FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tulsa def. Charlotte 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Tulsa 94.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tulsa won at Charlotte 3-0 (25-19, 25-19, 25-21) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Tulsa's Emma Blaine led with 11 kills, and Lauren Patterson added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
TULSA2525253
CHAR1919210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tulsa led every phase, and nothing ever turned.

Win probability never moved more than 1.5 points on one rally; Charlotte topped out at 13% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Tulsa 95% before first serve.

TulsaCharlotte
  • Break %+13.5 pts
    47.934.4

    35 of 73 on serve vs 21 of 61, so Charlotte's sideout was 52.1%.

  • Hitting+.102
    .296.194

    46 kills, 14 errors vs 38 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Down 9–14 in the first set, Tulsa scored 6 straight to lead 15–14. The set finished 25–19.

Charlotte above 50Tulsa belowMax swing 1.5%

TulsaCharlotte

Aces
Tulsa 8·Charlotte 0
Serve err
Tulsa 7·Charlotte 3
Blocks
Tulsa 7·Charlotte 41 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Tulsa 44·Charlotte 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Charlotte above 50 · Tulsa below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.5% CHARrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Charlotte — set 1, TULSA 9-13 CHAR. Attack error by Emma Blaine. CHAR win probability 10% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TULSA 94.3%5.7% CHAR

Tulsa wins

3-0
53.5%
3-1
30.2%
3-2
10.6%

Charlotte wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
3.4%
TULSA break %
48.6% vs this opp
CHAR break %
36.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma BlaineAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Emma Blaine

    Set 1 · TULSA 9-13 CHAR · CHAR 10% → 12%

  2. 02
    Olivia VanceAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Olivia Vance

    Set 1 · TULSA 9-14 CHAR · CHAR 12% → 13%

  3. 03
    Ava SteffeKill+1.3%

    Kill by Ava Steffe (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 1 · TULSA 13-14 CHAR · TULSA 90% → 92%

  4. 04

    Kill by Campbell Hague (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 1 · TULSA 12-14 CHAR · TULSA 89% → 90%

  5. 05
    Clara BrileyKill+1.3%

    Kill by Clara Briley (set by Harper Hall)

    Set 1 · TULSA 5-9 CHAR · CHAR 9% → 10%

  6. 06
    Sofia LocadiaAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Sofia Locadia

    Set 1 · TULSA 14-14 CHAR · TULSA 92% → 93%

  7. 07
    TulsaAce+1.2%

    Tulsa ace on Gia McGrew

    Set 1 · TULSA 11-14 CHAR · TULSA 88% → 89%

  8. 08
    Maegan MillsAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Maegan Mills

    Set 1 · TULSA 5-8 CHAR · CHAR 8% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tulsaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310228.2860015012212
311420.3500002002112
38111.63610120031.59.5
3228.00000010031.53.5
3000–2021500002
26320.150020700008
36115.333000200217
3000–3311500003
3000–1812400001
1316.333101100003
Team totals4614108.2964387440112775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310421.28600010111.511.5
38626.07710071010.58.5
38328.179000630008
36019.31610030111.57.5
3011-1.0003201500000
3000–000210000
35312.16700130010.55.5
3000–2001210000
21011.000001000001
1000–000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals3817108.194360340824459

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TULSA · CHAR 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 6 TULSACHAR 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 TULSACHAR 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 TULSACHAR 3

Bars above the line = Charlotte leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
57%8/14
2
50%7/14
50%7/14
3
78%7/9
42%5/12
4
67%6/9
54%7/13
5
50%6/12
25%2/8
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
66%40/61
48%35/73

