Northwestern St. def. The Citadel 3–1
Northwestern St. beat The Citadel 3-1 (25-17, 25-17, 24-26, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Northwestern St.'s Elsie Sanchez led with 16 kills, and Emmarie McFarland added 18 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CITDEL | 17 | 17 | 26 | 19 | 1 |
| NW ST | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.1% to The Citadel — set 3, CITDEL 26-24 NW ST. Olivia Nzioki stuffed by Luci Lippelgoos & Cameron Reese. NW ST win probability 87% → 82%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
The Citadel wins
Northwestern St. wins
- CITDEL break %
- 43.0% vs this opp
- NW ST break %
- 46.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Luci Lippelgoos&Cameron ReeseBlock+5.1%
Olivia Nzioki stuffed by Luci Lippelgoos & Cameron Reese
Set 3 · CITDEL 26-24 NW ST · CITDEL 13% → 18%
- 02Elizabeth Miller&Jordyn SimsBlock+4.8%
Gillian Grace Wolf stuffed by Elizabeth Miller & Jordyn Sims
Set 3 · CITDEL 24-23 NW ST · CITDEL 8% → 13%
- 03The CitadelService error+3.9%
The Citadel service error
Set 3 · CITDEL 24-24 NW ST · NW ST 87% → 91%
- 04Elizabeth MillerKill+3.9%
Kill by Elizabeth Miller (set by Allie Davison)
Set 3 · CITDEL 25-24 NW ST · CITDEL 9% → 13%
- 05Olivia NziokiAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Olivia Nzioki
Set 4 · CITDEL 11-11 NW ST · CITDEL 15% → 19%
- 06Cameron ReeseAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Cameron Reese
Set 4 · CITDEL 11-13 NW ST · NW ST 84% → 88%
- 07Olivia NziokiAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Olivia Nzioki
Set 3 · CITDEL 23-23 NW ST · CITDEL 4% → 8%
- 08Luci LippelgoosKill+3.2%
Kill by Luci Lippelgoos (set by Allie Davison)
Set 4 · CITDEL 7-5 NW ST · CITDEL 21% → 24%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 22 | .318 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 33 | .212 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | -.100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .200 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -.056 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 25 | -.080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 29 | 135 | .089 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 79 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | .176 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | .000 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 16 | 5 | 33 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 3 | 10 | 2 | 16 | .500 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 3 | 11 | 4 | 17 | .412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | .300 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -.667 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 21 | 125 | .272 | 53 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 99 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
17-25
Set 3
26-24
Set 4
19-25
Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = The Citadel leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
The Citadel
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41%7/17 | 50%6/12 |
| 2 | 55%6/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 46%6/13 | 40%4/10 |
| 4 | 40%6/15 | 0%0/6 |
| 5 | 42%5/12 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 29%2/7 |
| All | 47%34/73 | 35%19/55 |
Northwestern St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 56%9/16 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 60%9/15 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 65%11/17 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 60%6/10 |
| All | 65%36/55 | 53%39/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
178 rallies
| # | CITDEL-NW ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Cameron Reese | +2.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +1.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Jordyn Sims | set Allie Davison | +1.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CITDEL | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Blocked | Luci Lippelgoos | blk Kenadii Winfrey, Elsie Sanchez | +2.0 |
| 8 | 2-6 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Emerson Hill | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +1.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | CITDEL | NW ST×8 | Attack err | Emma Pastusic | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | NW ST | NW ST×8 | Attack err | Emma Pastusic | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 3-9 | NW ST | NW ST×8 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Emerson Hill | +1.4 |
| 13 | 3-10 | NW ST | NW ST×8 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.1 |
| 14 | 3-11 | NW ST | NW ST×8 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Emerson Hill | +0.9 |
| 15 | 3-12 | NW ST | NW ST×8 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Gwen Berry | +0.6 |
| 16 | 3-13 | NW ST | NW ST×8 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Emmarie McFarland | +0.4 |
| 17 | 3-14 | NW ST | NW ST×8 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 18 | 4-14 | NW ST | CITDEL | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 5-14 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Attack err | Kenadii Winfrey | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 5-15 | CITDEL | NW ST | Serve err | The Citadel | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 5-16 | NW ST | NW ST | Blocked | Emma Pastusic | blk Kenadii Winfrey | +0.2 |
| 22 | 6-16 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Emma Pastusic | set Allie Davison | +0.1 |
| 23 | 7-16 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Attack err | Kenadii Winfrey | +0.2 | |
| 24 | 7-17 | CITDEL | NW ST | Attack err | Emma Pastusic | +0.2 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | NW ST | CITDEL×4 | Kill | Emma Pastusic | set Allie Davison | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | CITDEL | CITDEL×4 | Blocked | Olivia Nzioki | blk Samantha Weise | +0.3 |
