Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayCUSA

2:3

HomeASUN

Bellarmine def. Jacksonville St. 3–2

(25-17, 25-12, 20-25, 16-25, 15-8)

Set	1	2*	3	4	5	Sets
JAX ST	17	12	25	25	8	2
BELLAR	25	25	20	16	15	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BELLAR above 50 · JAX ST below

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Bellarmine — set 5, JAX ST 0-1 BELLAR. Bellarmine ace on Claire Evans. BELLAR win probability 67% → 75%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JAX ST 13.8%86.2% BELLAR

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.4%

3-2

7.4%

Bellarmine wins

3-0

38.7%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.0%

JAX ST break %: 39.1% vs this opp
BELLAR break %: 47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
BELLAR serverAce+7.1%
Bellarmine ace on Claire Evans
Set 5 · JAX ST 0-1 BELLAR · BELLAR 67% → 75%
02
Mya WhiteKill+6.4%
Kill by Mya White (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 5 · JAX ST 0-2 BELLAR · BELLAR 75% → 81%
03
BELLAR serverAce+5.7%
Bellarmine ace on Delaney Moon
Set 5 · JAX ST 1-4 BELLAR · BELLAR 81% → 87%
04
Mary HermanKill+5.5%
Kill by Mary Herman (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 5 · JAX ST 7-10 BELLAR · BELLAR 84% → 90%
05
Claire EvansAttack error+5.3%
Attack error by Claire Evans
Set 5 · JAX ST 6-9 BELLAR · BELLAR 84% → 89%
06
Mya WhiteKill+5.2%
Kill by Mya White (set by Payton Parsons)
Set 5 · JAX ST 7-11 BELLAR · BELLAR 90% → 95%
07
Maddie CarnesKill+5.0%
Kill by Maddie Carnes (set by Payton Parsons)
Set 5 · JAX ST 5-8 BELLAR · BELLAR 83% → 88%
08
Mady YadenKill+5.0%
Kill by Mady Yaden (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 5 · JAX ST 1-3 BELLAR · BELLAR 76% → 81%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Jacksonville St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Azavia ThomasOH	5	18	2	31	.516	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	21
26Claire EvansOH	5	14	8	40	.150	0	0	2	7	4	0	0	0	14
8Lauren BuchananOH	5	9	5	33	.121	0	1	1	9	2	0	2	1	11
13Taya NordmannMB	5	7	1	10	.600	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
17D'Yanna SpicerMB	5	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	4	4
23Sofia VarelaS	5	0	1	1	-1.000	27	4	1	3	0	0	0	0	4
1Sophia SchweikertOH	5	2	3	6	-.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
2Addison StoneS	5	0	0	0	–	19	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1
16Delaney MoonL/DS	5	0	1	1	-1.000	2	0	2	12	2	0	0	0	0
11Reese TiesingDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
6Anna RayOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
14Chloe MittelstadtOPP	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Izzy WhittakerOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Gemma MorrisDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
4Mia DuongL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	23	129	.217	48	6	9	43	10	2	16	10	87

Bellarminehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Maddie CarnesS	5	9	1	13	.615	41	5	1	6	0	0	2	1	15
1Mady YadenOH	5	13	4	35	.257	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	14.5
2Natalie BlandOH	5	12	4	28	.286	1	0	2	13	3	0	2	1	13
22Mya WhiteOH	5	11	5	27	.222	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
20Mary HermanMB	5	7	3	12	.333	0	1	3	1	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
3Erika SmithMB	5	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
24Ava LongDS	5	1	0	2	.500	2	1	0	4	1	0	0	0	2
12Abbie LyttleDS	5	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	14	0	0	0	0	2
4Payton ParsonsL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	1
11Abby JuliusOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		57	18	124	.315	53	10	11	48	6	1	12	7	101

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 JAX ST · BELLAR 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 JAX STBELLAR 5

Set 2*

12-25

Longest run 3 JAX STBELLAR 7

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 3 JAX STBELLAR 3

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 7 JAX STBELLAR 3

Set 5

8-15

Longest run 1 JAX STBELLAR 5

Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Jacksonville St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%10/19	43%6/14
2	53%8/15	62%13/21
3	70%7/10	38%5/13
4	54%7/13	42%5/12
5	86%6/7	13%1/8
6	50%6/12	14%1/7
All	58%44/76	41%31/75

Bellarmine

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%9/22	43%6/14
2	57%8/14	59%13/22
3	54%7/13	13%1/8
4	70%7/10	36%4/11
5	88%7/8	42%5/12
6	75%6/8	33%3/9
All	59%44/75	42%32/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

