CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026
Furman logo

AwaySOCON

1:3

Ball St. def. Furman 31

(25-16, 25-16, 23-25, 25-18)
Set1234*Sets
FURMAN161625181
BALLST252523253
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BALLST above 50 · FURMAN below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100BALLSTFURMANBiggest swing +1.9% FURMAN · S4 5-4rally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Furman — set 4, FURMAN 5-4 BALLST. Madison Buckley stuffed by Amber Watson & Rebekah Buchholz. BALLST win probability 93%91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FURMAN 10.1%89.9% BALLST

Furman wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
3.1%
3-2
5.7%

Ball St. wins

3-0
44.3%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.0%
FURMAN break %
37.3% vs this opp
BALLST break %
47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Madison BuckleyAttack error+1.9%

    Madison Buckley stuffed by Amber Watson & Rebekah Buchholz

    Set 4 · FURMAN 5-4 BALLST · FURMAN 7%9%

  2. 02
    FURMAN serverAce+1.8%

    Furman ace on Ava Smith

    Set 4 · FURMAN 8-8 BALLST · FURMAN 6%8%

  3. 03

    Kill by Izzy Castelloe (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 3 · FURMAN 25-23 BALLST · FURMAN 5%7%

  4. 04
    Tiffany SnookKill+1.7%

    Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 9-11 BALLST · BALLST 94%95%

  5. 05

    Kill by Rebekah Buchholz (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 1-0 BALLST · FURMAN 7%8%

  6. 06
    Audrey GeerKill+1.6%

    Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Reese Axness)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 5-6 BALLST · BALLST 92%94%

  7. 07

    Kill by Rebekah Buchholz (set by Morgan Baldridge)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 17-19 BALLST · FURMAN 2%4%

  8. 08
    Amber WatsonAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Amber Watson

    Set 4 · FURMAN 18-21 BALLST · BALLST 96%98%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Furmanaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416134.44100020010.516.5
46321.14320000052.58.5
44111.273103000426
42427-.0740011200213
43516-.1250031010003
4001.0001915700001
43519-.10510010031.54.5
40005202220002
400090160010.50.5
23516-.125010400215
1000000100000
1000000000000
Team totals3724145.09037413654018975
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416438.3160029300016
49014.64310000132.511.5
49634.08820214102110
47325.16000030010.57.5
40001901800000
2137-.28600000010.51.5
410627.1480004004212
40006312600003
41011.0002702700001
2113.00000010031.52.5
2000000500000
1203.667011100003
1000000000000
Team totals5623152.2175549784114898

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 FURMAN · BALLST 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 FURMANBALLST 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 FURMANBALLST 6

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 FURMANBALLST 3

Set 4*

18-25

Longest run 3 FURMANBALLST 5

Bars above the line = Ball St. leads, below = Furman leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
36%4/11
2
100%7/7
46%6/13
3
64%7/11
13%1/8
4
55%6/11
45%5/11
5
46%6/13
0%0/6
6
38%6/16
25%2/8
All
53%39/73
32%18/57

Ball St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
68%15/22
2
88%7/8
0%0/7
3
60%6/10
36%4/11
4
86%6/7
25%2/8
5
100%6/6
57%8/14
6
55%6/11
45%5/11
All
68%39/57
47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

