FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026

Quinnipiac def. Niagara 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Quinnipiac 85.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Quinnipiac won at Niagara 3-0 (25-18, 25-17, 25-12) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Quinnipiac's Giulia Ragusa led with 16 kills.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
QUINN2525253
NIAGRA1817120

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Giulia Ragusa needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. Quinnipiac swept Niagara.

Win probability never moved more than 1.4 points on one rally; Niagara topped out at 15% in Set 1. Quinnipiac went in as RallyIQ's 86% pick.

QuinnipiacNiagara
  • Break %+24.1 pts
    59.535.4

    Points won on own serve: 44 of 74 vs 17 of 48. Niagara sided out 40.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.208
    .290.082

    Kills and errors: 45–16 vs 24–16.

  • Longest run+2
    75

    Quinnipiac scored 7 straight in the third set to open the set 7–0. That set ended 25–12.

Niagara above 50Quinnipiac belowMax swing 1.4%

QuinnipiacNiagara

Aces
Quinnipiac 5·Niagara 3
Serve err
Quinnipiac 3·Niagara 5
Blocks
Quinnipiac 6·Niagara 45 BS · 2 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Quinnipiac 51·Niagara 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Niagara above 50 · Quinnipiac below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.4% NIAGRArally 122 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Niagara — set 2, QUINN 4-7 NIAGRA. Attack error by Giulia Ragusa. NIAGRA win probability 10% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

QUINN 90.4%9.6% NIAGRA

Quinnipiac wins

3-0
45.1%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.7%

Niagara wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.4%
QUINN break %
49.1% vs this opp
NIAGRA break %
39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Giulia RagusaAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Giulia Ragusa

    Set 2 · QUINN 4-7 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 10% → 11%

  2. 02
    Sila YildizKill+1.4%

    Kill by Sila Yildiz (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 1 · QUINN 4-3 NIAGRA · QUINN 86% → 87%

  3. 03
    Vittoria TonelliAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Vittoria Tonelli

    Set 1 · QUINN 15-13 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 10% → 11%

  4. 04

    Ace by Karlotta Kattai on Giulia Ragusa

    Set 2 · QUINN 4-6 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 9% → 10%

  5. 05
    Katelynn RottmanAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Katelynn Rottman

    Set 1 · QUINN 5-3 NIAGRA · QUINN 87% → 88%

  6. 06
    Asia BelliBlock+1.2%

    Katelynn Rottman stuffed by Asia Belli

    Set 2 · QUINN 6-7 NIAGRA · QUINN 90% → 91%

  7. 07
    Giulia RagusaKill+1.2%

    Kill by Giulia Ragusa (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 2 · QUINN 7-7 NIAGRA · QUINN 91% → 92%

  8. 08
    Katelynn RottmanBad set+1.2%

    Bad set by Katelynn Rottman

    Set 1 · QUINN 17-13 NIAGRA · QUINN 90% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315333.36411211110117
316433.36400014100016
38617.118000900008
33110.20013050111.57.5
3316.333100513036
3011-1.000391120010.51.5
3000–100500000
2000–000000000
Team totals4516100.290435351352675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310229.2760117000011
3203.667810200003
3105.20000010010.51.5
3117.000000100001
21623-.21701140010.52.5
1001.00000000010.50.5
37217.294000100218
3001.000601820000
3011-1.0001002100000
2135-.40000000111.52.5
2001.000000510000
1114.000000000001
Team totals241697.082243530516447

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 QUINN · NIAGRA 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 QUINNNIAGRA 5

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 QUINNNIAGRA 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 7 QUINNNIAGRA 4

Bars above the line = Niagara leads, below = Quinnipiac leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Quinnipiac

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%6/6
78%18/23
2
40%6/15
50%6/12
3
83%5/6
38%3/8
4
63%5/8
62%8/13
5
56%5/9
55%6/11
6
100%4/4
43%3/7
All
65%31/48
59%44/74

