FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

Furman def. Stetson 3–0

Furman beat Stetson 3-0 (26-24, 25-21, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Furman's Izzy Castelloe led with 13 kills, and Ashtan Dodson added 9 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
STETSN2421230
FURMAN2625253

Win probability

Furman above 50 · Stetson below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.7% FURMANrally 144 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Furman — set 1, STETSN 24-26 FURMAN. Kill by Ashtan Dodson (set by Emily Navarro). FURMAN win probability 85% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STETSN 17.9%82.1% FURMAN

Stetson wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
9.2%

Furman wins

3-0
33.7%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.6%
STETSN break %
41.2% vs this opp
FURMAN break %
48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ashtan DodsonKill+5.7%

    Kill by Ashtan Dodson (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · STETSN 24-26 FURMAN · FURMAN 85% → 91%

  2. 02
    Ashtan DodsonKill+5.4%

    Kill by Ashtan Dodson (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · STETSN 23-24 FURMAN · FURMAN 80% → 85%

  3. 03

    Kill by Andrea Diaz Dominguez (set by Maia Keely Pou)

    Set 1 · STETSN 24-24 FURMAN · STETSN 15% → 20%

  4. 04
    Kacie MooreKill+5.4%

    Kill by Kacie Moore (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · STETSN 24-25 FURMAN · FURMAN 80% → 85%

  5. 05
    Maia Keely PouBad set+4.4%

    Bad set by Maia Keely Pou

    Set 1 · STETSN 21-22 FURMAN · FURMAN 79% → 83%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jannelize Perez (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · STETSN 21-20 FURMAN · STETSN 20% → 24%

  7. 07

    Kill by Andrea Diaz Dominguez (set by Vitoria Stedile)

    Set 1 · STETSN 23-23 FURMAN · STETSN 16% → 20%

  8. 08
    Amber WatsonKill+4.2%

    Kill by Amber Watson (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · STETSN 22-23 FURMAN · FURMAN 80% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39323.261002810009
33313.000131150031.55.5
3209.222000101224
33312.00000011010.53.5
3003.0001200500000
2216.167000100213
37417.176000001229
31011.0001011310001
3000–200600000
22210.000000000002
11011.000000000001
1000–100000000
1000–000120000
1000–000000000
Team totals301695.1472914415210768
Furmanhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313324.41700120010.513.5
311524.2500000000011
38524.1251019004210
36617.000000000217
3217.14310410233.55.5
3207.2862603700002
3004.000043400004
3000–501600000
24110.300000300004
2102.5001010500002
2000–100310000
Team totals4721119.21844513401210776

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 STETSN · FURMAN 7

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 STETSNFURMAN 7

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 6 STETSNFURMAN 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 6 STETSNFURMAN 6

Bars above the line = Furman leads, below = Stetson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stetson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
54%7/13
2
39%7/18
22%2/9
3
50%7/14
30%3/10
4
67%6/9
50%7/14
5
60%6/10
45%5/11
6
42%5/12
50%6/12
All
51%38/75
43%30/69

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
54%7/13
2
88%7/8
67%14/21
3
70%7/10
36%4/11
4
38%6/16
50%6/12
5
50%6/12
25%2/8
6
43%6/14
40%4/10
All
57%39/69
49%37/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

