CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026
Tulsa logo

AwayAMERICAN

3:1

Tulsa def. New Mexico St. 31

(25-20, 13-25, 25-21, 25-22)
Set1234Sets
TULSA251325253
NM ST202521221

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NM ST above 50 · TULSA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100NM STTULSABiggest swing +5.4% TULSA · S4 24-22rally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Tulsa — set 4, TULSA 24-22 NM ST. Tulsa ace on Team. NM ST win probability 8%3%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TULSA 83.8%16.2% NM ST

Tulsa wins

3-0
35.6%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
17.0%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
8.5%
TULSA break %
46.1% vs this opp
NM ST break %
38.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    TULSA serverAce+5.4%

    Tulsa ace on Team

    Set 4 · TULSA 24-22 NM ST · TULSA 92%97%

  2. 02
    Ava SteffeAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Ava Steffe

    Set 4 · TULSA 22-22 NM ST · NM ST 7%13%

  3. 03
    Olivia VanceKill+4.6%

    Kill by Olivia Vance (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 4 · TULSA 23-22 NM ST · TULSA 87%92%

  4. 04

    Kill by Isabella Ocampo (set by Brittany Bacorn)

    Set 3 · TULSA 23-21 NM ST · TULSA 80%85%

  5. 05

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Paige Nelson)

    Set 3 · TULSA 21-20 NM ST · NM ST 16%20%

  6. 06
    Emma BlaineAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Emma Blaine

    Set 4 · TULSA 17-18 NM ST · NM ST 12%16%

  7. 07
    Maggie LightheartAttack error+3.9%

    Maggie Lightheart stuffed by Maegan Mills & Campbell Hague

    Set 4 · TULSA 19-18 NM ST · TULSA 87%91%

  8. 08
    NM ST serverService error+3.9%

    New Mexico St. service error

    Set 3 · TULSA 22-20 NM ST · TULSA 80%84%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Tulsaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49318.3330023014312
49837.0270015212211
46316.18801110153.510.5
48727.03700080010.58.5
4013-.3333412800212
4000011700001
410218.4440001014313
4001.000400600000
3102.500001200001
2123-.333000000001
2000100300000
2000200200000
2000100000000
Team totals4426125.14442384624181388
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413732.18820390111.514.5
413636.1940122000014
48419.211001300219
47722.00000030010.57.5
4408.50000000233.57.5
40002412400001
43213.07700010212.55.5
4003.0001603800000
4000000000000
40005032000000
2000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals4826133.1654721450358988

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 TULSA · NM ST 8

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 TULSANM ST 5

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 2 TULSANM ST 8

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 TULSANM ST 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 TULSANM ST 4

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
27%3/11
2
56%10/18
38%6/16
3
43%9/21
50%9/18
4
64%9/14
10%1/10
5
78%7/9
50%8/16
6
50%6/12
63%10/16
All
57%51/89
43%37/87

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
43%6/14
2
45%9/20
47%9/19
3
90%9/10
31%4/13
4
57%8/14
55%11/20
5
62%8/13
33%4/12
6
38%6/16
36%4/11
All
57%50/87
43%38/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

