Tulsa def. New Mexico St. 3–1
(25-20, 13-25, 25-21, 25-22)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TULSA | 25 | 13 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NM ST | 20 | 25 | 21 | 22 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.4% to Tulsa — set 4, TULSA 24-22 NM ST. Tulsa ace on Team. NM ST win probability 8% → 3%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Tulsa wins
New Mexico St. wins
- TULSA break %
- 46.1% vs this opp
- NM ST break %
- 38.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01TULSA serverAce+5.4%
Tulsa ace on Team
Set 4 · TULSA 24-22 NM ST · TULSA 92% → 97%
- 02
- 03Olivia VanceKill+4.6%
Kill by Olivia Vance (set by Meg Goodwin)
Set 4 · TULSA 23-22 NM ST · TULSA 87% → 92%
- 04Isabella OcampoKill+4.4%
Kill by Isabella Ocampo (set by Brittany Bacorn)
Set 3 · TULSA 23-21 NM ST · TULSA 80% → 85%
- 05Maggie LightheartKill+4.2%
Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Paige Nelson)
Set 3 · TULSA 21-20 NM ST · NM ST 16% → 20%
- 06
- 07Maggie LightheartAttack error+3.9%
Maggie Lightheart stuffed by Maegan Mills & Campbell Hague
Set 4 · TULSA 19-18 NM ST · TULSA 87% → 91%
- 08NM ST serverService error+3.9%
New Mexico St. service error
Set 3 · TULSA 22-20 NM ST · TULSA 80% → 84%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| 4 | 9 | 8 | 37 | .027 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | .188 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 27 | .037 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 26 | 125 | .144 | 42 | 3 | 8 | 46 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 88 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 32 | .188 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 36 | .194 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | .211 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 24 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | .077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 26 | 133 | .165 | 47 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 88 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-20
Set 2
13-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-22
Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Tulsa
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%10/15 | 27%3/11 |
| 2 | 56%10/18 | 38%6/16 |
| 3 | 43%9/21 | 50%9/18 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 10%1/10 |
| 5 | 78%7/9 | 50%8/16 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 63%10/16 |
| All | 57%51/89 | 43%37/87 |
New Mexico St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71%10/14 | 43%6/14 |
| 2 | 45%9/20 | 47%9/19 |
| 3 | 90%9/10 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 57%8/14 | 55%11/20 |
| 5 | 62%8/13 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 38%6/16 | 36%4/11 |
| All | 57%50/87 | 43%38/89 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
176 rallies
Rally log
| # | TULSA-NM ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NM ST | TULSA | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NM ST | TULSA×5 | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TULSA | TULSA×5 | Bad set | Paige Nelson | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | TULSA | TULSA×5 | Kill | Maegan Mills | set Lauren Patterson | +1.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | TULSA | TULSA×5 | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.2 |
| 8 | 6-2 | TULSA | TULSA×5 | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.0 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +0.7 |
| 10 | 7-3 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.8 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +0.7 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Kill | Maegan Mills | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.8 |
| 13 | 9-4 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Kill | Maegan Mills | +0.9 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Ashley Herman | blk Campbell Hague | +0.7 |
| 15 | 10-5 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +0.4 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Campbell Hague | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.5 |
| 17 | 12-5 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | blk Campbell Hague, Brittany Bacorn | +0.5 |
| 18 | 12-6 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +0.3 | |
| 19 | 13-6 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Campbell Hague | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.4 |
| 20 | 13-7 | TULSA | NM ST | Attack err | Brittany Bacorn | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +0.3 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Olivia Vance | blk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli | +0.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.5 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +0.4 |
| 26 | 16-10 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | TULSA | NM ST | Bad set | Maegan Mills | +0.4 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.5 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +0.4 |
| 30 | 18-12 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.5 | |
| 31 | 19-12 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | blk Olivia Vance | +0.4 |
| 32 | 19-13 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +0.2 |
| 33 | 20-13 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.3 |
| 34 | 21-13 | TULSA | TULSA | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Katrina Catalan | +0.2 |
| 35 | 21-14 | TULSA | NM ST | Attack err | Olivia Vance | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Olivia Vance | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | TULSA | NM ST×5 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +0.1 |
