Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

Tulsa def. New Mexico St. 3–1

Tulsa won at New Mexico St. 3-1 (25-20, 13-25, 25-21, 25-22) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Emma Blaine led Tulsa with 10 kills.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set1234Sets
TULSA251325253
NM ST202521221

Win probability

New Mexico St. above 50 · Tulsa below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.4% TULSArally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.4% to Tulsa — set 4, TULSA 24-22 NM ST. Tulsa ace. NM ST win probability 10% → 3%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TULSA 77.4%22.6% NM ST

Tulsa wins

3-0
29.1%
3-1
29.4%
3-2
18.9%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
3.8%
3-1
7.6%
3-2
11.1%
TULSA break %
45.6% vs this opp
NM ST break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    TulsaAce+6.4%

    Tulsa ace

    Set 4 · TULSA 24-22 NM ST · TULSA 90% → 97%

  2. 02
    Ava SteffeAttack error+6.1%

    Attack error by Ava Steffe

    Set 4 · TULSA 22-22 NM ST · NM ST 9% → 15%

  3. 03
    Olivia VanceKill+5.4%

    Kill by Olivia Vance (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 4 · TULSA 23-22 NM ST · TULSA 85% → 90%

  4. 04

    Kill by Isabella Ocampo (set by Brittany Bacorn)

    Set 3 · TULSA 23-21 NM ST · TULSA 76% → 81%

  5. 05

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Paige Nelson)

    Set 3 · TULSA 21-20 NM ST · NM ST 20% → 25%

  6. 06
    Emma BlaineAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Emma Blaine

    Set 4 · TULSA 17-18 NM ST · NM ST 14% → 19%

  7. 07
    Lilli SaldivarAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Lilli Saldivar

    Set 3 · TULSA 24-21 NM ST · TULSA 81% → 86%

  8. 08

    Maggie Lightheart stuffed by Maegan Mills & Campbell Hague

    Set 4 · TULSA 19-18 NM ST · TULSA 84% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tulsaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49318.3330023014312
49837.0270015212211
46316.18801110153.510.5
48727.03700080010.58.5
4013-.3333412800212
4000–011700001
410218.4440001014313
4001.000400600000
3102.500001200001
2123-.333000000001
2000–100300000
2000–200200000
2000–100000000
Team totals4426125.14442384624181388
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413732.18820390111.514.5
413636.1940122000014
48419.211001300219
47722.00000030010.57.5
4408.50000000233.57.5
4000–2412400001
43213.07700010212.55.5
4003.0001603800000
4000–000000000
4000–5032000000
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4826133.1654721450358988

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TULSA · NM ST 8

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 TULSANM ST 5

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 2 TULSANM ST 8

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 TULSANM ST 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 TULSANM ST 4

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
27%3/11
2
56%10/18
38%6/16
3
43%9/21
50%9/18
4
64%9/14
10%1/10
5
78%7/9
50%8/16
6
50%6/12
63%10/16
All
57%51/89
43%37/87