188 rallies

Rally log

#	JAX ST-BELLAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Natalie Bland	+1.5
2	2-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Natalie Bland	+1.6
3	2-1	JAX ST	BELLAR×5	Attack err	Claire Evans		+1.1
4	2-2	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Attack err	Sofia Varela		+1.4
5	2-3	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Mary Herman, Mya White	+1.3
6	2-4	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.2
7	2-5	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+1.1
8	3-5	BELLAR	JAX ST	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk D'Yanna Spicer, Azavia Thomas	+0.8
9	3-6	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Payton Parsons	+0.8
10	4-6	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Payton Parsons	+0.8
11	5-6	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+1.3
12	5-7	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+1.0
13	6-7	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+1.0
14	7-7	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Natalie Bland	+1.6
15	7-8	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+1.2
16	7-9	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert	blk Erika Smith, Natalie Bland	+1.4
17	8-9	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+1.1
18	9-9	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	+1.7
19	9-10	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
20	10-10	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Addison Stone	+1.4
21	10-11	JAX ST	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.3
22	10-12	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	D'Yanna Spicer		+1.6
23	10-13	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.4
24	11-13	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.0
25	11-14	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Natalie Bland	+1.1
26	12-14	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+1.0
27	12-15	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+1.1
28	13-15	BELLAR	JAX ST×3	Serve err	BELLAR server		+1.1
29	14-15	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Mya White		+1.8
30	15-15	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Mya White	blk Taya Nordmann, Lauren Buchanan	+2.2
31	15-16	JAX ST	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+1.7
32	15-17	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+2.0
33	15-18	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+1.7
34	15-19	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Claire Evans	+1.3
35	16-19	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.8
36	16-20	JAX ST	BELLAR×5	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+1.0
37	16-21	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Maddie Carnes	+0.8
38	16-22	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.4
39	16-23	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert	blk Erika Smith, Maddie Carnes	+0.2
40	16-24	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Gemma Morris	+0.0
41	17-24	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Addison Stone	+0.0
42	17-25	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Claire Evans	+0.9
2	0-2	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Claire Evans	+0.8
3	0-3	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
4	0-4	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
5	1-4	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.5
6	1-5	JAX ST	BELLAR	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.5
7	2-5	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.5
8	2-6	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.5
9	3-6	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.5
10	4-6	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.8
11	4-7	JAX ST	BELLAR×7	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.6
12	4-8	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+0.7
13	4-9	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+0.5
14	4-10	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Bad set	Addison Stone		+0.4
15	4-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan	blk Natalie Bland, Erika Smith	+0.3
16	4-12	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Bad set	Taya Nordmann		+0.2
17	4-13	BELLAR	BELLAR×7	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+0.1
18	5-13	BELLAR	JAX ST	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+0.1
19	5-14	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Abbie Lyttle	+0.1
20	6-14	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.1
21	6-15	JAX ST	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1
22	6-16	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Mary Herman		+0.1
23	6-17	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Kill	Ava Long	set Maddie Carnes	+0.0
24	6-18	BELLAR	BELLAR×4	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.0
25	7-18	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.0
26	8-18	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
27	8-19	JAX ST	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+0.0
28	8-20	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Mary Herman, Mady Yaden	+0.0
29	8-21	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.0
30	9-21	BELLAR	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
31	10-21	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
32	11-21	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Mya White		+0.0
33	11-22	JAX ST	BELLAR	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.0
34	12-22	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
35	12-23	JAX ST	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.0
36	12-24	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.0
37	12-25	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Mary Herman	blk Anna Ray, Lauren Buchanan	+0.5
2	1-1	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Payton Parsons	+0.4
3	1-2	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Delaney Moon		+0.5
4	2-2	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.4
5	3-2	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Natalie Bland		+0.5
6	3-3	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.4
7	3-4	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.5
8	4-4	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.4
9	5-4	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Natalie Bland	blk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann	+0.6
10	5-5	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.4
11	6-5	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.5
12	7-5	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.7
13	7-6	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.5
14	8-6	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	+0.5
15	8-7	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Payton Parsons	+0.5
16	8-8	BELLAR	BELLAR	Attack err	Chloe Mittelstadt	blk Mady Yaden	+0.6
17	9-8	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	+0.5