| 27 | 10-17 | CITDEL | CITDEL×4 | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +0.4 |
| 28 | 11-17 | CITDEL | CITDEL×4 | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +0.7 |
| 29 | 11-18 | CITDEL | NW ST | Serve err | The Citadel | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Jordyn Sims | set Allie Davison | +0.5 |
| 31 | 12-19 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Anna Claire Hebert | +0.7 |
| 32 | 13-19 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +0.4 |
| 33 | 13-20 | CITDEL | NW ST | Serve err | The Citadel | +0.6 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Cameron Reese | +0.4 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | NW ST | CITDEL | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +0.2 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Anna Claire Hebert | +0.3 |
| 37 | 14-23 | NW ST | NW ST | Blocked | Emma Pastusic | blk Amber Craig, Kenadii Winfrey | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Emma Pastusic | set Allie Davison | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Ace | The Citadel | aced Valerie Brown | · |
| 42 | 17-25 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CITDEL | NW ST×3 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Kenadii Winfrey | +1.8 |
| 3 | 0-3 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NW ST | CITDEL×4 | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +1.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CITDEL | CITDEL×4 | Blocked | Gillian Grace Wolf | blk Jordyn Sims, Luci Lippelgoos | +1.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CITDEL | CITDEL×4 | Attack err | Jade Longlad | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | CITDEL | CITDEL×4 | Kill | Allie Davison | set Jade Longlad | +2.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Julia Whitfield | set Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +1.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Jade Longlad | set Gillian Grace Wolf | +1.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +1.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CITDEL | NW ST | Serve err | The Citadel | +1.8 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Emma Pastusic | set Allie Davison | +1.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NW ST | CITDEL×3 | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +2.0 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Blocked | Elizabeth Muguruza | blk Jordyn Sims, Samantha Weise | +2.5 |
| 19 | 11-8 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Attack err | Amber Craig | +2.5 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | CITDEL | NW ST×6 | Attack err | Emma Pastusic | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Attack err | Jordyn Sims | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Blocked | Samantha Weise | blk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig | +2.6 |
| 24 | 11-13 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Emmarie McFarland | +2.5 |
| 25 | 11-14 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Ace | Northwestern St. | +2.2 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Emma Pastusic | set Allie Davison | +1.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Blocked | Gillian Grace Wolf | blk Jordyn Sims, Samantha Weise | +2.5 |
| 28 | 13-15 | CITDEL | NW ST×4 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +2.1 |
| 29 | 13-16 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Samantha Weise | +2.4 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Blocked | Cameron Reese | blk Julia Whitfield, Amber Craig | +2.0 |
| 31 | 13-18 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Kenadii Winfrey | +1.6 |
| 32 | 14-18 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Jordyn Sims | set Allie Davison | +0.9 |
| 33 | 15-18 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Attack err | Julia Whitfield | +1.6 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | CITDEL | NW ST×3 | Kill | Julia Whitfield | set Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 35 | 15-20 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Jordyn Sims | blk Gillian Grace Wolf, Julia Whitfield | +1.5 |
| 36 | 15-21 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +0.4 |
| 38 | 16-22 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Jade Longlad | set Elizabeth Muguruza | +0.7 |
| 39 | 17-22 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +0.3 |
| 40 | 17-23 | CITDEL | NW ST×3 | Serve err | The Citadel | +0.6 | |
| 41 | 17-24 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 42 | 17-25 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | Northwestern St. | +1.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | CITDEL | NW ST | Attack err | Luci Lippelgoos | +0.9 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +0.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +1.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW ST | CITDEL | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Blocked | Jade Longlad | blk Rachel Reininger | +1.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Julia Whitfield | set Jade Longlad | +1.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | NW ST | CITDEL×3 | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +1.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Ace | The Citadel | aced Emmarie McFarland | +1.3 |
| 12 | 8-4 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Ace | The Citadel | aced Emmarie McFarland | +1.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Julia Whitfield | +0.9 |
| 14 | 9-5 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Samantha Weise | set Allie Davison | +1.0 |
| 15 | 10-5 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Kill | Samantha Weise | set Allie Davison | +1.2 |
