Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Missouri St. def. Sam Houston 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Missouri St. 60.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Missouri St. beat visiting Sam Houston 3-1 (25-23, 24-26, 25-21, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Missouri St.'s Rilynn Finley led with 20 kills, and Brooke Eslinger added 26 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
SAMHOU232621151
MO ST252425253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Halle Rillie served 6 aces, and Missouri St. needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Missouri St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Missouri St. went in as RallyIQ's 61% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Sam Houston 22–22 Missouri St.

    Missouri St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.

    Missouri St. 61% → 77%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Sam Houston 22–24 Missouri St.

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Sam Houston, enough to take the set 26–24 and level the match at 1–1.

    Missouri St. 88% → 58%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Sam Houston 2–1 Missouri St.

    Missouri St. scored 6 straight to turn a 1–2 deficit into a 7–2 lead.

    Missouri St. 56% → 74%

Missouri St. above 50Sam Houston belowMax swing 9.6%

Sam HoustonMissouri St.

Sideout %
Sam Houston 51.0·Missouri St. 59.3
Break %
Sam Houston 40.7·Missouri St. 49.0
Hitting
Sam Houston .103·Missouri St. .188
Longest run
Sam Houston 4·Missouri St. 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Missouri St. above 50 · Sam Houston below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.6% SAMHOUrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.6% to Sam Houston — set 2, SAMHOU 26-24 MO ST. Kill by Chloe Monson (set by Shaelin White). MO ST win probability 68% → 58%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAMHOU 30.1%69.9% MO ST

Sam Houston wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%

Missouri St. wins

3-0
23.2%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%
SAMHOU break %
38.7% vs this opp
MO ST break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Chloe MonsonKill+9.6%

    Kill by Chloe Monson (set by Shaelin White)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 26-24 MO ST · SAMHOU 32% → 42%

  2. 02

    Chelsea Butler stuffed by Rilynn Finley & Chloe Judd

    Set 1 · SAMHOU 23-25 MO ST · MO ST 68% → 77%

  3. 03
    Chloe MonsonKill+9.1%

    Kill by Chloe Monson (set by Lauren Pyle)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 25-24 MO ST · SAMHOU 23% → 32%

  4. 04
    Rilynn FinleyAttack error+8.7%

    Attack error by Rilynn Finley

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 24-24 MO ST · SAMHOU 14% → 23%

  5. 05
    Rilynn FinleyKill+6.4%

    Kill by Rilynn Finley (set by Hannah Gardner)

    Set 1 · SAMHOU 23-24 MO ST · MO ST 61% → 68%

  6. 06
    Bella WoodKill+6.4%

    Kill by Bella Wood (set by Shaelin White)

    Set 1 · SAMHOU 22-22 MO ST · SAMHOU 32% → 39%

  7. 07
    Chloe JuddKill+5.6%

    Kill by Chloe Judd (set by Hannah Gardner)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 21-23 MO ST · MO ST 81% → 86%

  8. 08
    Hannah RedrowKill+5.5%

    Kill by Hannah Redrow

    Set 1 · SAMHOU 20-22 MO ST · MO ST 65% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4191368.08801183031.521.5
416649.20410117202117
45622-.04500010153.58.5
45216.18800030031.56.5
42021.00010010052.54.5
4002.00026011200000
44413.000000400215
4012-.5001300700000
4000–5002510000
3000–110100001
2000–200200000
1011-1.000000100000
Team totals5133175.10349238261201185
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4201055.1820008012222
49430.1670002004211
49323.261240113002110
46218.2220001016410
45114.286000003249
4001.0002021100000
4001.0001964700006
44223.08700030010.54.5
4000–3022600000
4000–200920000
Team totals5322165.188506980251713.599

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Sam Houston vs Missouri St.

Season series · Missouri St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SAMHOU · MO ST 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 SAMHOUMO ST 6

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 SAMHOUMO ST 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 SAMHOUMO ST 6

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 4 SAMHOUMO ST 6

Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = Sam Houston leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Sam Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
36%5/14
2
48%10/21
45%9/20
3
31%8/26
44%8/18
4
64%7/11
46%6/13
5
70%7/10
36%4/11
6
54%7/13
30%3/10
All
51%50/98
41%35/86

