Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on ESPN+

North Texas def. Tulsa 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tulsa 83.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Texas beat visiting Tulsa 3-1 (25-23, 25-20, 19-25, 25-21) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. North Texas' Reagan Bedell led with 18 kills, and Dakota Mitchell added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set1234Sets
TULSA232025211
NO TEX252519253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.364 on 33 swings: Reagan Bedell and North Texas edged Tulsa.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are North Texas's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Tulsa went in at 83% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Tulsa 18–15 North Texas

    The bottom for North Texas, then 10 of the next 15 rallies and the set, 25–23.

    North Texas 12% → 36%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Tulsa 13–10 North Texas

    North Texas scored 6 straight to turn a 10–13 deficit into a 16–13 lead. The match swung to North Texas.

    North Texas 43% → 77%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Tulsa 20–22 North Texas

    North Texas won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–21 and win the match 3–1.

    North Texas 81% → >99%

North Texas above 50Tulsa belowMax swing 10.7%

TulsaNorth Texas

Sideout %
Tulsa 55.9·North Texas 58.9
Break %
Tulsa 41.1·North Texas 44.1
Hitting
Tulsa .250·North Texas .331
Longest run
Tulsa 5·North Texas 6

Reagan Bedell
18 kills on .364, 20.5 points; 5 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Texas above 50 · Tulsa below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% NO TEXrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to North Texas — set 4, TULSA 21-24 NO TEX. Kill by Addison Achilles (set by Sidney Soria). NO TEX win probability 84% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TULSA 77.5%22.5% NO TEX

Tulsa wins

3-0
29.1%
3-1
29.5%
3-2
18.9%

North Texas wins

3-0
3.8%
3-1
7.6%
3-2
11.1%
TULSA break %
44.9% vs this opp
NO TEX break %
39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Addison Achilles (set by Sidney Soria)

    Set 4 · TULSA 21-24 NO TEX · NO TEX 84% → 95%

  2. 02
    Reagan BedellKill+10.2%

    Kill by Reagan Bedell (set by Sidney Soria)

    Set 4 · TULSA 21-23 NO TEX · NO TEX 74% → 84%

  3. 03
    Reagan BedellKill+8.9%

    Kill by Reagan Bedell (set by Olivia Branum)

    Set 4 · TULSA 20-22 NO TEX · NO TEX 72% → 81%

  4. 04

    Kill by Jocelyn Jourdan (set by Reagan Bedell)

    Set 1 · TULSA 23-25 NO TEX · NO TEX 27% → 36%

  5. 05
    Reagan BedellAttack error+8.5%

    Attack error by Reagan Bedell

    Set 4 · TULSA 20-21 NO TEX · TULSA 20% → 28%

  6. 06

    Olivia Vance stuffed by Lillian Croshaw & Loredana Fouonji

    Set 4 · TULSA 15-18 NO TEX · NO TEX 72% → 79%

  7. 07
    Reagan BedellKill+7.5%

    Kill by Reagan Bedell (set by Dakota Mitchell)

    Set 1 · TULSA 23-24 NO TEX · NO TEX 19% → 27%

  8. 08
    Olivia VanceAttack error+7.1%

    Attack error by Olivia Vance

    Set 4 · TULSA 13-16 NO TEX · NO TEX 70% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tulsaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411326.3080001002112
48417.2350001004210
45419.053021301229
4204.500311140010.53.5
23110.200001310003
2218.125000010213
4000–5111500001
311530.2000213004215
3518.500000000005
26110.50000000052.58.5
2000–020210002
2000–900300000
2000–300000000
2000–002200000
Team totals5320132.25048873751201189
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411018.61100030355.516.5
413325.40020303031.514.5
48520.15000010031.59.5
43411-.091002100425
4001.0003030200003
3000–000210000
418633.364121100010.520.5
48214.429000200219
4000–5001620000
4000–2101500000
3000–000200000
2002.000001100000
Team totals6120124.33159584583181294

