FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026

Marist def. Niagara 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Marist 98.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Marist beat visiting Niagara 3-0 (25-12, 25-23, 25-14) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Marist's Mallory Reck led with 10 kills, and Caelyn Dumas added 7 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
NIAGRA1223140
MARIST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

An 8–0 run in the third set broke it open for Marist.

Win probability never moved more than 0.8 points on one rally; Niagara topped out at 2% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Marist at 98%.

NiagaraMarist
  • Break %+20.4 pts
    41.261.6

    On serve: 45/73 against 21/51 (Niagara sideout 38.4%).

  • Hitting+.289
    -.021.268

    Kills and errors: 32–13 vs 26–28.

Marist above 50Niagara belowMax swing 0.8%

NiagaraMarist

Aces
Niagara 3·Marist 8
Serve err
Niagara 7·Marist 7
Blocks
Niagara 5·Marist 140 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 28 BA
Digs
Niagara 25·Marist 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Marist above 50 · Niagara below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 124 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Marist stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NIAGRA 1.5%98.5% MARIST

Niagara wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
1.0%

Marist wins

3-0
70.5%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
4.8%
NIAGRA break %
36.1% vs this opp
MARIST break %
52.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
381031-.06500090010.58.5
3408.500000000426
3104.250801400001
3014-.25010001010.50.5
23615-.200000100003
1125-.200001000001
33112.167000000214
3011-1.0001111110001
3000–111420001
3000–201540000
24713-.23101210010.55.5
2102.50000000010.51.5
1102.500000000001
Team totals262897-.0212337258010549
Maristhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310325.2800114004213
38315.33300010073.511.5
37414.21422361010.59.5
3316.3332820700638
3000–121510002
22021.00000000031.53.5
3000–010300001
3000–101610000
2011-1.00000000010.50.5
1112.000000000212
11011.000000000212
1002.000000000211
1003.000000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals321371.26832873230281475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Niagara vs Marist

Season series · Marist leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NIAGRA · MARIST 8

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 2 NIAGRAMARIST 6

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 NIAGRAMARIST 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 4 NIAGRAMARIST 8

Bars above the line = Marist leads, below = Niagara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Niagara

No clean sets to split.

Marist

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#NIAGRA-MARISTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errCaelyn Dumas
21-1NIAGRAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
31-2MARISTMARISTBlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Sarah Bumstead, Mallory Reck
42-2MARISTNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui
52-3NIAGRAMARIST×4Attack errPayton Lee
62-4MARISTMARIST×4Attack errPayton Lee
72-5MARISTMARIST×4AceMaristaced Ashley Moreland
82-6MARISTMARIST×4KillMallory Reckset Claudia Kasperski
93-6MARISTNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui
103-7NIAGRAMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
113-8MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

123-9MARISTMARIST×3AceMaristaced Ashley Moreland
134-9MARISTNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Ashley Moreland
145-9NIAGRANIAGRABlockedMallory Reckblk Jakayla Brown, Kadence Goolsby
155-10NIAGRAMARISTServe errNiagara
165-11MARISTMARISTAceMaristaced Noel Perkins
176-11NIAGRA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

187-11NIAGRANIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins
197-12NIAGRAMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas
208-12MARISTNIAGRAServe errMarist
218-13NIAGRAMARIST×3KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
228-14MARISTMARIST×3Attack errKatelynn Rottman
238-15MARISTMARIST×3KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
249-15MARISTNIAGRAAttack errSarah Bumstead
259-16MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

269-17MARISTMARIST×3Attack errPayton Lee
279-18MARISTMARIST×3KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
2810-18MARISTNIAGRAServe errMarist
2911-18NIAGRANIAGRAAceElyannah Sonzaaced Sara Dasic
3011-19NIAGRAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
3112-19MARISTNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui
3212-20NIAGRAMARIST×6KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
3312-21MARISTMARIST×6KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas
3412-22MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3512-23MARISTMARIST×6Attack errKarlotta Kattai
3612-24MARISTMARIST×6KillMallory Reck
3712-25MARISTMARIST×6AceMaristaced Elyannah Sonza
Set 2
10-1MARISTMARIST×5KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
20-2MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