| 39 | 22-17 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Ace | NM ST server | aced Olivia Vance | +0.2 |
| 40 | 22-18 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Jill Hanson | blk Mia Fox | +0.4 |
| 41 | 22-19 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Olivia Vance | +0.8 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | NM ST | NM ST×5 | Attack err | Olivia Vance | blk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox | +1.6 |
| 43 | 23-20 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Lauren Patterson | +1.7 |
| 44 | 24-20 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +1.2 | |
| 45 | 25-20 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +0.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +0.9 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NM ST | TULSA | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | blk Emma Blaine | +0.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Paige Nelson | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +1.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Campbell Hague | set Brittany Bacorn | +0.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TULSA | TULSA | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TULSA | NM ST | Attack err | Maegan Mills | blk Ashley Herman | +1.0 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NM ST | NM ST | Bad set | Olivia Vance | +1.5 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +1.4 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +1.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Maggie Lightheart | +1.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.1 |
| 18 | 8-10 | TULSA | NM ST×3 | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.7 |
| 20 | 8-12 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Jill Hanson | blk Mia Fox | +1.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.0 |
| 22 | 10-12 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +1.4 |
| 24 | 11-13 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Maegan Mills | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.1 |
| 25 | 11-14 | TULSA | NM ST×8 | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 26 | 11-15 | NM ST | NM ST×8 | Bad set | Brittany Bacorn | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | NM ST | NM ST×8 | Attack err | Campbell Hague | blk Ashley Herman | +1.7 |
| 28 | 11-17 | NM ST | NM ST×8 | Attack err | Campbell Hague | +1.4 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | NM ST | NM ST×8 | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Katrina Catalan | +1.1 |
| 30 | 11-19 | NM ST | NM ST×8 | Attack err | Maegan Mills | blk Lilli Saldivar, Ashley Herman | +0.7 |
| 31 | 11-20 | NM ST | NM ST×8 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Makayla Martinez | +0.4 |
| 32 | 11-21 | NM ST | NM ST×8 | Attack err | Ava Steffe | blk Maggie Lightheart | +0.2 |
| 33 | 12-21 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Ava Steffe | set Lexi Dahl | +0.1 |
| 34 | 12-22 | TULSA | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Katrina Catalan | +0.1 |
| 35 | 12-23 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Olivia Vance | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 12-24 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Makayla Martinez | +0.0 |
| 37 | 13-24 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 13-25 | TULSA | NM ST | Bad set | Olivia Vance | +0.0 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +2.1 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.4 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NM ST | TULSA | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | blk Campbell Hague, Brittany Bacorn | +1.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.4 |
| 9 | 6-3 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.5 |
| 10 | 7-3 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +1.2 |
| 12 | 8-4 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.3 |
| 13 | 8-5 | TULSA | NM ST×3 | Serve err | TULSA server | +1.2 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Emma Blaine | +2.1 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.5 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Katrina Catalan | +1.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.9 |
| 19 | 10-9 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | set Paige Nelson | +2.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NM ST | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +3.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Kill | Campbell Hague | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Ace | TULSA server | aced Team | +2.9 |
| 23 | 13-10 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Kill | Maegan Mills | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.5 |
| 24 | 13-11 | TULSA | NM ST | Attack err | Maegan Mills | +1.7 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Maegan Mills | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.8 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Campbell Hague | +3.1 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Campbell Hague | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Katrina Catalan | +2.4 |
| 30 | 16-14 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.5 |
| 31 | 16-15 | TULSA | NM ST | Attack err | Olivia Vance | +2.5 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | NM ST | TULSA | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +2.6 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine | +3.1 |
