CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

Eastern Mich. def. Southern Ind. 31

(25-20, 25-20, 20-25, 25-23)
Set1234Sets
E MICH252520253
S IND202025231

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S IND above 50 · E MICH below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100S INDE MICHBiggest swing +13.7% E MICH · S4 25-23rally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.7% to Eastern Mich. — set 4, E MICH 25-23 S IND. Kill by Haley Trosky (set by Julia Johnson). S IND win probability 14%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E MICH 34.9%65.1% S IND

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
7.1%
3-1
12.5%
3-2
15.3%

Southern Ind. wins

3-0
20.1%
3-1
25.0%
3-2
20.0%
E MICH break %
44.2% vs this opp
S IND break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Haley TroskyKill+13.7%

    Kill by Haley Trosky (set by Julia Johnson)

    Set 4 · E MICH 25-23 S IND · E MICH 86%100%

  2. 02
    E MICH serverAce+11.9%

    Eastern Mich. ace on Audrey Small

    Set 4 · E MICH 24-22 S IND · E MICH 80%92%

  3. 03
    Mackenzie NettlesAttack error+11.7%

    Attack error by Mackenzie Nettles

    Set 4 · E MICH 23-22 S IND · E MICH 69%80%

  4. 04
    Carley WrightAttack error+7.8%

    Carley Wright stuffed by Olivia Beaudrie & Azra Eriç

    Set 4 · E MICH 22-22 S IND · E MICH 61%69%

  5. 05
    Carley WrightKill+7.8%

    Kill by Carley Wright (set by Aysa Thomas)

    Set 4 · E MICH 21-22 S IND · S IND 31%39%

  6. 06
    Natalie SlusherAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Natalie Slusher

    Set 4 · E MICH 19-20 S IND · S IND 30%38%

  7. 07
    Taeley MahlerKill+6.9%

    Kill by Taeley Mahler (set by Kaylin Schroeder)

    Set 4 · E MICH 21-21 S IND · E MICH 62%69%

  8. 08
    Natalie SlusherAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Natalie Slusher

    Set 4 · E MICH 19-19 S IND · S IND 23%30%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48317.2941000006311
46330.100000301439
44212.16701220073.58.5
4012-.5000201200002
30001111300001
20114-.07100131010.50.5
411124.41700010031.512.5
48626.077000010219
4002.0001820300002
4001.0001142700001
38225.24000281031.59.5
20001000300000
1000000000000
Team totals4519153.170417106531261495
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419949.204000113010.519.5
418751.21610112202119
43312.000000200214
4405.80036022200004
4025-.40000010010.50.5
4001.000201800000
49728.071100210009
4000032100003
4001.00011041910000
12413-.154000000002
Team totals5532165.1395131078706388

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 E MICH · S IND 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 E MICHS IND 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 E MICHS IND 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 E MICHS IND 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 3 E MICHS IND 3

Bars above the line = Southern Ind. leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
55%11/20
2
67%10/15
41%7/17
3
83%10/12
58%14/24
4
62%8/13
25%3/12
5
89%8/9
20%2/10
6
41%7/17
36%4/11
All
61%54/89
44%41/94

Southern Ind.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
50%9/18
2
56%10/18
47%9/19
3
48%10/21
17%2/12
4
80%8/10
31%4/13
5
73%8/11
27%3/11
6
39%7/18
50%8/16
All
56%53/94
39%35/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

