Jacksonville St. def. Nicholls 3–1
Jacksonville St. beat Nicholls 3-1 (17-25, 25-23, 25-22, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Claire Evans led Jacksonville St. with 11 kills; Nicholls' Madison Smith had a match-high 20.
Data through · final Sep 18
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX ST | 17 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NICHST | 25 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.0% to Jacksonville St. — set 2, JAX ST 25-23 NICHST. Jacksonville St. ace on Kera Arrington. NICHST win probability 57% → 48%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Jacksonville St. wins
Nicholls wins
- JAX ST break %
- 45.1% vs this opp
- NICHST break %
- 44.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Jacksonville St.Ace+10.0%
Jacksonville St. ace on Kera Arrington
Set 2 · JAX ST 25-23 NICHST · JAX ST 43% → 52%
- 02Azavia ThomasKill+8.2%
Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Delaney Moon)
Set 2 · JAX ST 24-23 NICHST · JAX ST 34% → 43%
- 03
- 04NichollsService error+6.4%
Nicholls service error
Set 2 · JAX ST 23-22 NICHST · JAX ST 34% → 41%
- 05Jacksonville St.Service error+6.2%
Jacksonville St. service error
Set 2 · JAX ST 23-23 NICHST · NICHST 59% → 66%
- 06Azavia ThomasKill+5.9%
Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 3 · JAX ST 22-20 NICHST · JAX ST 60% → 66%
- 07Izzy WhittakerKill+5.9%
Kill by Izzy Whittaker (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 3 · JAX ST 23-20 NICHST · JAX ST 66% → 72%
- 08NichollsAce+5.9%
Nicholls ace
Set 2 · JAX ST 20-21 NICHST · NICHST 66% → 72%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 18 | .278 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | |
| 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -.176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 24 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | .571 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 22 | 112 | .196 | 42 | 10 | 9 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 92 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 16 | .313 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 15 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 24 | .125 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 9 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 23 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 20 | 6 | 40 | .350 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 21.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | -.154 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 22 | 127 | .213 | 43 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 89 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
25-22
Set 4
25-19
Bars above the line = Nicholls leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Jacksonville St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%11/21 | 31%4/13 |
| 2 | 85%11/13 | 39%7/18 |
| 3 | 47%9/19 | 47%8/17 |
| 4 | 73%8/11 | 20%2/10 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 64%14/22 |
| 6 | 50%7/14 | 27%3/11 |
| All | 60%54/90 | 42%38/91 |
Nicholls
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%11/20 | 40%6/15 |
| 2 | 65%11/17 | 35%6/17 |
| 3 | 67%8/12 | 39%7/18 |
| 4 | 50%8/16 | 47%7/15 |
| 5 | 47%8/17 | 11%1/9 |
| 6 | 78%7/9 | 56%9/16 |
| All | 58%53/91 | 40%36/90 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
181 rallies
| # | JAX ST-NICHST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NICHST | JAX ST | Attack err | Kera Arrington | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Amelie Shalfoon | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NICHST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Sofia Varela | +2.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Anna Ray | +2.4 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Mckenzie Mitchell | +2.3 |
| 6 | 4-2 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Sophia Schweikert | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Isabella Padilla | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Sophia Schweikert | +2.6 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Sofia Varela | +2.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Madison Smith | blk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans | +2.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Natalia Navarro | +2.1 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Natalia Navarro | +2.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +2.3 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | JAX ST | NICHST×7 | Kill | Harper Holden | set Isabella Padilla | +2.3 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NICHST | NICHST×7 | Kill | Madison Smith | set Lauren Buchanan | +2.9 |
| 18 | 8-10 | NICHST | NICHST×7 | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | NICHST | NICHST×7 | Attack err | Lauren Buchanan | +2.8 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | NICHST | NICHST×7 | Attack err | Claire Evans | +2.6 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | NICHST | NICHST×7 | Kill | Madison Smith | +2.3 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | NICHST | NICHST×7 | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.9 |
| 23 | 9-14 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +1.2 |
| 24 | 9-15 | JAX ST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.5 |
| 25 | 9-16 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.4 |
| 26 | 9-17 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.0 |
| 27 | 10-17 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +0.5 |
| 28 | 10-18 | JAX ST | NICHST | Attack err | Azavia Thomas | +0.8 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +0.5 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | JAX ST | NICHST×4 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Jenna Cicherski | +0.7 |
| 31 | 11-20 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Ace | Nicholls | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 11-21 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Bad set | Sofia Varela | +0.2 | |
| 33 | 11-22 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Attack err | Sophia Schweikert | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 12-22 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Izzy Whittaker | set Sofia Varela | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | JAX ST | NICHST | Attack err | Taya Nordmann | · | |
| 36 | 13-23 | NICHST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | · |
| 37 | 14-23 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Blocked | Madison Smith | blk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans | · |
| 38 | 15-23 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Lizzie Kraft | +0.1 |
| 39 | 15-24 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | · | |
| 41 | 17-24 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Harper Holden | blk Taya Nordmann | · |
| 42 | 17-25 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +0.1 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | JAX ST | NICHST×3 | Blocked | Anna Ray | blk Harper Holden, Amelie Shalfoon | +2.0 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Attack err | Azavia Thomas | +2.5 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Ace | Nicholls | aced Delaney Moon | +2.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Sophia Schweikert | set Sofia Varela | +1.8 |
| 5 | 1-4 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.0 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Sophia Schweikert | set Sofia Varela | +1.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Natalia Navarro | +2.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | JAX ST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.2 |
| 9 | 3-6 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Maya Schirmer | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Ace | Nicholls | +2.4 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Sofia Varela | +1.8 |
| 12 | 4-8 | JAX ST | NICHST | Blocked | Sophia Schweikert | blk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington | +2.0 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NICHST | JAX ST×4 | Kill | Sophia Schweikert | set Delaney Moon | +1.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | JAX ST | JAX ST×4 | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +2.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | JAX ST | JAX ST×4 | Kill | Claire Evans | set Delaney Moon | +2.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | JAX ST | JAX ST×4 | Blocked | Madison Smith | blk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans | +2.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Madison Smith | +2.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +2.4 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | JAX ST | NICHST | Bad set | Claire Evans | +2.5 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Delaney Moon | +2.5 |
