Sacred Heart def. Niagara 3–1
Sacred Heart won at Niagara 3-1 (22-25, 25-17, 25-19, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Sacred Heart's Abbie Hagedorn led with 20 kills, and Lauren Hubert added 19 digs.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SACHRT | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NIAGRA | 25 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.8% to Niagara — set 1, SACHRT 22-24 NIAGRA. Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Noel Perkins). NIAGRA win probability 9% → 12%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Sacred Heart wins
Niagara wins
- SACHRT break %
- 51.8% vs this opp
- NIAGRA break %
- 38.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Karlotta KattaiKill+2.8%
Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Noel Perkins)
Set 1 · SACHRT 22-24 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 9% → 12%
- 02Karlotta KattaiKill+2.7%
Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Noel Perkins)
Set 1 · SACHRT 21-23 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 8% → 11%
- 03Kadence GoolsbyKill+2.5%
Kill by Kadence Goolsby (set by Noel Perkins)
Set 1 · SACHRT 22-25 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 12% → 15%
- 04Karlotta KattaiKill+2.2%
Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Noel Perkins)
Set 1 · SACHRT 21-22 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 6% → 8%
- 05NiagaraAce+2.0%
Niagara ace on Miliani Villarreal
Set 2 · SACHRT 1-3 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 16% → 18%
- 06Jakayla Brown&Karlotta KattaiBlock+1.8%
Lauren Hubert stuffed by Jakayla Brown & Karlotta Kattai
Set 2 · SACHRT 3-5 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 17% → 19%
- 07Lauren HubertKill+1.8%
Kill by Lauren Hubert (set by Addy Franz)
Set 2 · SACHRT 5-5 NIAGRA · SACHRT 83% → 84%
- 08Karlotta KattaiKill+1.7%
Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui)
Set 2 · SACHRT 2-4 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 17% → 18%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 20 | 5 | 45 | .333 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 23.5 | |
| 4 | 15 | 11 | 43 | .093 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .286 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | .231 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -.100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | -.111 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | .800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 31 | 159 | .145 | 53 | 10 | 8 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 97 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 33 | .152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 20 | .300 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8 | 42 | .048 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 39 | 18 | 144 | .146 | 38 | 2 | 14 | 57 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 81 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Sacred Heart vs Niagara
Season series · Sacred Heart leads 1-0
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Sacred Heart at Niagara · Sacred Heart won 3-1This match
- Fri, Nov 13, 2026Niagara at Sacred HeartPreview →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
25-17
Set 3
25-19
Set 4
25-20
Bars above the line = Niagara leads, below = Sacred Heart leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Sacred Heart
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%12/23 | 29%4/14 |
| 2 | 100%11/11 | 21%3/14 |
| 3 | 77%10/13 | 47%9/19 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 55%11/20 |
| 5 | 89%8/9 | 31%4/13 |
| 6 | 67%8/12 | 50%8/16 |
| All | 71%58/82 | 41%39/96 |
Niagara
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71%12/17 | 47%9/19 |
| 2 | 65%11/17 | 25%4/16 |
| 3 | 47%9/19 | 15%2/13 |
| 4 | 50%9/18 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 62%8/13 | 20%2/10 |
| All | 59%57/96 | 29%24/82 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
178 rallies
| # | SACHRT-NIAGRA | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Miliani Villarreal | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Payton Lee | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +0.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Ashley Moreland | +0.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Attack err | Miliani Villarreal | +0.6 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Payton Lee | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Attack err | Karlotta Kattai | +0.5 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Renata Montini | set Miliani Villarreal | +0.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Blocked | Karlotta Kattai | blk Raissa Antonio, Abbie Hagedorn | +0.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Jakayla Brown | set Noel Perkins | +0.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +0.5 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.6 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Noel Perkins | +0.6 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Taylor Jenkins | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +0.6 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.7 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Kill | Addy Franz | set Abbie Hagedorn | +0.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Attack err | Renata Montini | +0.6 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Serve err | Niagara | +0.6 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Blocked | Kadence Goolsby | blk Addy Franz, Raissa Antonio | +0.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Attack err | Karlotta Kattai | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.4 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.4 |
| 28 | 16-12 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.4 |
| 29 | 16-13 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Kadence Goolsby | set Noel Perkins | +0.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA | Blocked | Abbie Hagedorn | blk Kadence Goolsby, Taylor Jenkins | +0.5 |
| 31 | 17-14 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.5 |
| 32 | 17-15 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×4 | Attack err | Ryleigh Short | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×4 | Attack err | Molly Newton | +0.8 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×4 | Ace | Niagara | aced Abbie Hagedorn | +1.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×4 | Blocked | Abbie Hagedorn | blk Payton Lee, Taylor Jenkins | +1.4 |