183 rallies

Rally log

#E MICH-S INDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S INDS INDBad setLina Govoni+2.1
21-1S INDE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+1.8
31-2E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.8
42-2S INDE MICH×5KillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+1.9
53-2E MICHE MICH×5Attack errAubrey Fair+2.3
64-2E MICHE MICH×5KillAzra Eriçset Aysa Thomas+2.4
75-2E MICHE MICH×5Attack errAubrey Fairblk Azra Eriç, Haley Trosky+2.4
86-2E MICHE MICH×5KillAzra Eriçset Julia Johnson+2.3
96-3E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+1.8
107-3S INDE MICHAttack errAubrey Fair+2.0
117-4E MICHS INDKillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+1.8
128-4S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+2.1
138-5E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+1.8
149-5S INDE MICHAttack errAshby Willis+2.1
1510-5E MICHE MICHAttack errAshby Willis+2.3
1610-6E MICHS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.6
1710-7S INDS IND×3AceS IND serveraced AshleeKay Christensen+2.2
1810-8S INDS IND×3Attack errTaeley Mahler+2.5
1911-8S INDE MICH×5Serve errS IND server+2.4
2012-8E MICHE MICH×5KillTaeley Mahler+2.7
2113-8E MICHE MICH×5AceE MICH serveraced Carley Wright+2.4
2214-8E MICHE MICH×5KillMaddie Herman+2.1
2315-8E MICHE MICH×5Attack errGrace Bachblk AshleeKay Christensen, Maddie Herman+1.7
2415-9E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.0
2516-9S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+1.4
2617-9E MICHE MICHAttack errCarley Wright+1.2
2717-10E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+0.6
2818-10S INDE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+0.9
2918-11E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.6
3019-11S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+0.9
3119-12E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+0.5
3220-12S INDE MICHAttack errAubrey Fair+0.8
3320-13E MICHS INDKillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+0.4
3421-13S INDE MICHAttack errMackenzie Nettlesblk Maddie Herman, Natalie Slusher+0.7
3521-14E MICHS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.3
3621-15S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.6
3721-16S INDS IND×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+1.0
3822-16S INDE MICH×3KillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.3
3923-16E MICHE MICH×3KillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+0.8
4024-16E MICHE MICH×3Attack errAshby Willis+0.3
4124-17E MICHS IND×4KillAysa Thomasset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.0
4224-18S INDS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.1
4324-19S INDS IND×4Attack errMaddie Herman+0.2
4424-20S INDS IND×4Attack errMia Schaefer+0.5
4525-20S INDE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Carley Wright+0.9
Set 2
10-1E MICHS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.1
20-2S INDS IND×4KillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+2.4
30-3S INDS IND×4KillGrace Bachset Aysa Thomas+2.3
40-4S INDS IND×4KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+2.1
51-4S INDE MICHAttack errAubrey Fairblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+1.7
61-5E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+1.8
71-6S INDS INDAttack errAshleeKay Christensenblk Mackenzie Nettles, Carley Wright+1.9
82-6S INDE MICH×4Serve errS IND server+1.4
93-6E MICHE MICH×4Attack errCarley Wrightblk Azra Eriç, Haley Trosky+2.0
104-6E MICHE MICH×4Attack errCarley Wright+2.3
115-6E MICHE MICH×4KillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+2.6
125-7E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+2.3
135-8S INDS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+2.6
146-8S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+2.1
157-8E MICHE MICHAttack errLeah Colemanblk Azra Eriç, Haley Trosky+2.8
167-9E MICHS INDAttack errAzra Eriç+2.4
177-10S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.7
188-10S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+2.1
199-10E MICHE MICHAceE MICH serveraced Carley Wright+2.9
209-11E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+2.6
2110-11S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+2.5
2210-12E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.7
2311-12S INDE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+2.6
2411-13E MICHS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+2.8
2511-14S INDS IND×3KillGrace Bach+3.0
2611-15S INDS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+2.6
2712-15S INDE MICHAttack errLeah Colemanblk Taeley Mahler+1.9
2812-16E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+2.3
2913-16S INDE MICH×6KillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.9
3014-16E MICHE MICH×6AceE MICH serveraced Ashby Willis+2.9
3115-16E MICHE MICH×6Attack errLeah Coleman+3.6
3216-16E MICHE MICH×6Attack errCarley Wright+4.2
3317-16E MICHE MICH×6KillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+4.6
3418-16E MICHE MICH×6KillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+4.7
3518-17E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+3.6
3618-18S INDS INDKillLeah Colemanset Audrey Small+4.8
3719-18S INDE MICHAttack errCarley Wright+4.5
3820-18E MICHE MICHAttack errLeah Coleman+5.4
3920-19E MICHS INDKillAysa Thomasset Aysa Thomas+4.0
4021-19S INDE MICHAttack errAshby Willis+5.0
4122-19E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Maddie Herman+5.3
4222-20E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+3.1
4323-20S INDE MICH×3KillMaddie Hermanset Julia Johnson+4.7
4424-20E MICHE MICH×3Bad setAudrey Small+3.6
4525-20E MICHE MICH×3AceE MICH serveraced Ashby Willis+1.3
Set 3
11-0S INDE MICHAttack errGrace Bach+1.8
22-0E MICHE MICHAttack errAshby Willis+2.2
32-1E MICHS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Audrey Small+1.7
42-2S INDS IND×4Attack errOlivia Beaudrieblk Carley Wright, Grace Bach+2.1
52-3S INDS IND×4KillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+2.1
