Bellarmine def. Jacksonville St. 3–2
Bellarmine beat Jacksonville St. 3-2 (25-17, 25-12, 20-25, 16-25, 15-8) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Mady Yaden led Bellarmine with 13 kills; Jacksonville St.'s Azavia Thomas had a match-high 18.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX ST | 17 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 8 | 2 |
| BELLAR | 25 | 25 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.4% to Bellarmine — set 5, JAX ST 0-1 BELLAR. Bellarmine ace on Claire Evans. BELLAR win probability 72% → 79%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Jacksonville St. wins
Bellarmine wins
- JAX ST break %
- 38.3% vs this opp
- BELLAR break %
- 49.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01BellarmineAce+6.4%
Bellarmine ace on Claire Evans
Set 5 · JAX ST 0-1 BELLAR · BELLAR 72% → 79%
- 02Mya WhiteKill+5.6%
Kill by Mya White (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 5 · JAX ST 0-2 BELLAR · BELLAR 79% → 84%
- 03Mary HermanKill+5.0%
Kill by Mary Herman (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 5 · JAX ST 7-10 BELLAR · BELLAR 86% → 91%
- 04BellarmineAce+4.9%
Bellarmine ace on Delaney Moon
Set 5 · JAX ST 1-4 BELLAR · BELLAR 84% → 89%
- 05Claire EvansAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by Claire Evans
Set 5 · JAX ST 6-9 BELLAR · BELLAR 86% → 91%
- 06Azavia ThomasKill+4.5%
Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 5 · JAX ST 1-2 BELLAR · JAX ST 16% → 20%
- 07Mya WhiteKill+4.5%
Kill by Mya White (set by Payton Parsons)
Set 5 · JAX ST 7-11 BELLAR · BELLAR 91% → 96%
- 08Maddie CarnesKill+4.5%
Kill by Maddie Carnes (set by Payton Parsons)
Set 5 · JAX ST 5-8 BELLAR · BELLAR 86% → 90%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 2 | 31 | .516 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 21 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 40 | .150 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 33 | .121 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 7 | 1 | 10 | .600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 51 | 23 | 129 | .217 | 48 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 87 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 9 | 1 | 13 | .615 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 5 | 13 | 4 | 35 | .257 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 4 | 28 | .286 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 27 | .222 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 12 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 18 | 124 | .315 | 53 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 101 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
12-25
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
25-16
Set 5
8-15
Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Jacksonville St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%10/19 | 43%6/14 |
| 2 | 53%8/15 | 62%13/21 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 38%5/13 |
| 4 | 54%7/13 | 42%5/12 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 13%1/8 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 14%1/7 |
| All | 58%44/76 | 41%31/75 |
Bellarmine
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41%9/22 | 43%6/14 |
| 2 | 57%8/14 | 59%13/22 |
| 3 | 54%7/13 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 5 | 88%7/8 | 42%5/12 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 59%44/75 | 42%32/76 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
188 rallies
| # | JAX ST-BELLAR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Natalie Bland | +1.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Natalie Bland | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | JAX ST | BELLAR×5 | Attack err | Claire Evans | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Attack err | Sofia Varela | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Blocked | Claire Evans | blk Mary Herman, Mya White | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +0.8 |
| 7 | 2-5 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +0.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Blocked | Mady Yaden | blk D'Yanna Spicer, Azavia Thomas | +0.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mya White | set Payton Parsons | +0.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Payton Parsons | +0.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +0.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Sofia Varela | +0.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Natalie Bland | +1.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +0.8 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Blocked | Sophia Schweikert | blk Erika Smith, Natalie Bland | +0.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +0.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Addison Stone | +1.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.9 |
| 20 | 10-10 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Sophia Schweikert | set Addison Stone | +1.0 |
| 21 | 10-11 | JAX ST | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.9 |
| 22 | 10-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | D'Yanna Spicer | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.7 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Natalie Bland | +0.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Sofia Varela | +0.7 |
| 27 | 12-15 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +0.7 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | BELLAR | JAX ST×3 | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.7 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Attack err | Mya White | +1.2 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Blocked | Mya White | blk Taya Nordmann, Lauren Buchanan | +1.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | JAX ST | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Lauren Buchanan | +1.2 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +1.4 |
| 33 | 15-18 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +1.1 |
| 34 | 15-19 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Claire Evans | +0.8 |
| 35 | 16-19 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.5 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | JAX ST | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +0.6 |
| 37 | 16-21 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Maddie Carnes | +0.5 |
| 38 | 16-22 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 39 | 16-23 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Blocked | Sophia Schweikert | blk Erika Smith, Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Gemma Morris | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Sophia Schweikert | set Addison Stone | · |
| 42 | 17-25 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Claire Evans | +0.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Claire Evans | +0.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +0.4 |
| 4 | 0-4 | BELLAR | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.3 | |||
| 5 | 1-4 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.3 |
| 6 | 1-5 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Attack err | Claire Evans | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.3 |
| 8 | 2-6 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 9 | 3-6 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.3 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +0.5 |
| 11 | 4-7 | JAX ST | BELLAR×7 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.4 |
| 12 | 4-8 | BELLAR | BELLAR×7 | Attack err | Lauren Buchanan | +0.4 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR×7 | Attack err | Taya Nordmann | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | BELLAR | BELLAR×7 | Bad set | Addison Stone | +0.2 | |
| 15 | 4-11 | BELLAR | BELLAR×7 | Blocked | Lauren Buchanan | blk Natalie Bland, Erika Smith | +0.2 |
| 16 | 4-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×7 | Bad set | Taya Nordmann | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 4-13 | BELLAR | BELLAR×7 | Attack err | Sophia Schweikert | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 5-13 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Attack err | Natalie Bland | · | |
| 19 | 5-14 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Abbie Lyttle | +0.1 |
| 20 | 6-14 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | · |
| 21 | 6-15 | JAX ST | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
| 22 | 6-16 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mary Herman | · | |
| 23 | 6-17 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Ava Long | set Maddie Carnes | · |
| 24 | 6-18 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Claire Evans | · | |
| 25 | 7-18 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | · | |
| 26 | 8-18 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | · |
| 27 | 8-19 | JAX ST | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | · |
| 28 | 8-20 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Claire Evans | blk Mary Herman, Mady Yaden | · |
| 29 | 8-21 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Azavia Thomas | · | |
| 30 | 9-21 | BELLAR | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | · |
| 31 | 10-21 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | · |
| 32 | 11-21 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Attack err | Mya White | · | |
| 33 | 11-22 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Attack err | Azavia Thomas | · | |
| 34 | 12-22 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Izzy Whittaker | set Sofia Varela | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | JAX ST | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | · |
| 36 | 12-24 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | · |
| 37 | 12-25 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Mary Herman | blk Anna Ray, Lauren Buchanan | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Payton Parsons | +0.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Delaney Moon | +0.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Claire Evans | +0.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Natalie Bland | blk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann | +0.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.3 |
| 12 | 7-5 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +0.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Addison Stone | +0.4 |
| 15 | 8-7 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Payton Parsons | +0.3 |
| 16 | 8-8 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Blocked | Chloe Mittelstadt | blk Mady Yaden | +0.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Addison Stone | +0.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Bad set | Maddie Carnes | +0.5 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | JAX ST | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mary Herman | +0.4 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | BELLAR | JAX ST×3 | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.3 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Payton Parsons | +0.5 |
| 24 | 13-11 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Ava Long | +0.6 |
| 25 | 13-12 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Attack err | Claire Evans | +0.4 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | BELLAR | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Sofia Varela | +0.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Mya White | +0.6 |
| 28 | 16-12 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Attack err | Maddie Carnes | +0.6 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Mya White | +0.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.5 |
| 31 | 17-14 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +0.4 |
| 32 | 18-14 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +0.6 |
| 34 | 19-15 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 35 | 20-15 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +0.5 |
| 36 | 20-16 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 37 | 21-16 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +0.5 |
| 38 | 21-17 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Ava Long | +0.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +0.4 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | JAX ST | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.2 |
| 41 | 22-19 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Delaney Moon | +0.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.6 |
| 43 | 23-20 | BELLAR | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Sofia Varela | +0.8 |
| 44 | 24-20 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.7 |
| 45 | 25-20 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Blocked | Mary Herman | blk D'Yanna Spicer | +0.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Sofia Varela | +1.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Mya White | blk Azavia Thomas, D'Yanna Spicer | +1.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Sofia Varela | +1.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Natalie Bland | blk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann | +1.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +1.2 |
| 7 | 5-2 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +1.5 |
| 8 | 6-2 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Addison Stone | +2.0 |
| 9 | 6-3 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +1.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +1.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +1.3 |
| 12 | 8-4 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Delaney Moon | +1.7 |
| 13 | 8-5 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Attack err | Lauren Buchanan | +1.4 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +1.8 |
| 15 | 9-6 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.4 |
| 16 | 10-6 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +1.8 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Mady Yaden | blk D'Yanna Spicer | +2.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +1.4 |
| 19 | 11-8 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +2.0 |
| 20 | 12-8 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Sofia Varela | +2.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +1.5 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Sofia Varela | +2.0 |
| 23 | 14-9 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Attack err | Erika Smith | +2.5 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +1.4 |
| 25 | 14-11 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Abbie Lyttle | +2.1 |
| 26 | 15-11 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +2.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Ava Long | +1.6 |
| 28 | 16-12 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +2.3 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | JAX ST | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Payton Parsons | +1.6 |
| 30 | 16-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Lauren Buchanan | +2.4 |
| 31 | 16-15 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Blocked | Lauren Buchanan | blk Maddie Carnes, Mary Herman | +2.6 |
| 32 | 17-15 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +2.5 |
| 33 | 18-15 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Mady Yaden | blk Azavia Thomas, D'Yanna Spicer | +3.3 |
| 34 | 18-16 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +2.0 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | BELLAR | JAX ST×7 | Kill | Claire Evans | set Sofia Varela | +2.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×7 | Kill | Claire Evans | +3.2 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×7 | Attack err | Mady Yaden | +2.6 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×7 | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +1.8 |
| 39 | 23-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×7 | Blocked | Mya White | blk Azavia Thomas, D'Yanna Spicer | +1.0 |
| 40 | 24-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×7 | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Delaney Moon | +0.3 |
| 41 | 25-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×7 | Attack err | Mary Herman | +0.9 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Claire Evans | +6.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +5.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +4.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +4.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Delaney Moon | +4.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +3.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +3.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Sofia Varela | +3.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +4.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +3.9 |
| 11 | 4-7 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +4.2 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Serve err | Bellarmine | +4.1 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Payton Parsons | +4.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +4.2 |
| 15 | 6-9 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Attack err | Claire Evans | +4.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +4.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | JAX ST | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +5.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Mya White | set Payton Parsons | +4.5 |
| 19 | 7-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Sofia Varela | +2.6 |
| 20 | 7-13 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +1.2 |
| 21 | 7-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Ace | Bellarmine | aced Lauren Buchanan | +0.4 |
| 22 | 8-14 | BELLAR | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.1 |
| 23 | 8-15 | JAX ST | BELLAR | Kill | Mya White | set Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).