18	10-8	JAX ST	JAX ST	Bad set	Maddie Carnes		+0.7
19	10-9	JAX ST	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.5
20	10-10	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.7
21	10-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mary Herman		+0.6
22	11-11	BELLAR	JAX ST×3	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.5
23	12-11	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Payton Parsons	+0.8
24	13-11	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Ava Long	+0.8
25	13-12	JAX ST	BELLAR	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.6
26	14-12	BELLAR	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
27	15-12	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Mya White	+0.9
28	16-12	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Maddie Carnes		+0.9
29	16-13	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Mya White	+0.5
30	17-13	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
31	17-14	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.5
32	18-14	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.7
33	19-14	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.8
34	19-15	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.4
35	20-15	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.6
36	20-16	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+0.4
37	21-16	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.6
38	21-17	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Ava Long	+0.3
39	22-17	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+0.6
40	22-18	JAX ST	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.3
41	22-19	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Delaney Moon	+0.6
42	22-20	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+0.9
43	23-20	BELLAR	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+1.1
44	24-20	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.9
45	25-20	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Mary Herman	blk D'Yanna Spicer	+0.3
Set 4
1	1-0	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+1.4
2	2-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Mya White	blk Azavia Thomas, D'Yanna Spicer	+2.1
3	2-1	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.4
4	3-1	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+1.6
5	4-1	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Natalie Bland	blk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann	+2.3
6	4-2	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.5
7	5-2	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+1.8
8	6-2	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	+2.4
9	6-3	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Erika Smith	set Maddie Carnes	+1.5
10	7-3	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+1.9
11	7-4	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.6
12	8-4	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Delaney Moon	+2.0
13	8-5	JAX ST	BELLAR	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+1.6
14	9-5	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+2.0
15	9-6	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+1.6
16	10-6	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.1
17	11-6	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk D'Yanna Spicer	+2.6
18	11-7	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+1.5
19	11-8	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+2.3
20	12-8	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+2.2
21	12-9	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+1.7
22	13-9	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+2.3
23	14-9	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Erika Smith		+2.8
24	14-10	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+1.6
25	14-11	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Abbie Lyttle	+2.4
26	15-11	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+2.4
27	15-12	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Ava Long	+1.8
28	16-12	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+2.5
29	16-13	JAX ST	BELLAR×3	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Payton Parsons	+1.8
30	16-14	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Lauren Buchanan	+2.8
31	16-15	BELLAR	BELLAR×3	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan	blk Maddie Carnes, Mary Herman	+3.1
32	17-15	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+2.9
33	18-15	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Mady Yaden	blk Azavia Thomas, D'Yanna Spicer	+3.7
34	18-16	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+2.2
35	19-16	BELLAR	JAX ST×7	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+3.1
36	20-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×7	Kill	Claire Evans		+3.6
37	21-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×7	Attack err	Mady Yaden		+2.8
38	22-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×7	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+1.8
39	23-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×7	Attack err	Mya White	blk Azavia Thomas, D'Yanna Spicer	+0.9
40	24-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×7	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Delaney Moon	+0.3
41	25-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×7	Attack err	Mary Herman		+1.0
Set 5
1	0-1	BELLAR	BELLAR	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Claire Evans	+7.1
2	0-2	BELLAR	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+6.4
3	1-2	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+5.0
4	1-3	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mady Yaden	set Maddie Carnes	+5.0
5	1-4	BELLAR	BELLAR	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Delaney Moon	+5.7
6	2-4	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+4.1
7	2-5	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Natalie Bland	set Maddie Carnes	+4.4
8	3-5	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+4.2
9	3-6	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+4.6
10	4-6	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+4.3
11	4-7	JAX ST	BELLAR	Serve err	JAX ST server		+4.8
12	5-7	BELLAR	JAX ST	Serve err	BELLAR server		+4.5
13	5-8	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Payton Parsons	+5.0
14	6-8	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+4.6
15	6-9	JAX ST	BELLAR	Attack err	Claire Evans		+5.3
16	7-9	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+4.6
17	7-10	JAX ST	BELLAR×5	Kill	Mary Herman	set Maddie Carnes	+5.5
18	7-11	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Kill	Mya White	set Payton Parsons	+5.2
19	7-12	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Kill	Maddie Carnes	set Sofia Varela	+3.0
20	7-13	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+1.4
21	7-14	BELLAR	BELLAR×5	Ace	BELLAR server	aced Lauren Buchanan	+0.4
22	8-14	BELLAR	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.1
23	8-15	JAX ST	BELLAR	Kill	Mya White	set Maddie Carnes	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.