FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayCUSA

0:3

HomeUAC-

North Ala. def. Jacksonville St. 3–0

(25-18, 25-13, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
JAX ST	18	13	17	0
N ALA	25	25	25	3

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

N ALA above 50 · JAX ST below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Jacksonville St. — set 1, JAX ST 11-7 N ALA. Kill by Claire Evans (set by Sofia Varela). N ALA win probability 95% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JAX ST 2.3%97.7% N ALA

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.6%

3-2

1.5%

North Ala. wins

3-0

65.3%

3-1

25.9%

3-2

6.4%

JAX ST break %: 34.0% vs this opp
N ALA break %: 49.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Claire EvansKill+0.9%
Kill by Claire Evans (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 1 · JAX ST 11-7 N ALA · JAX ST 5% → 5%
02
Reese RickettsKill+0.8%
Kill by Reese Ricketts (set by Kaylee Maikranz)
Set 1 · JAX ST 15-14 N ALA · N ALA 95% → 96%
03
Reese RickettsKill+0.8%
Kill by Reese Ricketts (set by Kinslee McGowan)
Set 1 · JAX ST 15-15 N ALA · N ALA 96% → 97%
04
Phoebe Reyes FortunatoAttack error+0.8%
Phoebe Reyes Fortunato stuffed by Taya Nordmann & Claire Evans
Set 1 · JAX ST 10-7 N ALA · JAX ST 4% → 5%
05
N ALA serverService error+0.7%
North Ala. service error
Set 1 · JAX ST 15-12 N ALA · JAX ST 5% → 5%
06
N ALA serverService error+0.7%
North Ala. service error
Set 1 · JAX ST 14-11 N ALA · JAX ST 5% → 5%
07
Phoebe Reyes FortunatoKill+0.7%
Kill by Phoebe Reyes Fortunato (set by Kinslee McGowan)
Set 1 · JAX ST 11-9 N ALA · N ALA 95% → 96%
08
Izzy WhittakerAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Izzy Whittaker
Set 1 · JAX ST 15-16 N ALA · N ALA 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Jacksonville St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
26Claire EvansOH	3	7	7	30	.000	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
13Taya NordmannMB	3	5	0	8	.625	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
8Lauren BuchananOH	3	4	3	21	.048	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	4
9Azavia ThomasOH	3	2	5	16	-.188	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
23Sofia VarelaS	3	0	0	0	–	13	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
6Anna RayOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Izzy WhittakerOH	3	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
2Addison StoneS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
16Delaney MoonL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	20	3	0	0	0	0
7Gemma MorrisDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Sophia SchweikertOH	2	2	2	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
17D'Yanna SpicerMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2
11Reese TiesingDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Mia DuongL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		24	19	95	.053	21	2	5	33	4	4	6	7	48

North Ala.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Reese RickettsOH	3	13	6	25	.280	2	3	0	11	0	0	0	16
6Phoebe Reyes FortunatoOH	3	12	3	25	.360	1	0	2	2	0	3	1.5	13.5
24Dylann GarnerOH	3	9	3	23	.261	1	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	10.5
15Jenna KolostaMB	3	7	1	14	.429	1	0	0	1	0	4	2	9
4Kinslee McGowanS	3	3	0	6	.500	30	1	1	10	0	0	0	4
16Anna HoffmayerMB	3	0	2	9	-.222	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
3Ally GreenwellOH	3	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	2
1Ava MartindaleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
21Kaylee MaikranzL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	4	1	0	0	0
5Lankford GurnerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	15	106	.292	42	4	6	47	2	12	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 JAX ST · N ALA 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 JAX STN ALA 6

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 JAX STN ALA 7

Set 3*

17-25

Longest run 2 JAX STN ALA 5

Bars above the line = North Ala. leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Jacksonville St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	24%5/21	60%6/10
2	43%3/7	17%1/6
3	100%3/3	0%0/3
4	50%3/6	0%0/3
5	33%3/9	57%4/7
6	100%3/3	0%0/3
All	41%20/49	34%11/32

North Ala.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	56%5/9
2	80%4/5	75%12/16
3	100%3/3	50%3/6
4	50%3/6	25%1/4
5	75%3/4	70%7/10
6	60%3/5	25%1/4
All	66%21/32	59%29/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

