Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 17, 2026

Alabama def. Jacksonville St. 3–2

Alabama beat visiting Jacksonville St. 3-2 (18-25, 25-18, 25-14, 21-25, 15-8) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026. Alabama's Laney Hennessee led with 20 kills, and Dionii Fraga added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 17

Set12345Sets
JAX ST2518142582
ALA18252521153

Win probability

Alabama above 50 · Jacksonville St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+9.6% JAX STrally 194 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.6% to Jacksonville St. — set 5, JAX ST 4-0 ALA. Mya Allen stuffed by Azavia Thomas & Anna Ray. ALA win probability 67% → 58%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JAX ST 0.5%99.5% ALA

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.4%

Alabama wins

3-0
79.1%
3-1
17.8%
3-2
2.5%
JAX ST break %
35.5% vs this opp
ALA break %
55.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Mya Allen stuffed by Azavia Thomas & Anna Ray

    Set 5 · JAX ST 4-0 ALA · JAX ST 33% → 42%

  2. 02
    Jacksonville St.Ace+8.3%

    Jacksonville St. ace on Mya Allen

    Set 5 · JAX ST 3-0 ALA · JAX ST 25% → 33%

  3. 03

    Kill by Lauren Buchanan (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 5-3 ALA · JAX ST 23% → 30%

  4. 04
    Mya AllenKill+7.1%

    Kill by Mya Allen (set by Hannah Parant)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 4-2 ALA · ALA 63% → 70%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 6-5 ALA · JAX ST 18% → 25%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 2-0 ALA · JAX ST 18% → 25%

  7. 07

    Azavia Thomas stuffed by Lily Gervase & Kaleigh Palmer

    Set 5 · JAX ST 4-3 ALA · ALA 70% → 77%

  8. 08
    AlabamaAce+6.5%

    Alabama ace on Delaney Moon

    Set 5 · JAX ST 5-5 ALA · ALA 75% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517537.3240017312219
510331.22601062010.511.5
57112.50010010052.59.5
56419.105000200639
53211.091101100425
5011-1.0002321800002
58116.438000000008
5002.0003001330000
5001.0002201700000
4000–000000000
2102.500001000001
2000–001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5217132.265503646141181090
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520544.34102380010.522.5
514626.30800011010.514.5
59212.5830246004213
510429.2070004002111
59217.4120000002110
53210.1005321600216
5000–050400005
5011-1.000232900003
5000–4001800000
4000–000100000
2215.200000000002
2000–001000000
Team totals6723144.3065914115730126104

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 JAX ST · ALA 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 JAX STALA 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 JAX STALA 4

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 JAX STALA 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 JAX STALA 5

Set 5

8-15

Longest run 4 JAX STALA 6

Bars above the line = Alabama leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
47%7/15
2
90%9/10
47%8/17
3
53%9/17
50%9/18
4
44%7/16
20%2/10
5
75%6/8
0%0/7
6
55%6/11
40%4/10
All
59%46/78
39%30/77

Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
50%6/12
2
53%9/17
31%4/13
3
53%9/17
18%2/11
4
100%8/8
47%8/17
5
78%7/9
53%8/15
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
61%47/77
41%32/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