Missouri St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
36%5/14
2
50%10/20
44%8/18
3
69%9/13
63%15/24
4
58%7/12
58%11/19
5
70%7/10
22%2/9
6
54%7/13
50%7/14
All
59%51/86
49%48/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#SAMHOU-MO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.7
21-1SAMHOUMO STServe errSam Houston+1.7
32-1MO STSAMHOU×3KillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+1.8
43-1SAMHOUSAMHOU×3Attack errRilynn Finley+2.7
54-1SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillChloe Monsonset Shaelin White+2.7
64-2SAMHOUMO ST×6KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.6
74-3MO STMO ST×6KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.6
84-4MO STMO ST×6Attack errChloe Monson+2.7
94-5MO STMO ST×6KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+2.7
104-6MO STMO ST×6KillRilynn Finleyset Brooke Eslinger+2.6
114-7MO STMO ST×6KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.5
125-7MO STSAMHOUServe errMissouri St.+1.5
135-8SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+1.6
146-8MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.5
156-9SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.7
167-9MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+1.6
177-10SAMHOUMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+1.7
187-11MO STMO STAttack errLauren Pyle+2.3
198-11MO STSAMHOUBlockedLexi Weinbergblk Rachelle Reed, Faith Roulston+1.3
209-11SAMHOUSAMHOUAceSam Houstonaced Riley Ourth+2.4
219-12SAMHOUMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.8
229-13MO STMO STBlockedFaith Roulstonblk Rilynn Finley+2.4
2310-13MO STSAMHOUServe errMissouri St.+1.3
2410-14SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.6
2511-14MO STSAMHOU×3KillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.3
2612-14SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+2.6
2713-14SAMHOUSAMHOU×3BlockedChloe Juddblk Chelsea Butler+3.1
2813-15SAMHOUMO STBlockedChloe Monsonblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+2.3
2913-16MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.1
3014-16MO STSAMHOU×3Serve errMissouri St.+1.8
3115-16SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillChloe Monsonset Rachelle Reed+3.4
3216-16SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+4.0
3316-17SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.8
3416-18MO STMO STAttack errAnnika Brooks+4.1
3517-18MO STSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Shaelin White+2.4
3617-19SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.9
3718-19MO STSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+2.5
3818-20SAMHOUMO STServe errSam Houston+3.1
3919-20MO STSAMHOUServe errMissouri St.+2.6
4020-20SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+5.2
4120-21SAMHOUMO STBlockedBella Woodblk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow+3.9
4220-22MO STMO STKillHannah Redrow+5.5
4321-22MO STSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Lauren Pyle+2.8
4422-22SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Shaelin White+6.4
4522-23SAMHOUMO STAttack errBella Wood+5.2
4623-23MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+4.9
4723-24SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+6.4
4823-25MO STMO STBlockedChelsea Butlerblk Rilynn Finley, Chloe Judd+9.3
Set 2
10-1SAMHOUMO STAttack errBella Wood+1.5
21-1MO STSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.5
31-2SAMHOUMO STAttack errChloe Monson+1.5
41-3MO STMO STBlockedChelsea Butlerblk Chloe Judd+2.2
52-3MO STSAMHOUServe errMissouri St.+1.4
62-4SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.5
73-4MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Bella Wood+1.5
83-5SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+1.5
93-6MO STMO STBad setLauren Pyle+2.2
104-6MO STSAMHOU×3KillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+1.3
115-6SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillRachelle Reedset Lauren Pyle+2.3
126-6SAMHOUSAMHOU×3AceSam Houstonaced Riley Ourth+2.5
136-7SAMHOUMO STAttack errFaith Roulston+1.7
147-7MO STSAMHOUKillRachelle Reedset Lauren Pyle+1.7
158-7SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Avery Pruitt+2.8
168-8SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.8
179-8MO STSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Lauren Pyle+1.9
1810-8SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errLexi Weinberg+2.9
1910-9SAMHOUMO STAttack errChelsea Butler+1.8
2010-10MO STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.9
2111-10MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+2.0
2211-11SAMHOUMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Brooke Eslinger+2.0
2311-12MO STMO ST×3BlockedChloe Monsonblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+3.1
2411-13MO STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.9
2512-13MO STSAMHOUBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Chelsea Butler, Annika Brooks+1.8
2613-13SAMHOUSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+3.2
2713-14SAMHOUMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.2
2813-15MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Avery Sands+3.2
2914-15MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+2.0
3014-16SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Lauren Pyle+2.2
3115-16MO STSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+2.0
3215-17SAMHOUMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+2.3
3315-18MO STMO STAttack errFaith Roulston+3.1
3416-18MO STSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+1.6
3517-18SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errJenna Walters+3.3
3617-19SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Riley Ourth+2.6
3718-19MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+2.3
3819-19SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+4.3
3919-20SAMHOUMO STKillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+3.2
4019-21MO STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+4.6
4120-21MO STSAMHOUBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Annika Brooks, Chelsea Butler+2.5
4221-21SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+5.2
