FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tulsa def. East Carolina 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Tulsa 67.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 10:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tulsa won at East Carolina 3-0 (25-22, 26-24, 25-20) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Tulsa's Olivia Vance led with 16 kills, and Lauren Patterson added 16 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set123Sets
TULSA2526253
E CAR2224200

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Olivia Vance needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. Tulsa swept East Carolina.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.6 points, and East Carolina's high was 33% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Tulsa at 67%.

TulsaEast Carolina
  • Hitting+.101
    .236.135

    49 K / 20 E against 31 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    Up 4–3 in the third set, Tulsa scored 6 straight to make it 10–3. Final score of the set: 25–20.

East Carolina above 50Tulsa belowMax swing 7.6%

TulsaEast Carolina

Aces
Tulsa 6·East Carolina 4
Serve err
Tulsa 9·East Carolina 3
Blocks
Tulsa 5·East Carolina 92 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Tulsa 45·East Carolina 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

East Carolina above 50 · Tulsa below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.6% E CARrally 142 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.6% to East Carolina — set 2, TULSA 24-24 E CAR. Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Taryn Gilreath). E CAR win probability 12% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TULSA 68.3%31.7% E CAR

Tulsa wins

3-0
22.1%
3-1
26.2%
3-2
20.0%

East Carolina wins

3-0
6.2%
3-1
11.2%
3-2
14.3%
TULSA break %
42.3% vs this opp
E CAR break %
38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ellie PateKill+7.6%

    Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 2 · TULSA 24-24 E CAR · E CAR 12% → 19%

  2. 02
    Lexi DahlAce+7.2%

    Ace by Lexi Dahl on Ellie Pate

    Set 2 · TULSA 26-24 E CAR · TULSA 86% → 93%

  3. 03

    Kill by Campbell Hague (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 2 · TULSA 25-24 E CAR · TULSA 81% → 86%

  4. 04

    Maegan Mills stuffed by Taryn Gilreath & Nina Edwards

    Set 2 · TULSA 24-23 E CAR · E CAR 9% → 12%

  5. 05
    Ava SteffeAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Ava Steffe

    Set 1 · TULSA 4-4 E CAR · E CAR 30% → 33%

  6. 06
    Olivia VanceKill+2.5%

    Kill by Olivia Vance (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 1 · TULSA 24-21 E CAR · TULSA 77% → 80%

  7. 07

    Kill by Angeles Alderete

    Set 1 · TULSA 16-14 E CAR · E CAR 24% → 27%

  8. 08

    Kill by Campbell Hague (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 1 · TULSA 6-4 E CAR · TULSA 69% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tulsaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316337.35101151111.518.5
312224.4170024000012
38214.42900000031.59.5
36323.130111700007
33715-.267000101225
31011.00020011100001
31011.0005321630004
3014-.250000000000
3000–1501100000
2000–011000001
1224.000000000002
Team totals4920123.236416945426576
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39429.1721116304212
310329.24101110100011
3429.22200000031.55.5
33312.000000001225
33518-.111001301014
3104.250200070010.51.5
3000–020700002
3000–000200000
3000–300610000
2102.50000000031.52.5
2000–000100000
1001.00000010010.50.5
1000–300200000
Team totals3117104.1352743456214966

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TULSA · E CAR 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 TULSAE CAR 2

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 5 TULSAE CAR 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 TULSAE CAR 4

Bars above the line = East Carolina leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
40%4/10
2
54%7/13
61%11/18
3
78%7/9
61%11/18
4
54%7/13
22%2/9
5
50%7/14
42%5/12
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
60%41/68
47%35/74

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
30%3/10
2
35%7/20
36%4/11
3
64%7/11
36%4/11
4
54%7/13
46%6/13
5
75%6/8
46%6/13
6
56%5/9
40%4/10
All
53%39/74
40%27/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

