 93%
02
Gracison SaylorsKill+0.8%
Kill by Gracison Saylors (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 3 · UCLA 22-24 UK · UK 99% → 100%
03
Brooklyn DeLeyeAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Brooklyn DeLeye
Set 1 · UCLA 8-10 UK · UCLA 5% → 6%
04
Lizzie CarrKill+0.7%
Kill by Lizzie Carr (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 1 · UCLA 0-2 UK · UK 93% → 94%
05
Gracison SaylorsAttack error+0.7%
Gracison Saylors stuffed by Ava Utterback & Marianna Singletary
Set 2 · UCLA 6-6 UK · UCLA 3% → 4%
06
Brooklyn DeLeyeAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Brooklyn DeLeye
Set 3 · UCLA 20-20 UK · UCLA 1% → 2%
07
Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+0.6%
Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 3 · UCLA 22-23 UK · UK 98% → 99%
08
Morgan GaerteKill+0.6%
Kill by Morgan Gaerte (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 1 · UCLA 2-5 UK · UK 94% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UCLAaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Ava UtterbackOH	3	9	2	21	.333	0	1	1	3	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Marianna SingletaryMB	3	3	2	8	.125	1	0	1	0	1	5	2.5	5.5
13Brooke HarwoodMB	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Maggie LiOH	2	5	0	18	.278	0	0	1	3	3	2	1	6
7Vivian HickmanS	2	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	5	0	0	0	1
3Kate DuffeyS	2	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
5Mija BendziuteOH	3	9	4	20	.250	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	10
17Eliana UrzuaOH	3	4	2	18	.111	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	5.5
30Lola SchumacherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	11	3	0	0	0
12Ava SarafaS	2	0	0	0	–	13	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
0Hazel AlevokMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Presley ThompsonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	11	94	.223	32	3	3	37	7	12	6	54

Kentuckyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Morgan GaerteOH	3	16	4	33	.364	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	17.5
17Brooklyn DeLeyeOH	3	15	4	32	.344	0	2	2	7	2	0	0	0	17
20Asia ThigpenOH	3	10	4	19	.316	1	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	10
15Lizzie CarrMB	3	7	0	12	.583	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
6Kassie O'BrienS	3	1	0	3	.333	43	2	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
3Gracison SaylorsMB	3	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
27Brynn CovellS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
1Trinity WardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
12Molly TuozzoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	16	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	14	107	.346	49	7	5	42	3	1	4	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UCLA · UK 8

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 4 UCLAUK 8

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 UCLAUK 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 UCLAUK 3

Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = UCLA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UCLA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	25%2/8
2	50%7/14	27%3/11
3	58%7/12	22%2/9
4	56%5/9	22%2/9
5	56%5/9	29%2/7
6	33%5/15	55%6/11
All	50%37/74	31%17/55

