Ball St. def. Furman 3–1
Ball St. beat Furman 3-1 (25-16, 25-16, 23-25, 25-18) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. Ball St.'s Ava Smith led with 16 kills, and Sophie Ledbetter added 26 digs.
Data through · final Sep 12
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FURMAN | 16 | 16 | 25 | 18 | 1 |
| BALLST | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.0% to Furman — set 4, FURMAN 5-4 BALLST. Madison Buckley stuffed by Amber Watson & Rebekah Buchholz. BALLST win probability 92% → 90%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Furman wins
Ball St. wins
- FURMAN break %
- 37.5% vs this opp
- BALLST break %
- 46.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Amber Watson&Rebekah BuchholzBlock+2.0%
Madison Buckley stuffed by Amber Watson & Rebekah Buchholz
Set 4 · FURMAN 5-4 BALLST · FURMAN 8% → 10%
- 02FurmanAce+2.0%
Furman ace on Ava Smith
Set 4 · FURMAN 8-8 BALLST · FURMAN 6% → 8%
- 03Izzy CastelloeKill+1.9%
Kill by Izzy Castelloe (set by Emily Navarro)
Set 3 · FURMAN 25-23 BALLST · FURMAN 5% → 7%
- 04Tiffany SnookKill+1.8%
Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 4 · FURMAN 9-11 BALLST · BALLST 93% → 95%
- 05Audrey GeerKill+1.7%
Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Reese Axness)
Set 4 · FURMAN 5-6 BALLST · BALLST 92% → 93%
- 06Rebekah BuchholzKill+1.7%
Kill by Rebekah Buchholz (set by Emily Navarro)
Set 4 · FURMAN 1-0 BALLST · FURMAN 7% → 9%
- 07Rebekah BuchholzKill+1.7%
Kill by Rebekah Buchholz (set by Morgan Baldridge)
Set 4 · FURMAN 17-19 BALLST · FURMAN 3% → 4%
- 08Amber WatsonAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Amber Watson
Set 4 · FURMAN 18-21 BALLST · BALLST 96% → 98%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 1 | 34 | .441 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .143 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .273 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 27 | -.074 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -.105 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | -.125 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 37 | 24 | 145 | .090 | 37 | 4 | 13 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 38 | .316 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .643 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 34 | .088 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 25 | .160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 19 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -.286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 27 | .148 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 23 | 152 | .217 | 55 | 4 | 9 | 78 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 98 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
16-25
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
18-25
Bars above the line = Ball St. leads, below = Furman leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Furman
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%7/15 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 100%7/7 | 46%6/13 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 46%6/13 | 0%0/6 |
| 6 | 38%6/16 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 53%39/73 | 32%18/57 |
Ball St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%8/15 | 68%15/22 |
| 2 | 88%7/8 | 0%0/7 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 100%6/6 | 57%8/14 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 68%39/57 | 47%34/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
173 rallies
| # | FURMAN-BALLST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +1.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +1.0 |
| 3 | 0-3 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +0.9 |
| 4 | 0-4 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +0.7 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Madison Buckley | +0.9 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.6 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Reese Axness | +0.7 |
| 10 | 3-7 | BALLST | BALLST | Blocked | Ashley Stein | blk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise | +0.8 |
| 11 | 4-7 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +0.5 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Ava Smith | +0.9 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 14 | 6-8 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +0.7 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 16 | 6-10 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | Ball St. | +0.8 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | +0.7 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | BALLST | FURMAN | Blocked | Gwen Crull | blk Kacie Moore, Morgan Baldridge | +0.4 |
| 19 | 7-12 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BALLST | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Lauren Haynes | set Kennedy Seekford | +0.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Blocked | Audrey Geer | blk Rebekah Buchholz, Izzy Castelloe | +0.8 |
| 22 | 10-12 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | FURMAN | BALLST×4 | Serve err | Furman | +0.8 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Audrey Geer | +0.9 |
| 25 | 10-15 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.7 |
| 26 | 10-16 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.5 |
| 27 | 11-16 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Rebekah Buchholz | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.3 |
| 30 | 12-18 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.2 |
| 32 | 13-19 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +0.3 |
| 33 | 13-20 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | · | |
| 38 | 15-23 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Campbell Woods | · | |
| 40 | 16-24 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Morgan Baldridge | · |
| 41 | 16-25 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +0.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Emily Navarro | +0.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Ava Smith | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Ashley Stein | +0.7 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Campbell Woods | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BALLST | FURMAN | Blocked | Tiffany Snook | blk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein | +0.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 14 | 5-9 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Kacie Moore | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | BALLST | FURMAN | Blocked | Audrey Geer | blk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods | +0.4 |
| 16 | 7-9 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Kill | Lauren Haynes | set Kennedy Seekford | +0.7 |
| 17 | 7-10 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | Ball St. | aced Lauren Haynes | +0.6 |
| 19 | 7-12 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Blocked | Lauren Haynes | blk Tiffany Snook, Gwen Crull | +0.5 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Campbell Woods | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Gwen Crull | +0.6 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.5 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Gwen Crull | +0.4 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +0.5 |
| 25 | 11-14 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Emily Navarro | +0.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.5 |
| 27 | 12-15 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Emily Navarro | +0.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +0.5 |