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tulsa vs North Texas

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TULSA · NO TEX 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 TULSANO TEX 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 TULSANO TEX 5

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 TULSANO TEX 3

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 TULSANO TEX 6

Bars above the line = North Texas leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
55%12/22
2
41%9/22
17%2/12
3
57%8/14
25%3/12
4
57%8/14
56%10/18
5
62%8/13
53%9/17
6
73%8/11
11%1/9
All
56%52/93
41%37/90

North Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
36%5/14
2
90%9/10
57%13/23
3
64%9/14
44%7/16
4
47%8/17
50%8/16
5
50%8/16
27%3/11
6
53%8/15
38%5/13
All
59%53/90
44%41/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#TULSA-NO TEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TULSANO TEX×3Serve errIsabella Ocampo+1.3
20-2NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.8
30-3NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLoredana Fouonjiset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
41-3NO TEXTULSABlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Emma Blaine, Brittany Bacorn+1.3
51-4TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+1.5
62-4NO TEXTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
72-5TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+1.5
83-5NO TEXTULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Lexi Dahl+1.3
94-5TULSATULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Lexi Dahl+1.8
105-5TULSATULSA×3Attack errReagan Bedell+1.7
115-6TULSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+1.5
126-6NO TEXTULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Lexi Dahl+1.3
137-6TULSATULSA×3Attack errAddison Achilles+1.7
148-6TULSATULSA×3KillAva Steffeset Lexi Dahl+1.6
158-7TULSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+1.2
169-7NO TEXTULSAKillJill Hansonset Lexi Dahl+1.2
179-8TULSANO TEXServe errBrittany Bacorn+1.2
1810-8NO TEXTULSAAttack errLillian Croshaw+1.2
1910-9TULSANO TEXAttack errEmma Blaine+1.3
2011-9NO TEXTULSAServe errAddison Achilles+1.3
2111-10TULSANO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.3
2211-11NO TEXNO TEX×3BlockedMaegan Millsblk Jocelyn Jourdan, Loredana Fouonji+2.0
2311-12NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+2.3
2412-12NO TEXTULSAServe errOlivia Branum+1.7
2513-12TULSATULSAKillAva Steffeset Lauren Patterson+2.2
2613-13TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+1.7
2713-14NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+2.6
2814-14NO TEXTULSAKillAva Steffeset Lexi Dahl+1.8
2915-14TULSATULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Lauren Patterson+2.4
3015-15TULSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+1.9
3116-15NO TEXTULSA×3KillIsabella Ocamposet Lexi Dahl+1.9
3217-15TULSATULSA×3Attack errReagan Bedell+2.3
3318-15TULSATULSA×3AceTulsaaced Dakota Mitchell+1.9
3418-16TULSANO TEX×4KillAddison Achillesset Olivia Branum+1.3
3518-17NO TEXNO TEX×4KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.3
3618-18NO TEXNO TEX×4BlockedIsabella Ocampoblk Addison Achilles, Lillian Croshaw+2.9
3718-19NO TEXNO TEX×4AceSidney Soria+3.5
3819-19NO TEXTULSAKillAva Steffeset Lexi Dahl+2.5
3919-20TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+3.0
4020-20NO TEXTULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+2.7
4120-21TULSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Jahniya Jackson+3.3
4221-21NO TEXTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+3.1
4321-22TULSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+3.8
4422-22NO TEXTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+3.5
4523-22TULSATULSAKillMaegan Millsset Lauren Patterson+5.2
4623-23TULSANO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+3.9
4723-24NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+7.5
4823-25NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJocelyn Jourdanset Reagan Bedell+8.9
Set 2
10-1NO TEXNO TEXAceSidney Soriaaced Isabella Ocampo+2.7
20-2NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedell+2.9
31-2NO TEXTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.0
