CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 17, 2026

Alabama def. Jacksonville St. 32

(18-25, 25-18, 25-14, 21-25, 15-8)
Set123*45Sets
JAX ST2518142582
ALA18252521153
  • * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ALA above 50 · JAX ST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100ALAJAX STBiggest swing +10.0% JAX ST · S5 4-0rally 194 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Jacksonville St. — set 5, JAX ST 4-0 ALA. Mya Allen stuffed by Azavia Thomas & Anna Ray. ALA win probability 63%53%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JAX ST 1.0%99.0% ALA

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.7%

Alabama wins

3-0
74.3%
3-1
21.0%
3-2
3.7%
JAX ST break %
34.9% vs this opp
ALA break %
52.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Mya AllenAttack error+10.0%

    Mya Allen stuffed by Azavia Thomas & Anna Ray

    Set 5 · JAX ST 4-0 ALA · JAX ST 37%47%

  2. 02
    JAX ST serverAce+8.9%

    Jacksonville St. ace on Mya Allen

    Set 5 · JAX ST 3-0 ALA · JAX ST 28%37%

  3. 03
    Mya AllenKill+7.7%

    Kill by Mya Allen (set by Hannah Parant)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 4-2 ALA · ALA 59%67%

  4. 04

    Kill by Lauren Buchanan (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 5-3 ALA · JAX ST 26%33%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 2-0 ALA · JAX ST 20%28%

  6. 06
    Azavia ThomasAttack error+7.3%

    Azavia Thomas stuffed by Lily Gervase & Kaleigh Palmer

    Set 5 · JAX ST 4-3 ALA · ALA 67%74%

  7. 07
    ALA serverAce+7.2%

    Alabama ace on Delaney Moon

    Set 5 · JAX ST 5-5 ALA · ALA 72%80%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 5 · JAX ST 6-5 ALA · JAX ST 20%27%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517537.3240017312219
510331.22601062010.511.5
57112.50010010052.59.5
56419.105000200639
53211.091101100425
5011-1.0002321800002
58116.438000000008
5002.0003001330000
5001.0002201700000
4000000000000
2102.500001000001
2000001100000
1000000000000
Team totals5217132.265503646141181090
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520544.34102380010.522.5
514626.30800011010.514.5
59212.5830246004213
510429.2070004002111
59217.4120000002110
53210.1005321600216
5000050400005
5011-1.000232900003
50004001800000
4000000100000
2215.200000000002
2000001000000
Team totals6723144.3065914115730126104

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 JAX ST · ALA 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 JAX STALA 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 JAX STALA 4

Set 3*

14-25

Longest run 3 JAX STALA 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 JAX STALA 5

Set 5

8-15

Longest run 4 JAX STALA 6

Bars above the line = Alabama leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
47%7/15
2
90%9/10
47%8/17
3
53%9/17
50%9/18
4
44%7/16
20%2/10
5
75%6/8
0%0/7
6
55%6/11
40%4/10
All
59%46/78
39%30/77

Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
50%6/12
2
53%9/17
31%4/13
3
53%9/17
18%2/11
4
100%8/8
47%8/17
5
78%7/9
53%8/15
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
61%47/77
41%32/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