194 rallies

#JAX ST-ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.1
21-1ALAJAX STKillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+0.1
31-2JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.1
42-2ALAJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.1
53-2JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errMya Allen+0.1
64-2JAX STJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikert+0.2
74-3JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.1
84-4ALAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.1
95-4ALAJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+0.1
105-5JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.1
116-5ALAJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+0.1
126-6JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.1
137-6ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.1
147-7JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.1
157-8ALAALAAceAlabama+0.1
168-8ALAJAX STKillAnna Rayset Addison Stone+0.1
179-8JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.2
189-9JAX STALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.1
199-10ALAALA×3KillAddison Engel+0.1
209-11ALAALA×3KillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.1
2110-11ALAJAX ST×4Serve errAlabama+0.1
2211-11JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Sophia Schweikert+0.2
2312-11JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errMya Allen+0.2
2413-11JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedMya Allenblk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas+0.3
2513-12JAX STALAAttack errAzavia Thomas+0.2
2614-12ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.3
2715-12JAX STJAX STAttack errKaleigh Palmer+0.4
2815-13JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.2
2916-13ALAJAX ST×3BlockedMya Allenblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas+0.3
3017-13JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.4
3118-13JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errLaney Hennessee+0.5
3218-14JAX STALAServe errJacksonville St.+0.2
3318-15ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Sophia Schweikert+0.3
3419-15ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.4
3519-16JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.3
3620-16ALAJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.5
3721-16JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errAddison Engel+0.5
3822-16JAX STJAX ST×3KillAnna Rayset Addison Stone+0.4
3922-17JAX STALAServe errJacksonville St.+0.1
4022-18ALAALAKillAshby Daniel+0.2
4123-18ALAJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.4
4224-18JAX STJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+0.3
4325-18JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.+0.1
Set 2
10-1JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.3
20-2ALAALABlockedAnna Rayblk Hannah Parant, Lily Gervase+0.4
31-2ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.3
41-3JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.3
52-3ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.4
62-4JAX STALAKillHannah Parant+0.3
73-4ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.4
83-5JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.3
94-5ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.4
104-6JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.4
115-6ALAJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.4
126-6JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Taya Nordmann+0.7
137-6JAX STJAX ST×3Bad setHannah Parant+0.9
147-7JAX STALAAttack errLauren Buchanan+0.6
158-7ALAJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+0.8
168-8JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Dionii Fraga+0.7
179-8ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.9
1810-8JAX STJAX STAttack errLaney Hennessee+1.4
1910-9JAX STALAServe errJacksonville St.+0.9
2011-9ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+1.2
2111-10JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.0
2212-10ALAJAX STAttack errAddison Engel+1.3
2312-11JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+1.1
2412-12ALAALABlockedTaya Nordmannblk Addison Engel, Mya Allen+1.2
2513-12ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.2
2613-13JAX STALAAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.0
2713-14ALAALABlockedClaire Evansblk Kaleigh Palmer, Lily Gervase+1.1
2814-14ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+1.1
2914-15JAX STALA×4KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.9
3014-16ALAALA×4AceAlabama+0.9
3114-17ALAALA×4AceAlabama+0.7
3214-18ALAALA×4AceAlabamaaced Delaney Moon+0.5
3315-18ALAJAX STAttack errMya Allen+0.4
3415-19JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.4
3516-19ALAJAX STBlockedLily Gervaseblk Lauren Buchanan, Anna Ray+0.4
3616-20JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.4
3717-20ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.4
3817-21JAX STALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Lindsey Brown+0.4
3917-22ALAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Dionii Fraga+0.3
4017-23ALAALA×3Attack errSophia Schweikert+0.1
4118-23ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela·
4218-24JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.1
4318-25ALAALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant·
Set 3
10-1ALAALA×3KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.3
20-2ALAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Lindsey Brown+0.3
30-3ALAALA×3AceAlabamaaced Sophia Schweikert+0.2
41-3ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.2
51-4JAX STALAKillHannah Parant+0.2
61-5ALAALAAceAlabama+0.2
72-5ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.2
82-6JAX STALAAttack errAzavia Thomas+0.2
93-6ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.2
103-7JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
114-7ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.2
124-8JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
134-9ALAALAAttack errSophia Schweikert+0.2