62-4S INDS IND×4KillGrace Bachset Aysa Thomas+2.0
73-4S INDE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Lina Govoni+1.7
83-5E MICHS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.7
94-5S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+1.7
104-6E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+1.8
114-7S INDS INDAttack errOlivia Beaudrie+2.0
125-7S INDE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Julia Johnson+1.6
135-8E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aubrey Fair+1.7
146-8S INDE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Julia Johnson+1.6
156-9E MICHS IND×3Serve errE MICH server+1.7
166-10S INDS IND×3AceS IND serveraced Olivia Beaudrie+1.9
176-11S INDS IND×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+1.6
187-11S INDE MICH×3Attack errAshby Willisblk Maddie Herman, Taeley Mahler+1.2
198-11E MICHE MICH×3KillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+1.7
209-11E MICHE MICH×3AceE MICH serveraced Ashby Willis+2.0
219-12E MICHS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.9
229-13S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.0
239-14S INDS IND×3Attack errMaddie Herman+1.7
2410-14S INDE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Lina Govoni+1.2
2510-15E MICHS INDAttack errAzra Eriç+1.4
2611-15S INDE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Lina Govoni+1.2
2711-16E MICHS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.4
2812-16S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+1.1
2912-17E MICHS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.4
3012-18S INDS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.3
3113-18S INDE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Julia Johnson+0.8
3213-19E MICHS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.0
3314-19S INDE MICHAttack errAshby Willisblk Natalie Slusher, Maddie Herman+0.7
3414-20E MICHS INDKillAysa Thomasset Kerigan Fehr+1.0
3514-21S INDS INDAttack errNatalie Slusher+0.7
3615-21S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+0.3
3715-22E MICHS INDAttack errTaeley Mahlerblk Ashby Willis, Grace Bach+0.5
3816-22S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+0.2
3917-22E MICHE MICHAttack errGrace Bachblk Azra Eriç, Olivia Beaudrie+0.5
4017-23E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+0.7
4118-23S INDE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+0.3
4218-24E MICHS INDAttack errHaley Trosky+0.5
4319-24S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+0.1
4420-24E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Julia Johnson+0.3
4520-25E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.6
Set 4
11-0E MICHE MICHAttack errCarley Wrightblk Maddie Herman, Olivia Beaudrie+3.6
22-0E MICHE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Kaylin Schroeder+3.7
32-1E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.9
42-2S INDS INDAttack errTaeley Mahler+3.5
53-2S INDE MICH×3KillOlivia Beaudrieset Kaylin Schroeder+3.1
64-2E MICHE MICH×3KillOlivia Beaudrieset Kaylin Schroeder+3.8
75-2E MICHE MICH×3AceE MICH serveraced Aubrey Fair+3.9
85-3E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+3.0
96-3S INDE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Kaylin Schroeder+3.3
106-4E MICHS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+3.0
117-4S INDE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Julia Johnson+3.4
127-5E MICHS IND×3Serve errE MICH server+3.1
137-6S INDS IND×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+3.9
147-7S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+4.0
158-7S INDE MICHAttack errAshby Willis+3.6
168-8E MICHS INDKillAysa Thomasset Carley Wright+3.5
179-8S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Surabhi Srinivasan+3.7
189-9E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+3.6
199-10S INDS INDAttack errMaddie Herman+4.3
2010-10S INDE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder+3.7
2111-10E MICHE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Kaylin Schroeder+4.7
2211-11E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Kerigan Fehr+3.8
2312-11S INDE MICH×3KillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+4.1
2413-11E MICHE MICH×3Attack errAubrey Fairblk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç+5.0
2514-11E MICHE MICH×3Attack errAubrey Fairblk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç+4.9
2614-12E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+3.6
2714-13S INDS INDKillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+4.8
2815-13S INDE MICHServe errS IND server+4.6
2915-14E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+4.2
3016-14S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+4.8
3116-15E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+4.4
3217-15S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+5.1
3317-16E MICHS INDServe errE MICH server+4.6
3417-17S INDS INDAceS IND serveraced Natalie Slusher+6.0
3518-17S INDE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Julia Johnson+5.6
3619-17E MICHE MICHAttack errAshby Willis+6.8
3719-18E MICHS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+5.0
3819-19S INDS IND×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+6.9
3919-20S INDS IND×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+7.3
4020-20S INDE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+6.2
4120-21E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+6.8
4221-21S INDE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+6.9
4321-22E MICHS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+7.8
4422-22S INDE MICH×3Attack errCarley Wrightblk Olivia Beaudrie, Azra Eriç+7.8
4523-22E MICHE MICH×3Attack errMackenzie Nettles+11.7
4624-22E MICHE MICH×3AceE MICH serveraced Audrey Small+11.9
4724-23E MICHS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+6.0
4825-23S INDE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Julia Johnson+13.7

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.