| 36 | 18-18 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +1.0 |
| 37 | 19-18 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +1.2 |
| 38 | 19-19 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Renata Montini | blk Katelynn Rottman | +1.1 |
| 39 | 20-19 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Renata Montini | set Miliani Villarreal | +1.1 |
| 40 | 20-20 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +1.2 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +1.2 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +1.3 |
| 43 | 21-22 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Noel Perkins | +2.2 |
| 44 | 21-23 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Noel Perkins | +2.7 |
| 45 | 22-23 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Blocked | Karlotta Kattai | blk Raissa Antonio, Addy Franz | +1.5 |
| 46 | 22-24 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Noel Perkins | +2.8 |
| 47 | 22-25 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA | Kill | Kadence Goolsby | set Noel Perkins | +2.5 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Payton Lee | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +1.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Payton Lee | set Ashley Moreland | +1.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Ace | Niagara | aced Miliani Villarreal | +2.0 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +1.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Attack err | Payton Lee | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Lauren Hubert | blk Jakayla Brown, Karlotta Kattai | +1.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +1.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +1.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Ace | Sacred Heart | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Renata Montini | blk Jakayla Brown | +1.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +1.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Kill | Addy Franz | set Kelli Ennis | +1.4 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Kadence Goolsby | set Noel Perkins | +1.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +1.2 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Noel Perkins | +1.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Ryleigh Short | set Addy Franz | +1.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Payton Lee | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +1.4 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +1.3 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Ace | Sacred Heart | +1.3 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Payton Lee | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +1.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×4 | Serve err | Niagara | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | SACHRT | SACHRT×4 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +1.1 |
| 25 | 15-10 | SACHRT | SACHRT×4 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +0.8 |
| 26 | 16-10 | SACHRT | SACHRT×4 | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Lauren Hubert | blk Jakayla Brown, Karlotta Kattai | +0.4 |
| 28 | 17-11 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Miliani Villarreal | +0.4 |
| 29 | 18-11 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Molly Newton | set Addy Franz | +0.3 |
| 30 | 19-11 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Ace | Sacred Heart | aced Karlotta Kattai | +0.2 |
| 31 | 19-12 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Jakayla Brown | set Noel Perkins | +0.1 |
| 32 | 19-13 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Blocked | Lauren Hubert | blk Katelynn Rottman | +0.2 |
| 33 | 19-14 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Short | +0.4 | |
| 34 | 20-14 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Attack err | Katelynn Rottman | +0.4 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Jakayla Brown | set Noel Perkins | +0.3 |
| 36 | 21-15 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +0.4 |
| 37 | 22-15 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Blocked | Karlotta Kattai | blk Addy Franz | +0.2 |
| 38 | 23-15 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Blocked | Taylor Jenkins | blk Raissa Antonio | +0.1 |
| 39 | 23-16 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Kadence Goolsby | set Noel Perkins | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | · | |
| 41 | 24-17 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Payton Lee | set Ashley Moreland | · |
| 42 | 25-17 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Raissa Antonio | set Addy Franz | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Attack err | Payton Lee | +0.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Lauren Hubert | blk Payton Lee, Taylor Jenkins | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +0.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Miliani Villarreal | +1.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Bad set | Addy Franz | +0.9 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×5 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +0.8 |
| 7 | 5-2 | SACHRT | SACHRT×5 | Bad set | Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.8 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | SACHRT | SACHRT×5 | Ace | Sacred Heart | aced Katelynn Rottman | +0.7 |
| 9 | 7-2 | SACHRT | SACHRT×5 | Kill | Ryleigh Short | +0.5 | |
| 10 | 8-2 | SACHRT | SACHRT×5 | Kill | Ryleigh Short | set Addy Franz | +0.4 |
| 11 | 8-3 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.3 |
| 12 | 9-3 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Kayla Jones | set Addy Franz | +0.3 |
| 13 | 9-4 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Lauren Hubert | blk Jakayla Brown | +0.3 |
| 14 | 10-4 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Ryleigh Short | set Raissa Antonio | +0.3 |
| 15 | 10-5 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Noel Perkins | +0.3 |
| 16 | 11-5 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Raissa Antonio | set Addy Franz | +0.3 |
| 17 | 11-6 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Noel Perkins | +0.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA | Attack err | Raissa Antonio | +0.6 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.5 |