123 rallies

Rally log

#	JAX ST-N ALA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.3
2	1-1	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Dylann Garner		+0.2
3	1-2	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Jenna Kolosta	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.2
4	2-2	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.3
5	2-3	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.2
6	3-3	N ALA	JAX ST	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.3
7	3-4	JAX ST	N ALA	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.2
8	3-5	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.3
9	4-5	N ALA	JAX ST×4	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Addison Stone	+0.2
10	5-5	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Attack err	Anna Hoffmayer		+0.4
11	6-5	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Attack err	Reese Ricketts	blk Izzy Whittaker, Taya Nordmann	+0.5
12	7-5	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Attack err	Reese Ricketts		+0.6
13	7-6	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kaylee Maikranz	+0.4
14	8-6	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Jenna Kolosta	blk Taya Nordmann	+0.5
15	8-7	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.4
16	9-7	N ALA	JAX ST×3	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.5
17	10-7	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	blk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans	+0.8
18	11-7	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+0.9
19	11-8	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.5
20	11-9	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.7
21	12-9	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.6
22	12-10	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Jenna Kolosta	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.5
23	13-10	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
24	13-11	JAX ST	N ALA	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Anna Hoffmayer, Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	+0.5
25	14-11	N ALA	JAX ST	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.7
26	14-12	JAX ST	N ALA	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.5
27	15-12	N ALA	JAX ST	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.7
28	15-13	JAX ST	N ALA×6	Kill	Kinslee McGowan		+0.6
29	15-14	N ALA	N ALA×6	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kaylee Maikranz	+0.8
30	15-15	N ALA	N ALA×6	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.8
31	15-16	N ALA	N ALA×6	Attack err	Izzy Whittaker		+0.7
32	15-17	N ALA	N ALA×6	Kill	Jenna Kolosta	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.6
33	15-18	N ALA	N ALA×6	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.4
34	16-18	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.3
35	16-19	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Ally Greenwell	set Reese Ricketts	+0.3
36	17-19	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato		+0.3
37	17-20	JAX ST	N ALA×4	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.3
38	17-21	N ALA	N ALA×4	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.3
39	17-22	N ALA	N ALA×4	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Dylann Garner, Jenna Kolosta	+0.2
40	17-23	N ALA	N ALA×4	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+0.1
41	18-23	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Dylann Garner		+0.0
42	18-24	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
43	18-25	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Reese Ricketts	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Reese Ricketts	blk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann	+0.2
2	2-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+0.3
3	2-1	JAX ST	N ALA×7	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.2
4	2-2	N ALA	N ALA×7	Attack err	Delaney Moon		+0.2
5	2-3	N ALA	N ALA×7	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Jenna Kolosta, Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	+0.2
6	2-4	N ALA	N ALA×7	Attack err	Azavia Thomas	blk Jenna Kolosta, Dylann Garner	+0.2
7	2-5	N ALA	N ALA×7	Attack err	Azavia Thomas	blk Dylann Garner, Jenna Kolosta	+0.1
8	2-6	N ALA	N ALA×7	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.1
9	2-7	N ALA	N ALA×7	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	+0.1
10	3-7	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+0.1
11	3-8	JAX ST	N ALA×4	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.1
12	3-9	N ALA	N ALA×4	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Phoebe Reyes Fortunato, Anna Hoffmayer	+0.1
13	3-10	N ALA	N ALA×4	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
14	3-11	N ALA	N ALA×4	Bad set	Addison Stone		+0.0
15	4-11	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Dylann Garner	blk Izzy Whittaker	+0.0
16	4-12	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
17	5-12	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.0
18	5-13	JAX ST	N ALA×3	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
19	5-14	N ALA	N ALA×3	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+0.0
20	5-15	N ALA	N ALA×3	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+0.0
21	6-15	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.0
22	7-15	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Kaylee Maikranz	+0.0
23	7-16	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
24	7-17	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kaylee Maikranz	+0.0
25	8-17	N ALA	JAX ST	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.0
26	8-18	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Jenna Kolosta	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
27	9-18	N ALA	JAX ST×3	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
28	10-18	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Reese Ricketts	blk D'Yanna Spicer	+0.0
29	11-18	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Reese Ricketts	blk D'Yanna Spicer	+0.0
30	11-19	JAX ST	N ALA×6	Kill	Jenna Kolosta	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
31	11-20	N ALA	N ALA×6	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
32	11-21	N ALA	N ALA×6	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Ava Martindale	+0.0
33	11-22	N ALA	N ALA×6	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato		+0.0
34	11-23	N ALA	N ALA×6	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.0
35	11-24	N ALA	N ALA×6	Ace	N ALA server	aced Delaney Moon	+0.0
36	12-24	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
37	13-24	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Lauren Buchanan	+0.0
38	13-25	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	N ALA	N ALA×5	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+0.1
2	0-2	N ALA	N ALA×5	Ace	N ALA server	aced Delaney Moon	+0.1
3	0-3	N ALA	N ALA×5	Ace	N ALA server	aced Delaney Moon	+0.1
4	0-4	N ALA	N ALA×5	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Jenna Kolosta	+0.0
5	0-5	N ALA	N ALA×5	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.0
6	1-5	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
7	1-6	JAX ST	N ALA	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.0
8	2-6	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
9	3-6	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Anna Hoffmayer		+0.0
10	3-7	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
11	4-7	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.0
12	4-8	JAX ST	N ALA	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.0
13	5-8	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Reese Ricketts		+0.0
14	5-9	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Kinslee McGowan		+0.0
15	6-9	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Kinslee McGowan		+0.0
16	7-9	JAX ST	JAX ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
17	7-10	JAX ST	N ALA×4	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
18	7-11	N ALA	N ALA×4	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+0.1
19	7-12	N ALA	N ALA×4	Kill	Jenna Kolosta	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
20	7-13	N ALA	N ALA×4	Kill	Jenna Kolosta		+0.0
21	8-13	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
22	8-14	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
23	9-14	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
24	9-15	JAX ST	N ALA	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.0
25	10-15	N ALA	JAX ST	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato		+0.0
26	11-15	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker		+0.0
27	11-16	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
28	11-17	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Ava Martindale	+0.0
29	12-17	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.0
30	12-18	JAX ST	N ALA×3	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
31	12-19	N ALA	N ALA×3	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Ava Martindale	+0.0
32	12-20	N ALA	N ALA×3	Kill	Ally Greenwell	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
33	13-20	N ALA	JAX ST	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.0
34	13-21	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Ava Martindale	+0.0
35	14-21	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Addison Stone	+0.0
36	14-22	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Claire Evans	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
37	14-23	N ALA	N ALA	Ace	N ALA server	aced Claire Evans	+0.0
38	15-23	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
39	16-23	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
40	16-24	JAX ST	N ALA	Kill	Kinslee McGowan	set Dylann Garner	+0.0
41	17-24	N ALA	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
42	17-25	JAX ST	N ALA	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.