Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Xavier def. Southern Ind. 3–1

Xavier beat Southern Ind. 3-1 (25-18, 25-23, 17-25, 25-18) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Ava Tilden led Xavier with 12 kills; Southern Ind.'s Ashby Willis had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
S IND182325181
XAVIER252517253

Win probability

Xavier above 50 · Southern Ind. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.8% XAVIERrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Xavier — set 2, S IND 23-25 XAVIER. Bad set by Audrey Small. XAVIER win probability 94% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S IND 15.0%85.0% XAVIER

Southern Ind. wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
8.0%

Xavier wins

3-0
37.1%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.6%
S IND break %
38.9% vs this opp
XAVIER break %
46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Audrey SmallBad set+3.8%

    Bad set by Audrey Small

    Set 2 · S IND 23-25 XAVIER · XAVIER 94% → 97%

  2. 02
    Ava TildenKill+3.3%

    Kill by Ava Tilden (set by Macy Hatkevich)

    Set 2 · S IND 23-24 XAVIER · XAVIER 90% → 94%

  3. 03

    Aysa Thomas stuffed by Gabrielle Semona

    Set 4 · S IND 15-16 XAVIER · XAVIER 88% → 91%

  4. 04
    Ava TildenKill+3.0%

    Kill by Ava Tilden (set by Jamison Gordon)

    Set 2 · S IND 21-22 XAVIER · XAVIER 90% → 93%

  5. 05
    Quinci ThomasAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Quinci Thomas

    Set 4 · S IND 13-12 XAVIER · S IND 11% → 13%

  6. 06
    Ashby WillisKill+2.9%

    Kill by Ashby Willis (set by Audrey Small)

    Set 2 · S IND 21-19 XAVIER · S IND 12% → 15%

  7. 07
    Mackenzie NettlesAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Mackenzie Nettles

    Set 4 · S IND 16-18 XAVIER · XAVIER 91% → 94%

  8. 08
    Ava TildenKill+2.8%

    Kill by Ava Tilden (set by Kelsey Niesen)

    Set 2 · S IND 21-21 XAVIER · XAVIER 87% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418746.23921271111.520.5
48532.094221111010.510.5
45213.23128031400216
4114.00000000132.53.5
4226.000000100213
4000–112720001
48729.03410020010.58.5
4001.0004221210002
4000–010100001
Team totals4224131.13738710558210784
Xavierhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410427.22213270010.513.5
412528.2501043102113
49221.33300220052.511.5
410320.35000040031.511.5
4114.000243250010.54.5
4028-.250000102444
44318.05600020031.55.5
4000–6011810000
3000–711300001
3001.000000130000
2102.500510300002
1113.000000010001
1001.000100200000
1000–100000000
Team totals4821133.2034681251721911.592

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S IND · XAVIER 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 S INDXAVIER 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 S INDXAVIER 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 S INDXAVIER 5

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 S INDXAVIER 5

Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Southern Ind. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Ind.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
31%4/13
2
42%8/19
53%10/19
3
89%8/9
47%7/15
4
44%8/18
27%3/11
5
57%8/14
43%6/14
6
64%7/11
46%6/13
All
53%48/91
42%36/85