| 20 | 12-8 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.5 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Miliani Villarreal | +0.5 |
| 22 | 14-8 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Ace | Sacred Heart | aced Ashley Moreland | +0.5 |
| 23 | 15-8 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +0.3 |
| 24 | 15-9 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Payton Lee | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.2 |
| 25 | 16-9 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Kayla Jones | set Addy Franz | +0.2 |
| 26 | 16-10 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Ryleigh Short | blk Payton Lee, Jakayla Brown | +0.2 |
| 27 | 17-10 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Attack err | Payton Lee | +0.2 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Attack err | Ryleigh Short | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Miliani Villarreal | +0.2 |
| 30 | 19-11 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Short | set Addy Franz | +0.2 |
| 31 | 20-11 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Attack err | Katelynn Rottman | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Kadence Goolsby | set Noel Perkins | · |
| 33 | 20-13 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA | Attack err | Lauren Hubert | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 21-13 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Raissa Antonio | set Addy Franz | +0.1 |
| 35 | 21-14 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×4 | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Noel Perkins | +0.1 |
| 36 | 21-15 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×4 | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.1 |
| 37 | 21-16 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×4 | Attack err | Lauren Hubert | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×4 | Attack err | Lauren Hubert | +0.5 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Attack err | Payton Lee | +0.5 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Payton Lee | set Addy Franz | +0.3 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Kayla Jones | set Addy Franz | +0.5 |
| 42 | 24-18 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.2 |
| 43 | 24-19 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Abbie Hagedorn | blk Payton Lee, Taylor Jenkins | · |
| 44 | 25-19 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +0.1 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Karlotta Kattai | set Noel Perkins | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Ryleigh Short | +0.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Attack err | Karlotta Kattai | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Kadence Goolsby | set Ashley Moreland | +0.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Ace | Sacred Heart | aced Karlotta Kattai | +0.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.6 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Serve err | Niagara | +0.6 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Attack err | Payton Lee | +0.6 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Short | set Abbie Hagedorn | +0.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Kill | Payton Lee | set Paisley Ka’ahanui | +0.4 |
| 12 | 8-4 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.4 |
| 13 | 8-5 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.4 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +0.4 |
| 15 | 9-6 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Blocked | Ryleigh Short | blk Payton Lee | +0.4 |
| 16 | 10-6 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Miliani Villarreal | +0.4 |
| 17 | 11-6 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Ace | Sacred Heart | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.3 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Serve err | Niagara | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Attack err | Ryleigh Short | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.3 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA | Blocked | Lauren Hubert | blk Katelynn Rottman, Taylor Jenkins | +0.6 |
| 24 | 14-10 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.5 |
| 25 | 14-11 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Attack err | Ryleigh Short | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA | Blocked | Ryleigh Short | blk Payton Lee | +0.9 |
| 27 | 15-12 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Kayla Jones | set Addy Franz | +0.7 |
| 28 | 15-13 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Serve err | Sacred Heart | +0.8 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×4 | Kill | Lauren Hubert | set Addy Franz | +0.8 |
| 30 | 17-13 | SACHRT | SACHRT×4 | Ace | Sacred Heart | +0.7 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | SACHRT | SACHRT×4 | Attack err | Karlotta Kattai | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | SACHRT | SACHRT×4 | Kill | Raissa Antonio | set Addy Franz | +0.3 |
| 33 | 19-14 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×3 | Blocked | Lauren Hubert | blk Jakayla Brown | +0.2 |
| 34 | 19-15 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Blocked | Abbie Hagedorn | blk Jakayla Brown | +0.4 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Short | +0.6 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | NIAGRA | SACHRT×3 | Attack err | Karlotta Kattai | +0.6 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Attack err | Kadence Goolsby | +0.5 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | SACHRT | SACHRT×3 | Ace | Sacred Heart | aced Ashley Moreland | +0.3 |
| 39 | 22-17 | SACHRT | NIAGRA×3 | Attack err | Lauren Hubert | +0.1 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Kadence Goolsby | set Noel Perkins | +0.3 |
| 41 | 22-19 | NIAGRA | NIAGRA×3 | Kill | Katelynn Rottman | set Noel Perkins | +0.5 |
| 42 | 23-19 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.6 |
| 43 | 23-20 | SACHRT | NIAGRA | Attack err | Abbie Hagedorn | +0.4 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | NIAGRA | SACHRT | Kill | Abbie Hagedorn | set Addy Franz | +0.6 |
| 45 | 25-20 | SACHRT | SACHRT | Ace | Sacred Heart | aced Karlotta Kattai | +0.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Sacred Heart first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).