30-3MARISTMARIST×5BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Sarah Bumstead, Caelyn Dumas
40-4MARISTMARIST×5Attack errPayton Lee
50-5MARISTMARIST×5Attack errKarlotta Kattai
61-5MARISTNIAGRAAttack errKarlotta Kattai
71-6NIAGRAMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
82-6MARISTNIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui
93-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins
104-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins
114-7NIAGRAMARISTKillCaelyn Dumas
125-7MARISTNIAGRAKillJakayla Brown
136-7NIAGRANIAGRABlockedSavannah Smithblk Jakayla Brown, Kaitlyn Doyle
146-8NIAGRAMARISTBlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk Caelyn Dumas, Savannah Smith
157-8MARISTNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins
167-9NIAGRAMARISTServe errNiagara
178-9MARISTNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins
188-10NIAGRAMARISTKillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas
199-10MARISTNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui
20–2110-11NIAGRA · MARIST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2210-12NIAGRAMARISTAceKaitlyn Doyleaced Elyannah Sonza
2311-12NIAGRA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2412-12NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errSara Dasic
2513-12NIAGRA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2614-12NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errSara Dasic
2714-13NIAGRAMARIST×5KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
2814-14MARISTMARIST×5AceMaristaced Ashley Moreland
2914-15MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3014-16MARISTMARIST×5AceMaristaced Ashley Moreland
31–3215-17NIAGRA · MARIST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3316-17NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNoel Perkinsaced Claudia Kasperski
3417-17NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattai
3517-18MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3618-18MARISTNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins
3719-18NIAGRA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3819-19NIAGRAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
3919-20MARISTMARISTAttack errKaitlyn Doyle
4020-20MARISTNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Ashley Moreland
4120-21NIAGRAMARIST×3KillMallory Reck
4220-22MARISTMARIST×3KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
4320-23MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

4421-23MARISTNIAGRA×3BlockedSara Dasicblk Savannah Smith, Taylor Jenkins, Kadence Goolsby
4522-23NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errAva Lanzetta
4623-23NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errSara Dasic
4723-24NIAGRAMARISTKillSara Dasic
4823-25MARISTMARISTAttack errKaitlyn Doyle
Set 3
11-0NIAGRANIAGRAKillLeah Allenset Paisley Ka’ahanui
21-1NIAGRAMARIST×3Attack errLeah Allen
31-2MARISTMARIST×3Attack errKarlotta Kattai
41-3MARISTMARIST×3Attack errKarlotta Kattai
52-3MARISTNIAGRA×4Serve errMarist
63-3NIAGRA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

74-3NIAGRANIAGRA×4KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui
85-3NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errMallory Reck
95-4NIAGRAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
10–116-5NIAGRA · MARIST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

127-5NIAGRANIAGRAKillKadence Goolsby
137-6NIAGRAMARIST×3KillCaelyn Dumasset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa
147-7MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reck
157-8MARISTMARIST×3Serve errMarist
168-8MARISTNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattai
178-9NIAGRAMARISTKillSara Dasic
189-9MARISTNIAGRAAttack errSara Dasic
199-10NIAGRAMARISTBlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk Eleana Koute, Molly Malone
2010-10MARISTNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins
2111-10NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errSarah Bumstead
2211-11NIAGRAMARIST×8Attack errSarah Bumstead
2311-12MARISTMARIST×8Attack errNoel Perkins
2411-13MARISTMARIST×8KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
2511-14MARISTMARIST×8KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
2611-15MARISTMARIST×8Attack errKarlotta Kattai
2711-16MARISTMARIST×8BlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk Sarah Bumstead, Caelyn Dumas
2811-17MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2911-18MARISTMARIST×8AceMaristaced Taylor Jenkins
3012-18MARISTNIAGRAKillPaisley Ka’ahanuiset Taylor Jenkins
3112-19NIAGRAMARISTServe errNiagara
3213-19MARISTNIAGRAServe errMarist
3313-20NIAGRAMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
3413-21MARIST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3513-22MARISTMARIST×3BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Mikayla Keefer, Caelyn Dumas
3614-22NIAGRA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3714-23NIAGRAMARIST×3KillMikayla Keeferset Caelyn Dumas
3814-24MARISTMARIST×3Attack errKarlotta Kattai
3914-25MARISTMARIST×3BlockedKadence Goolsbyblk Mikayla Keefer, Eleana Koute

Score shown after each rally, Niagara first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).