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
43%6/14
2
45%9/20
47%9/19
3
90%9/10
31%4/13
4
57%8/14
55%11/20
5
62%8/13
33%4/12
6
38%6/16
36%4/11
All
57%50/87
43%38/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#TULSA-NM STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.0
21-1NM STTULSAAttack errTess Fuqua+1.4
31-2TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.5
42-2NM STTULSA×5KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.4
53-2TULSATULSA×5Bad setPaige Nelson+1.9
64-2TULSATULSA×5KillMaegan Millsset Lauren Patterson+1.7
75-2TULSATULSA×5KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.6
86-2TULSATULSA×5Attack errTess Fuqua+1.4
96-3TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.0
107-3NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+1.0
117-4TULSANM STServe errTulsa+1.0
128-4NM STTULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.0
139-4TULSATULSA×3KillMaegan Mills+1.2
1410-4TULSATULSA×3BlockedAshley Hermanblk Campbell Hague+0.9
1510-5TULSANM STServe errTulsa+0.6
1611-5NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.7
1712-5TULSATULSABlockedTess Fuquablk Campbell Hague, Brittany Bacorn+0.7
1812-6TULSANM STServe errTulsa+0.4
1913-6NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
2013-7TULSANM STAttack errBrittany Bacorn+0.4
2114-7NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+0.5
2214-8TULSANM STServe errTulsa+0.4
2314-9NM STNM STBlockedOlivia Vanceblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+0.7
2415-9NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+0.7
2515-10TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.5
2616-10NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.7
2716-11TULSANM STBad setMaegan Mills+0.5
2817-11NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+0.7
2917-12TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.5
3018-12NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+0.6
3119-12TULSATULSABlockedLilli Saldivarblk Olivia Vance+0.5
3219-13TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+0.2
3320-13NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.4
3421-13TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Katrina Catalan+0.2
3521-14TULSANM STAttack errOlivia Vance+0.1
3621-15NM STNM STAttack errOlivia Vance+0.2
3722-15NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+0.3
3822-16TULSANM ST×5KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.1
3922-17NM STNM ST×5AceNew Mexico St.aced Olivia Vance+0.3
4022-18NM STNM ST×5BlockedJill Hansonblk Mia Fox+0.6
4122-19NM STNM ST×5Attack errOlivia Vance+1.1
4222-20NM STNM ST×5BlockedOlivia Vanceblk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox+1.9
4323-20NM STTULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+2.2
4424-20TULSATULSA×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+1.6
4525-20TULSATULSA×3KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.4
Set 2
10-1TULSANM STServe errTulsa+1.2
21-1NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.1
31-2TULSANM STServe errTulsa+1.2
42-2NM STTULSABlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Emma Blaine+1.1
52-3TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+1.2
62-4NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+1.7
73-4NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+1.2
83-5TULSANM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.3
94-5NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
105-5TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.6
115-6TULSANM STBlockedMaegan Millsblk Ashley Herman+1.3
125-7NM STNM STBad setOlivia Vance+1.9
136-7NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
147-7TULSATULSAAttack errJaelynn Kohli+1.7
157-8TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+1.4
167-9NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Maggie Lightheart+2.0
178-9NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
188-10TULSANM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.5
198-11NM STNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.1
208-12NM STNM ST×3BlockedJill Hansonblk Mia Fox+2.0
219-12NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
2210-12TULSATULSAAttack errTess Fuqua+1.9
2310-13TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.7
2411-13NM STTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.4
2511-14TULSANM ST×8KillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+1.7
2611-15NM STNM ST×8Bad setBrittany Bacorn+2.2
2711-16NM STNM ST×8BlockedCampbell Hagueblk Ashley Herman+1.9
2811-17NM STNM ST×8Attack errCampbell Hague+1.6
2911-18NM STNM ST×8KillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+1.2
3011-19NM STNM ST×8BlockedMaegan Millsblk Lilli Saldivar, Ashley Herman+0.8
3111-20NM STNM ST×8KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+0.5
3211-21NM STNM ST×8BlockedAva Steffeblk Maggie Lightheart+0.2
3312-21NM STTULSAKillAva Steffeset Lexi Dahl+0.1
3412-22TULSANM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.1
3512-23NM STNM ST×3Attack errOlivia Vance+0.1
3612-24NM STNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Makayla Martinez·
3713-24NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.·
3813-25TULSANM STBad setOlivia Vance·
Set 3
11-0NM STTULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
22-0TULSATULSA×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+2.5
33-0TULSATULSA×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+2.2
43-1TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.6
54-1NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.7
64-2TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.7