142 rallies

#TULSA-E CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0E CARTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
22-0TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+2.2
32-1TULSAE CARServe errTulsa+1.5
43-1E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
53-2TULSAE CARServe errTulsa+1.5
64-2E CARTULSAAttack errAulie Huff+1.5
74-3TULSAE CARKillNina Edwardsset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
84-4E CARE CARAttack errAva Steffe+2.5
95-4E CARTULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+1.7
106-4TULSATULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+2.4
117-4TULSATULSA×3Attack errAulie Huff+2.2
127-5TULSAE CARAttack errOlivia Vance+1.4
138-5E CARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+1.5
149-5TULSATULSAKillJill Hanson+2.0
159-6TULSAE CARServe errCampbell Hague+1.2
1610-6E CARTULSAServe errAulie Huff+1.3
1710-7TULSAE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
1811-7E CARTULSAServe errAngeles Alderete+1.4
1911-8TULSAE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+1.2
2011-9E CARE CARAttack errEmma Blaine+2.2
2112-9E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.7
2213-9TULSATULSAKillLauren Pattersonset Taryn Gilreath+2.1
2313-10TULSAE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
2414-10E CARTULSAAttack errAulie Huff+1.4
2514-11TULSAE CARServe errMeg Goodwin+1.2
2615-11E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+1.5
2715-12TULSAE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
2816-12E CARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+1.5
2916-13TULSAE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Emma Ortiz+1.2
3016-14E CARE CARKillAngeles Alderete+2.4
3117-14E CARTULSA×3KillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+2.0
3218-14TULSATULSA×3BlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Emma Blaine, Jill Hanson+2.3
3319-14TULSATULSA×3KillBrittany Bacornset Taryn Gilreath+1.6
3419-15TULSAE CARBlockedJill Hansonblk Kai Bailey+0.7
3519-16E CARE CARBlockedEmma Blaineblk Kai Bailey, Ellie Pate+1.7
3620-16E CARTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Lauren Patterson+1.6
3721-16TULSATULSABlockedKai Baileyblk Olivia Vance+1.5
3821-17TULSAE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.6
3921-18E CARE CARAttack errJill Hanson+1.5
4022-18E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
4122-19TULSAE CARKillNina Edwardsset Taryn Gilreath+0.9
4223-19E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
4323-20TULSAE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.7
4423-21E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.0
4524-21E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.5
4624-22TULSAE CARServe errOlivia Vance+0.9
4725-22E CARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+2.2
Set 2
11-0TULSATULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
21-1TULSAE CARServe errBrittany Bacorn+1.3
31-2E CARE CARAttack errMaegan Mills+2.1
42-2E CARTULSA×5KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.4
53-2TULSATULSA×5AceMaegan Millsaced Ellie Pate+2.0
64-2TULSATULSA×5Bad setTaryn Gilreath+1.9
75-2TULSATULSA×5BlockedNina Edwardsblk Emma Blaine+1.8
86-2TULSATULSA×5KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.6
96-3TULSAE CARAttack errEmma Blaine+1.0
107-3E CARTULSA×5KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.1
118-3TULSATULSA×5AceLauren Pattersonaced Angeles Alderete+1.4
129-3TULSATULSA×5KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.1
1310-3TULSATULSA×5Attack errEllie Pate+0.8
1411-3TULSATULSA×5KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.6
1511-4TULSAE CARBlockedOlivia Vanceblk Aulie Huff+0.3
1612-4E CARTULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.4
1713-4TULSATULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.4
1814-4TULSATULSA×3Attack errKai Bailey+0.2
1914-5TULSAE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Emma Ortiz+0.1
2014-6E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
2114-7E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
2215-7E CARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.3
2315-8TULSAE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
