FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

Niagara def. Le Moyne 3–0

Niagara beat visiting Le Moyne 3-0 (25-19, 25-15, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Niagara's Karlotta Kattai led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
LEMOYN1915160
NIAGRA2525253

Win probability

Niagara above 50 · Le Moyne below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% LEMOYNrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Le Moyne — set 1, LEMOYN 16-17 NIAGRA. Le Moyne ace. NIAGRA win probability 85% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LEMOYN 17.8%82.2% NIAGRA

Le Moyne wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
9.2%

Niagara wins

3-0
33.9%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.6%
LEMOYN break %
43.2% vs this opp
NIAGRA break %
50.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Le MoyneAce+2.2%

    Le Moyne ace

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 16-17 NIAGRA · LEMOYN 15% → 17%

  2. 02
    Kaitlyn DoyleKill+2.1%

    Kill by Kaitlyn Doyle (set by Noel Perkins)

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 16-18 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 83% → 85%

  3. 03
    Taylor JenkinsBlock+2.0%

    Amani Learry stuffed by Taylor Jenkins

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 16-19 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 85% → 87%

  4. 04
    Kaitlyn DoyleKill+1.9%

    Kill by Kaitlyn Doyle (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui)

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 18-21 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 86% → 88%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kadence Goolsby (set by Noel Perkins)

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 17-20 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 86% → 87%

  6. 06
    Le MoyneAce+1.8%

    Le Moyne ace

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 5-4 NIAGRA · LEMOYN 18% → 20%

  7. 07

    Kill by Gabriella Schemidt (set by Katie Barbour)

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 14-16 NIAGRA · LEMOYN 13% → 15%

  8. 08

    Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Noel Perkins)

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 5-6 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 82% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35113.308022000218
36321.14300010010.56.5
34218.111000000004
32512-.250102101010.52.5
3124-.250000000001
3002.000901100000
3319.22200000010.53.5
3316.33300010010.53.5
3214.250000100002
3002.000112700001
3000–014710001
3000–1310200001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000110000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals261691.1102451131906350
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313124.500032101010.516.5
36215.267034500009
38519.15800040010.58.5
33031.000100001225
3103.333100102234
3004.0001720700002
37112.500000000218
3001.0001612500001
3002.0003001000000
3001.000000210000
3001.000000010000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals38985.341389844538775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 LEMOYN · NIAGRA 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 LEMOYNNIAGRA 3

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 LEMOYNNIAGRA 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 LEMOYNNIAGRA 6

Bars above the line = Niagara leads, below = Le Moyne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Le Moyne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%4/8
0%0/4
2
44%4/9
43%3/7
3
67%4/6
33%2/6
4
27%4/15
20%1/5
5
57%4/7
0%0/4
6
75%3/4
33%2/6
All
47%23/49
25%8/32