194 rallies

Rally log

#JAX ST-ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.1
21-1ALAJAX STKillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+0.1
31-2JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.1
42-2ALAJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.1
53-2JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errMya Allen+0.2
64-2JAX STJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikert+0.2
74-3JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.2
84-4ALAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
95-4ALAJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+0.2
105-5JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.1
116-5ALAJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+0.2
126-6JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.2
137-6ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.2
147-7JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.2
157-8ALAALAAceALA serveraced Team+0.2
168-8ALAJAX STKillAnna Rayset Addison Stone+0.2
179-8JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.3
189-9JAX STALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.2
199-10ALAALA×3KillAddison Engel+0.2
209-11ALAALA×3KillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.2
2110-11ALAJAX ST×4Serve errALA server+0.2
2211-11JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errKaleigh Palmerblk Sophia Schweikert+0.3
2312-11JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errMya Allen+0.3
2413-11JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errMya Allenblk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas+0.4
2513-12JAX STALAAttack errAzavia Thomas+0.3
2614-12ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.4
2715-12JAX STJAX STAttack errKaleigh Palmer+0.6
2815-13JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.3
2916-13ALAJAX ST×3Attack errMya Allenblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas+0.5
3017-13JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.7
3118-13JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errLaney Hennessee+0.7
3218-14JAX STALAServe errJAX ST server+0.3
3318-15ALAALAAceALA serveraced Sophia Schweikert+0.5
3419-15ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.6
3519-16JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.4
3620-16ALAJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.6
3721-16JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errAddison Engel+0.7
3822-16JAX STJAX ST×3KillAnna Rayset Addison Stone+0.5
3922-17JAX STALAServe errJAX ST server+0.2
4022-18ALAALAKillAshby Daniel+0.3
4123-18ALAJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.5
4224-18JAX STJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+0.3
4325-18JAX STJAX ST×3AceJAX ST serveraced Team+0.1
Set 2
10-1JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.5
20-2ALAALAAttack errAnna Rayblk Hannah Parant, Lily Gervase+0.5
31-2ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.5
41-3JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.4
52-3ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.5
62-4JAX STALAKillHannah Parant+0.4
73-4ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.5
83-5JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.5
94-5ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.5
104-6JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.5
115-6ALAJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.6
126-6JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Taya Nordmann+0.9
137-6JAX STJAX ST×3Bad setHannah Parant+1.2
147-7JAX STALAAttack errLauren Buchanan+0.8
158-7ALAJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+1.1
168-8JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Dionii Fraga+0.9
179-8ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.1
1810-8JAX STJAX STAttack errLaney Hennessee+1.7
1910-9JAX STALAServe errJAX ST server+1.1
2011-9ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+1.5
2111-10JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.2
2212-10ALAJAX STAttack errAddison Engel+1.6
2312-11JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+1.3
2412-12ALAALAAttack errTaya Nordmannblk Addison Engel, Mya Allen+1.5
2513-12ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.5
2613-13JAX STALAAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.2
2713-14ALAALAAttack errClaire Evansblk Kaleigh Palmer, Lily Gervase+1.4
2814-14ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+1.3
2914-15JAX STALA×4KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.1
3014-16ALAALA×4AceALA serveraced Team+1.3
3114-17ALAALA×4AceALA serveraced Team+0.9
3214-18ALAALA×4AceALA serveraced Delaney Moon+0.7
3315-18ALAJAX STAttack errMya Allen+0.5
3415-19JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.5
3516-19ALAJAX STAttack errLily Gervaseblk Lauren Buchanan, Anna Ray+0.5
3616-20JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.5
3717-20ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.5
3817-21JAX STALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Lindsey Brown+0.5
3917-22ALAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Dionii Fraga+0.4
4017-23ALAALA×3Attack errSophia Schweikert+0.2
4118-23ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.1
4218-24JAX STALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.1
4318-25ALAALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.0
Set 3
10-1ALAALA×3KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.5
20-2ALAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Lindsey Brown+0.4
30-3ALAALA×3AceALA serveraced Sophia Schweikert+0.3
41-3ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.3
51-4JAX STALAKillHannah Parant+0.3
61-5ALAALAAceALA serveraced Team+0.3
72-5ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.2
82-6JAX STALAAttack errAzavia Thomas+0.2
93-6ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.2
103-7JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
114-7ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.2
124-8JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
134-9ALAALAAttack errSophia Schweikert+0.2
145-9ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.2