Xavier

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
47%7/15
2
50%9/18
61%14/23
3
67%8/12
33%4/12
4
62%8/13
43%6/14
5
54%7/13
50%8/16
6
50%7/14
36%4/11
All
58%49/85
47%43/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#S IND-XAVIERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Kerigan Fehr+1.3
21-1XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+1.1
31-2S INDXAVIER×4KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+1.0
41-3XAVIERXAVIER×4KillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+1.2
51-4XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Ava Tilden+1.1
61-5XAVIERXAVIER×4Attack errAshby Willis+0.9
72-5XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+0.7
82-6S INDXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+0.7
93-6XAVIERS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.7
104-6S INDS INDAttack errGabrielle Semona+1.1
114-7S INDXAVIERAttack errLeah Coleman+0.9
124-8XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Carley Wright+1.0
135-8XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+0.7
146-8S INDS INDKillAysa Thomas+1.2
156-9S INDXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+0.9
167-9XAVIERS INDKillAysa Thomasset Carley Wright+0.9
178-9S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.5
188-10S INDXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Jenna Barhorst+1.1
199-10XAVIERS INDKillCarley Wrightset Kerigan Fehr+1.2
2010-10S INDS INDAttack errAva Tilden+1.9
2110-11S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+1.4
2211-11XAVIERS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+1.5
2312-11S INDS INDBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Grace Bach, Leah Coleman+2.2
2412-12S INDXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
2513-12XAVIERS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+1.8
2614-12S INDS INDAttack errQuinci Thomas+2.6
2714-13S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+1.7
2815-13XAVIERS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+2.1
2915-14S INDXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.8
3015-15XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+2.5
3115-16XAVIERXAVIER×4BlockedAysa Thomasblk Gabrielle Semona+2.4
3215-17XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCatherine Flahartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.1
3316-17XAVIERS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas+1.6
3416-18S INDXAVIER×4BlockedAshby Willisblk Catherine Flaharty, Gabrielle Semona+1.7
3516-19XAVIERXAVIER×4Bad setCarley Wright+1.8
3616-20XAVIERXAVIER×4AceXavieraced Kerigan Fehr+1.3
3716-21XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCatherine Flahartyset Jenna Barhorst+0.8
3817-21XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+0.4
3917-22S INDXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Jenna Barhorst+0.6
4017-23XAVIERXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Kelsey Niesen+0.4
4118-23XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+0.1
4218-24S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+0.2
4318-25XAVIERXAVIERBlockedCarley Wrightblk Ava Tilden, McKinley Boehm·
Set 2
10-1S INDXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Charlotte Moriarty+0.7
21-1XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.8
31-2S INDXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+0.7
42-2XAVIERS INDAttack errQuinci Thomas+0.8
53-2S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.+1.2
63-3S INDXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+0.8
74-3XAVIERS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.9
85-3S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.aced Elouise Czajkowski+1.3
95-4S INDXAVIER×3Attack errLeah Coleman+0.9
105-5XAVIERXAVIER×3BlockedLeah Colemanblk Catherine Flaharty, Gabrielle Semona+1.2
115-6XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jamison Gordon+1.1
126-6XAVIERS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.9
136-7S INDXAVIERBlockedAshby Willisblk Catherine Flaharty, Gabrielle Semona+0.8
146-8XAVIERXAVIERAceXavier+1.0
157-8XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.8
167-9S INDXAVIERKillJamison Gordonset Addison Haberthy+0.8
178-9XAVIERS INDBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Grace Bach+0.8
188-10S INDXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jamison Gordon+0.8
199-10XAVIERS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.9
2010-10S INDS IND×4KillAshby Willis+1.3
2111-10S INDS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.5
2212-10S INDS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.7
2312-11S INDXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+1.1
2412-12XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+1.5
2512-13XAVIERXAVIER×3KillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+1.5
2613-13XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+1.2
2713-14S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+1.1
2814-14XAVIERS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+1.2
2914-15S INDXAVIER×3Attack errMackenzie Nettles+1.2
3014-16XAVIERXAVIER×3BlockedCarley Wrightblk Charlotte Moriarty, Gabrielle Semona+1.5
3114-17XAVIERXAVIER×3AceXavier+1.2
3215-17XAVIERS IND×4KillAysa Thomasset Leah Coleman+0.8
3316-17S INDS IND×4Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.5
3417-17S INDS IND×4KillAysa Thomasset Carley Wright+1.9
3518-17S INDS IND×4AceSouthern Ind.aced Ava Tilden+2.3
3618-18S INDXAVIERAttack errLeah Coleman+1.6
3718-19XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Ashby Willis+2.1
3819-19XAVIERS IND×3KillLeah Colemanset Audrey Small+1.7
3920-19S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.7
4021-19S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Audrey Small+2.9
4121-20S INDXAVIER×3KillCatherine Flahartyset Jamison Gordon+1.7
