FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

Jacksonville def. Jacksonville St. 3–0

Jacksonville won at Jacksonville St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-15, 25-13) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Jacksonville's Abbie Tuyo led with 12 kills.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
JVILLE2525253
JAX ST2315130

Win probability

Jacksonville St. above 50 · Jacksonville below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.5% JVILLErally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Jacksonville — set 1, JVILLE 25-23 JAX ST. Kill by Haley Yount (set by Jade Cuya Cobos). JAX ST win probability 6% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JVILLE 92.5%7.5% JAX ST

Jacksonville wins

3-0
49.2%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.2%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.2%
3-2
4.4%
JVILLE break %
49.7% vs this opp
JAX ST break %
38.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Haley YountKill+2.5%

    Kill by Haley Yount (set by Jade Cuya Cobos)

    Set 1 · JVILLE 25-23 JAX ST · JVILLE 94% → 96%

  2. 02

    Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Emersen Strain)

    Set 1 · JVILLE 20-20 JAX ST · JVILLE 87% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Emersen Strain (set by Elle Kennedy)

    Set 1 · JVILLE 21-20 JAX ST · JVILLE 90% → 92%

  4. 04
    Claire EvansKill+2.1%

    Kill by Claire Evans (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 1 · JVILLE 18-20 JAX ST · JAX ST 12% → 14%

  5. 05

    Kill by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo (set by Emersen Strain)

    Set 1 · JVILLE 18-19 JAX ST · JVILLE 86% → 88%

  6. 06
    Azavia ThomasAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Azavia Thomas

    Set 1 · JVILLE 22-20 JAX ST · JVILLE 92% → 94%

  7. 07
    JacksonvilleService error+1.9%

    Jacksonville service error

    Set 1 · JVILLE 16-19 JAX ST · JAX ST 14% → 16%

  8. 08

    Kill by Chloe Mittelstadt (set by Addison Stone)

    Set 1 · JVILLE 12-17 JAX ST · JAX ST 16% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312117.64711060010.513.5
39420.25001141010.510.5
3408.50002010132.58.5
36112.41710010010.56.5
3418.37500000010.54.5
31011.0002022900003
3408.50000010010.54.5
3000–211910001
3000–1101300000
2001.000202000000
15Ana TobarL/DS
1000–000000000
Team totals40775.440377734518575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38320.25000051010.58.5
38315.33300020010.58.5
35317.118000110005
3214.25000100010.52.5
3001.0001701300000
2116.000000000001
3000–1011200001
3000–014000001
3000–200420000
22412-.167033100005
2418.375000200004
1113.00000000010.51.5
Team totals311786.1632951020704251

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 JVILLE · JAX ST 3

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 JVILLEJAX ST 3

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 JVILLEJAX ST 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 8 JVILLEJAX ST 3

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = Jacksonville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
69%11/16
2
64%7/11
53%8/15
3
70%7/10
61%11/18
4
75%6/8
40%4/10
5
80%4/5
50%4/8
6
50%4/8
33%2/6
All
66%35/53
55%40/73

