FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayCUSA

3:0

HomeMAC

Sam Houston def. Kent St. 3–0

(25-12, 25-19, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SAMHOU	25	25	25	3
KENT	12	19	19	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

KENT above 50 · SAMHOU below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Sam Houston — set 2, SAMHOU 22-19 KENT. Macie Moreland stuffed by Rachelle Reed. KENT win probability 8% → 6%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SAMHOU 79.8%20.2% KENT

Sam Houston wins

3-0

31.4%

3-1

30.2%

3-2

18.3%

Kent St. wins

3-0

3.3%

3-1

6.7%

3-2

10.2%

SAMHOU break %: 47.3% vs this opp
KENT break %: 40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Macie MorelandAttack error+2.0%
Macie Moreland stuffed by Rachelle Reed
Set 2 · SAMHOU 22-19 KENT · SAMHOU 92% → 94%
02
KENT serverService error+2.0%
Kent St. service error
Set 2 · SAMHOU 21-19 KENT · SAMHOU 90% → 92%
03
Vanessa ImohAttack error+1.9%
Vanessa Imoh stuffed by Bella Wood & Chelsea Butler
Set 2 · SAMHOU 13-13 KENT · SAMHOU 86% → 88%
04
Chloe MonsonAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Chloe Monson
Set 2 · SAMHOU 18-17 KENT · KENT 8% → 10%
05
Adalynn GinleyKill+1.9%
Kill by Adalynn Ginley (set by Christina Vigil)
Set 2 · SAMHOU 8-11 KENT · KENT 15% → 17%
06
Adalynn GinleyAttack error+1.9%
Adalynn Ginley stuffed by Chelsea Butler
Set 2 · SAMHOU 12-13 KENT · SAMHOU 84% → 86%
07
KENT serverAce+1.9%
Kent St. ace on Bella Wood
Set 2 · SAMHOU 8-12 KENT · KENT 17% → 19%
08
Chelsea ButlerKill+1.9%
Kill by Chelsea Butler (set by Lauren Pyle)
Set 2 · SAMHOU 14-13 KENT · SAMHOU 88% → 90%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Sam Houstonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Chloe MonsonOH	3	14	5	26	.346	0	0	1	8	2	0	3	1.5	15.5
8Chelsea ButlerMB	3	6	0	12	.500	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	9
12Rachelle ReedOH	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	1	3	0	1	5	3.5	8.5
20Bella WoodOH	3	5	2	21	.143	1	2	2	5	1	0	2	1	8
17Annika BrooksOH	3	5	4	13	.077	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
2Brenlin GarlitzS	3	2	0	5	.400	15	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
6Faith RoulstonMB	3	6	1	16	.313	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
3Shaelin WhiteDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	0	12	0	0	0	0	2
15Lauren PyleS	3	0	1	4	-.250	19	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	14	107	.271	41	4	5	45	3	2	18	11	75

Kent St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Vanessa ImohOH	3	9	3	20	.300	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	9.5
6Liliana MechuraMB	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
14Christina VigilS	3	3	3	9	.000	24	0	0	4	0	3	1.5	4.5
16Adalynn GinleyMB	3	2	3	9	-.111	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	4
7Mercedez BrownOH	3	2	4	18	-.111	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	2
4Hailey BrennerDS	3	1	3	8	-.250	1	0	1	6	1	0	0	1
10Macie MorelandOH	3	6	2	18	.222	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
5Lesley FurutaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	1	12	0	0	0	1
12Catie PattersonDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	0
1Maggie KachmarikDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Nadia MillerMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	20	96	.083	28	3	5	39	4	8	4	50

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 SAMHOU · KENT 5

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 5 SAMHOUKENT 2

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 8 SAMHOUKENT 5

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 SAMHOUKENT 3

Bars above the line = Kent St. leads, below = Sam Houston leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Sam Houston

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	50%5/10
2	88%7/8	50%7/14
3	64%7/11	42%5/12
4	60%6/10	63%10/16
5	100%5/5	44%4/9
6	80%4/5	67%8/12
All	69%36/52	53%39/73