176 rallies

Rally log

#TULSA-NM STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.6
21-1NM STTULSAAttack errTess Fuqua+1.1
31-2TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.3
42-2NM STTULSA×5KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
53-2TULSATULSA×5Bad setPaige Nelson+1.5
64-2TULSATULSA×5KillMaegan Millsset Lauren Patterson+1.4
75-2TULSATULSA×5KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
86-2TULSATULSA×5Attack errTess Fuqua+1.0
96-3TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.7
107-3NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.8
117-4TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+0.7
128-4NM STTULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
139-4TULSATULSA×3KillMaegan Mills+0.9
1410-4TULSATULSA×3Attack errAshley Hermanblk Campbell Hague+0.7
1510-5TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+0.4
1611-5NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
1712-5TULSATULSAAttack errTess Fuquablk Campbell Hague, Brittany Bacorn+0.5
1812-6TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+0.3
1913-6NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.4
2013-7TULSANM STAttack errBrittany Bacorn+0.3
2114-7NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.3
2214-8TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+0.3
2314-9NM STNM STAttack errOlivia Vanceblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+0.5
2415-9NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.5
2515-10TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.4
2616-10NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
2716-11TULSANM STBad setMaegan Mills+0.4
2817-11NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.5
2917-12TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.4
3018-12NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.5
3119-12TULSATULSAAttack errLilli Saldivarblk Olivia Vance+0.4
3219-13TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+0.2
3320-13NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
3421-13TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Katrina Catalan+0.2
3521-14TULSANM STAttack errOlivia Vance+0.1
3621-15NM STNM STAttack errOlivia Vance+0.1
3722-15NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.2
3822-16TULSANM ST×5KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+0.1
3922-17NM STNM ST×5AceNM ST serveraced Olivia Vance+0.2
4022-18NM STNM ST×5Attack errJill Hansonblk Mia Fox+0.4
4122-19NM STNM ST×5Attack errOlivia Vance+0.8
4222-20NM STNM ST×5Attack errOlivia Vanceblk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox+1.6
4323-20NM STTULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+1.7
4424-20TULSATULSA×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+1.2
4525-20TULSATULSA×3KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
Set 2
10-1TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+0.9
21-1NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
31-2TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+0.9
42-2NM STTULSAAttack errMaggie Lightheartblk Emma Blaine+0.8
52-3TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+0.9
62-4NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+1.4
73-4NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.9
83-5TULSANM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.1
94-5NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.9
105-5TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
115-6TULSANM STAttack errMaegan Millsblk Ashley Herman+1.0
125-7NM STNM STBad setOlivia Vance+1.5
136-7NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.0
147-7TULSATULSAAttack errJaelynn Kohli+1.4
157-8TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+1.1
167-9NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Maggie Lightheart+1.6
178-9NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.1
188-10TULSANM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.2
198-11NM STNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.7
208-12NM STNM ST×3Attack errJill Hansonblk Mia Fox+1.7
219-12NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.0
2210-12TULSATULSAAttack errTess Fuqua+1.6
2310-13TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.4
2411-13NM STTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.1
2511-14TULSANM ST×8KillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+1.5
2611-15NM STNM ST×8Bad setBrittany Bacorn+1.9
2711-16NM STNM ST×8Attack errCampbell Hagueblk Ashley Herman+1.7
2811-17NM STNM ST×8Attack errCampbell Hague+1.4
2911-18NM STNM ST×8KillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+1.1
3011-19NM STNM ST×8Attack errMaegan Millsblk Lilli Saldivar, Ashley Herman+0.7
3111-20NM STNM ST×8KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+0.4
3211-21NM STNM ST×8Attack errAva Steffeblk Maggie Lightheart+0.2
3312-21NM STTULSAKillAva Steffeset Lexi Dahl+0.1
3412-22TULSANM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+0.1
3512-23NM STNM ST×3Attack errOlivia Vance+0.1
3612-24NM STNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Makayla Martinez+0.0
3713-24NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+0.0
3813-25TULSANM STBad setOlivia Vance+0.0
Set 3
11-0NM STTULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.7
22-0TULSATULSA×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+2.1
33-0TULSATULSA×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+1.9
43-1TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.4
54-1NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.4