41-3TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.3
52-3NO TEXTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.1
62-4TULSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.4
72-5NO TEXNO TEXAttack errOlivia Vance+3.3
83-5NO TEXTULSABlockedLillian Croshawblk Olivia Vance, Campbell Hague+2.2
93-6TULSANO TEX×5KillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+2.6
103-7NO TEXNO TEX×5BlockedAva Steffeblk Loredana Fouonji, Jahniya Jackson+3.4
113-8NO TEXNO TEX×5KillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+3.4
123-9NO TEXNO TEX×5Attack errCampbell Hague+3.2
133-10NO TEXNO TEX×5KillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+2.9
144-10NO TEXTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Lexi Dahl+1.6
154-11TULSANO TEXBlockedMaegan Millsblk Loredana Fouonji+2.2
164-12NO TEXNO TEXAttack errMaegan Mills+2.4
175-12NO TEXTULSAServe errJahniya Jackson+1.3
186-12TULSATULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.1
196-13TULSANO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+2.2
206-14NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Jahniya Jackson+2.3
216-15NO TEXNO TEX×3BlockedMaegan Millsblk Addison Achilles, Jocelyn Jourdan+1.7
227-15NO TEXTULSAAttack errAddison Achilles+0.8
237-16TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+1.3
247-17NO TEXNO TEXAceSidney Soriaaced Jill Hanson+1.1
258-17NO TEXTULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.4
269-17TULSATULSA×3BlockedAddison Achillesblk Campbell Hague+0.8
2710-17TULSATULSA×3AceTulsaaced Jahniya Jackson+1.2
2810-18TULSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.4
2911-18NO TEXTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
3011-19TULSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.3
3111-20NO TEXNO TEXBlockedCampbell Hagueblk Loredana Fouonji+1.0
3212-20NO TEXTULSAAttack errJahniya Jackson+0.3
3313-20TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Alessandra Romo+0.7
3413-21TULSANO TEXServe errOlivia Vance+1.0
3513-22NO TEXNO TEXAttack errCampbell Hague+0.6
3614-22NO TEXTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.1
3715-22TULSATULSABlockedJocelyn Jourdanblk Maegan Mills, Jill Hanson+0.4
3815-23TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+0.5
3916-23NO TEXTULSAKillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+0.1
4016-24TULSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+0.3
4117-24NO TEXTULSA×4BlockedReagan Bedellblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine·
4218-24TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
4319-24TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+0.3
4420-24TULSATULSA×4Attack errAddison Achilles+0.6
4520-25TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+1.2
Set 3
11-0TULSATULSA×3BlockedLillian Croshawblk Olivia Vance, Kat Cooper+2.5
22-0TULSATULSA×3Attack errReagan Bedell+2.3
33-0TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+2.1
43-1TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+1.6
53-2NO TEXNO TEXAttack errOlivia Vance+2.4
64-2NO TEXTULSAServe errReagan Bedell+1.8
74-3TULSANO TEX×3KillAddison Achillesset Sidney Soria+1.9
84-4NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.8
94-5NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+3.2
105-5NO TEXTULSAServe errAddison Achilles+2.3
115-6TULSANO TEXBlockedCampbell Hagueblk Loredana Fouonji+2.6
126-6NO TEXTULSA×5KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
137-6TULSATULSA×5KillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+3.0
148-6TULSATULSA×5KillCampbell Hague+2.7
159-6TULSATULSA×5BlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Campbell Hague, Emma Blaine+2.4
1610-6TULSATULSA×5AceTulsaaced Jahniya Jackson+2.0
1710-7TULSANO TEXBlockedEmma Blaineblk Loredana Fouonji, Jahniya Jackson+1.4
1810-8NO TEXNO TEXBlockedEmma Blaineblk Reagan Bedell, Loredana Fouonji+2.4
1911-8NO TEXTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
2011-9TULSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+1.9
2112-9NO TEXTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+2.0
2212-10TULSANO TEXServe errMilee Jackson+1.9
2313-10NO TEXTULSA×3KillBrittany Bacornset Brittany Bacorn+2.0
2414-10TULSATULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+2.2