Kent St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	25%2/8
2	70%7/10	42%5/12
3	44%7/16	36%4/11
4	38%5/13	30%3/10
5	80%4/5	29%2/7
6	27%4/15	0%0/4
All	47%34/73	31%16/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#	SAMHOU-KENT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Bella Wood		+1.8
2	1-1	KENT	SAMHOU×3	Kill	Annika Brooks	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.3
3	2-1	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+1.7
4	3-1	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Kill	Chloe Monson		+1.5
5	3-2	SAMHOU	KENT	Serve err	SAMHOU server		+1.2
6	4-2	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Annika Brooks	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.2
7	4-3	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Liliana Mechura	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
8	5-3	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.3
9	6-3	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Attack err	Mercedez Brown	blk Rachelle Reed, Faith Roulston	+1.4
10	6-4	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Catie Patterson	+1.1
11	7-4	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Rachelle Reed	set Lauren Pyle	+1.2
12	8-4	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Attack err	Hailey Brenner	blk Rachelle Reed, Faith Roulston	+1.3
13	8-5	SAMHOU	KENT	Serve err	SAMHOU server		+1.0
14	9-5	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Faith Roulston	set Lauren Pyle	+1.0
15	9-6	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Hailey Brenner	set Christina Vigil	+1.0
16	10-6	KENT	SAMHOU×5	Kill	Faith Roulston	set Shaelin White	+1.0
17	11-6	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.1
18	12-6	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Kill	Annika Brooks	set Chelsea Butler	+0.9
19	13-6	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Attack err	Adalynn Ginley		+0.6
20	14-6	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Attack err	Hailey Brenner	blk Chelsea Butler, Annika Brooks	+0.4
21	14-7	SAMHOU	KENT	Serve err	SAMHOU server		+0.3
22	15-7	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Bella Wood	set Brenlin Garlitz	+0.3
23	16-7	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Kill	Annika Brooks	set Brenlin Garlitz	+0.3
24	16-8	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
25	17-8	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chelsea Butler	set Brenlin Garlitz	+0.2
26	18-8	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Shaelin White	+0.1
27	18-9	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
28	19-9	KENT	SAMHOU×4	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+0.1
29	20-9	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×4	Attack err	Liliana Mechura	blk Chloe Monson, Rachelle Reed	+0.1
30	21-9	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×4	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Lauren Pyle	+0.0
31	22-9	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×4	Kill	Chloe Monson		+0.0
32	22-10	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.0
33	22-11	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Chloe Monson	blk Christina Vigil, Liliana Mechura	+0.0
34	23-11	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Lauren Pyle	+0.0
35	23-12	SAMHOU	KENT	Attack err	Lauren Pyle		+0.0
36	24-12	KENT	SAMHOU	Serve err	KENT server		+0.0
37	25-12	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Attack err	Hailey Brenner		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Attack err	Brenlin Garlitz		+1.2
2	1-1	SAMHOU	KENT×5	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.0
3	1-2	KENT	KENT×5	Ace	KENT server	aced Chloe Monson	+1.4
4	1-3	KENT	KENT×5	Ace	KENT server	aced Chloe Monson	+1.5
5	1-4	KENT	KENT×5	Attack err	Annika Brooks		+1.6
6	1-5	KENT	KENT×5	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Hailey Brenner	+1.6
7	2-5	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Brenlin Garlitz	set Shaelin White	+1.1
8	3-5	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Attack err	Vanessa Imoh		+1.5
9	3-6	SAMHOU	KENT	Attack err	Chloe Monson	blk Vanessa Imoh, Liliana Mechura	+1.3
10	3-7	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Annika Brooks		+1.7
11	4-7	KENT	SAMHOU×4	Serve err	KENT server		+1.1
12	5-7	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×4	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+1.5
13	6-7	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×4	Ace	SAMHOU server	aced Team	+1.6
14	7-7	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×4	Ace	SAMHOU server	aced Catie Patterson	+1.5
15	7-8	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Liliana Mechura	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
16	7-9	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Annika Brooks		+1.8
17	8-9	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.3
18	8-10	SAMHOU	KENT×3	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+1.5
19	8-11	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.9
20	8-12	KENT	KENT×3	Ace	KENT server	aced Bella Wood	+1.9
21	9-12	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Rachelle Reed	set Lauren Pyle	+1.2
22	9-13	SAMHOU	KENT	Attack err	Rachelle Reed		+1.5
23	10-13	KENT	SAMHOU×8	Kill	Bella Wood	set Lauren Pyle	+1.2
24	11-13	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×8	Kill	Bella Wood	set Lauren Pyle	+1.8
25	12-13	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×8	Attack err	Adalynn Ginley	blk Chelsea Butler	+1.9
