FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

ETSU def. The Citadel 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: ETSU 98.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 9:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

ETSU beat visiting The Citadel 3-0 (25-14, 25-10, 25-17) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. ETSU's Elizabeth Aylward led with 10 kills.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
CITDEL1410170
ETSU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Makayla Bays in a ETSU rout.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.2 points. The Citadel peaked at 2% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave ETSU 99% before first serve.

The CitadelETSU
  • Break %+29.2 pts
    35.764.9

    Points won on own serve: 48 of 74 vs 15 of 42. The Citadel sided out 35.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.329
    .013.342

    34 K / 8 E against 22 K / 21 E.

  • Longest run+5
    49

    9 straight ETSU points in the first set stretched a 14–10 lead to 23–10. The set finished 25–14.

ETSU above 50The Citadel belowMax swing 0.2%

The CitadelETSU

Aces
The Citadel 3·ETSU 11
Serve err
The Citadel 9·ETSU 6
Blocks
The Citadel 0·ETSU 110 BS · 0 BA vs 1 BS · 20 BA
Digs
The Citadel 28·ETSU 34

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

ETSU above 50 · The Citadel below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 116 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: ETSU stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CITDEL 1.1%98.9% ETSU

The Citadel wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.7%

ETSU wins

3-0
73.4%
3-1
21.6%
3-2
4.0%
CITDEL break %
36.1% vs this opp
ETSU break %
53.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37313.308012000008
35419.053000110005
33718-.222000300003
33312.000000000003
3103.3331901400001
3000–001420000
3024-.500113340001
3000–010200001
3000–1021020000
23210.100000110003
1000–000000000
Team totals222179.0132139281100041
ETSUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38316.3131526202114
310115.60000020031.511.5
34110.30001110195.510.5
3000–1610600001
2206.33302040010.54.5
2001.00000000010.50.5
3001.000801600000
2529.33302111010.57.5
2309.33300000010.53.5
2000–400600000
1115.00010000010.51.5
1102.500000000001
1001.00000000010.50.5
1001.000000000000
1000–101200000
Team totals34876.342311163431201175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

The Citadel vs ETSU

Season series · ETSU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CITDEL · ETSU 9

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 CITDELETSU 9

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 3 CITDELETSU 7

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 CITDELETSU 5

Bars above the line = ETSU leads, below = The Citadel leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
27%6/22
20%1/5
2
56%5/9
40%4/10
3
44%4/9
38%3/8
4
29%4/14
43%3/7
5
57%4/7
43%3/7
6
23%3/13
20%1/5
All
35%26/74
36%15/42

ETSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
74%14/19
2
60%6/10
57%8/14
3
57%4/7
60%6/10
4
80%4/5
71%10/14
5
57%4/7
20%1/5
6
75%3/4
75%9/12
All
64%27/42
65%48/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

