FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Liberty def. Sam Houston 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Liberty 61.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Liberty beat visiting Sam Houston 3-0 (25-18, 28-26, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Liberty's Paige Overcash led with 14 kills, and Melis Ural added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
SAMHOU1826210
LIBRTY2528253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Liberty trailed 10–17 in the second and still took the set, then the match.

The match turned once; each line shows Liberty's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Liberty 62% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Sam Houston 25–25 Liberty

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Liberty, enough to take the set 28–26 and lead 2–0.

    Liberty 75% → 92%

Liberty above 50Sam Houston belowMax swing 9.1%

Sam HoustonLiberty

Sideout %
Sam Houston 55.3·Liberty 65.7
Break %
Sam Houston 34.3·Liberty 44.7
Hitting
Sam Houston .115·Liberty .327
Longest run
Sam Houston 5·Liberty 6

Alison Bierwagen
2 kills inside the turning points, 2 K and .500 for the match (3 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Liberty above 50 · Sam Houston below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.1% LIBRTYrally 143 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.1% to Liberty — set 2, SAMHOU 24-24 LIBRTY. Attack error by Chloe Monson. LIBRTY win probability 66% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAMHOU 36.5%63.5% LIBRTY

Sam Houston wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.1%
3-2
15.7%

Liberty wins

3-0
19.1%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%
SAMHOU break %
39.8% vs this opp
LIBRTY break %
42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Chloe MonsonAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Chloe Monson

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 24-24 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 66% → 75%

  2. 02

    Kill by Alison Bierwagen (set by Addie Fielder)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 25-26 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 75% → 83%

  3. 03
    Jenna OttsKill+8.2%

    Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 26-28 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 83% → 92%

  4. 04
    Paige OvercashAttack error+7.1%

    Attack error by Paige Overcash

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 24-22 LIBRTY · SAMHOU 30% → 37%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kameron Rector (set by Lauren Pyle)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 25-24 LIBRTY · SAMHOU 25% → 31%

  6. 06
    Jenna OttsKill+6.2%

    Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 25-25 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 69% → 75%

  7. 07

    Jenna Otts stuffed by Kameron Rector & Rachelle Reed

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 26-26 LIBRTY · SAMHOU 17% → 22%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alison Bierwagen (set by Melis Ural)

    Set 2 · SAMHOU 26-27 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 78% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310432.1880212200012
38420.200100200008
35929-.138101600216
36213.308000100006
3203.667000001435
3102.5001421600003
3419.33300002010.54.5
3002.00015301400003
3000–100000000
3000–4001100000
22412-.16700010010.52.5
Team totals3824122.115367343418565
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314529.31001352010.515.5
312021.5710001002113
39215.4670002002110
3107.143100100423
3204.5002210500003
3000–1001030000
37426.11500010010.57.5
3105.200000101223
3000–1422300002
3000–4001220000
3000–003000000
2000–100200000
Team totals4611107.3274348437112778

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Sam Houston vs Liberty

Season series · Liberty leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SAMHOU · LIBRTY 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 SAMHOULIBRTY 6

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 SAMHOULIBRTY 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 SAMHOULIBRTY 4

Bars above the line = Liberty leads, below = Sam Houston leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Sam Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
33%4/12
2
39%7/18
33%4/12
3
70%7/10
13%1/8
4
54%7/13
59%10/17
5
78%7/9
13%1/8
6
55%6/11
30%3/10
All
55%42/76
34%23/67

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
50%7/14
2
73%8/11
38%5/13
3
54%7/13
59%10/17
4
54%7/13
30%3/10
5
88%7/8
46%6/13
6
67%6/9
33%3/9
All
66%44/67
45%34/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