26	13-13	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×8	Attack err	Vanessa Imoh	blk Bella Wood, Chelsea Butler	+1.9
27	14-13	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×8	Kill	Chelsea Butler	set Lauren Pyle	+1.9
28	15-13	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×8	Bad set	Vanessa Imoh		+1.7
29	16-13	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×8	Attack err	Macie Moreland	blk Faith Roulston, Chelsea Butler	+1.5
30	17-13	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×8	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Lauren Pyle	+1.2
31	17-14	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
32	17-15	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Faith Roulston		+1.4
33	18-15	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Faith Roulston	set Lauren Pyle	+1.3
34	18-16	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+1.1
35	18-17	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Chloe Monson		+1.9
36	19-17	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chelsea Butler	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.7
37	19-18	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Liliana Mechura	set Christina Vigil	+1.6
38	20-18	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Bella Wood	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.8
39	20-19	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Lesley Furuta	+1.7
40	21-19	KENT	SAMHOU×5	Serve err	KENT server		+2.0
41	22-19	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Attack err	Macie Moreland	blk Rachelle Reed	+2.0
42	23-19	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Kill	Rachelle Reed	set Lauren Pyle	+1.2
43	24-19	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Bad set	Christina Vigil		+0.6
44	25-19	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×5	Kill	Rachelle Reed	set Lauren Pyle	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chelsea Butler	set Brenlin Garlitz	+0.5
2	1-1	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.5
3	2-1	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Annika Brooks	set Brenlin Garlitz	+0.5
4	2-2	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.5
5	3-2	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Brenlin Garlitz	+0.5
6	3-3	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Liliana Mechura	set Christina Vigil	+0.6
7	4-3	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Lauren Pyle	+0.5
8	4-4	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.6
9	5-4	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Faith Roulston	set Lauren Pyle	+0.5
10	5-5	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.6
11	6-5	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chelsea Butler	set Lauren Pyle	+0.6
12	6-6	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.6
13	7-6	KENT	SAMHOU	Serve err	KENT server		+0.6
14	8-6	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Ace	SAMHOU server	aced Team	+0.7
15	8-7	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.6
16	9-7	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Brenlin Garlitz	set Bella Wood	+0.6
17	10-7	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Attack err	Christina Vigil		+0.6
18	10-8	SAMHOU	KENT×3	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.5
19	10-9	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Annika Brooks		+0.7
20	10-10	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Chloe Monson	blk Liliana Mechura, Christina Vigil	+0.9
21	11-10	KENT	SAMHOU	Serve err	KENT server		+0.7
22	11-11	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Liliana Mechura	set Christina Vigil	+0.7
23	11-12	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Bella Wood		+1.0
24	12-12	KENT	SAMHOU	Attack err	Christina Vigil		+0.8
25	13-12	SAMHOU	SAMHOU	Kill	Faith Roulston	set Shaelin White	+0.9
26	13-13	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Lesley Furuta	+0.8
27	14-13	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Lauren Pyle	+0.8
28	14-14	SAMHOU	KENT	Serve err	SAMHOU server		+0.8
29	15-14	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Faith Roulston	set Shaelin White	+0.8
30	15-15	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.9
31	16-15	KENT	SAMHOU×3	Attack err	Adalynn Ginley		+0.8
32	17-15	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Ace	SAMHOU server	aced Hailey Brenner	+1.0
33	18-15	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Attack err	Vanessa Imoh	blk Chelsea Butler, Chloe Monson	+0.9
34	18-16	SAMHOU	KENT	Serve err	SAMHOU server		+0.6
35	19-16	KENT	SAMHOU	Kill	Chelsea Butler	set Brenlin Garlitz	+0.7
36	19-17	SAMHOU	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.6
37	19-18	KENT	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.1
38	20-18	KENT	SAMHOU×3	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Brenlin Garlitz	+1.0
39	21-18	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Attack err	Liliana Mechura	blk Chloe Monson, Rachelle Reed	+1.0
40	22-18	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Kill	Chloe Monson	set Lauren Pyle	+0.7
41	22-19	SAMHOU	KENT	Attack err	Chloe Monson	blk Christina Vigil, Liliana Mechura	+0.3
42	23-19	KENT	SAMHOU×3	Kill	Rachelle Reed	set Lauren Pyle	+0.5
43	24-19	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Attack err	Christina Vigil	blk Rachelle Reed, Bella Wood	+0.3
44	25-19	SAMHOU	SAMHOU×3	Kill	Bella Wood	set Lauren Pyle	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Sam Houston first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.