Ball St. def. Furman 3–1
(25-16, 25-16, 23-25, 25-18)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FURMAN | 16 | 16 | 25 | 18 | 1 |
| BALLST | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 3 |
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.9% to Furman — set 4, FURMAN 5-4 BALLST. Madison Buckley stuffed by Amber Watson & Rebekah Buchholz. BALLST win probability 93% → 91%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Furman wins
Ball St. wins
- FURMAN break %
- 37.3% vs this opp
- BALLST break %
- 47.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Madison BuckleyAttack error+1.9%
Madison Buckley stuffed by Amber Watson & Rebekah Buchholz
Set 4 · FURMAN 5-4 BALLST · FURMAN 7% → 9%
- 02FURMAN serverAce+1.8%
Furman ace on Ava Smith
Set 4 · FURMAN 8-8 BALLST · FURMAN 6% → 8%
- 03Izzy CastelloeKill+1.8%
Kill by Izzy Castelloe (set by Emily Navarro)
Set 3 · FURMAN 25-23 BALLST · FURMAN 5% → 7%
- 04Tiffany SnookKill+1.7%
Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 4 · FURMAN 9-11 BALLST · BALLST 94% → 95%
- 05Rebekah BuchholzKill+1.6%
Kill by Rebekah Buchholz (set by Emily Navarro)
Set 4 · FURMAN 1-0 BALLST · FURMAN 7% → 8%
- 06Audrey GeerKill+1.6%
Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Reese Axness)
Set 4 · FURMAN 5-6 BALLST · BALLST 92% → 94%
- 07Rebekah BuchholzKill+1.6%
Kill by Rebekah Buchholz (set by Morgan Baldridge)
Set 4 · FURMAN 17-19 BALLST · FURMAN 2% → 4%
- 08Amber WatsonAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Amber Watson
Set 4 · FURMAN 18-21 BALLST · BALLST 96% → 98%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 1 | 34 | .441 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .143 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .273 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 27 | -.074 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -.105 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | -.125 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 37 | 24 | 145 | .090 | 37 | 4 | 13 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 38 | .316 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .643 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 34 | .088 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 25 | .160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 19 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -.286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 27 | .148 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 23 | 152 | .217 | 55 | 4 | 9 | 78 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 98 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
16-25
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
25-23
Set 4*
18-25
Bars above the line = Ball St. leads, below = Furman leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Furman
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%7/15 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 100%7/7 | 46%6/13 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 46%6/13 | 0%0/6 |
| 6 | 38%6/16 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 53%39/73 | 32%18/57 |
Ball St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%8/15 | 68%15/22 |
| 2 | 88%7/8 | 0%0/7 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 100%6/6 | 57%8/14 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 68%39/57 | 47%34/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
173 rallies
Rally log
| # | FURMAN-BALLST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +1.0 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.9 |
| 3 | 0-3 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +0.8 |
| 4 | 0-4 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +0.6 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Madison Buckley | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.6 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Reese Axness | +0.6 |
| 10 | 3-7 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Ashley Stein | blk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise | +0.7 |
| 11 | 4-7 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.5 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Ava Smith | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | BALLST server | aced Team | +0.8 |
| 17 | 6-11 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Gwen Crull | blk Kacie Moore, Morgan Baldridge | +0.4 |
| 19 | 7-12 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.4 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BALLST | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Lauren Haynes | set Kennedy Seekford | +0.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Attack err | Audrey Geer | blk Rebekah Buchholz, Izzy Castelloe | +0.7 |
| 22 | 10-12 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +1.0 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | FURMAN | BALLST×4 | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.7 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Audrey Geer | +0.8 |
| 25 | 10-15 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.6 |
| 26 | 10-16 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.4 |
| 27 | 11-16 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.2 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Rebekah Buchholz | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.2 |
| 30 | 12-18 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.2 |
| 32 | 13-19 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +0.3 |
| 33 | 13-20 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Campbell Woods | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 16-24 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.5 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.5 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Emily Navarro | +0.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Ava Smith | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Ashley Stein | +0.6 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Campbell Woods | +0.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | blk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein | +0.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 13 | 5-8 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 14 | 5-9 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Kacie Moore | +0.5 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Audrey Geer | blk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods | +0.4 |
| 16 | 7-9 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Kill | Lauren Haynes | set Kennedy Seekford | +0.6 |
| 17 | 7-10 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | BALLST server | aced Lauren Haynes | +0.5 |
| 19 | 7-12 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | blk Tiffany Snook, Gwen Crull | +0.4 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Campbell Woods | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Gwen Crull | +0.5 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Gwen Crull | +0.4 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +0.4 |
| 25 | 11-14 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Emily Navarro | +0.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Emily Navarro | +0.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +0.4 |
| 29 | 12-17 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +0.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.3 |
| 32 | 14-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Campbell Woods | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.2 |
| 33 | 15-18 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Ace | FURMAN server | aced Ava Smith | +0.5 |
| 34 | 15-19 | FURMAN | BALLST×6 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 35 | 15-20 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.4 |