Kentucky

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	42%5/12
2	100%8/8	43%6/14
3	70%7/10	56%9/16
4	63%5/8	38%3/8
5	56%5/9	38%3/8
6	56%5/9	69%11/16
All	69%38/55	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	UCLA-UK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Maggie Li	+0.8
2	0-2	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.7
3	1-2	UK	UCLA	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Kate Duffey	+0.5
4	1-3	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.5
5	2-3	UK	UCLA	Serve err	UK server		+0.5
6	2-4	UCLA	UK×4	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.5
7	2-5	UK	UK×4	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.6
8	2-6	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Eliana Urzua	blk Gracison Saylors, Morgan Gaerte	+0.5
9	2-7	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Marianna Singletary		+0.4
10	3-7	UK	UCLA	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte	blk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua	+0.2
11	3-8	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
12	4-8	UK	UCLA	Kill	Eliana Urzua	set Kate Duffey	+0.3
13	4-9	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kate Duffey	+0.3
14	4-10	UK	UK	Attack err	Brooke Harwood		+0.3
15	5-10	UK	UCLA×4	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Kate Duffey	+0.2
16	6-10	UCLA	UCLA×4	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Kate Duffey	+0.4
17	7-10	UCLA	UCLA×4	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Kate Duffey	+0.5
18	8-10	UCLA	UCLA×4	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.7
19	8-11	UCLA	UK×8	Kill	Kassie O'Brien	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.5
20	8-12	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Ava Utterback	blk Kassie O'Brien, Lizzie Carr	+0.6
21	8-13	UK	UK×8	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Brynn Covell	+0.4
22	8-14	UK	UK×8	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.3
23	8-15	UK	UK×8	Bad set	Kate Duffey		+0.2
24	8-16	UK	UK×8	Ace	UK server	aced Maggie Li	+0.1
25	8-17	UK	UK×8	Ace	UK server	aced Maggie Li	+0.1
26	8-18	UK	UK×8	Bad set	Mija Bendziute		+0.0
27	9-18	UK	UCLA	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.0
28	10-18	UCLA	UCLA	Kill	Maggie Li	set Mija Bendziute	+0.0
29	10-19	UCLA	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
30	10-20	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Lola Schumacher	+0.0
31	11-20	UK	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Lola Schumacher	+0.0
32	11-21	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
33	11-22	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
34	12-22	UK	UCLA	Kill	Marianna Singletary	set Vivian Hickman	+0.0
35	12-23	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
36	13-23	UK	UCLA	Kill	Marianna Singletary	set Kate Duffey	+0.0
37	13-24	UCLA	UK	Serve err	UCLA server		+0.0
38	13-25	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Marianna Singletary	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	UCLA	UK×3	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
2	0-2	UK	UK×3	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.5
3	0-3	UK	UK×3	Ace	UK server	aced Lola Schumacher	+0.4
4	1-3	UK	UCLA	Serve err	UK server		+0.3
5	1-4	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
6	1-5	UK	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
7	2-5	UK	UCLA×3	Serve err	UK server		+0.2
8	3-5	UCLA	UCLA×3	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+0.4
9	4-5	UCLA	UCLA×3	Attack err	Asia Thigpen	blk Marianna Singletary, Eliana Urzua	+0.5
10	4-6	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
11	5-6	UK	UCLA	Kill	Marianna Singletary	set Ava Sarafa	+0.4
12	6-6	UCLA	UCLA	Attack err	Gracison Saylors	blk Ava Utterback, Marianna Singletary	+0.7
13	6-7	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.4
14	6-8	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.6
15	7-8	UK	UCLA	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Ava Sarafa	+0.4
16	7-9	UCLA	UK	Serve err	UCLA server		+0.4
17	8-9	UK	UCLA	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.4
18	8-10	UCLA	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.4
19	8-11	UK	UK	Attack err	Mija Bendziute		+0.5
20	9-11	UK	UCLA	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Ava Sarafa	+0.3
21	9-12	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.4
22	10-12	UK	UCLA	Kill	Brooke Harwood	set Ava Sarafa	+0.4
23	10-13	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.4
24	10-14	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.4
25	11-14	UK	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Ava Sarafa	+0.3
26	11-15	UCLA	UK	Attack err	Mija Bendziute	blk Morgan Gaerte	+0.3
27	12-15	UK	UCLA	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Ava Sarafa	+0.3
28	12-16	UCLA	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
29	13-16	UK	UCLA	Kill	Eliana Urzua	set Ava Sarafa	+0.3
30	13-17	UCLA	UK×3	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.3
31	13-18	UK	UK×3	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
32	13-19	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Eliana Urzua		+0.2
33	14-19	UK	UCLA×3	Serve err	UK server		+0.1
34	15-19	UCLA	UCLA×3	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Vivian Hickman	+0.2
35	16-19	UCLA	UCLA×3	Ace	UCLA server	aced Brooklyn DeLeye	+0.4
36	16-20	UCLA	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
37	17-20	UK	UCLA	Kill	Brooke Harwood	set Vivian Hickman	+0.2
38	17-21	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
39	17-22	UK	UK	Attack err	Mija Bendziute		+0.3
40	18-22	UK	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Vivian Hickman	+0.1
41	18-23	UCLA	UK×3	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
42	18-24	UK	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
43	18-25	UK	UK×3	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	UK	UCLA	Kill	Ava Utterback	set Ava Sarafa	+0.2
2	1-1	UCLA	UK×3	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.2
3	1-2	UK	UK×3	Ace	UK server	aced Lola Schumacher	+0.2
4	1-3	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Ava Utterback		+0.2
5	2-3	UK	UCLA	Kill	Maggie Li	set Ava Sarafa	+0.2
6	2-4	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
7	2-5	UK	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
8	3-5	UK	UCLA	Kill	Maggie Li	set Ava Sarafa	+0.1
9	4-5	UCLA	UCLA	Attack err	Gracison Saylors	blk Eliana Urzua, Brooke Harwood	+0.2
10	4-6	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
11	4-7	UK	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
12	5-7	UK	UCLA×3	Serve err	UK server		+0.1
13	6-7	UCLA	UCLA×3	Attack err	Asia Thigpen		+0.2
14	7-7	UCLA	UCLA×3	Ace	UCLA server	aced Asia Thigpen	+0.3
15	7-8	UCLA	UK	Serve err	UCLA server		+0.2
16	8-8	UK	UCLA	Kill	Eliana Urzua	set Kate Duffey	+0.2
17	8-9	UCLA	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
18	8-10	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
19	9-10	UK	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Marianna Singletary	+0.2
20	9-11	UCLA	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
21	9-12	UK	UK	Bad set	Ava Sarafa		+0.2
22	10-12	UK	UCLA×4	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Ava Sarafa	+0.2
23	11-12	UCLA	UCLA×4	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+0.3
24	12-12	UCLA	UCLA×4	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+0.4
25	13-12	UCLA	UCLA×4	Ace	UCLA server	aced Brooklyn DeLeye	+0.5
26	13-13	UCLA	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
27	14-13	UK	UCLA	Attack err	Asia Thigpen	blk Marianna Singletary, Maggie Li	+0.4
28	14-14	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
29	15-14	UK	UCLA	Kill	Maggie Li	set Lola Schumacher	+0.4
30	15-15	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
31	15-16	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.5
32	16-16	UK	UCLA	Kill	Eliana Urzua	set Kate Duffey	+0.3
33	16-17	UCLA	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
34	16-18	UK	UK	Attack err	Mija Bendziute		+0.4
35	17-18	UK	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Kate Duffey	+0.3
36	18-18	UCLA	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Kate Duffey	+0.6
37	18-19	UCLA	UK	Kill	Gracison Saylors	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.4
38	18-20	UK	UK	Attack err	Marianna Singletary		+0.5
39	19-20	UK	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Kate Duffey	+0.3
40	20-20	UCLA	UCLA	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.7
41	20-21	UCLA	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.5
42	21-21	UK	UCLA	Kill	Mija Bendziute	set Ava Sarafa	+0.5
43	21-22	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Asia Thigpen	+0.5
44	22-22	UK	UCLA	Attack err	Asia Thigpen	blk Marianna Singletary, Maggie Li	+0.6
45	22-23	UCLA	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.6
46	22-24	UK	UK	Kill	Gracison Saylors	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.8
47	23-24	UK	UCLA	Kill	Maggie Li	set Ava Sarafa	+0.3
48	23-25	UCLA	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.6

Score shown after each rally, UCLA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.