| 29 | 12-17 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 30 | 13-17 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.4 |
| 32 | 14-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Campbell Woods | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Ace | Furman | aced Ava Smith | +0.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | FURMAN | BALLST×6 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 35 | 15-20 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 36 | 15-21 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Blocked | Campbell Woods | blk Audrey Geer, Leah Pike | +0.3 |
| 37 | 15-22 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | · | |
| 39 | 15-24 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Attack err | Campbell Woods | · | |
| 40 | 16-24 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Lauren Haynes | set Kennedy Seekford | · |
| 41 | 16-25 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BALLST | FURMAN | Bad set | Reese Axness | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Ace | Furman | aced Ava Smith | +0.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.3 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | BALLST | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Ashley Stein | set Kennedy Seekford | +0.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Kacie Moore | +0.5 |
| 8 | 6-2 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Rebekah Buchholz | +0.6 |
| 9 | 7-2 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Ashley Stein | set Emily Navarro | +0.6 |
| 10 | 7-3 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Emily Navarro | +0.4 |
| 12 | 8-4 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.3 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | BALLST | BALLST | Blocked | Kacie Moore | blk Camryn Wise | +0.5 |
| 14 | 9-5 | BALLST | FURMAN | Blocked | Tiffany Snook | blk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein | +0.5 |
| 15 | 9-6 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.4 |
| 16 | 10-6 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Amber Watson | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.5 |
| 17 | 11-6 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Bad set | Lindsey Green | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Leah Pike | set Lindsey Green | +0.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +0.5 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Amber Watson | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.2 |
| 25 | 15-10 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +0.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 28 | 16-12 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +0.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 30 | 17-13 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +0.6 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | FURMAN | BALLST | Blocked | Ashley Stein | blk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise | +0.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Campbell Woods | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Campbell Woods | set Kacie Moore | +0.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 35 | 18-17 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.8 |
| 36 | 18-18 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | Ball St. | aced Kennedy Seekford | +0.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.7 |
| 38 | 19-19 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 39 | 19-20 | BALLST | BALLST | Blocked | Amber Watson | blk Leah Pike, Madison Buckley | +0.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BALLST | FURMAN×4 | Blocked | Leah Pike | blk Amber Watson, Rebekah Buchholz | +0.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Kennedy Seekford | +1.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Attack err | Madison Buckley | +1.3 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +1.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | Furman | +0.5 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.9 |
| 46 | 24-22 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Camryn Wise | +1.0 |
| 48 | 25-23 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +1.9 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Emily Navarro | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +1.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +1.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | FURMAN | BALLST | Blocked | Ashley Stein | blk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise | +1.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Amber Watson | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Amber Watson | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Blocked | Madison Buckley | blk Amber Watson, Rebekah Buchholz | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Amber Watson | +1.6 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | BALLST | FURMAN | Blocked | Ava Smith | blk Campbell Woods, Rebekah Buchholz | +1.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +1.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | Ball St. | +1.2 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Ace | Furman | aced Ava Smith | +2.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +1.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +1.5 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | FURMAN | BALLST×5 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +1.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +1.8 |
| 21 | 9-12 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +1.5 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Kacie Moore | +1.2 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.9 |
| 24 | 10-14 | BALLST | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | FURMAN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.1 | |||
| 26 | 12-14 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.5 |
| 27 | 12-15 | FURMAN | BALLST×4 | Kill | Lindsey Green | set Sophie Ledbetter | +1.2 |
| 28 | 12-16 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Audrey Geer | +1.3 |
| 29 | 12-17 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Sophie Ledbetter | +1.0 |
| 30 | 12-18 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Alana Bailey | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 31 | 13-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Campbell Woods | +0.3 |
| 32 | 14-18 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Alana Bailey | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 34 | 15-19 | BALLST | FURMAN×3 | Blocked | Ava Smith | blk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods | +0.5 |
| 35 | 16-19 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Ace | Furman | aced Audrey Geer | +1.1 |
| 36 | 17-19 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.7 |
| 37 | 17-20 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.5 |
| 38 | 18-20 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Amber Watson | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.3 |
| 39 | 18-21 | FURMAN | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Amber Watson | +1.6 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Bad set | Emily Navarro | +1.4 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +0.7 |
| 42 | 18-24 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Izzy Castelloe | +0.2 | |
| 43 | 18-25 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Ace | Ball St. | aced Kennedy Seekford | · |
Score shown after each rally, Furman first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).