| 36 | 15-21 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Attack err | Campbell Woods | blk Audrey Geer, Leah Pike | +0.2 |
| 37 | 15-22 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Attack err | Lauren Haynes | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 15-24 | BALLST | BALLST×6 | Attack err | Campbell Woods | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 16-24 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Lauren Haynes | set Kennedy Seekford | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BALLST | FURMAN | Bad set | Reese Axness | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Ace | FURMAN server | aced Ava Smith | +0.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.3 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.3 |
| 5 | 3-2 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | BALLST | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Ashley Stein | set Kennedy Seekford | +0.3 |
| 7 | 5-2 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Kacie Moore | +0.5 |
| 8 | 6-2 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Rebekah Buchholz | +0.5 |
| 9 | 7-2 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Ashley Stein | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 10 | 7-3 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Emily Navarro | +0.4 |
| 12 | 8-4 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.3 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Kacie Moore | blk Camryn Wise | +0.5 |
| 14 | 9-5 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | blk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein | +0.4 |
| 15 | 9-6 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.3 |
| 16 | 10-6 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Amber Watson | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.4 |
| 17 | 11-6 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Bad set | Lindsey Green | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Leah Pike | set Lindsey Green | +0.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +0.4 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +0.5 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Amber Watson | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.2 |
| 25 | 15-10 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +0.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 28 | 16-12 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +0.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 30 | 17-13 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +0.5 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Ashley Stein | blk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise | +0.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Campbell Woods | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Campbell Woods | set Kacie Moore | +0.6 |
| 34 | 18-16 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 35 | 18-17 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | BALLST server | aced Kennedy Seekford | +0.8 |
| 37 | 19-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Morgan Baldridge | +0.7 |
| 38 | 19-19 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 39 | 19-20 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Amber Watson | blk Leah Pike, Madison Buckley | +0.8 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BALLST | FURMAN×4 | Attack err | Leah Pike | blk Amber Watson, Rebekah Buchholz | +0.6 |
| 41 | 21-20 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Kennedy Seekford | +1.1 |
| 42 | 22-20 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Attack err | Madison Buckley | +1.2 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | FURMAN | FURMAN×4 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +1.1 |
| 44 | 23-21 | FURMAN | BALLST | Serve err | FURMAN server | +0.4 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.9 |
| 46 | 24-22 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Camryn Wise | +0.9 |
| 48 | 25-23 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +1.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Emily Navarro | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +1.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Ashley Stein | blk Tiffany Snook, Camryn Wise | +1.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +1.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | FURMAN | BALLST | Attack err | Amber Watson | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Amber Watson | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Madison Buckley | blk Amber Watson, Rebekah Buchholz | +1.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | FURMAN | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.2 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +1.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Amber Watson | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Ava Smith | blk Campbell Woods, Rebekah Buchholz | +1.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +1.0 |
| 15 | 7-8 | BALLST | FURMAN | Serve err | BALLST server | +1.1 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Ace | FURMAN server | aced Ava Smith | +1.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +1.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | BALLST | FURMAN | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +1.4 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | FURMAN | BALLST×5 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +1.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +1.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +1.4 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Kacie Moore | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.8 |
| 24 | 10-14 | BALLST | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Izzy Castelloe | set Emily Navarro | +0.5 |
| 25 | 11-14 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.0 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | FURMAN | BALLST×4 | Kill | Lindsey Green | set Sophie Ledbetter | +1.1 |
| 28 | 12-16 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Audrey Geer | +1.2 |
| 29 | 12-17 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.9 |
| 30 | 12-18 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Alana Bailey | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 31 | 13-18 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Kacie Moore | set Campbell Woods | +0.3 |
| 32 | 14-18 | FURMAN | FURMAN | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Alana Bailey | set Lindsey Green | +0.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | BALLST | FURMAN×3 | Attack err | Ava Smith | blk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods | +0.5 |
| 35 | 16-19 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Ace | FURMAN server | aced Audrey Geer | +1.0 |
| 36 | 17-19 | FURMAN | FURMAN×3 | Kill | Rebekah Buchholz | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.6 |
| 37 | 17-20 | FURMAN | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.4 |
| 38 | 18-20 | BALLST | FURMAN | Kill | Amber Watson | set Morgan Baldridge | +1.2 |
| 39 | 18-21 | FURMAN | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Amber Watson | +1.5 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Bad set | Emily Navarro | +1.3 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +0.7 |
| 42 | 18-24 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Izzy Castelloe | +0.2 | |
| 43 | 18-25 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Ace | BALLST server | aced Kennedy Seekford | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Furman first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.