Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

Northwestern St. def. The Citadel 3–1

Northwestern St. beat The Citadel 3-1 (25-17, 25-17, 24-26, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Northwestern St.'s Elsie Sanchez led with 16 kills, and Emmarie McFarland added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set1234Sets
CITDEL171726191
NW ST252524253

Win probability

Northwestern St. above 50 · The Citadel below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.1% CITDELrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.1% to The Citadel — set 3, CITDEL 26-24 NW ST. Olivia Nzioki stuffed by Luci Lippelgoos & Cameron Reese. NW ST win probability 87% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CITDEL 35.1%64.9% NW ST

The Citadel wins

3-0
7.2%
3-1
12.6%
3-2
15.3%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
20.0%
3-1
24.9%
3-2
20.0%
CITDEL break %
43.0% vs this opp
NW ST break %
46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Olivia Nzioki stuffed by Luci Lippelgoos & Cameron Reese

    Set 3 · CITDEL 26-24 NW ST · CITDEL 13% → 18%

  2. 02

    Gillian Grace Wolf stuffed by Elizabeth Miller & Jordyn Sims

    Set 3 · CITDEL 24-23 NW ST · CITDEL 8% → 13%

  3. 03
    The CitadelService error+3.9%

    The Citadel service error

    Set 3 · CITDEL 24-24 NW ST · NW ST 87% → 91%

  4. 04

    Kill by Elizabeth Miller (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 3 · CITDEL 25-24 NW ST · CITDEL 9% → 13%

  5. 05
    Olivia NziokiAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Olivia Nzioki

    Set 4 · CITDEL 11-11 NW ST · CITDEL 15% → 19%

  6. 06
    Cameron ReeseAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Cameron Reese

    Set 4 · CITDEL 11-13 NW ST · NW ST 84% → 88%

  7. 07
    Olivia NziokiAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Olivia Nzioki

    Set 3 · CITDEL 23-23 NW ST · CITDEL 4% → 8%

  8. 08

    Kill by Luci Lippelgoos (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 4 · CITDEL 7-5 NW ST · CITDEL 21% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411422.3180214004215
413633.21200130010.513.5
43520-.100000000636
4105.2003721500003
4000–022700002
3227.000000001224
4011-1.000101730000
4000–0001310000
4000–002400000
25618-.056000000005
23525-.080000111014
2304.75000000010.53.5
Team totals4129135.0893868447214979
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
46317.176111211229
4225.0004031900005
4000–323310002
316533.33300030010.516.5
310216.5002021004212
311417.41200000010.511.5
46222.18200040052.58.5
4001.0003001820000
4001.000001700000
4000–100510000
24110.30020110031.55.5
2023-.667111300001
2000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5521125.27253711566116999

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CITDEL · NW ST 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 CITDELNW ST 8

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 CITDELNW ST 6

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 CITDELNW ST 5

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 CITDELNW ST 4

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = The Citadel leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
50%6/12
2
55%6/11
36%4/11
3
46%6/13
40%4/10
4
40%6/15
0%0/6
5
42%5/12
33%3/9
6
80%4/5
29%2/7
All
47%34/73
35%19/55