155-10JAX STALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.2
166-10ALAJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.2
177-10JAX STJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Anna Ray+0.3
188-10JAX STJAX ST×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.5
198-11JAX STALA×5KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.4
208-12ALAALA×5KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.4
218-13ALAALA×5Attack errLauren Buchananblk Addison Engel, Laney Hennessee+0.3
228-14ALAALA×5AceALA serveraced Lauren Buchanan+0.2
238-15ALAALA×5KillAddison Engelset Sofia Varela+0.1
249-15ALAJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Sofia Varela+0.1
259-16JAX STALAServe errJAX ST server+0.1
2610-16ALAJAX ST×3KillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+0.1
2711-16JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errLindsey Brown+0.2
2812-16JAX STJAX ST×3KillAzavia Thomasset Delaney Moon+0.3
2912-17JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.2
3013-17ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.2
3113-18JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
3213-19ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.2
3314-19ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.1
3414-20JAX STALA×6KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.1
3514-21ALAALA×6KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.1
3614-22ALAALA×6KillHannah Parantset Addison Stone+0.0
3714-23ALAALA×6Attack errLauren Buchanan+0.0
3814-24ALAALA×6AceALA serveraced Team+0.0
3914-25ALAALA×6KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.0
Set 4
10-1JAX STALAAttack errSofia Varela+0.3
21-1ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.3
32-1JAX STJAX STAttack errHannah Parantblk Azavia Thomas, Anna Ray+0.5
42-2JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.3
53-2ALAJAX STKillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+0.4
64-2JAX STJAX STAttack errKaleigh Palmer+0.7
74-3JAX STALAAttack errTaya Nordmann+0.4
85-3ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.6
95-4JAX STALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.5
105-5ALAALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.6
116-5ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+0.5
126-6JAX STALAServe errJAX ST server+0.4
137-6ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.6
147-7JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.5
158-7ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.6
168-8JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.5
178-9ALAALAAceALA serveraced Sophia Schweikert+0.6
189-9ALAJAX ST×4KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.5
1910-9JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errLily Gervaseblk Sophia Schweikert, Anna Ray+0.8
2011-9JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Delaney Moon+1.0
2112-9JAX STJAX ST×4AceJAX ST serveraced Team+1.3
2212-10JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.8
2313-10ALAJAX ST×4Attack errHannah Parant+1.1
2414-10JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errLaney Hennesseeblk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann+1.5
2515-10JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errLaney Hennessee+1.6
2616-10JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errAshby Danielblk Sophia Schweikert, Taya Nordmann+1.6
2716-11JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.8
2817-11ALAJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.3
2917-12JAX STALA×5KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.8
3017-13ALAALA×5AceALA serveraced Team+1.2
3117-14ALAALA×5AceALA serveraced Delaney Moon+1.3
3217-15ALAALA×5KillAshby Danielset Dionii Fraga+1.4
3317-16ALAALA×5KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.4
3418-16ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.5
3518-17JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Dionii Fraga+1.1
3619-17ALAJAX STServe errALA server+1.6
3719-18JAX STALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.2
3820-18ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.8
3920-19JAX STALAAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.3
4021-19ALAJAX STAttack errKaleigh Palmer+2.0
4121-20JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.5
4222-20ALAJAX ST×3Serve errALA server+2.3
4323-20JAX STJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+3.0
4424-20JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errLaney Hennesseeblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas+2.3
4524-21JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Dionii Fraga+0.5
4625-21ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.9
Set 5
11-0JAX STJAX ST×4KillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+5.9
22-0JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+7.4
33-0JAX STJAX ST×4AceJAX ST serveraced Mya Allen+8.9
44-0JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errMya Allenblk Azavia Thomas, Anna Ray+10.0
54-1JAX STALA×3KillMya Allenset Delaney Moon+5.7
64-2ALAALA×3KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+7.7
74-3ALAALA×3Attack errAzavia Thomasblk Lily Gervase, Kaleigh Palmer+7.3
85-3ALAJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+7.5
95-4JAX STALAAttack errAzavia Thomas+5.8
105-5ALAALAAceALA serveraced Delaney Moon+7.2
116-5ALAJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+7.0
126-6JAX STALA×6KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+5.8
136-7ALAALA×6AceALA serveraced Lauren Buchanan+6.8
146-8ALAALA×6Attack errSophia Schweikertblk Hannah Parant, Lily Gervase+5.5
156-9ALAALA×6KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+4.0
166-10ALAALA×6KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+2.6
176-11ALAALA×6KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+1.5
187-11ALAJAX STServe errALA server+0.8
197-12JAX STALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.1
207-13ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.6
218-13ALAJAX STKillClaire Evansset Delaney Moon+0.2
228-14JAX STALAServe errJAX ST server+0.3
238-15ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.