173 rallies

Rally log

#FURMAN-BALLSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BALLSTBALLST×4KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.0
20-2BALLSTBALLST×4KillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+0.9
30-3BALLSTBALLST×4KillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+0.8
40-4BALLSTBALLST×4KillAva Smithset Reese Axness+0.6
51-4BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.5
62-4FURMANFURMANAttack errMadison Buckley+0.8
72-5FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.6
83-5BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.6
93-6FURMANBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Reese Axness+0.6
103-7BALLSTBALLSTAttack errAshley Steinblk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise+0.7
114-7BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.5
125-7FURMANFURMANAttack errAva Smith+0.8
135-8FURMANBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.6
146-8BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.6
156-9FURMANBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.6
166-10BALLSTBALLST×3AceBALLST serveraced Team+0.8
176-11BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errLauren Haynes+0.6
187-11BALLSTFURMANAttack errGwen Crullblk Kacie Moore, Morgan Baldridge+0.4
197-12FURMANBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.4
208-12BALLSTFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+0.4
219-12FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errAudrey Geerblk Rebekah Buchholz, Izzy Castelloe+0.7
2210-12FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errAudrey Geer+1.0
2310-13FURMANBALLST×4Serve errFURMAN server+0.7
2410-14BALLSTBALLST×4KillAva Smithset Audrey Geer+0.8
2510-15BALLSTBALLST×4KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.6
2610-16BALLSTBALLST×4KillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+0.4
2711-16BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.2
2811-17FURMANBALLSTAttack errRebekah Buchholz+0.3
2912-17BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.2
3012-18FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.3
3113-18BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.2
3213-19FURMANBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.3
3313-20BALLSTBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.2
3414-20BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.1
3514-21FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.1
3614-22BALLSTBALLSTAttack errLauren Haynes+0.1
3715-22BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.0
3815-23FURMANBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.0
3915-24BALLSTBALLSTAttack errCampbell Woods+0.0
4016-24BALLSTFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Morgan Baldridge+0.0
4116-25FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.0
Set 2
10-1FURMANBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.5
21-1BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.5
31-2FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.5
42-2BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.6
52-3FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.5
63-3BALLSTFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.6
74-3FURMANFURMANAttack errAva Smith+0.9
84-4FURMANBALLST×3Attack errAshley Stein+0.6
94-5BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errCampbell Woods+0.8
104-6BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.7
115-6BALLSTFURMANAttack errTiffany Snookblk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein+0.5
125-7FURMANBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.5
135-8BALLSTBALLST×3KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+0.6
145-9BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errKacie Moore+0.5
156-9BALLSTFURMANAttack errAudrey Geerblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+0.4
167-9FURMANFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+0.6
177-10FURMANBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.5
187-11BALLSTBALLST×3AceBALLST serveraced Lauren Haynes+0.5
197-12BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errLauren Haynesblk Tiffany Snook, Gwen Crull+0.4
208-12BALLSTFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
219-12FURMANFURMANAttack errGwen Crull+0.5
229-13FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.4
2310-13BALLSTFURMANAttack errGwen Crull+0.4
2410-14FURMANBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+0.4
2511-14BALLSTFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Emily Navarro+0.4
2611-15FURMANBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.4
2712-15BALLSTFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.4
2812-16FURMANBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+0.4
2912-17BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.4
3013-17BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.3
3113-18FURMANBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.3
3214-18BALLSTFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Morgan Baldridge+0.2
3315-18FURMANFURMANAceFURMAN serveraced Ava Smith+0.5
3415-19FURMANBALLST×6KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+0.5
3515-20BALLSTBALLST×6KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.4
3615-21BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errCampbell Woodsblk Audrey Geer, Leah Pike+0.2
3715-22BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errLauren Haynes+0.1
3815-23BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errLauren Haynes+0.0
3915-24BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errCampbell Woods+0.0
4016-24BALLSTFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+0.0
4116-25FURMANBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.0
Set 3
11-0BALLSTFURMANBad setReese Axness+0.3
22-0FURMANFURMANAceFURMAN serveraced Ava Smith+0.4
32-1FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.3