145-9ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.1
155-10JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.1
166-10ALAJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.1
177-10JAX STJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Anna Ray+0.3
188-10JAX ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
198-11JAX STALA×5KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.3
208-12ALAALA×5KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.3
218-13ALAALA×5BlockedLauren Buchananblk Addison Engel, Laney Hennessee+0.2
228-14ALAALA×5AceAlabamaaced Lauren Buchanan+0.1
238-15ALAALA×5KillAddison Engelset Sofia Varela+0.1
249-15ALAJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Sofia Varela+0.1
259-16JAX STALAServe errJacksonville St.+0.1
2610-16ALAJAX ST×3KillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+0.1
2711-16JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errLindsey Brown+0.1
2812-16JAX STJAX ST×3KillAzavia Thomasset Delaney Moon+0.2
2912-17JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.2
3013-17ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.2
3113-18JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
3213-19ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.1
3314-19ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.1
3414-20JAX STALA×6KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.1
3514-21ALAALA×6KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.1
3614-22ALAALA×6KillHannah Parantset Addison Stone·
3714-23ALAALA×6Attack errLauren Buchanan·
3814-24ALAALA×6AceAlabama·
3914-25ALAALA×6KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant·
Set 4
10-1JAX STALAAttack errSofia Varela+0.2
21-1ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.2
32-1JAX STJAX STBlockedHannah Parantblk Azavia Thomas, Anna Ray+0.4
42-2JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.3
53-2ALAJAX STKillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+0.3
64-2JAX STJAX STAttack errKaleigh Palmer+0.5
74-3JAX STALAAttack errTaya Nordmann+0.3
85-3ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.5
95-4JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.4
105-5ALAALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.4
116-5ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.4
126-6JAX STALAServe errJacksonville St.+0.3
137-6ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.4
147-7JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.4
158-7ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.5
168-8JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.4
178-9ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Sophia Schweikert+0.4
189-9ALAJAX ST×4KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.4
1910-9JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedLily Gervaseblk Sophia Schweikert, Anna Ray+0.6
2011-9JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Delaney Moon+0.8
2112-9JAX STJAX ST×4AceJacksonville St.+1.0
2212-10JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.6
2313-10ALAJAX ST×4Attack errHannah Parant+0.9
2414-10JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann+1.2
2515-10JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errLaney Hennessee+1.4
2616-10JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedAshby Danielblk Sophia Schweikert, Taya Nordmann+1.4
2716-11JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.7
2817-11ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.2
2917-12JAX STALA×5KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.7
3017-13ALAALA×5AceAlabama+1.0
3117-14ALAALA×5AceAlabamaaced Delaney Moon+1.1
3217-15ALAALA×5KillAshby Danielset Dionii Fraga+1.1
3317-16ALAALA×5KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.1
3418-16ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.3
3518-17JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Dionii Fraga+1.0
3619-17ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+1.4
3719-18JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.0
3820-18ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.6
3920-19JAX STALAAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.2
4021-19ALAJAX STAttack errKaleigh Palmer+1.8
4121-20JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.3
4222-20ALAJAX ST×3Serve errAlabama+2.1
4323-20JAX STJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+2.6
4424-20JAX STJAX ST×3BlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas+2.1
4524-21JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Dionii Fraga+0.5
4625-21ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.1
Set 5
11-0JAX STJAX ST×4KillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+5.3
22-0JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+6.8
33-0JAX STJAX ST×4AceJacksonville St.aced Mya Allen+8.3
44-0JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedMya Allenblk Azavia Thomas, Anna Ray+9.6
54-1JAX STALA×3KillMya Allenset Delaney Moon+5.8
64-2ALAALA×3KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+7.1
74-3ALAALA×3BlockedAzavia Thomasblk Lily Gervase, Kaleigh Palmer+6.7
85-3ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+7.3
95-4JAX STALAAttack errAzavia Thomas+5.7
105-5ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Delaney Moon+6.5
116-5ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+6.8
126-6JAX STALA×6KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+5.6
136-7ALAALA×6AceAlabamaaced Lauren Buchanan+6.1
146-8ALAALA×6BlockedSophia Schweikertblk Hannah Parant, Lily Gervase+4.9
156-9ALAALA×6KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+3.6
166-10ALAALA×6KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+2.3
176-11ALAALA×6KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+1.3
187-11ALAJAX STServe errAlabama+0.8
197-12JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.0
207-13ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.5
218-13ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Delaney Moon+0.2
228-14JAX STALAServe errJacksonville St.+0.3
238-15ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).