Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on B1G+

UCLA def. Rutgers 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UCLA 81.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UCLA won at Rutgers 3-1 (25-15, 25-12, 29-31, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. UCLA's Maggie Li led with 16 kills, and Kat Lutz added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
UCLA252529253
RUTGER151231221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UCLA outhit Rutgers .341 to .147.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.0 points. Rutgers peaked at 25% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave UCLA 81% before first serve.

UCLARutgers
  • Break %+16.5 pts
    43.727.2

    45 of 103 on serve vs 22 of 81, so Rutgers's sideout was 56.3%.

  • Hitting+.194
    .341.147

    58 kills, 14 errors vs 52 kills, 30 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    5 straight UCLA points in the first set stretched a 14–12 lead to 19–12. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Rutgers above 50UCLA belowMax swing 6.0%

UCLARutgers

Aces
UCLA 5·Rutgers 2
Serve err
UCLA 11·Rutgers 11
Blocks
UCLA 17.5·Rutgers 65 BS · 25 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
UCLA 52·Rutgers 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rutgers above 50 · UCLA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.0% UCLArally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.0% to UCLA — set 4, UCLA 22-21 RUTGER. Zharia Harris-Waddy stuffed by Maggie Li. RUTGER win probability 15% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCLA 80.4%19.6% RUTGER

UCLA wins

3-0
31.9%
3-1
30.3%
3-2
18.1%

Rutgers wins

3-0
3.2%
3-1
6.5%
3-2
9.9%
UCLA break %
44.2% vs this opp
RUTGER break %
37.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maggie LiBlock+6.0%

    Zharia Harris-Waddy stuffed by Maggie Li

    Set 4 · UCLA 22-21 RUTGER · UCLA 85% → 91%

  2. 02
    Maggie LiKill+5.9%

    Kill by Maggie Li

    Set 4 · UCLA 24-22 RUTGER · UCLA 91% → 97%

  3. 03
    Kate DuffeyBad set+4.8%

    Bad set by Kate Duffey

    Set 4 · UCLA 18-19 RUTGER · RUTGER 13% → 18%

  4. 04
    Maggie LiKill+4.6%

    Kill by Maggie Li (set by Kate Duffey)

    Set 4 · UCLA 23-22 RUTGER · UCLA 87% → 91%

  5. 05
    Karis WillowKill+4.0%

    Kill by Karis Willow (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 4 · UCLA 20-21 RUTGER · RUTGER 15% → 19%

  6. 06
    Mija BendziuteAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Mija Bendziute

    Set 4 · UCLA 18-18 RUTGER · RUTGER 9% → 13%

  7. 07
    UCLAService error+4.0%

    UCLA service error

    Set 4 · UCLA 22-22 RUTGER · RUTGER 9% → 13%

  8. 08
    Karis WillowKill+3.7%

    Kill by Karis Willow (set by Malia Romes)

    Set 3 · UCLA 29-31 RUTGER · RUTGER 7% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UCLAaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416240.3500006012218
410215.53300010275.515.5
46114.35701300254.511.5
47017.412000100218
4001.0002200600000
4001.000100400000
412627.2220456006319
47312.33300020031.58.5
4001.00026021100000
22Kat LutzL/DS
4001.0006011420000
4000–000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals5814129.3415551152252517.5104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411631.16120100010.511.5
46617.00000020132.58.5
4000–2700800000
3105.200000000001
24413.000000100004
21312-.167003100001
46526.038000500217
4102.500312800002
41011.0001301300001
4000–000410000
3519.444000200216
3000–100200000
3000–100300000
213222.5000031002114
23312.000111500004
Team totals5230150.14748211455110680

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UCLA · RUTGER 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 UCLARUTGER 3

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 4 UCLARUTGER 1

Set 3

29-31

Longest run 3 UCLARUTGER 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 UCLARUTGER 5