2416-8E CARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.3
2516-9TULSAE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
2617-9E CARTULSAAttack errAulie Huff+0.3
2717-10TULSAE CARAttack errEmma Blaine+0.2
2817-11E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Lauren Patterson+0.4
2918-11E CARTULSA×3Serve errEllie Pate+0.4
3019-11TULSATULSA×3Attack errAngeles Alderete+0.4
3120-11TULSATULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
3220-12TULSAE CAR×5KillNina Edwardsset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
3320-13E CARE CAR×5Bad setOlivia Vance+0.1
3420-14E CARE CAR×5AceEast Carolinaaced Lauren Patterson+0.3
3520-15E CARE CAR×5KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
3620-16E CARE CAR×5AceEast Carolinaaced Olivia Vance+0.8
3721-16E CARTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
3821-17TULSAE CAR×3KillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
3921-18E CARE CAR×3Attack errEmma Blaine+1.2
4021-19E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.1
4122-19E CARTULSAAttack errAngeles Alderete+2.0
4222-20TULSAE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Emma Ortiz+1.3
4323-20E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.1
4424-20TULSATULSAAceOlivia Vanceaced Emma Ortiz+1.6
4524-21TULSAE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
4624-22E CARE CAR×4KillNina Edwards+1.1
4724-23E CARE CAR×4BlockedMaegan Millsblk Taryn Gilreath, Nina Edwards+2.9
4824-24E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+7.6
4925-24E CARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+5.2
5026-24TULSATULSAAceLexi Dahlaced Ellie Pate+7.2
Set 3
10-1E CARE CARBlockedKat Cooperblk Ellie Pate, Nina Edwards+1.2
20-2E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
31-2E CARTULSA×4KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
42-2TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+1.2
53-2TULSATULSA×4KillKat Cooperset Lauren Patterson+1.2
64-2TULSATULSA×4Attack errEllie Pate+1.1
74-3TULSAE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
85-3E CARTULSA×6BlockedAulie Huffblk Olivia Vance, Jill Hanson+0.8
96-3TULSATULSA×6KillOlivia Vance+1.1
107-3TULSATULSA×6KillOlivia Vanceset Maegan Mills+0.9
118-3TULSATULSA×6AceLauren Pattersonaced Ellie Pate+0.8
129-3TULSATULSA×6KillOlivia Vance+0.6
1310-3TULSATULSA×6AceLauren Patterson+0.5
1410-4TULSAE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
1511-4E CARTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
1611-5TULSAE CARAttack errEmma Blaine+0.3
1712-5E CARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.3
1813-5TULSATULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.3
1913-6TULSAE CARAttack errCampbell Hague+0.2
2013-7E CARE CARBlockedEmma Blaineblk Ekwe Anwah, Ellie Pate+0.3
2114-7E CARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.3
2214-8TULSAE CARServe errCampbell Hague+0.2
2315-8E CARTULSAAttack errEllie Pate+0.3
2416-8TULSATULSAAttack errKai Bailey+0.3
2516-9TULSAE CARBlockedKat Cooperblk Ellie Pate, Nina Edwards+0.1
2617-9E CARTULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
2717-10TULSAE CARBad setOlivia Vance+0.1
2818-10E CARTULSAAttack errEllie Pate+0.2
2919-10TULSATULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
3019-11TULSAE CARServe errLauren Patterson·
3120-11E CARTULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
3220-12TULSAE CAR×3BlockedOlivia Vanceblk Naala Kasunga, Ekwe Anwah·
3320-13E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Ellie Pate+0.1
3420-14E CARE CAR×3Attack errCampbell Hague+0.2
3521-14E CARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
3622-14TULSATULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+0.1
3722-15TULSAE CAR×4KillKai Baileyset Brook Watkins·
3822-16E CARE CAR×4KillKai Baileyset Brook Watkins+0.1
3922-17E CARE CAR×4AceEast Carolinaaced Lauren Patterson+0.2
4022-18E CARE CAR×4BlockedMaegan Millsblk Ekwe Anwah, Kai Bailey+0.3
4123-18E CARTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.4
4223-19TULSAE CARServe errLexi Dahl+0.1
4324-19E CARTULSABlockedNina Edwardsblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+0.3
4424-20TULSAE CARKillKai Baileyset Brook Watkins+0.1
4525-20E CARTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).