4321-22SAMHOUMO STBlockedAnnika Brooksblk Hannah Redrow+4.0
4421-23MO STMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+5.6
4522-23MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+2.5
4622-24SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+4.2
4723-24MO STSAMHOU×4KillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+2.3
4824-24SAMHOUSAMHOU×4Attack errRilynn Finley+8.7
4925-24SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+9.1
5026-24SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillChloe Monsonset Shaelin White+9.6
Set 3
10-1MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+3.4
21-1MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+2.3
32-1SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errRilynn Finley+3.6
42-2SAMHOUMO ST×6KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.3
52-3MO STMO ST×6AceHalle Rillieaced Bella Wood+3.5
62-4MO STMO ST×6AceHalle Rillieaced Shaelin White+3.4
72-5MO STMO ST×6Attack errChloe Monson+3.2
82-6MO STMO ST×6Attack errChloe Monson+2.9
92-7MO STMO ST×6BlockedChelsea Butlerblk Chloe Judd, Rilynn Finley+2.5
103-7MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+1.4
114-7SAMHOUSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+2.6
124-8SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.9
135-8MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.7
145-9SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.0
156-9MO STSAMHOUAttack errHannah Gardner+1.8
166-10SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.0
177-10MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Shaelin White+1.8
187-11SAMHOUMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.1
197-12MO STMO ST×4Attack errChloe Monson+2.6
207-13MO STMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.0
217-14MO STMO ST×4Attack errBella Wood+1.5
228-14MO STSAMHOUServe errMissouri St.+0.7
239-14SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errRilynn Finley+1.5
249-15SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+1.3
2510-15MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.9
2610-16SAMHOUMO STServe errSam Houston+1.3
2711-16MO STSAMHOUServe errMissouri St.+0.9
2812-16SAMHOUSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+1.9
2912-17SAMHOUMO ST×3BlockedChloe Monsonblk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner+1.7
3012-18MO STMO ST×3BlockedChloe Monsonblk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner, Jenna Walters+1.8
3112-19MO STMO ST×3KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+1.1
3213-19MO STSAMHOUAttack errJenna Walters+0.4
3313-20SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.6
3413-21MO STMO STBlockedFaith Roulstonblk Hannah Redrow+0.5
3514-21MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Halle Rillie+0.1
3615-21SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedHannah Gardnerblk Bella Wood, Rachelle Reed+0.4
3715-22SAMHOUMO STBlockedChloe Monsonblk Hannah Redrow+0.4
3816-22MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+0.2
3916-23SAMHOUMO STAttack errBella Wood+0.3
4017-23MO STSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Audrey Terry+0.1
4117-24SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+0.2
4218-24MO STSAMHOU×4KillBella Woodset Shaelin White·
4319-24SAMHOUSAMHOU×4BlockedLexi Weinbergblk Chelsea Butler, Chloe Monson+0.1
4420-24SAMHOUSAMHOU×4BlockedRilynn Finleyblk Annika Brooks, Chelsea Butler+0.3
4521-24SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.8
4621-25SAMHOUMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+1.2
Set 4
10-1SAMHOUMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+2.0
20-2MO STMO STAttack errChloe Monson+3.0
31-2MO STSAMHOUAttack errRilynn Finley+1.9
41-3SAMHOUMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.0
51-4MO STMO STAttack errChelsea Butler+2.9
62-4MO STSAMHOUServe errMissouri St.+1.8
72-5SAMHOUMO ST×6KillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+1.9
82-6MO STMO ST×6KillRilynn Finleyset Brooke Eslinger+2.6
92-7MO STMO ST×6AceHalle Rillieaced Chloe Monson+2.3
102-8MO STMO ST×6AceHalle Rillieaced Bella Wood+1.9
112-9MO STMO ST×6Attack errChloe Monson+1.5
122-10MO STMO ST×6Bad setBrenlin Garlitz+1.1
133-10MO STSAMHOUServe errHalle Rillie+0.5
144-10SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Rachelle Reed, Faith Roulston+1.1
154-11SAMHOUMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+0.9
164-12MO STMO STBad setKameron Rector+1.0
175-12MO STSAMHOUBad setChloe Judd+0.5
186-12SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedChloe Juddblk Bella Wood, Rachelle Reed+1.0
196-13SAMHOUMO ST×3Bad setAudrey Terry+0.9
206-14MO STMO ST×3Attack errKameron Rector+1.0
216-15MO STMO ST×3Attack errChloe Monson+0.6
227-15MO STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Audrey Terry+0.2
238-15SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errHannah Gardner+0.6
248-16SAMHOUMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+0.6
258-17MO STMO ST×3BlockedBella Woodblk Hannah Redrow, Lexi Weinberg+0.5
268-18MO STMO ST×3KillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+0.3
279-18MO STSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+0.1
289-19SAMHOUMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+0.1
2910-19MO STSAMHOU×4Attack errRilynn Finley+0.1
3011-19SAMHOUSAMHOU×4BlockedHannah Redrowblk Chelsea Butler, Chloe Monson+0.2
3112-19SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillChloe Monson+0.3
3213-19SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.5
3313-20SAMHOUMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+0.6
3413-21MO STMO STAttack errChelsea Butler+0.4
3514-21MO STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.1
3615-21SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedLexi Weinbergblk Chloe Monson, Rachelle Reed+0.3
3715-22SAMHOUMO ST×4KillHannah Gardnerset Avery Sands+0.4
3815-23MO STMO ST×4AceHalle Rillieaced Chloe Monson+0.2
3915-24MO STMO ST×4AceHalle Rillieaced Chloe Monson+0.1
4015-25MO STMO ST×4KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie·

Score shown after each rally, Sam Houston first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).