Bars above the line = Rutgers leads, below = UCLA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UCLA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%5/5
50%4/8
2
63%5/8
17%1/6
3
83%5/6
29%2/7
4
100%4/4
69%9/13
5
50%4/8
50%4/8
6
57%4/7
43%3/7
All
71%27/38
47%23/49

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
33%2/6
2
83%5/6
29%2/7
3
45%5/11
29%2/7
4
36%4/11
0%0/5
5
67%4/6
0%0/4
6
43%3/7
56%5/9
All
53%26/49
29%11/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#UCLA-RUTGERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+1.1
21-1UCLARUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.2
31-2RUTGERRUTGER×3BlockedMaggie Liblk Malia Romes, Imani Howell+1.9
41-3RUTGERRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+2.1
52-3RUTGERUCLABlockedAddison Wiemannblk Eliana Urzua, Jordyn Johnson+1.3
62-4UCLARUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+1.5
72-5RUTGERRUTGERKillImani Howell+2.2
83-5RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+1.3
94-5UCLAUCLABlockedImani Howellblk Hazel Alevok, Jordyn Johnson+2.1
104-6UCLARUTGERBlockedMaggie Liblk Imani Howell, Aspen Maxwell+1.6
115-6RUTGERUCLAKillHazel Alevokset Kate Duffey+1.4
126-6UCLAUCLABlockedImani Howellblk Marianna Singletary+2.1
136-7UCLARUTGERAttack errMarianna Singletary+1.5
147-7RUTGERUCLAAttack errAspen Maxwell+1.4
158-7UCLAUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+2.0
168-8UCLARUTGERAttack errMija Bendziute+1.4
178-9RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Kami Dyrstad+2.4
189-9RUTGERUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+1.5
1910-9UCLAUCLAAceUCLA+2.2
2010-10UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+1.5
2111-10RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+1.5
2212-10UCLAUCLAKillJordyn Johnson+2.1
2312-11UCLARUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+1.4
2413-11RUTGERUCLAKillJordyn Johnsonset Ava Sarafa+1.4
2514-11UCLAUCLAAttack errMalia Romes+1.8
2614-12UCLARUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Malia Romes+1.1
2715-12RUTGERUCLA×5KillJordyn Johnsonset Kate Duffey+1.2
2816-12UCLAUCLA×5KillMija Bendziuteset Kat Lutz+1.5
2917-12UCLAUCLA×5BlockedAddison Wiemannblk Jordyn Johnson, Mija Bendziute+1.1
3018-12UCLAUCLA×5BlockedAspen Maxwellblk Jordyn Johnson, Mija Bendziute+0.7
3119-12UCLAUCLA×5Attack errAddison Wiemann+0.4
3219-13UCLARUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Kenzie Dyrstad+0.2
3320-13RUTGERUCLA×3KillHazel Alevokset Kate Duffey+0.2
3421-13UCLAUCLA×3KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+0.2
3522-13UCLAUCLA×3KillHazel Alevokset Kate Duffey+0.1
3622-14UCLARUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin·
3723-14RUTGERUCLAKillHazel Alevokset Kate Duffey·
3823-15UCLARUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin·
3924-15RUTGERUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Ava Sarafa·
4025-15UCLAUCLAAceUCLAaced Kaila Kalama-Bajet·
Set 2
10-1UCLARUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.0
21-1RUTGERUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Ava Sarafa+0.9
32-1UCLAUCLABlockedMalia Romesblk Maggie Li, Jordyn Johnson+1.3
42-2UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+0.9
53-2RUTGERUCLA×4BlockedImani Howellblk Jordyn Johnson+0.8
64-2UCLAUCLA×4BlockedAddison Wiemannblk Jordyn Johnson+1.2
75-2UCLAUCLA×4Attack errImani Howell+1.0
86-2UCLAUCLA×4BlockedAspen Maxwellblk Mija Bendziute, Jordyn Johnson+0.9
96-3UCLARUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Brooke Baldwin+0.6
107-3RUTGERUCLAKillJordyn Johnsonset Kate Duffey+0.6
118-3UCLAUCLAAttack errAspen Maxwell+0.7
128-4UCLARUTGERBlockedMija Bendziuteblk Aspen Maxwell, Imani Howell+0.4
139-4RUTGERUCLA×4KillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+0.5
1410-4UCLAUCLA×4Attack errSkylar George+0.6
1511-4UCLAUCLA×4KillEliana Urzuaset Ava Sarafa+0.4
1612-4UCLAUCLA×4KillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+0.3
1712-5UCLARUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+0.1