144 rallies

#STETSN-FURMANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FURMANSTETSNBlockedAmber Watsonblk Soraya Teston, Kayla Balfour+1.4
21-1STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.3
32-1FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+1.4
42-2STETSNFURMANServe errStetson+1.3
52-3FURMANFURMANKillKacie Moore+1.5
63-3FURMANSTETSNKillVanessa Shevchenkoset Maia Keely Pou+1.3
73-4STETSNFURMANServe errStetson+1.3
84-4FURMANSTETSNKillSofia Torcelloset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.4
94-5STETSNFURMANBlockedLelia Fitzblk Kacie Moore, Ashtan Dodson+1.3
104-6FURMANFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.5
115-6FURMANSTETSNKillLelia Fitzset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.2
125-7STETSNFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.2
136-7FURMANSTETSNKillKayla Balfourset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.3
147-7STETSNSTETSNAttack errIzzy Castelloe+1.8
157-8STETSNFURMANAttack errSoraya Teston+1.4
167-9FURMANFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.6
178-9FURMANSTETSNBlockedIzzy Castelloeblk Vanessa Shevchenko, Kayla Balfour+1.4
189-9STETSNSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou+1.9
199-10STETSNFURMAN×7KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.5
209-11FURMANFURMAN×7BlockedKayla Balfourblk Rebekah Buchholz+1.8
219-12FURMANFURMAN×7AceFurmanaced Jannelize Perez+1.5
229-13FURMANFURMAN×7AceFurmanaced Maria Ozaeta+1.3
239-14FURMANFURMAN×7AceFurmanaced Maria Ozaeta+1.0
249-15FURMANFURMAN×7Bad setKayla Balfour+0.8
259-16FURMANFURMAN×7KillAshtan Dodsonset Emily Navarro+0.5
2610-16FURMANSTETSNAttack errIzzy Castelloe+0.3
2711-16STETSNSTETSNBlockedAshtan Dodsonblk Vanessa Shevchenko, Sofia Torcello+0.6
2811-17STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.6
2912-17FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+0.5
3013-17STETSNSTETSNAttack errKacie Moore+0.8
3113-18STETSNFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.9
3214-18FURMANSTETSN×3Serve errFurman+0.7
3315-18STETSNSTETSN×3KillSoraya Testonset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.2
3416-18STETSNSTETSN×3KillSofia Torcelloset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.7
3516-19STETSNFURMANAttack errSoraya Teston+1.6
3617-19FURMANSTETSN×3Serve errFurman+1.4
3718-19STETSNSTETSN×3Bad setEmily Navarro+2.5
3819-19STETSNSTETSN×3KillKayla Balfourset Vanessa Shevchenko+3.2
3919-20STETSNFURMANKillEmily Navarro+2.7
4020-20FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+2.9
4121-20STETSNSTETSNKillJannelize Perezset Emily Navarro+4.3
4221-21STETSNFURMANKillEmily Navarroset Tiffany Helmer+3.3
4321-22FURMANFURMANBad setMaia Keely Pou+4.4
4422-22FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+3.6
4522-23STETSNFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+4.2
4623-23FURMANSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vitoria Stedile+4.2
4723-24STETSNFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Emily Navarro+5.4
4824-24FURMANSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou+5.4
4924-25STETSNFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+5.4
5024-26FURMANFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Emily Navarro+5.7
Set 2
10-1STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.9
21-1FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+0.9
31-2STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.9
42-2FURMANSTETSN×3Serve errFurman+1.0
53-2STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errKacie Moore+1.3
64-2STETSNSTETSN×3KillZuzanna Buryset Maia Keely Pou+1.4
74-3STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.0
85-3FURMANSTETSN×6Attack errAshtan Dodson+1.2
96-3STETSNSTETSN×6Attack errKacie Moore+1.5
107-3STETSNSTETSN×6KillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vitoria Stedile+1.5
118-3STETSNSTETSN×6AceVanessa Shevchenkoaced Tiffany Helmer+1.5
129-3STETSNSTETSN×6BlockedAshtan Dodsonblk Lelia Fitz, Sofia Torcello+1.4
1310-3STETSNSTETSN×6KillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.3
1410-4STETSNFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.8
1511-4FURMANSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.1
1611-5STETSNFURMANServe errStetson+0.8
1712-5FURMANSTETSNKillLelia Fitzset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.1
1813-5STETSNSTETSNKillSoraya Testonset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.1
1913-6STETSNFURMAN×4Attack errVanessa Shevchenko+0.6
2013-7FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errSoraya Teston+0.9
2113-8FURMANFURMAN×4KillAmber Watsonset Rebekah Buchholz+1.1
2213-9FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+1.3
2314-9FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+1.4
2414-10STETSNFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.0