Niagara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
33%2/6
2
50%4/8
50%4/8
3
100%4/4
50%4/8
4
80%4/5
60%6/10
5
67%4/6
69%9/13
6
100%3/3
25%1/4
All
75%24/32
53%26/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#LEMOYN-NIAGRASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NIAGRALEMOYNKillJazmin Rodriguezset Skylar Jehlen+1.4
21-1LEMOYNNIAGRA×3KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.3
31-2NIAGRANIAGRA×3Ball handlingBranwyn Lupton+1.4
41-3NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNiagaraaced Aubrey Kimball+1.3
52-3NIAGRALEMOYNKillAmani Learry+1.2
63-3LEMOYNLEMOYNBlockedPayton Leeblk Nina Salas, Alise Evans+1.5
73-4LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.3
84-4NIAGRALEMOYNKillAlise Evansset Skylar Jehlen+1.4
95-4LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyne+1.8
105-5LEMOYNNIAGRA×3KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.5
115-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+1.6
125-7NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errGabriella Schemidt+1.5
136-7NIAGRALEMOYNServe errNiagara+1.3
146-8LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+1.3
157-8NIAGRALEMOYNAttack errKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+1.4
167-9LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+1.4
177-10NIAGRANIAGRABlockedAmani Learryblk Taylor Jenkins+1.4
188-10NIAGRALEMOYNKillJazmin Rodriguezset Katie Barbour+1.2
198-11LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Ashley Moreland+1.3
209-11NIAGRALEMOYNKillAmani Learryset Skylar Jehlen+1.3
219-12LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+1.3
229-13NIAGRANIAGRAAceNiagara+1.3
2310-13NIAGRALEMOYNServe errNiagara+1.0
2410-14LEMOYNNIAGRABlockedAlise Evansblk Payton Lee, Taylor Jenkins+1.1
2511-14NIAGRALEMOYNKillNina Salasset Skylar Jehlen+1.1
2611-15LEMOYNNIAGRAKillPayton Lee+1.2
2711-16NIAGRANIAGRABlockedNina Salasblk Jakayla Brown+1.1
2812-16NIAGRALEMOYN×3KillAlise Evansset Katie Barbour+0.8
2913-16LEMOYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
3014-16LEMOYNLEMOYN×3KillGabriella Schemidtset Katie Barbour+1.6
3114-17LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+1.6
3215-17NIAGRALEMOYNKillJazmin Rodriguezset Katie Barbour+1.5
3316-17LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyne+2.2
3416-18LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins+2.1
3516-19NIAGRANIAGRABlockedAmani Learryblk Taylor Jenkins+2.0
3617-19NIAGRALEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Haley Buescher+1.6
3717-20LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+1.8
3818-20NIAGRALEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+1.6
3918-21LEMOYNNIAGRA×3KillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.9
4018-22NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillPayton Lee+1.6
4118-23NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNiagara+0.9
4219-23NIAGRALEMOYNServe errNiagara+0.4
4319-24LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+0.6
4419-25NIAGRANIAGRABlockedBranwyn Luptonblk Jakayla Brown, Karlotta Kattai+0.2
Set 2
10-1LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+0.9
20-2NIAGRANIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.9
31-2NIAGRALEMOYNBad setKarlotta Kattai+0.9
42-2LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errPayton Lee+1.1
52-3LEMOYNNIAGRA×3Serve errLe Moyne+0.9
62-4NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattai+1.0
72-5NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Taylor Jenkins+0.9
83-5NIAGRALEMOYNKillNina Salasset Skylar Jehlen+0.8
93-6LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+0.8
104-6NIAGRALEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+0.8
115-6LEMOYNLEMOYNKillAlise Evansset Katie Barbour+1.1
125-7LEMOYNNIAGRA×6KillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+1.0
135-8NIAGRANIAGRA×6Attack errNina Salas+1.0
145-9NIAGRANIAGRA×6AceNiagaraaced Nina Salas+0.8
155-10NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins+0.7
165-11NIAGRANIAGRA×6AceNiagara+0.6
175-12NIAGRANIAGRA×6Attack errNina Salas+0.4
186-12NIAGRALEMOYNServe errNiagara+0.3
196-13LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.4
207-13NIAGRALEMOYNAttack errKaitlyn Doyleset Ashley Moreland+0.3
217-14LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins+0.4
228-14NIAGRALEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Katie Barbour+0.3
238-15LEMOYNNIAGRAKillTaylor Jenkinsset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.4
249-15NIAGRALEMOYNKillEiley Schneider+0.3
2510-15LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyneaced Elyannah Sonza+0.5
2610-16LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+0.5
2710-17NIAGRANIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Jakayla Brown+0.4
2811-17NIAGRALEMOYNKillEiley Schneider+0.3
2911-18LEMOYNNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.3
3011-19NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errNina Salas+0.2
3112-19NIAGRALEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+0.1
3212-20LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+0.2
3312-21NIAGRANIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattai+0.1
3413-21NIAGRALEMOYNServe errNiagara·
3513-22LEMOYNNIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins+0.1
3614-22NIAGRALEMOYNKillJazmin Rodriguezset Nina Salas·
3714-23LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins·
3815-23NIAGRALEMOYNBlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk Gabriella Schemidt, Eiley Schneider·
3915-24LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
4015-25NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errEiley Schneider·
Set 3
10-1NIAGRANIAGRAAceNiagara+0.5
21-1NIAGRALEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Katie Barbour+0.5
32-1LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errPayton Lee+0.6
42-2LEMOYNNIAGRAKillPayton Lee+0.5
53-2NIAGRALEMOYNServe errNiagara+0.5
63-3LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
74-3NIAGRALEMOYNKillJazmin Rodriguezset Katie Barbour+0.6
84-4LEMOYNNIAGRA×6Attack errJazmin Rodriguezset Haley Buescher+0.5
94-5NIAGRANIAGRA×6Attack errJazmin Rodriguez+0.6
104-6NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.5
114-7NIAGRANIAGRA×6BlockedJazmin Rodriguezblk Kadence Goolsby, Jakayla Brown+0.5
124-8NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillKarlotta Kattaiset Ashley Moreland+0.4
134-9NIAGRANIAGRA×6AceNiagara+0.3
145-9NIAGRALEMOYNKillAlise Evansset Katie Barbour+0.3
155-10LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+0.3
166-10NIAGRALEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Katie Barbour+0.3
176-11LEMOYNNIAGRAServe errLe Moyne+0.3
187-11NIAGRALEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Katie Barbour+0.3
197-12LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins+0.3
207-13NIAGRANIAGRAAceNiagara+0.3
218-13NIAGRALEMOYNAttack errPayton Leeset Ashley Moreland+0.2
228-14LEMOYNNIAGRA×3Serve errLe Moyne+0.3
238-15NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Ashley Moreland+0.2
248-16NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.1
259-16NIAGRALEMOYN×3Serve errNiagara+0.1
2610-16LEMOYNLEMOYN×3AceLe Moyneaced Karlotta Kattai+0.2
2711-16LEMOYNLEMOYN×3KillJazmin Rodriguezset Skylar Jehlen+0.2
2811-17LEMOYNNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.3
2911-18NIAGRANIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.2
3012-18NIAGRALEMOYNBlockedPayton Leeblk Alise Evans, Jazmin Rodriguez+0.1
3112-19LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattai+0.2
3213-19NIAGRALEMOYNKillAlise Evansset Katie Barbour+0.1
3313-20LEMOYNNIAGRA×4KillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+0.1
3413-21NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errNina Salas+0.1
3513-22NIAGRANIAGRA×4AceNiagaraaced Cami Zajac·
3613-23NIAGRANIAGRA×4KillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins·
3714-23NIAGRALEMOYN×3Attack errKadence Goolsbyset Karlotta Kattai·
3815-23LEMOYNLEMOYN×3AceLe Moyneaced Maille Malone·
3916-23LEMOYNLEMOYN×3KillEiley Schneiderset Katie Barbour·
4016-24LEMOYNNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins·
4116-25NIAGRANIAGRABlockedPayton Horanblk Kadence Goolsby, Taylor Jenkins·

Score shown after each rally, Le Moyne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).