143 rallies

#SAMHOU-LIBRTYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SAMHOULIBRTYBlockedBella Woodblk Addison Hart, Layla Collins+1.7
21-1LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.7
31-2SAMHOULIBRTY×6KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
41-3LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errBella Wood+2.4
51-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×6BlockedChelsea Butlerblk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris+2.3
61-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×6AceCharli Crowsonaced Bella Wood+2.0
71-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errChloe Monson+1.8
81-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errChelsea Butler+1.5
92-7LIBRTYSAMHOUServe errLiberty+0.8
103-7SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.5
113-8SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson+1.2
124-8LIBRTYSAMHOUServe errLiberty+1.1
134-9SAMHOULIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.2
144-10LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errFaith Roulston+1.5
154-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Otts+1.1
165-11LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+0.6
175-12SAMHOULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.8
186-12LIBRTYSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+0.6
197-12SAMHOUSAMHOUBad setAlison Bierwagen+1.1
207-13SAMHOULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Layla Collins+1.0
218-13LIBRTYSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Shaelin White+0.8
228-14SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.0
238-15LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.0
249-15LIBRTYSAMHOU×3KillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.5
2510-15SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillChelsea Butler+1.0
2611-15SAMHOUSAMHOU×3AceBella Woodaced Molly Littlefield+1.5
2711-16SAMHOULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.3
2812-16LIBRTYSAMHOUKillBrenlin Garlitzset Shaelin White+1.0
2912-17SAMHOULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.3
3012-18LIBRTYLIBRTYAcePaige Overcashaced Bella Wood+1.3
3113-18LIBRTYSAMHOUServe errLiberty+0.6
3213-19SAMHOULIBRTYAttack errFaith Roulston+0.9
3314-19LIBRTYSAMHOUBlockedJenna Ottsblk Chloe Monson, Rachelle Reed+0.5
3414-20SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson+0.8
3514-21LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChloe Monson+0.6
3615-21LIBRTYSAMHOUAttack errPaige Overcash+0.2
3715-22SAMHOULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
3816-22LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Lauren Pyle+0.1
3916-23SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
4017-23LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+0.1
4118-23SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errPaige Overcash+0.2
4218-24SAMHOULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
4318-25LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChloe Monson+0.1
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.6
21-1SAMHOULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.5
31-2LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errAnnika Brooks+2.2
42-2LIBRTYSAMHOUServe errLiberty+1.5
52-3SAMHOULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.5
63-3LIBRTYSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+1.6
74-3SAMHOUSAMHOUAceLauren Pyleaced Melis Ural+2.4
84-4SAMHOULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.6
95-4LIBRTYSAMHOUServe errLiberty+1.7
105-5SAMHOULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.7
116-5LIBRTYSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+1.7
127-5SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+2.6
137-6SAMHOULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.7
148-6LIBRTYSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Shaelin White+1.8
158-7SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
169-7LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.9
1710-7SAMHOUSAMHOUAceBella Woodaced Melis Ural+2.7
1810-8SAMHOULIBRTYServe errBella Wood+1.6
1911-8LIBRTYSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+1.9
2011-9SAMHOULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
2112-9LIBRTYSAMHOU×4Serve errLiberty+2.0
2213-9SAMHOUSAMHOU×4Attack errPaige Overcash+2.6
2314-9SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillKameron Rectorset Lauren Pyle+2.2
2415-9SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillBella Woodset Chloe Monson+1.8
2515-10SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson+0.9
2616-10LIBRTYSAMHOUKillKameron Rectorset Lauren Pyle+1.2
2717-10SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errLaney Daniell+1.2
2817-11SAMHOULIBRTYServe errChloe Monson+0.5
2918-11LIBRTYSAMHOUBlockedPaige Overcashblk Rachelle Reed+0.8
3018-12SAMHOULIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+0.5
3118-13LIBRTYLIBRTYAceAlison Bierwagenaced Kameron Rector+1.0