116 rallies

#CITDEL-ETSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1ETSUETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
21-1ETSUCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss
32-1CITDELCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Gwen Berry
42-2CITDELETSUServe errGwen Berry
53-2ETSUCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
63-3CITDELETSU×3KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
73-4ETSUETSU×3BlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Raegan Waller, Karis Chatfield
83-5ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke
94-5ETSUCITDELServe errBailey Gohlke
105-5CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Cameron Reese
115-6CITDELETSU×5Serve errCameron Reese
125-7ETSUETSU×5AceKaris Chatfieldaced Cameron Reese
135-8ETSUETSU×5AceKaris Chatfieldaced Cameron Reese
145-9ETSUETSU×5KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke
155-10ETSUETSU×5KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke
166-10ETSUCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss
177-10CITDELCITDELBad setBailey Gohlke
187-11CITDELETSUServe errLuci Lippelgoos
198-11ETSUCITDELKillGreta Pleuss
209-11CITDELCITDELAttack errMakayla Bays
219-12CITDELETSU×3KillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke
229-13ETSUETSU×3BlockedJordyn Simsblk Gianna Blair, Elizabeth Aylward
239-14ETSUETSU×3BlockedJordyn Simsblk Elizabeth Aylward, Gianna Blair
2410-14ETSUCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss
2510-15CITDELETSU×9KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
2610-16ETSUETSU×9KillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris
2710-17ETSUETSU×9BlockedEmma Pastusicblk Gianna Blair, Elizabeth Aylward
2810-18ETSUETSU×9KillGianna Blair
2910-19ETSUETSU×9AceMakayla Baysaced Megan Stone
3010-20ETSUETSU×9AceMakayla Baysaced Gwen Berry
3110-21ETSUETSU×9AceMakayla Baysaced Emma Pastusic
3210-22ETSUETSU×9KillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris
3310-23ETSUETSU×9KillKaris Chatfieldset Makayla Bays
3411-23ETSUCITDEL×3KillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss
3512-23CITDELCITDEL×3KillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss
3613-23CITDELCITDEL×3KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
3713-24CITDELETSUServe errGwen Berry
3814-24ETSUCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
3914-25CITDELETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
Set 2
10-1CITDELETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
21-1ETSUCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss
31-2CITDELETSU×3KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann
41-3ETSUETSU×3Attack errJordyn Sims
51-4ETSUETSU×3KillEmma MacFerranset Alex Kreutzmann
62-4ETSUCITDELServe errGianna Blair
72-5CITDELETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris
82-6ETSUETSUAttack errEmma Pastusic
93-6ETSUCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
103-7CITDELETSUAttack errRachel Reininger
113-8ETSUETSUKillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke
124-8ETSUCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
135-8CITDELCITDEL×3AceLuci Lippelgoosaced Makayla Bays
146-8CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errMakayla Bays
156-9CITDELETSU×4KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke
166-10ETSUETSU×4KillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke
176-11ETSUETSU×4BlockedRachel Reiningerblk Gianna Blair, Chloe Smith
186-12ETSUETSU×4BlockedSamantha Weiseblk Makayla Bays, Gianna Blair
197-12ETSUCITDELKillSamantha Weiseset Greta Pleuss
207-13CITDELETSU×5Serve errGreta Pleuss
217-14ETSUETSU×5KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann
227-15ETSUETSU×5AceAlex Kreutzmannaced Rachel Reininger
237-16ETSUETSU×5KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
247-17ETSUETSU×5KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann
258-17ETSUCITDELKillSamantha Weiseset Greta Pleuss
268-18CITDELETSU×7Serve errMegan Stone
278-19ETSUETSU×7AceMakayla Baysaced Megan Stone
288-20ETSUETSU×7Attack errJordyn Sims
298-21ETSUETSU×7Attack errSamantha Weise
308-22ETSUETSU×7KillDarby Feltsset Melanie Morris
318-23ETSUETSU×7AceMakayla Bays
328-24ETSUETSU×7KillDarby Felts
339-24ETSUCITDELServe errMakayla Bays
3410-24CITDELCITDELAttack errGianna Blair
3510-25CITDELETSUBlockedJordyn Simsblk Gianna Blair, Darby Felts
Set 3
11-0ETSUCITDELServe errMakayla Bays
21-1CITDELETSU×3Attack errCameron Reese
31-2ETSUETSU×3Attack errJordyn Sims
41-3ETSUETSU×3AceGianna Blairaced Gwen Berry
52-3ETSUCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss
62-4CITDELETSUKillDarby Feltsset Alex Kreutzmann
73-4ETSUCITDEL×3Attack errSophia Davis
84-4CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
95-4CITDELCITDEL×3AceCameron Reeseaced Darby Felts
105-5CITDELETSU×3Serve errCameron Reese
115-6ETSUETSU×3AceDarby Feltsaced Cameron Reese
125-7ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke
136-7ETSUCITDELServe errDarby Felts
146-8CITDELETSUKillMakayla Baysset Sophia Davis
157-8ETSUCITDELServe errZeynep Özer
167-9CITDELETSUBlockedEmma Pastusicblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis
178-9ETSUCITDELAttack errMakayla Bays
189-9CITDELCITDELBad setAlex Kreutzmann
199-10CITDELETSUBlockedCameron Reeseblk Gianna Blair, Makayla Bays
209-11ETSUETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
2110-11ETSUCITDELAttack errDarby Felts
2210-12CITDELETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann
2311-12ETSUCITDEL×4KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
2412-12CITDELCITDEL×4KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
2513-12CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errElizabeth Aylward
2614-12CITDELCITDEL×4AceEmerson Hillaced Makayla Bays
2714-13CITDELETSU×3KillDarby Feltsset Alex Kreutzmann
2814-14ETSUETSU×3KillDarby Feltsset Zeynep Özer
2914-15ETSUETSU×3Attack errLuci Lippelgoos
3015-15ETSUCITDELAttack errDarby Felts
3115-16CITDELETSU×4Serve errCameron Reese
3215-17ETSUETSU×4Attack errLuci Lippelgoos
3315-18ETSUETSU×4AceDarby Feltsaced Cameron Reese
3415-19ETSUETSU×4Attack errEmma Pastusic
3516-19ETSUCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss
3616-20CITDELETSUServe errLuci Lippelgoos
3717-20ETSUCITDELKillSamantha Weiseset Greta Pleuss
3817-21CITDELETSU×5KillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke
3917-22ETSUETSU×5KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann
4017-23ETSUETSU×5BlockedJordyn Simsblk Gianna Blair, Malia Brinkman
4117-24ETSUETSU×5BlockedSamantha Weiseblk Gianna Blair
4217-25ETSUETSU×5KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann

Score shown after each rally, The Citadel first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).