4221-21XAVIERXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Kelsey Niesen+2.8
4321-22XAVIERXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Jamison Gordon+3.0
4422-22XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.3
4522-23S INDXAVIERAttack errAshby Willis+2.6
4623-23XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.6
4723-24S INDXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+3.3
4823-25XAVIERXAVIERBad setAudrey Small+3.8
Set 3
11-0XAVIERS IND×5Serve errXavier+0.4
22-0S INDS IND×5AceSouthern Ind.aced Cameron Sher+0.6
33-0S INDS IND×5Attack errMcKinley Boehm+0.6
44-0S INDS IND×5Attack errAva Tilden+0.7
55-0S INDS IND×5Attack errMcKinley Boehm+0.7
65-1S INDXAVIER×5KillAva Tildenset Kelsey Niesen+0.4
75-2XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errCarley Wright+0.6
85-3XAVIERXAVIER×5KillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+0.6
95-4XAVIERXAVIER×5BlockedGrace Bachblk Quinci Thomas, McKinley Boehm+0.6
105-5XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errLeah Coleman+0.6
116-5XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+0.5
127-5S INDS INDBlockedCameron Sherblk Carley Wright, Mackenzie Nettles+0.7
137-6S INDXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+0.5
148-6XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+0.5
158-7S INDXAVIERKillCameron Sherset Macy Hatkevich+0.5
169-7XAVIERS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.6
1710-7S INDS INDKillMackenzie Nettles+0.8
1810-8S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+0.5
1911-8XAVIERS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Audrey Small+0.6
2012-8S INDS IND×3AceSouthern Ind.aced Kelsey Niesen+0.8
2113-8S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.8
2213-9S INDXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Jamison Gordon+0.4
2314-9XAVIERS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.6
2415-9S INDS IND×4KillCarley Wrightset Ashby Willis+0.7
2516-9S INDS IND×4BlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Ashby Willis, Grace Bach+0.6
2617-9S INDS IND×4KillCarley Wrightset Ashby Willis+0.4
2717-10S INDXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
2817-11XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errAshby Willis+0.3
2917-12XAVIERXAVIER×3KillAva Tilden+0.4
3018-12XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.5
3118-13S INDXAVIERBlockedCarley Wrightblk Macy Hatkevich, Quinci Thomas, McKinley Boehm+0.3
3219-13XAVIERS IND×3Serve errXavier+0.5
3320-13S INDS IND×3AceSouthern Ind.aced Elouise Czajkowski+0.4
3421-13S INDS IND×3Attack errMacy Hatkevich+0.3
3521-14S INDXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3622-14XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+0.2
3722-15S INDXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3822-16XAVIERXAVIERAttack errLeah Coleman+0.1
3923-16XAVIERS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.2
4024-16S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.aced Elouise Czajkowski+0.1
4124-17S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.·
4225-17XAVIERS INDBlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Ashby Willis·
Set 4
10-1S INDXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.2
21-1XAVIERS INDKillGrace Bachset Aysa Thomas+1.4
32-1S INDS INDAttack errAva Tilden+2.0
42-2S INDXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+1.4
52-3XAVIERXAVIERBlockedLeah Colemanblk Quinci Thomas, McKinley Boehm+1.8
63-3XAVIERS IND×3KillAysa Thomasset Audrey Small+1.4
74-3S INDS IND×3Attack errQuinci Thomas+2.1
85-3S INDS IND×3Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+2.3
95-4S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+1.6
105-5XAVIERXAVIERKillQuinci Thomas+2.1
116-5XAVIERS INDBad setMacy Hatkevich+1.7
127-5S INDS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+2.5
137-6S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+1.7
148-6XAVIERS INDAttack errCatherine Flaharty+2.0
158-7S INDXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+1.7
169-7XAVIERS INDServe errXavier+2.0
1710-7S INDS INDBlockedAva Tildenblk Aysa Thomas, Grace Bach+2.8
1810-8S INDXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Jenna Barhorst+1.8
1911-8XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.2
2011-9S INDXAVIER×4Serve errSouthern Ind.+1.8
2111-10XAVIERXAVIER×4AceXavier+2.6
2211-11XAVIERXAVIER×4KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+2.6
2311-12XAVIERXAVIER×4KillQuinci Thomasset Kelsey Niesen+2.5
2412-12XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+2.0
2513-12S INDS INDAttack errQuinci Thomas+3.0
2613-13S INDXAVIERServe errSouthern Ind.+2.1
2714-13XAVIERS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+2.4
2814-14S INDXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+2.2
2915-14XAVIERS INDAttack errGabrielle Semona+2.5
3015-15S INDXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.3
3115-16XAVIERXAVIERBlockedAysa Thomasblk Gabrielle Semona+3.0
3216-16XAVIERS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+2.4
3316-17S INDXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kasey Quenichet+2.3
3416-18XAVIERXAVIERAttack errMackenzie Nettles+2.9
3517-18XAVIERS INDBlockedAva Tildenblk Aysa Thomas, Mackenzie Nettles+2.1
3617-19S INDXAVIERAttack errAshby Willis+2.3
3717-20XAVIERXAVIERBlockedCarley Wrightblk McKinley Boehm, Ava Tilden+2.5
3818-20XAVIERS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.5
3918-21S INDXAVIER×5Attack errAshby Willis+1.9
4018-22XAVIERXAVIER×5AceXavieraced Audrey Small+1.7
4118-23XAVIERXAVIER×5KillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+0.9
4218-24XAVIERXAVIER×5KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+0.3
4318-25XAVIERXAVIER×5KillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ind. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).