Niagara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%6/17
0%0/4
2
50%6/12
14%1/7
3
56%5/9
60%9/15
4
33%5/15
17%1/6
5
50%5/10
50%5/10
6
27%3/11
17%1/6
All
41%30/74
35%17/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#QUINN-NIAGRASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1QUINNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Ashley Moreland+1.1
21-1NIAGRAQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+1.0
31-2QUINNNIAGRAServe errSophia Gisslen+1.2
42-2NIAGRAQUINNServe errNoel Perkins+1.1
52-3QUINNNIAGRAServe errVittoria Tonelli+1.2
63-3NIAGRAQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.1
74-3QUINNQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+1.4
85-3QUINNQUINN×3Attack errKatelynn Rottman+1.3
95-4QUINNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+1.0
106-4NIAGRAQUINN×4KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.9
117-4QUINNQUINN×4BlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Sophia Gisslen, Asia Belli+1.1
128-4QUINNQUINN×4Attack errNoel Perkins+0.9
139-4QUINNQUINN×4Attack errKatelynn Rottman+0.8
149-5QUINNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.5
159-6NIAGRANIAGRAAcePaisley Ka’ahanuiaced Vittoria Tonelli+0.9
1610-6NIAGRAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.7
1710-7QUINNNIAGRAAttack errSila Yildiz+0.7
1811-7NIAGRAQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
1912-7QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Vittoria Tonelli+0.8
2012-8QUINNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
2113-8NIAGRAQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
2214-8QUINNQUINN×3Attack errKarlotta Kattai+0.6
2315-8QUINNQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
2415-9QUINNNIAGRA×5KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.2
2515-10NIAGRANIAGRA×5KillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+0.5
2615-11NIAGRANIAGRA×5BlockedSophia Minlendblk Jakayla Brown, Kadence Goolsby+0.7
2715-12NIAGRANIAGRA×5Attack errSophia Gisslen+1.0
2815-13NIAGRANIAGRA×5Attack errVittoria Tonelli+1.4
2916-13NIAGRAQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+1.1
3017-13QUINNQUINN×3Bad setKatelynn Rottman+1.2
3118-13QUINNQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.9
3218-14QUINNNIAGRAServe errVittoria Tonelli+0.5
3319-14NIAGRAQUINN×5KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
3420-14QUINNQUINN×5KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.5
3521-14QUINNQUINN×5KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.3
3622-14QUINNQUINN×5KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
3723-14QUINNQUINN×5KillGiulia Ragusaset Sila Yildiz·
3823-15QUINNNIAGRA×3KillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins·
3923-16NIAGRANIAGRA×3BlockedSophia Minlendblk Katelynn Rottman, Taylor Jenkins·
4023-17NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errAsia Belli+0.1
4124-17NIAGRAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
4224-18QUINNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins·
4325-18NIAGRAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen·
Set 2
11-0NIAGRAQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.7
21-1QUINNNIAGRABad setSophia Gisslen+0.7
31-2NIAGRANIAGRAAceKatelynn Rottmanaced Sila Yildiz+1.1
42-2NIAGRAQUINNServe errKatelynn Rottman+0.8
52-3QUINNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.9
63-3NIAGRAQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
73-4QUINNNIAGRAAttack errVittoria Tonelli+0.9
84-4NIAGRAQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
94-5QUINNNIAGRA×3Attack errGiulia Ragusa+0.9
104-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceKarlotta Kattaiaced Giulia Ragusa+1.3
114-7NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errGiulia Ragusa+1.4
125-7NIAGRAQUINN×3Attack errKadence Goolsby+0.9
136-7QUINNQUINN×3BlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Asia Belli+1.2
147-7QUINNQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.2
157-8QUINNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+1.0
168-8NIAGRAQUINN×5KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.9
179-8QUINNQUINN×5BlockedKadence Goolsbyblk Vittoria Tonelli+1.2