| 16 | 10-6 | CITDEL | NW ST×4 | Serve err | The Citadel | +0.8 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.1 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Blocked | Jordyn Sims | blk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig | +1.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Jordyn Sims | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | CITDEL | NW ST | Attack err | Cameron Reese | +1.1 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.2 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | CITDEL | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.5 | |||
| 24 | 13-11 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.1 |
| 25 | 14-11 | NW ST | CITDEL | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +1.3 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +1.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Julia Whitfield | +1.4 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +1.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +1.5 |
| 31 | 17-14 | CITDEL | NW ST×5 | Serve err | The Citadel | +1.0 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Attack err | Rachel Reininger | +1.7 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Julia Whitfield | +2.0 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +1.6 |
| 37 | 19-18 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Kill | Rachel Reininger | set Allie Davison | +2.3 |
| 38 | 19-19 | CITDEL | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 39 | 19-20 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Allie Davison | +2.3 |
| 40 | 19-21 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Rachel Reininger | +2.2 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Rachel Reininger | +1.8 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Elizabeth Miller | set Allie Davison | +1.0 |
| 43 | 21-22 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Kill | Rachel Reininger | set Allie Davison | +2.0 |
| 44 | 21-23 | CITDEL | NW ST | Blocked | Jordyn Sims | blk Julia Whitfield, Gillian Grace Wolf | +2.2 |
| 45 | 22-23 | NW ST | CITDEL×3 | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.7 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +3.4 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Blocked | Gillian Grace Wolf | blk Elizabeth Miller, Jordyn Sims | +4.8 |
| 48 | 24-24 | CITDEL | NW ST | Serve err | The Citadel | +3.9 | |
| 49 | 25-24 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Elizabeth Miller | set Allie Davison | +3.9 |
| 50 | 26-24 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Blocked | Olivia Nzioki | blk Luci Lippelgoos, Cameron Reese | +5.1 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Rachel Reininger | +2.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NW ST | CITDEL×3 | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +2.0 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Ace | The Citadel | aced Gillian Grace Wolf | +2.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CITDEL | CITDEL×3 | Ace | The Citadel | aced Anna Claire Hebert | +2.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +2.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +2.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +2.5 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Kill | Luci Lippelgoos | set Allie Davison | +3.2 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CITDEL | NW ST×4 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Rachel Reininger | +3.2 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Luci Lippelgoos | +3.1 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Valerie Brown | +3.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +2.4 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.5 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Rachel Reininger | set Emerson Hill | +2.5 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.6 |
| 21 | 10-11 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +2.5 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +3.5 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | CITDEL | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Cameron Reese | +3.5 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Emmarie McFarland | +3.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +2.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.8 |
| 29 | 13-16 | NW ST | CITDEL | Blocked | Elsie Sanchez | blk Jordyn Sims, Luci Lippelgoos | +1.9 |
| 30 | 13-17 | CITDEL | NW ST | Attack err | Cameron Reese | +2.3 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +2.2 |
| 32 | 14-18 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Cameron Reese | set Allie Davison | +1.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Attack err | Amber Craig | +2.3 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | CITDEL | NW ST | Attack err | Rachel Reininger | +2.4 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | NW ST | NW ST | Blocked | Luci Lippelgoos | blk Gillian Grace Wolf | +2.2 |
| 36 | 16-20 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.2 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 38 | 16-22 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Emerson Hill | +1.2 |
| 39 | 17-22 | NW ST | CITDEL | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.5 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | CITDEL | CITDEL | Ace | The Citadel | +1.0 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.4 |
| 42 | 18-24 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Anna Claire Hebert | +0.7 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NW ST | CITDEL | Kill | Elizabeth Miller | set Allie Davison | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | CITDEL | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
Score shown after each rally, The Citadel first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).