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
29%2/7
2
64%7/11
56%9/16
3
60%6/10
60%9/15
4
86%6/7
65%11/17
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
57%4/7
60%6/10
All
65%36/55
53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#CITDEL-NW STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NW STNW STAttack errCameron Reese+2.2
21-1NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.8
31-2CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.8
42-2NW STCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+1.8
52-3CITDELNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.8
62-4NW STNW ST×4KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.2
72-5NW STNW ST×4BlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Kenadii Winfrey, Elsie Sanchez+2.0
82-6NW STNW ST×4Attack errEmerson Hill+1.9
93-6NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.4
103-7CITDELNW ST×8Attack errEmma Pastusic+1.5
113-8NW STNW ST×8Attack errEmma Pastusic+1.6
123-9NW STNW ST×8AceNorthwestern St.aced Emerson Hill+1.4
133-10NW STNW ST×8KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.1
143-11NW STNW ST×8AceNorthwestern St.aced Emerson Hill+0.9
153-12NW STNW ST×8AceNorthwestern St.aced Gwen Berry+0.6
163-13NW STNW ST×8KillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+0.4
173-14NW STNW ST×8KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.3
184-14NW STCITDELAttack errElsie Sanchez+0.1
195-14CITDELCITDELAttack errKenadii Winfrey+0.3
205-15CITDELNW STServe errThe Citadel+0.3
215-16NW STNW STBlockedEmma Pastusicblk Kenadii Winfrey+0.2
226-16NW STCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+0.1
237-16CITDELCITDELAttack errKenadii Winfrey+0.2
247-17CITDELNW STAttack errEmma Pastusic+0.2
258-17NW STCITDEL×4KillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+0.1
269-17CITDELCITDEL×4BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Samantha Weise+0.3
2710-17CITDELCITDEL×4KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.4
2811-17CITDELCITDEL×4KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.7
2911-18CITDELNW STServe errThe Citadel+0.7
3012-18NW STCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.5
3112-19CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Anna Claire Hebert+0.7
3213-19NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.4
3313-20CITDELNW STServe errThe Citadel+0.6
3413-21NW STNW STAttack errCameron Reese+0.4
3514-21NW STCITDELAttack errElsie Sanchez+0.2
3614-22CITDELNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Anna Claire Hebert+0.3
3714-23NW STNW STBlockedEmma Pastusicblk Amber Craig, Kenadii Winfrey+0.1
3815-23NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison·
3915-24CITDELNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.1
4016-24NW STCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison·
4117-24CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Valerie Brown·
4217-25CITDELNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad·
Set 2
10-1CITDELNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.5
20-2NW STNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Kenadii Winfrey+1.8
30-3NW STNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.7
41-3NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+1.3
51-4CITDELNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.4
62-4NW STCITDEL×4KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.3
73-4CITDELCITDEL×4BlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Jordyn Sims, Luci Lippelgoos+1.9
84-4CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errJade Longlad+2.0
95-4CITDELCITDEL×4KillAllie Davisonset Jade Longlad+2.2
105-5CITDELNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+1.7
116-5NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.8
126-6CITDELNW STKillJade Longladset Gillian Grace Wolf+1.7
137-6NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.8
147-7CITDELNW STServe errThe Citadel+1.8
158-7NW STCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+1.9
168-8CITDELNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.8
179-8NW STCITDEL×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+2.0
1810-8CITDELCITDEL×3BlockedElizabeth Muguruzablk Jordyn Sims, Samantha Weise+2.5
1911-8CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errAmber Craig+2.5
2011-9CITDELNW ST×6Attack errEmma Pastusic+1.8
2111-10NW STNW ST×6KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.4
2211-11NW STNW ST×6Attack errJordyn Sims+2.5
2311-12NW STNW ST×6BlockedSamantha Weiseblk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig+2.6
2411-13NW STNW ST×6KillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+2.5
2511-14NW STNW ST×6AceNorthwestern St.+2.2
2612-14NW STCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+1.6
2713-14CITDELCITDELBlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Jordyn Sims, Samantha Weise+2.5
2813-15CITDELNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.1
2913-16NW STNW ST×4Attack errSamantha Weise+2.4
3013-17NW STNW ST×4BlockedCameron Reeseblk Julia Whitfield, Amber Craig+2.0
3113-18NW STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Kenadii Winfrey+1.6
3214-18NW STCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.9
3315-18CITDELCITDELAttack errJulia Whitfield+1.6
3415-19CITDELNW ST×3KillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+1.7
3515-20NW STNW ST×3BlockedJordyn Simsblk Gillian Grace Wolf, Julia Whitfield+1.5
3615-21NW STNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.0
3716-21NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.4
3816-22CITDELNW STKillJade Longladset Elizabeth Muguruza+0.7
3917-22NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.3
4017-23CITDELNW ST×3Serve errThe Citadel+0.6
4117-24NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.3
4217-25NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad·
Set 3
10-1NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.+1.1
21-1NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+0.9
31-2CITDELNW STAttack errLuci Lippelgoos+0.9
42-2NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.9