64-2TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.4
75-2NM STTULSAAttack errMaggie Lightheartblk Campbell Hague, Brittany Bacorn+1.4
85-3TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.4
96-3NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
107-3TULSATULSAAttack errLilli Saldivar+1.7
117-4TULSANM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.2
128-4NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
138-5TULSANM ST×3Serve errTULSA server+1.2
148-6NM STNM ST×3Attack errEmma Blaine+2.1
158-7NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.5
169-7NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
179-8TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+1.9
1810-8NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
1910-9TULSANM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.0
2010-10NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+3.2
2111-10NM STTULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.3
2212-10TULSATULSA×3AceTULSA serveraced Team+2.9
2313-10TULSATULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+2.5
2413-11TULSANM STAttack errMaegan Mills+1.7
2514-11NM STTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
2614-12TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.8
2714-13NM STNM STAttack errCampbell Hague+3.1
2815-13NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
2915-14TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+2.4
3016-14NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.5
3116-15TULSANM STAttack errOlivia Vance+2.5
3217-15NM STTULSAAttack errMaggie Lightheart+2.6
3318-15TULSATULSAAttack errJaelynn Kohliblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+3.1
3418-16TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.0
3519-16NM STTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+2.3
3620-16TULSATULSAAttack errJaelynn Kohliblk Emma Blaine, Campbell Hague+2.3
3720-17TULSANM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.2
3821-17NM STTULSAKillJaelynn Kohli+1.7
3921-18TULSANM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.2
4021-19NM STNM ST×3Attack errMaegan Millsblk Mia Fox, Lilli Saldivar+2.6
4121-20NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+4.2
4222-20NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+3.9
4322-21TULSANM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+3.3
4423-21NM STTULSA×3KillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+4.4
4524-21TULSATULSA×3Attack errLilli Saldivar+3.9
4625-21TULSATULSA×3Attack errLilli Saldivarblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+1.3
Set 4
10-1TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.5
20-2NM STNM STAttack errJill Hanson+2.2
31-2NM STTULSAAttack errJaelynn Kohliblk Jill Hanson+1.5
41-3TULSANM STAttack errMaegan Mills+1.7
51-4NM STNM STAttack errMaegan Mills+2.4
62-4NM STTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.6
72-5TULSANM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.9
82-6NM STNM ST×3KillLilli Saldivarset Makayla Martinez+2.6
92-7NM STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.5
103-7NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+1.5
113-8TULSANM ST×3Attack errOlivia Vance+1.9
123-9NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+2.4
133-10NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.2
144-10NM STTULSA×3Serve errNM ST server+1.2
155-10TULSATULSA×3AceTULSA serveraced Team+1.9
166-10TULSATULSA×3Attack errAshley Herman+2.2
176-11TULSANM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.0
187-11NM STTULSA×6Serve errNM ST server+1.6
198-11TULSATULSA×6KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
209-11TULSATULSA×6Attack errTess Fuquablk Olivia Vance, Jill Hanson+2.6
2110-11TULSATULSA×6KillEmma Blaineset Rachel Megna+2.7
2211-11TULSATULSA×6Attack errMaggie Lightheart+2.7
2312-11TULSATULSA×6KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.6
2412-12TULSANM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.0
2512-13NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Brittany Bacorn+3.1
2612-14NM STNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Maggie Lightheart+3.4
2712-15NM STNM ST×4AceNM ST serveraced Olivia Vance+3.5
2813-15NM STTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.1
2914-15TULSATULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+3.2
3014-16TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+2.8
3115-16NM STTULSA×3Serve errNM ST server+2.4
3216-16TULSATULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Lauren Patterson+3.4
3317-16TULSATULSA×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+3.4
3417-17TULSANM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.6
3517-18NM STNM STAttack errEmma Blaine+4.1
3618-18NM STTULSAServe errNM ST server+2.8
3719-18TULSATULSAAttack errMaggie Lightheartblk Maegan Mills, Campbell Hague+3.9
3819-19TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Paige Nelson+3.0
3920-19NM STTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+3.0
4021-19TULSATULSAAttack errMaggie Lightheartblk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance+3.8
4121-20TULSANM STKillLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan+2.4
4222-20NM STTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+3.0
4322-21TULSANM STServe errTULSA server+2.5
4422-22NM STNM STAttack errAva Steffe+5.4
4523-22NM STTULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+4.6
4624-22TULSATULSA×3AceTULSA serveraced Team+5.4
4725-22TULSATULSA×3Attack errTess Fuquablk Emma Blaine, Jill Hanson+2.6

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.