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
45%5/11
2
30%7/23
30%3/10
3
70%7/10
36%4/11
4
44%4/9
30%3/10
5
100%4/4
20%1/5
6
44%4/9
33%2/6
All
45%33/73
34%18/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#JVILLE-JAX STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1JAX STJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+0.9
20-2JAX STJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.1
31-2JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.+0.8
41-3JVILLEJAX STServe errJacksonville+0.9
52-3JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.8
62-4JVILLEJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Gemma Morris+0.9
73-4JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.+0.8
83-5JVILLEJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.0
93-6JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Elle Kennedy+1.3
104-6JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.9
114-7JVILLEJAX STAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.1
125-7JAX STJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.9
135-8JVILLEJAX ST×3KillChloe Mittelstadtset Addison Stone+1.1
145-9JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.5
155-10JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.5
166-10JAX STJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.9
176-11JVILLEJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.3
187-11JAX STJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+1.0
198-11JVILLEJVILLEAttack errLauren Buchanan+1.3
208-12JVILLEJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+1.3
219-12JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+1.0
229-13JVILLEJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+1.4
239-14JAX STJAX STBlockedClaire Mrukowskiblk Claire Evans, Taya Nordmann+1.7
2410-14JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+1.0
2510-15JVILLEJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.4
2611-15JAX STJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.0
2712-15JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.4
2812-16JVILLEJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+1.6
2912-17JAX STJAX STKillChloe Mittelstadtset Addison Stone+1.8
3013-17JAX STJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.0
3113-18JVILLEJAX STAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.5
3214-18JAX STJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.0
3315-18JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.5
3416-18JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errLauren Buchanan+1.8
3516-19JVILLEJAX STServe errJacksonville+1.9
3617-19JAX STJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.4
3718-19JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+2.1
3818-20JVILLEJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+2.1
3919-20JAX STJVILLE×5KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+1.7
4020-20JVILLEJVILLE×5KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.4
4121-20JVILLEJVILLE×5KillEmersen Strainset Elle Kennedy+2.3
4222-20JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errAzavia Thomas+2.0
4323-20JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Claire Evans+1.4
4423-21JVILLEJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.7
4524-21JAX STJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+1.1
4624-22JVILLEJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+0.5
4724-23JAX STJAX STAttack errAbbie Tuyo+1.5
4825-23JAX STJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.5
Set 2
11-0JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonvilleaced Lauren Buchanan+0.5
22-0JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedLauren Buchananblk Claire Mrukowski, Addison Krieger+0.4
33-0JVILLEJVILLE×4KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.4
44-0JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errClaire Evans+0.3
54-1JVILLEJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.3
64-2JAX STJAX STAttack errAddison Krieger+0.4
75-2JAX STJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.3
86-2JVILLEJVILLE×5KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.3
97-2JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonville+0.3
108-2JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.2
119-2JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+0.2
129-3JVILLEJAX ST×3KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.1
139-4JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.+0.2
149-5JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.+0.3
1510-5JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.+0.2
1610-6JVILLEJAX STKillD'Yanna Spicerset Sofia Varela+0.2
1711-6JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.+0.2
1812-6JVILLEJVILLEBlockedClaire Evansblk Haley Yount, Kathryn Adler+0.2
1912-7JVILLEJAX STServe errJacksonville+0.2
2013-7JAX STJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.2
2113-8JVILLEJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.2
2214-8JAX STJVILLE×3BlockedChloe Mittelstadtblk Haley Yount, Abbie Tuyo+0.2
2315-8JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Gemma Morris+0.2
2416-8JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Gemma Morris+0.1
2516-9JVILLEJAX ST×3KillChloe Mittelstadtset Addison Stone+0.1
2616-10JAX STJAX ST×3KillChloe Mittelstadtset Addison Krieger+0.1
2716-11JAX STJAX ST×3Bad setJade Cuya Cobos+0.2
2817-11JAX STJVILLE×5KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.2
2918-11JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.1
3019-11JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAddison Kriegerset Claire Mrukowski+0.1
3120-11JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errD'Yanna Spicer·
3221-11JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonville·
3321-12JVILLEJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone·
3422-12JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain·
3523-12JVILLEJVILLEAttack errClaire Evans·
3623-13JVILLEJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela·
3724-13JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.·
3824-14JVILLEJAX STServe errJacksonville·
3924-15JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo·
4025-15JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.·
Set 3
11-0JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.2
21-1JVILLEJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+0.2
31-2JAX STJAX ST×3BlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas+0.3
41-3JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.+0.3
52-3JAX STJVILLE×8KillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+0.2
63-3JVILLEJVILLE×8Attack errAnna Ray+0.3
74-3JVILLEJVILLE×8KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Abbie Tuyo+0.3
85-3JVILLEJVILLE×8KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.2
96-3JVILLEJVILLE×8KillClaire Mrukowski+0.2
107-3JVILLEJVILLE×8BlockedAzavia Thomasblk Haley Yount, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.2
118-3JVILLEJVILLE×8Attack errAzavia Thomas+0.1
129-3JVILLEJVILLE×8BlockedSophia Schweikertblk Haley Yount+0.1
139-4JVILLEJAX STServe errJacksonville+0.1
1410-4JAX STJVILLE×3Serve errJacksonville St.+0.1
1511-4JVILLEJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.1
1612-4JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.1
1712-5JVILLEJAX STKillClaire Evansset Gemma Morris·
1813-5JAX STJVILLE×4Serve errJacksonville St.·
1914-5JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonville·
2015-5JVILLEJVILLE×4Bad setAddison Stone·
2116-5JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errTaya Nordmann·
2216-6JVILLEJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone·
2317-6JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase·
2417-7JVILLEJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone·
2518-7JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.·
2619-7JVILLEJVILLEAttack errSophia Schweikert·
2719-8JVILLEJAX STServe errJacksonville·
2819-9JAX STJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela·
2920-9JAX STJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain·
3021-9JVILLEJVILLEAttack errSophia Schweikert·
3121-10JVILLEJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela·
3222-10JAX STJVILLEServe errJacksonville St.·
3322-11JVILLEJAX STKillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela·
3422-12JAX STJAX STKillTaya Nordmann·
3523-12JAX STJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain·
3624-12JVILLEJVILLEAttack errSophia Schweikert·
3724-13JVILLEJAX STServe errJacksonville·
3825-13JAX STJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase·

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).