43-1BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.3
53-2FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.3
64-2BALLSTFURMAN×4KillAshley Steinset Kennedy Seekford+0.3
75-2FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Kacie Moore+0.5
86-2FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Rebekah Buchholz+0.5
97-2FURMANFURMAN×4KillAshley Steinset Emily Navarro+0.5
107-3FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.3
118-3BALLSTFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.4
128-4FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.3
138-5BALLSTBALLSTAttack errKacie Mooreblk Camryn Wise+0.5
149-5BALLSTFURMANAttack errTiffany Snookblk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein+0.4
159-6FURMANBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.3
1610-6BALLSTFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
1711-6FURMANFURMANBad setLindsey Green+0.6
1811-7FURMANBALLSTKillLeah Pikeset Lindsey Green+0.3
1912-7BALLSTFURMANAttack errAudrey Geer+0.4
2013-7FURMANFURMANAttack errAudrey Geer+0.5
2113-8FURMANBALLSTAttack errAmber Watson+0.3
2214-8BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+0.4
2315-8FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.5
2415-9FURMANBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+0.2
2515-10BALLSTBALLST×3KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.4
2615-11BALLSTBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Reese Axness+0.5
2716-11BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.5
2816-12FURMANBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+0.3
2916-13BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.5
3017-13BALLSTFURMANAttack errTiffany Snook+0.5
3117-14FURMANBALLSTAttack errAshley Steinblk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise+0.4
3217-15BALLSTBALLSTAttack errCampbell Woods+0.6
3318-15BALLSTFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Kacie Moore+0.6
3418-16FURMANBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.5
3518-17BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.7
3618-18BALLSTBALLST×3AceBALLST serveraced Kennedy Seekford+0.8
3719-18BALLSTFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.7
3819-19FURMANBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+0.6
3919-20BALLSTBALLSTAttack errAmber Watsonblk Leah Pike, Madison Buckley+0.8
4020-20BALLSTFURMAN×4Attack errLeah Pikeblk Amber Watson, Rebekah Buchholz+0.6
4121-20FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+1.1
4222-20FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errMadison Buckley+1.2
4323-20FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.1
4423-21FURMANBALLSTServe errFURMAN server+0.4
4524-21BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.9
4624-22FURMANBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.3
4724-23BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Camryn Wise+0.9
4825-23BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.8
Set 4
11-0FURMANFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Emily Navarro+1.6
21-1FURMANBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.1
32-1BALLSTFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+1.3
42-2FURMANBALLSTAttack errAshley Steinblk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise+1.1
52-3BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+1.5
63-3BALLSTFURMANAttack errTiffany Snook+1.2
73-4FURMANBALLSTAttack errAmber Watson+1.1
84-4BALLSTFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.2
95-4FURMANFURMANAttack errMadison Buckleyblk Amber Watson, Rebekah Buchholz+1.9
105-5FURMANBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Reese Axness+1.2
115-6BALLSTBALLST×3KillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.6
125-7BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errAmber Watson+1.4
136-7BALLSTFURMANAttack errAva Smithblk Campbell Woods, Rebekah Buchholz+1.1
146-8FURMANBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.0
157-8BALLSTFURMANServe errBALLST server+1.1
168-8FURMANFURMANAceFURMAN serveraced Ava Smith+1.8
178-9FURMANBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.3
189-9BALLSTFURMANAttack errTiffany Snook+1.4
199-10FURMANBALLST×5KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+1.3
209-11BALLSTBALLST×5KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.7
219-12BALLSTBALLST×5KillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.4
229-13BALLSTBALLST×5Attack errKacie Moore+1.1
239-14BALLSTBALLST×5KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.8
2410-14BALLSTFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Emily Navarro+0.5
2511-14FURMANFURMAN×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.0
2612-14FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+1.4
2712-15FURMANBALLST×4KillLindsey Greenset Sophie Ledbetter+1.1
2812-16BALLSTBALLST×4KillAva Smithset Audrey Geer+1.2
2912-17BALLSTBALLST×4KillTiffany Snookset Sophie Ledbetter+0.9
3012-18BALLSTBALLST×4KillAlana Baileyset Lindsey Green+0.6
3113-18BALLSTFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Campbell Woods+0.3
3214-18FURMANFURMANAttack errAudrey Geer+0.6
3314-19FURMANBALLSTKillAlana Baileyset Lindsey Green+0.6
3415-19BALLSTFURMAN×3Attack errAva Smithblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+0.5
3516-19FURMANFURMAN×3AceFURMAN serveraced Audrey Geer+1.0
3617-19FURMANFURMAN×3KillRebekah Buchholzset Morgan Baldridge+1.6
3717-20FURMANBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+1.4
3818-20BALLSTFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.2
3918-21FURMANBALLST×5Attack errAmber Watson+1.5
4018-22BALLSTBALLST×5Bad setEmily Navarro+1.3
4118-23BALLSTBALLST×5KillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+0.7
4218-24BALLSTBALLST×5Attack errIzzy Castelloe+0.2
4318-25BALLSTBALLST×5AceBALLST serveraced Kennedy Seekford+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Furman first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.