3219-13LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Lauren Pyle+1.1
3320-13SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errJenna Otts+1.0
3420-14SAMHOULIBRTY×5KillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
3520-15LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+0.8
3620-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×5Attack errChelsea Butler+1.3
3720-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+1.9
3820-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×5BlockedChelsea Butlerblk Layla Collins, Addison Hart+2.8
3921-18LIBRTYSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+2.7
4021-19SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.9
4121-20LIBRTYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+4.0
4222-20LIBRTYSAMHOUServe errLiberty+3.7
4322-21SAMHOULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+2.8
4422-22LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChloe Monson+5.8
4523-22LIBRTYSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+5.0
4624-22SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errPaige Overcash+7.1
4724-23SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+2.6
4824-24LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChloe Monson+9.1
4925-24LIBRTYSAMHOUKillKameron Rectorset Lauren Pyle+6.2
5025-25SAMHOULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+6.2
5125-26LIBRTYLIBRTYKillAlison Bierwagenset Addie Fielder+8.6
5226-26LIBRTYSAMHOUBlockedJenna Ottsblk Kameron Rector, Rachelle Reed+5.9
5326-27SAMHOULIBRTYKillAlison Bierwagenset Melis Ural+5.9
5426-28LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+8.2
Set 3
10-1SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.9
21-1LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+0.9
31-2SAMHOULIBRTY×3KillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+0.9
41-3LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errChloe Monson+1.3
51-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedAnnika Brooksblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+1.2
62-4LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.8
72-5SAMHOULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+0.9
83-5LIBRTYSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.8
94-5SAMHOUSAMHOUAceLauren Pyleaced Paige Overcash+1.3
104-6SAMHOULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.0
114-7LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChloe Monson+1.3
125-7LIBRTYSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+0.8
135-8SAMHOULIBRTYBlockedBella Woodblk Charli Morris+0.9
146-8LIBRTYSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+0.9
157-8SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Avery Pruitt+1.4
167-9SAMHOULIBRTY×4KillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.0
177-10LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillAddison Hartset Molly Littlefield+1.4
187-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.2
197-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+1.0
208-12LIBRTYSAMHOU×3KillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+0.6
219-12SAMHOUSAMHOU×3AceBrenlin Garlitzaced Molly Littlefield+1.1
2210-12SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillBella Woodset Chelsea Butler+1.3
2310-13SAMHOULIBRTY×3Serve errBrenlin Garlitz+1.0
2410-14LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Bad setBrenlin Garlitz+1.3
2510-15LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errBella Wood+1.0
2611-15LIBRTYSAMHOUServe errLiberty+0.6
2711-16SAMHOULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.7
2811-17LIBRTYLIBRTYAceCharli Crowsonaced Kameron Rector+0.8
2912-17LIBRTYSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.3
3012-18SAMHOULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson+0.5
3112-19LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errChloe Monson+0.4
3213-19LIBRTYSAMHOU×5KillRachelle Reedset Kameron Rector+0.2
3314-19SAMHOUSAMHOU×5AceLauren Pyleaced Paige Overcash+0.4
3415-19SAMHOUSAMHOU×5BlockedLaney Daniellblk Rachelle Reed, Chloe Monson+0.7
3516-19SAMHOUSAMHOU×5KillFaith Roulstonset Shaelin White+1.0
3617-19SAMHOUSAMHOU×5BlockedJenna Ottsblk Faith Roulston, Rachelle Reed+1.5
3717-20SAMHOULIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.3
3817-21LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedFaith Roulstonblk Layla Collins, Jenna Otts+1.4
3917-22LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errChloe Monson+0.9
4018-22LIBRTYSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+0.3
4118-23SAMHOULIBRTYBlockedKameron Rectorblk Layla Collins, Charli Morris+0.5
4219-23LIBRTYSAMHOUKillRachelle Reedset Lauren Pyle+0.2
4319-24SAMHOULIBRTYAttack errFaith Roulston+0.4
4420-24LIBRTYSAMHOUKillKameron Rectorset Lauren Pyle+0.1
4521-24SAMHOUSAMHOUAceBrenlin Garlitzaced Molly Littlefield+0.3
4621-25SAMHOULIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Sam Houston first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).