1813-5RUTGERUCLABlockedSkylar Georgeblk Mija Bendziute, Marianna Singletary+0.2
1913-6UCLARUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.1
2014-6RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+0.2
2114-7UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+0.1
2215-7RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Utterback+0.2
2316-7UCLAUCLAKillJordyn Johnsonset Kate Duffey+0.1
2416-8UCLARUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+0.1
2517-8RUTGERUCLAKillJordyn Johnsonset Kate Duffey+0.1
2617-9UCLARUTGERKillBrooke Baldwinset Brooke Baldwin+0.1
2718-9RUTGERUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kat Lutz+0.1
2818-10UCLARUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin·
2919-10RUTGERUCLAKillHazel Alevokset Kate Duffey+0.1
3020-10UCLAUCLAAttack errSkylar George·
3120-11UCLARUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin·
3221-11RUTGERUCLA×4KillEliana Urzuaset Ava Sarafa·
3322-11UCLAUCLA×4AceUCLA·
3423-11UCLAUCLA×4KillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa·
3524-11UCLA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3624-12UCLARUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen·
3725-12RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers·
Set 3
10-1RUTGERRUTGERAceRutgersaced Kat Lutz+0.7
21-1RUTGERUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Ava Sarafa+0.5
32-1UCLAUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+0.7
42-2UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+0.5
52-3RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+0.8
63-3RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+0.5
73-4UCLARUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.5
84-4RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+0.5
94-5UCLARUTGERBlockedHazel Alevokblk Zharia Harris-Waddy, Karis Willow+0.6
105-5RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+0.5
116-5UCLAUCLAAttack errMija Bendziute+0.7
126-6UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+0.5
137-6RUTGERUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+0.5
147-7UCLARUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
158-7RUTGERUCLAAttack errMalia Romes+0.5
168-8UCLARUTGERKillAlleigh Duttonset Lily Bolen+0.6
178-9RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Alleigh Dutton+0.9
189-9RUTGERUCLABlockedMalia Romesblk Maggie Li, Marianna Singletary+0.6
199-10UCLARUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.7
209-11RUTGERRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+1.0
219-12RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRutgersaced Kat Lutz+1.1
2210-12RUTGERUCLABlockedKaris Willowblk Eliana Urzua, Jordyn Johnson+0.6
2310-13UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+0.8
2410-14RUTGERRUTGERAttack errHazel Alevok+1.1
2511-14RUTGERUCLAKillHazel Alevokset Kate Duffey+0.6
2611-15UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Avery Jesewitz+0.7
2712-15RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+0.6
2813-15UCLAUCLABlockedAspen Maxwellblk Mija Bendziute, Marianna Singletary+1.0
2913-16UCLARUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
3013-17RUTGERRUTGERKillImani Howellset Kate Duffey+1.1
3114-17RUTGERUCLAKillHazel Alevokset Kate Duffey+0.6
3214-18UCLARUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
3315-18RUTGERUCLA×3KillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+0.6
3416-18UCLAUCLA×3KillMarianna Singletaryset Ava Sarafa+1.1
3517-18UCLAUCLA×3KillEliana Urzuaset Kat Lutz+1.3
3617-19UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+1.1
3717-20RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.5
3818-20RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+0.7
3918-21UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+1.1
4019-21RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+0.7
4120-21UCLAUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kat Lutz+1.5
4220-22UCLARUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+1.4
4321-22RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+1.0