2515-10TULSATULSA×3KillBrittany Bacorn+1.7
2615-11TULSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.1
2716-11NO TEXTULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
2816-12TULSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.1
2917-12NO TEXTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
3017-13TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+1.0
3118-13NO TEXTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
3218-14TULSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Dakota Mitchell+1.0
3319-14NO TEXTULSA×4KillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
3420-14TULSATULSA×4AceTulsaaced Dakota Mitchell+1.1
3521-14TULSATULSA×4BlockedReagan Bedellblk Kat Cooper, Emma Blaine+0.6
3622-14TULSATULSA×4KillEmma Blaine+0.3
3722-15TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+0.1
3823-15NO TEXTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
3923-16TULSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum·
4023-17NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+0.1
4124-17NO TEXTULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
4224-18TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria·
4324-19NO TEXNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+0.1
4425-19NO TEXTULSABlockedLillian Croshawblk Olivia Vance, Kat Cooper+0.2
Set 4
11-0NO TEXTULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+2.6
21-1TULSANO TEX×3Serve errLauren Patterson+2.9
31-2NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+4.1
41-3NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+4.5
52-3NO TEXTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+3.1
62-4TULSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+3.6
73-4NO TEXTULSA×3Serve errRyann Vik+3.2
84-4TULSATULSA×3KillEmma Blaine+4.2
95-4TULSATULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+4.0
105-5TULSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+3.2
116-5NO TEXTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+3.0
127-5TULSATULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+3.7
137-6TULSANO TEXServe errCampbell Hague+2.9
147-7NO TEXNO TEXAttack errEmma Blaine+4.4
158-7NO TEXTULSAServe errJahniya Jackson+3.2
168-8TULSANO TEXServe errMilee Jackson+3.5
179-8NO TEXTULSA×4Attack errJocelyn Jourdan+3.4
1810-8TULSATULSA×4KillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+4.1
1911-8TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+3.6
2012-8TULSATULSA×4AceTulsaaced Jahniya Jackson+3.0
2112-9TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+2.1
2212-10NO TEXNO TEXAttack errKat Cooper+3.5
2313-10NO TEXTULSABlockedLillian Croshawblk Kat Cooper, Olivia Vance+2.9
2413-11TULSANO TEX×6KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.8
2513-12NO TEXNO TEX×6KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+4.5
2613-13NO TEXNO TEX×6AceReagan Bedellaced Rachel Megna+5.5
2713-14NO TEXNO TEX×6KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+6.3
2813-15NO TEXNO TEX×6BlockedOlivia Vanceblk Lillian Croshaw, Addison Achilles+6.9
2913-16NO TEXNO TEX×6Attack errOlivia Vance+7.1
3014-16NO TEXTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+4.4
3115-16TULSATULSAAceTulsa+6.5
3215-17TULSANO TEXBlockedEmma Blaineblk Jahniya Jackson, Addison Achilles+6.0
3315-18NO TEXNO TEXBlockedOlivia Vanceblk Lillian Croshaw, Loredana Fouonji+7.7
3416-18NO TEXTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+4.6
3516-19TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+6.3
3617-19NO TEXTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+4.7
3717-20TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+6.6
3818-20NO TEXTULSAServe errJahniya Jackson+4.8
3918-21TULSANO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+7.0
4019-21NO TEXTULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+4.8
4120-21TULSATULSAAttack errReagan Bedell+8.5
4220-22TULSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+8.9
4321-22NO TEXTULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+6.7
4421-23TULSANO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+10.2
4521-24NO TEXNO TEX×3KillAddison Achillesset Sidney Soria+10.7
4621-25NO TEXNO TEX×3AceReagan Bedell+4.8

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).