1810-8QUINNQUINN×5KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.1
1911-8QUINNQUINN×5KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.9
2012-8QUINNQUINN×5KillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
2112-9QUINNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.5
2213-9NIAGRAQUINNKillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
2313-10QUINNNIAGRAKillTaylor Jenkinsset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
2414-10NIAGRAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
2514-11QUINNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
2614-12NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errSophia Minlend+0.9
2715-12NIAGRAQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
2816-12QUINNQUINNAceVittoria Tonelliaced Ashley Moreland+0.8
2916-13QUINNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
3016-14NIAGRANIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+1.0
3117-14NIAGRAQUINN×4KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+0.8
3218-14QUINNQUINN×4KillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+0.9
3319-14QUINNQUINN×4KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.6
3420-14QUINNQUINN×4Bad setNoel Perkins+0.4
3520-15QUINNNIAGRABlockedGiulia Ragusablk Natasa Ljubicic, Kadence Goolsby+0.2
3620-16NIAGRANIAGRABlockedSophia Minlendblk Natasa Ljubicic+0.4
3721-16NIAGRAQUINNAttack errKatelynn Rottman+0.4
3821-17QUINNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Ashley Moreland+0.3
3922-17NIAGRAQUINN×4Serve errAshley Moreland+0.4
4023-17QUINNQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelliset Carola Negron Diaz+0.2
4124-17QUINNQUINN×4Attack errKatelynn Rottman+0.1
4225-17QUINNQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen·
Set 3
11-0QUINNQUINN×7KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.4
22-0QUINNQUINN×7Attack errPayton Lee+0.4
33-0QUINNQUINN×7KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.3
44-0QUINNQUINN×7AceAsia Belli+0.3
55-0QUINNQUINN×7AceAsia Belliaced Ashley Moreland+0.2
66-0QUINNQUINN×7BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Sila Yildiz+0.2
77-0QUINNQUINN×7KillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
87-1QUINNNIAGRAKillPaisley Ka’ahanuiset Ashley Moreland+0.1
98-1NIAGRAQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
109-1QUINNQUINNBlockedNatasa Ljubicicblk Sila Yildiz+0.1
119-2QUINNNIAGRA×4KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.1
129-3NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errSophia Minlend+0.1
139-4NIAGRANIAGRA×4KillKarlotta Kattaiset Ashley Moreland+0.2
149-5NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errSophia Minlend+0.2
1510-5NIAGRAQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
1610-6QUINNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.2
1711-6NIAGRAQUINNServe errKarlotta Kattai+0.2
1812-6QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
1912-7QUINNNIAGRAKillNatasa Ljubicicset Noel Perkins+0.1
2013-7NIAGRAQUINNBad setAshley Moreland+0.2
2113-8QUINNNIAGRAAttack errGiulia Ragusa+0.1
2214-8NIAGRAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+0.2
2315-8QUINNQUINNAttack errKaitlyn Doyle+0.1
2415-9QUINNNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Ashley Moreland+0.1
2516-9NIAGRAQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
2617-9QUINNQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen+0.1
2718-9QUINNQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelliset Asia Belli·
2819-9QUINNQUINN×4AceAsia Belliaced Elyannah Sonza·
2919-10QUINNNIAGRAKillPaisley Ka’ahanuiset Ashley Moreland·
3020-10NIAGRAQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelliset Sophia Gisslen·
3121-10QUINNQUINN×4AceSophia Gisslen·
3222-10QUINNQUINN×4Bad setPayton Lee·
3323-10QUINNQUINN×4BlockedNatasa Ljubicicblk Sila Yildiz·
3423-11QUINNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
3523-12NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errVittoria Tonelli·
3624-12NIAGRAQUINNServe errNoel Perkins·
3725-12QUINNQUINNAttack errNatasa Ljubicic·

Score shown after each rally, Quinnipiac first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).