4421-23UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.6
4521-24RUTGERRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Alleigh Dutton+1.8
4622-24RUTGERUCLA×3KillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+0.4
4723-24UCLAUCLA×3BlockedAvery Jesewitzblk Hazel Alevok, Marianna Singletary+1.5
4824-24UCLAUCLA×3Attack errAvery Jesewitz+3.3
4924-25UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+2.2
5025-25RUTGERUCLAAttack errImani Howell+2.2
5125-26UCLARUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+2.2
5226-26RUTGERUCLAKillEliana Urzuaset Ava Sarafa+2.2
5327-26UCLAUCLAAceUCLA+2.8
5427-27UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+1.8
5528-27RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+1.8
5628-28UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.8
5729-28RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+1.8
5829-29RUTGER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
5929-30RUTGERRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Ava Sarafa+3.2
6029-31RUTGERRUTGER×3KillKaris Willowset Malia Romes+3.7
Set 4
11-0UCLAUCLAAttack errImani Howell+2.0
22-0UCLAUCLABlockedMalia Romesblk Mija Bendziute, Marianna Singletary+1.9
32-1UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Alleigh Dutton+1.3
43-1RUTGERUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+1.2
53-2UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.3
64-2RUTGERUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Ava Sarafa+1.3
74-3UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+1.3
85-3RUTGERUCLA×3KillEliana Urzuaset Ava Sarafa+1.3
96-3UCLAUCLA×3KillJordyn Johnsonset Ava Sarafa+1.8
107-3UCLAUCLA×3AceUCLA+1.5
117-4UCLARUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
128-4RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Ava Sarafa+1.0
139-4UCLAUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kat Lutz+1.2
149-5UCLARUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
1510-5RUTGERUCLAKillJordyn Johnsonset Kate Duffey+0.8
1611-5UCLAUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+0.9
1711-6UCLARUTGERAttack errMija Bendziute+0.5
1812-6RUTGERUCLAKillJordyn Johnsonset Kate Duffey+0.6
1912-7UCLARUTGERAttack errMija Bendziute+0.5
2013-7RUTGERUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kat Lutz+0.6
2113-8UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+0.5
2213-9RUTGERRUTGERBlockedMija Bendziuteblk Zharia Harris-Waddy, Karis Willow+1.0
2314-9RUTGERUCLAAttack errKaris Willow+0.8
2414-10UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
2515-10RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+0.9
2615-11UCLARUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
2716-11RUTGERUCLAKillJordyn Johnsonset Ava Sarafa+0.9
2816-12UCLARUTGER×5Serve errUCLA+0.7
2916-13RUTGERRUTGER×5KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.5
3016-14RUTGERRUTGER×5BlockedJordyn Johnsonblk Imani Howell+2.1
3116-15RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errHazel Alevok+2.8
3216-16RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errJordyn Johnson+3.5
3317-16RUTGERUCLAKillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+2.4
3418-16UCLAUCLAAttack errMalia Romes+3.4
3518-17UCLARUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+2.1
3618-18RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errMija Bendziute+4.0
3718-19RUTGERRUTGER×3Bad setKate Duffey+4.8
3819-19RUTGERUCLAKillMija Bendziuteset Kate Duffey+3.0
3919-20UCLARUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.6
4020-20RUTGERUCLAKillMarianna Singletaryset Kate Duffey+3.3
4120-21UCLARUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+4.0
4221-21RUTGERUCLAServe errRutgers+3.7
4322-21UCLAUCLABlockedZharia Harris-Waddyblk Maggie Li+6.0
4422-22UCLARUTGERServe errUCLA+4.0
4523-22RUTGERUCLA×3KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+4.6
4624-22UCLAUCLA×3KillMaggie Li+5.9
4725-22UCLAUCLA×3KillMaggie Liset Kate Duffey+2.7

Score shown after each rally, UCLA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).