75-2NM STTULSABlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Campbell Hague, Brittany Bacorn+1.7
85-3TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.7
96-3NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.8
107-3TULSATULSAAttack errLilli Saldivar+2.1
117-4TULSANM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.5
128-4NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.6
138-5TULSANM ST×3Serve errTulsa+1.5
148-6NM STNM ST×3Attack errEmma Blaine+2.4
158-7NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.9
169-7NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.2
179-8TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+2.2
1810-8NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.3
1910-9TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.3
2010-10NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+3.5
2111-10NM STTULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.6
2212-10TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+3.3
2313-10TULSATULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+2.9
2413-11TULSANM STAttack errMaegan Mills+2.0
2514-11NM STTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+2.2
2614-12TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.1
2714-13NM STNM STAttack errCampbell Hague+3.5
2815-13NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.8
2915-14TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+2.7
3016-14NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.9
3116-15TULSANM STAttack errOlivia Vance+2.8
3217-15NM STTULSAAttack errMaggie Lightheart+3.0
3318-15TULSATULSABlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+3.5
3418-16TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.3
3519-16NM STTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+2.7
3620-16TULSATULSABlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Emma Blaine, Campbell Hague+2.8
3720-17TULSANM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.5
3821-17NM STTULSAKillJaelynn Kohli+2.0
3921-18TULSANM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.4
4021-19NM STNM ST×3BlockedMaegan Millsblk Mia Fox, Lilli Saldivar+3.0
4121-20NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+4.7
4222-20NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+4.4
4322-21TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+3.7
4423-21NM STTULSA×3KillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+5.0
4524-21TULSATULSA×3Attack errLilli Saldivar+4.5
4625-21TULSATULSA×3BlockedLilli Saldivarblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+1.6
Set 4
10-1TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.8
20-2NM STNM STAttack errJill Hanson+2.5
31-2NM STTULSABlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Jill Hanson+1.7
41-3TULSANM STAttack errMaegan Mills+2.0
51-4NM STNM STAttack errMaegan Mills+2.7
62-4NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.8
72-5TULSANM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.1
82-6NM STNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Makayla Martinez+2.8
92-7NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.7
103-7NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+1.6
113-8TULSANM ST×3Attack errOlivia Vance+2.1
123-9NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+2.5
133-10NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.2
144-10NM STTULSA×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+1.2
155-10TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+2.0
166-10TULSATULSA×3Attack errAshley Herman+2.3
176-11TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.1
187-11NM STTULSA×6Serve errNew Mexico St.+1.7
198-11TULSATULSA×6KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.6
209-11TULSATULSA×6BlockedTess Fuquablk Olivia Vance, Jill Hanson+2.9
2110-11TULSATULSA×6KillEmma Blaineset Rachel Megna+3.0
2211-11TULSATULSA×6Attack errMaggie Lightheart+3.1
2312-11TULSATULSA×6KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+3.0
2412-12TULSANM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.3
2512-13NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Brittany Bacorn+3.5
2612-14NM STNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Maggie Lightheart+3.7
2712-15NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Olivia Vance+3.7
2813-15NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.3
2914-15TULSATULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+3.5
3014-16TULSANM STServe errTulsa+3.1
3115-16NM STTULSA×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+2.7
3216-16TULSATULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Lauren Patterson+3.9
3317-16TULSATULSA×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+3.9
3417-17TULSANM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+3.0
3517-18NM STNM STAttack errEmma Blaine+4.6
3618-18NM STTULSAServe errNew Mexico St.+3.2
3719-18TULSATULSABlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Maegan Mills, Campbell Hague+4.5
3819-19TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+3.4
3920-19NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+3.6
4021-19TULSATULSABlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance+4.4
4121-20TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+2.9
4222-20NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+3.6
4322-21TULSANM STServe errTulsa+3.0
4422-22NM STNM STAttack errAva Steffe+6.1
4523-22NM STTULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+5.4
4624-22TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+6.4
4725-22TULSATULSA×3BlockedTess Fuquablk Emma Blaine, Jill Hanson+3.3

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).