53-2CITDELCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.2
63-3CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.9
74-3NW STCITDELAttack errElsie Sanchez+1.0
85-3CITDELCITDELBlockedJade Longladblk Rachel Reininger+1.3
95-4CITDELNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+1.0
106-4NW STCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.0
117-4CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Emmarie McFarland+1.3
128-4CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Emmarie McFarland+1.2
138-5CITDELNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Julia Whitfield+0.9
149-5NW STCITDELKillSamantha Weiseset Allie Davison+1.0
1510-5CITDELCITDELKillSamantha Weiseset Allie Davison+1.2
1610-6CITDELNW ST×4Serve errThe Citadel+0.8
1710-7NW STNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.1
1810-8NW STNW ST×4BlockedJordyn Simsblk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig+1.3
1910-9NW STNW ST×4Attack errJordyn Sims+1.4
2011-9NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+1.2
2111-10CITDELNW STAttack errCameron Reese+1.1
2212-10NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+1.2
2313-10CITDEL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
2413-11CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.1
2514-11NW STCITDELAttack errElsie Sanchez+1.3
2615-11CITDELCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.4
2715-12CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.9
2815-13NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Julia Whitfield+1.4
2916-13NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.4
3017-13CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.5
3117-14CITDELNW ST×5Serve errThe Citadel+1.0
3217-15NW STNW ST×5KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.5
3317-16NW STNW ST×5Attack errRachel Reininger+1.7
3417-17NW STNW ST×5KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.9
3517-18NW STNW ST×5KillJulia Whitfield+2.0
3618-18NW STCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.6
3719-18CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+2.3
3819-19CITDELNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.8
3919-20NW STNW ST×4KillGillian Grace Wolfset Allie Davison+2.3
4019-21NW STNW ST×4Attack errRachel Reininger+2.2
4119-22NW STNW ST×4Attack errRachel Reininger+1.8
4220-22NW STCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+1.0
4321-22CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+2.0
4421-23CITDELNW STBlockedJordyn Simsblk Julia Whitfield, Gillian Grace Wolf+2.2
4522-23NW STCITDEL×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+1.7
4623-23CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+3.4
4724-23CITDELCITDEL×3BlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Elizabeth Miller, Jordyn Sims+4.8
4824-24CITDELNW STServe errThe Citadel+3.9
4925-24NW STCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+3.9
5026-24CITDELCITDELBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Luci Lippelgoos, Cameron Reese+5.1
Set 4
10-1CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.1
20-2NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Rachel Reininger+2.5
31-2NW STCITDEL×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+2.0
42-2CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Gillian Grace Wolf+2.7
53-2CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Anna Claire Hebert+2.9
63-3CITDELNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.3
74-3NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+2.4
84-4CITDELNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.3
95-4NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+2.5
105-5CITDELNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.4
116-5NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+2.5
127-5CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+3.2
137-6CITDELNW ST×4KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+2.4
147-7NW STNW ST×4Attack errRachel Reininger+3.2
157-8NW STNW ST×4Attack errLuci Lippelgoos+3.1
167-9NW STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Valerie Brown+3.0
178-9NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+2.4
188-10CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.5
199-10NW STCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Emerson Hill+2.5
209-11CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.6
2110-11NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+2.5
2211-11CITDELCITDELAttack errOlivia Nzioki+3.5
2311-12CITDELNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.9
2411-13NW STNW ST×3Attack errCameron Reese+3.5
2511-14NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+3.2
2612-14NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+2.3
2712-15CITDELNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.6
2812-16NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.8
2913-16NW STCITDELBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Jordyn Sims, Luci Lippelgoos+1.9
3013-17CITDELNW STAttack errCameron Reese+2.3
3113-18NW STNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+2.2
3214-18NW STCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.3
3315-18CITDELCITDELAttack errAmber Craig+2.3
3415-19CITDELNW STAttack errRachel Reininger+2.4
3515-20NW STNW STBlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Gillian Grace Wolf+2.2
3616-20NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+1.2
3716-21CITDELNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.7
3816-22NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Emerson Hill+1.2
3917-22NW STCITDELServe errNorthwestern St.+0.5
4018-22CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadel+1.0
4118-23CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.4
4218-24NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+0.7
4319-24NW STCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+0.1
4419-25CITDELNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.3

Score shown after each rally, The Citadel first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).