| 34 | 18-16 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Maegan Mills | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.3 |
| 36 | 20-16 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Emma Blaine, Campbell Hague | +2.3 |
| 37 | 20-17 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.2 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Jaelynn Kohli | +1.7 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | TULSA | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +1.2 |
| 40 | 21-19 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Maegan Mills | blk Mia Fox, Lilli Saldivar | +2.6 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +4.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +3.9 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Paige Nelson | +3.3 |
| 44 | 23-21 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Kill | Isabella Ocampo | set Brittany Bacorn | +4.4 |
| 45 | 24-21 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | +3.9 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Lilli Saldivar | blk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine | +1.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Paige Nelson | +1.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Jill Hanson | +2.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NM ST | TULSA | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | blk Jill Hanson | +1.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | TULSA | NM ST | Attack err | Maegan Mills | +1.7 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Maegan Mills | +2.4 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +1.6 |
| 7 | 2-5 | TULSA | NM ST×3 | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +1.9 |
| 8 | 2-6 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Makayla Martinez | +2.6 |
| 9 | 2-7 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Herman | set Katrina Catalan | +2.5 |
| 10 | 3-7 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | TULSA | NM ST×3 | Attack err | Olivia Vance | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 3-9 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Makayla Martinez | +2.4 |
| 13 | 3-10 | NM ST | NM ST×3 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.2 |
| 14 | 4-10 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Serve err | NM ST server | +1.2 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Ace | TULSA server | aced Team | +1.9 |
| 16 | 6-10 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Ashley Herman | +2.2 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | NM ST | TULSA×6 | Serve err | NM ST server | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | TULSA | TULSA×6 | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | TULSA | TULSA×6 | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | blk Olivia Vance, Jill Hanson | +2.6 |
| 21 | 10-11 | TULSA | TULSA×6 | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Rachel Megna | +2.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | TULSA | TULSA×6 | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | +2.7 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | TULSA | TULSA×6 | Kill | Emma Blaine | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.6 |
| 24 | 12-12 | TULSA | NM ST×4 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Katrina Catalan | +2.0 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Maggie Lightheart | set Brittany Bacorn | +3.1 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Kill | Tess Fuqua | set Maggie Lightheart | +3.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | NM ST | NM ST×4 | Ace | NM ST server | aced Olivia Vance | +3.5 |
| 28 | 13-15 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +2.1 |
| 29 | 14-15 | TULSA | TULSA | Kill | Jill Hanson | set Brittany Bacorn | +3.2 |
| 30 | 14-16 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +2.8 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Serve err | NM ST server | +2.4 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Kill | Maegan Mills | set Lauren Patterson | +3.4 |
| 33 | 17-16 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Jaelynn Kohli | +3.4 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Mia Fox | set Paige Nelson | +2.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Emma Blaine | +4.1 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | NM ST | TULSA | Serve err | NM ST server | +2.8 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | blk Maegan Mills, Campbell Hague | +3.9 |
| 38 | 19-19 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Paige Nelson | +3.0 |
| 39 | 20-19 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Campbell Hague | set Meg Goodwin | +3.0 |
| 40 | 21-19 | TULSA | TULSA | Attack err | Maggie Lightheart | blk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance | +3.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | TULSA | NM ST | Kill | Lilli Saldivar | set Katrina Catalan | +2.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NM ST | TULSA | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Lauren Patterson | +3.0 |
| 43 | 22-21 | TULSA | NM ST | Serve err | TULSA server | +2.5 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | NM ST | NM ST | Attack err | Ava Steffe | +5.4 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | NM ST | TULSA×3 | Kill | Olivia Vance | set Meg Goodwin | +4.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Ace | TULSA server | aced Team | +5.4 |
| 47 | 25-22 | TULSA | TULSA×3 | Attack err | Tess Fuqua | blk Emma Blaine, Jill Hanson | +2.6 |
Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.