Charlotte

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
27%3/11
2
44%7/16
42%5/12
3
60%6/10
30%3/10
4
55%6/11
40%4/10
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
50%6/12
33%3/9
All
52%38/73
34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#TULSA-CHARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CHARCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.8
21-1CHARTULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
32-1TULSATULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.6
42-2TULSACHARServe errLauren Patterson+0.5
52-3CHARCHARAttack errEmma Blaine+0.8
63-3CHARTULSAServe errCharlotte+0.6
73-4TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.7
84-4CHARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.6
94-5TULSACHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.7
104-6CHARCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.0
115-6CHARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.7
125-7TULSACHAR×3KillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+0.8
135-8CHARCHAR×3Attack errMaegan Mills+1.2
145-9CHARCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+1.3
156-9CHARTULSAKillKat Cooperset Meg Goodwin+0.8
167-9TULSATULSABlockedClara Brileyblk Kat Cooper, Emma Blaine+1.1
177-10TULSACHARKillClara Brileyset Chloe Maughan+1.0
188-10CHARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Lauren Patterson+0.8
198-11TULSACHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+1.1
209-11CHARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
219-12TULSACHAR×3KillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+1.1
229-13CHARCHAR×3Attack errEmma Blaine+1.5
239-14CHARCHAR×3Attack errOlivia Vance+1.5
2410-14CHARTULSA×6KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
2511-14TULSATULSA×6AceTulsaaced Gia McGrew+1.2
2612-14TULSATULSA×6KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+1.3
2713-14TULSATULSA×6KillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+1.3
2814-14TULSATULSA×6Attack errSofia Locadia+1.3
2915-14TULSATULSA×6KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+1.2
3015-15TULSACHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+1.0
3116-15CHARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.9
3216-16TULSACHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.0
3317-16CHARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+1.0
3418-16TULSATULSAAttack errClara Briley+1.2
3518-17TULSACHARKillJovana Anticset Clara Briley+0.8
3619-17CHARTULSA×4KillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+0.9
3720-17TULSATULSA×4Attack errGia McGrew+0.9
3821-17TULSATULSA×4KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.6
3922-17TULSATULSA×4Attack errClara Briley+0.3
4022-18TULSACHARServe errTulsa+0.1
4123-18CHARTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
4224-18TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
4324-19TULSACHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall·
4425-19CHARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn·
Set 2
11-0TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+0.4
22-0TULSATULSAAceTulsa+0.3
32-1TULSACHARAttack errOlivia Vance+0.3
43-1CHARTULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
54-1TULSATULSA×3AceTulsaaced Gia McGrew+0.3
65-1TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+0.2
75-2TULSACHAR×3BlockedCampbell Hagueblk Jovana Antic+0.2
85-3CHARCHAR×3BlockedEmma Blaineblk Jovana Antic, Clara Briley+0.3
95-4CHARCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Jovana Antic+0.4
106-4CHARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
116-5TULSACHARServe errTulsa+0.3
126-6CHARCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.5
137-6CHARTULSA×3BlockedHarper Hallblk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance+0.4
148-6TULSATULSA×3KillAva Steffeset Campbell Hague+0.4
159-6TULSATULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.4
169-7TULSACHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.3
1710-7CHARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.3
1810-8TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.3
1911-8CHARTULSA×3KillAva Steffeset Lauren Patterson+0.3
2012-8TULSATULSA×3AceTulsaaced Chloe Maughan+0.3
2113-8TULSATULSA×3BlockedGia McGrewblk Kat Cooper, Emma Blaine+0.2
2213-9TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.2
2314-9CHARTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
2414-10TULSACHARAttack errKat Cooper+0.2
2515-10CHARTULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
2616-10TULSATULSA×3AceTulsaaced Gia McGrew+0.2
2717-10TULSATULSA×3Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+0.1
2817-11TULSACHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.1
2918-11CHARTULSAServe errCharlotte+0.1
3018-12TULSACHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall·
3119-12CHARTULSAAttack errClara Briley+0.1
3220-12TULSATULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin·
3320-13TULSACHARAttack errMaegan Mills·
3421-13CHARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin·
3521-14TULSACHAR×4Serve errTulsa·
3621-15CHARCHAR×4BlockedKat Cooperblk Sofia Locadia·
3721-16CHARCHAR×4Attack errAva Steffe+0.1
3821-17CHARCHAR×4BlockedMaegan Millsblk Sofia Locadia, Mariam Mushkudiani+0.1
3922-17CHARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.2
4022-18TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.1
4122-19CHARCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.2
4223-19CHARTULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
4324-19TULSATULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Harper Hall+0.1
4425-19TULSATULSA×3AceTulsaaced Clara Briley·
Set 3
11-0CHARTULSAAttack errSofia Locadia+0.1
21-1TULSACHAR×3KillGia McGrewset Chloe Maughan+0.2
31-2CHARCHAR×3KillMariam Mushkudianiset Olivia Vance+0.2
41-3CHARCHAR×3KillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.3
52-3CHARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
62-4TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.2
72-5CHARCHARAttack errEmma Blaine+0.3
83-5CHARTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
94-5TULSATULSABlockedMariam Mushkudianiblk Olivia Vance+0.3
104-6TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.2
114-7CHARCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+0.3
125-7CHARTULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+0.2
136-7TULSATULSABlockedClara Brileyblk Campbell Hague, Ava Steffe+0.3
146-8TULSACHARServe errTulsa+0.3
157-8CHARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.2
167-9TULSACHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+0.3
178-9CHARTULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Meg Goodwin+0.2
188-10TULSACHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+0.3
198-11CHARCHARAttack errIsabella Ocampo+0.4
209-11CHARTULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+0.2
219-12TULSACHARServe errIsabella Ocampo+0.3
2210-12CHARTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
2310-13TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.3
2411-13CHARTULSA×3Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+0.3
2512-13TULSATULSA×3Bad setSofia Locadia+0.4
2613-13TULSATULSA×3BlockedClara Brileyblk Campbell Hague, Ava Steffe+0.4
2713-14TULSACHARServe errMeg Goodwin+0.3
2813-15CHARCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.5
2914-15CHARTULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+0.3
3014-16TULSACHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+0.4
3114-17CHARCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+0.5
3215-17CHARTULSAServe errCassidy Flakes+0.3
3315-18TULSACHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.4
3416-18CHARTULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+0.3
3517-18TULSATULSA×4KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
3618-18TULSATULSA×4Attack errGia McGrew+0.5
3719-18TULSATULSA×4AceBrittany Bacornaced Erin Lehman+0.5
3819-19TULSACHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.4
3920-19CHARTULSA×3KillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+0.4
4021-19TULSATULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Isabella Ocampo+0.4
4122-19TULSATULSA×3BlockedSofia Locadiablk Kat Cooper, Olivia Vance+0.3
4222-20TULSACHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.2
4323-20CHARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
4423-21TULSACHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.1
4524-21CHARTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
4625-21TULSATULSAAttack errSofia Locadia+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).