2514-11FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurmanaced Soraya Teston+1.5
2614-12FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errVanessa Shevchenko+1.7
2714-13FURMANFURMAN×4Bad setMaia Keely Pou+1.8
2815-13FURMANSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou+1.7
2915-14STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.5
3016-14FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+1.8
3116-15STETSNFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.6
3216-16FURMANFURMAN×4KillCampbell Woodsset Morgan Baldridge+2.0
3316-17FURMANFURMAN×4KillAshtan Dodsonset Kennedy Seekford+2.0
3416-18FURMANFURMAN×4KillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
3517-18FURMANSTETSNKillVanessa Shevchenkoset Maia Keely Pou+1.4
3618-18STETSNSTETSNBlockedKacie Mooreblk Lelia Fitz+2.2
3718-19STETSNFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Kennedy Seekford+1.8
3819-19FURMANSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko+2.0
3920-19STETSNSTETSNBad setMorgan Baldridge+2.9
4020-20STETSNFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+2.2
4120-21FURMANFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Morgan Baldridge+2.8
4220-22FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedAndrea Diaz Dominguezblk Rebekah Buchholz+2.5
4321-22FURMANSTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.8
4421-23STETSNFURMAN×3KillMorgan Baldridgeset Ashtan Dodson+2.3
4521-24FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedKarsu Bayraktarblk Izzy Castelloe, Rebekah Buchholz+1.9
4621-25FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errLelia Fitz+0.7
Set 3
11-0FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+0.5
22-0STETSNSTETSNAttack errRebekah Buchholz+0.7
32-1STETSNFURMAN×6KillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.5
42-2FURMANFURMAN×6KillAshtan Dodsonset Kennedy Seekford+0.6
52-3FURMANFURMAN×6Attack errLelia Fitz+0.6
62-4FURMANFURMAN×6BlockedVanessa Shevchenkoblk Rebekah Buchholz, Ashtan Dodson+0.5
72-5FURMANFURMAN×6Bad setMaia Keely Pou+0.5
82-6FURMANFURMAN×6BlockedLelia Fitzblk Ashtan Dodson, Rebekah Buchholz+0.4
93-6FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+0.3
103-7STETSNFURMAN×4KillRebekah Buchholzset Emily Navarro+0.3
113-8FURMANFURMAN×4KillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.3
123-9FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.3
133-10FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedAndrea Diaz Dominguezblk Ashtan Dodson, Kacie Moore+0.2
144-10FURMANSTETSNKillVanessa Shevchenkoset Maia Keely Pou+0.1
154-11STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.2
164-12FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Andrea Diaz Dominguez+0.2
175-12FURMANSTETSN×3BlockedKacie Mooreblk Sofia Torcello+0.1
186-12STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errAshtan Dodson+0.2
197-12STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errAshtan Dodson+0.2
207-13STETSNFURMANServe errStetson+0.2
217-14FURMANFURMANAttack errKarsu Bayraktar+0.2
228-14FURMANSTETSN×4KillSoraya Testonset Jannelize Perez+0.1
239-14STETSNSTETSN×4Attack errAmber Watson+0.2
2410-14STETSNSTETSN×4Attack errCampbell Woods+0.3
2511-14STETSNSTETSN×4Bad setMorgan Baldridge+0.4
2611-15STETSNFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
2711-16FURMANFURMAN×3KillRebekah Buchholzset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
2811-17FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
2912-17FURMANSTETSNKillLelia Fitzset Vanessa Shevchenko+0.2
3012-18STETSNFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.2
3113-18FURMANSTETSNKillLelia Fitzset Maia Keely Pou+0.2
3213-19STETSNFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+0.2
3314-19FURMANSTETSNKillLelia Fitzset Maia Keely Pou+0.1
3414-20STETSNFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.2
3515-20FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman+0.1
3615-21STETSNFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Emily Navarro+0.2
3715-22FURMANFURMANAttack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez+0.1
3816-22FURMANSTETSNAttack errKacie Moore·
3916-23STETSNFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Kennedy Seekford+0.1
4017-23FURMANSTETSNServe errFurman·
4117-24STETSNFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Morgan Baldridge·
4218-24FURMANSTETSN×6KillKarsu Bayraktarset Larissa Hiemer·
4319-24STETSNSTETSN×6Attack errAmber Watson·
4420-24STETSNSTETSN×6KillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou+0.1
4521-24STETSNSTETSN×6KillLelia Fitzset Maia Keely Pou+0.2
4622-24STETSNSTETSN×6KillLelia Fitzset Maia Keely Pou+0.4
4723-24STETSNSTETSN×6BlockedAmber Watsonblk Vanessa Shevchenko, Lelia Fitz+1.0
4823-25STETSNFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.7

Score shown after each rally, Stetson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).