| 21 | 10-11 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Harper Holden | +2.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Kera Arrington | +3.2 |
| 23 | 11-12 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +2.5 |
| 24 | 12-12 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Kera Arrington | blk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas | +3.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.8 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Amelie Shalfoon | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Sophia Schweikert | set Sofia Varela | +2.6 |
| 28 | 13-15 | JAX ST | NICHST | Attack err | Taya Nordmann | +2.9 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | +3.4 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +2.4 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Karina Smith | +3.5 |
| 32 | 15-17 | JAX ST | NICHST | Attack err | Sophia Schweikert | +3.2 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | NICHST | JAX ST×4 | Bad set | Isabella Padilla | +3.0 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | JAX ST | JAX ST×4 | Attack err | Maya Schirmer | +4.2 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | JAX ST | JAX ST×4 | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +4.5 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | JAX ST | JAX ST×4 | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +4.4 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | JAX ST | NICHST | Attack err | Claire Evans | +3.2 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Natalia Navarro | +4.8 |
| 39 | 20-19 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +4.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +4.2 |
| 41 | 20-21 | NICHST | NICHST | Ace | Nicholls | +5.9 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +4.7 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Harper Holden | blk Anna Ray | +6.6 |
| 44 | 22-22 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +5.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +6.4 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +6.2 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Delaney Moon | +8.2 |
| 48 | 25-23 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Kera Arrington | +10.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Amelie Shalfoon | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NICHST | JAX ST×3 | Blocked | Kera Arrington | blk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Anna Ray | set Sofia Varela | +3.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Anna Ray | set Sofia Varela | +3.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Azavia Thomas | +3.4 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +2.7 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +3.4 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +2.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +2.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +2.9 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | NICHST | NICHST | Blocked | Claire Evans | blk Harper Holden, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +3.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +3.0 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +3.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +3.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +3.1 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | JAX ST | NICHST | Attack err | Taya Nordmann | +3.1 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | NICHST | JAX ST | Attack err | Amelie Shalfoon | +3.2 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NICHST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +3.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Kera Arrington | +4.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Kera Arrington | +3.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Amelie Shalfoon | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.8 |
| 25 | 14-11 | NICHST | JAX ST | Blocked | Kera Arrington | blk Azavia Thomas, Anna Ray | +3.2 |
| 26 | 15-11 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Sofia Varela | set Natalia Navarro | +3.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | JAX ST | NICHST×3 | Blocked | Sophia Schweikert | blk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington | +2.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +3.6 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Blocked | Taya Nordmann | blk Maya Schirmer, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +4.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Sofia Varela | +3.9 |
| 31 | 16-15 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +3.6 |
| 32 | 16-16 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Natalia Navarro | +5.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NICHST | JAX ST×3 | Serve err | Nicholls | +4.4 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +5.3 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +4.8 |
| 36 | 19-17 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +3.2 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Addison Stone | +4.1 |
| 38 | 20-18 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.2 |
| 39 | 21-18 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +4.3 |
| 40 | 21-19 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +3.2 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | NICHST | NICHST | Ace | Nicholls | aced Lauren Buchanan | +5.6 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +5.9 |
| 43 | 23-20 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Izzy Whittaker | set Sofia Varela | +5.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Amelie Shalfoon | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.9 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +4.9 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +2.1 |
| 47 | 25-22 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Izzy Whittaker | set Lauren Buchanan | +4.6 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | JAX ST | NICHST | Blocked | Sofia Varela | blk Harper Holden | +2.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NICHST | NICHST | Ace | Nicholls | aced Lauren Buchanan | +3.1 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Attack err | Madison Smith | +3.1 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | NICHST | JAX ST | Attack err | Amelie Shalfoon | +2.6 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Bad set | Jenna Cicherski | +3.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Sophia Schweikert | +3.4 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NICHST | JAX ST | Attack err | Sydney Valentine | +2.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Isabella Padilla | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +2.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Taya Nordmann | set Addison Stone | +3.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | JAX ST | NICHST×3 | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +2.9 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Bad set | Addison Stone | +3.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Sydney Valentine | set Madison Smith | +3.7 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +2.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | +3.8 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +3.2 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +3.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Lizzie Kraft | +4.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NICHST | JAX ST | Serve err | Nicholls | +3.4 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.4 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +3.5 |
| 26 | 14-12 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Ace | Jacksonville St. | aced Madison Smith | +4.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.3 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NICHST | JAX ST | Attack err | Sydney Valentine | +3.6 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +4.1 |
| 30 | 16-14 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Isabella Padilla | +2.9 |
| 31 | 17-14 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Claire Evans | set Addison Stone | +3.5 |
| 32 | 18-14 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Attack err | Maya Schirmer | +3.7 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | JAX ST | NICHST | Blocked | Taya Nordmann | blk Maya Schirmer, Madison Smith | +2.3 |
| 34 | 19-15 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +3.0 |
| 35 | 20-15 | JAX ST | JAX ST | Blocked | Madison Smith | blk Claire Evans, Anna Ray | +2.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +1.5 |
| 37 | 21-16 | NICHST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Addison Stone | +2.2 |
| 38 | 22-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Attack err | Madison Smith | +1.6 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | JAX ST | JAX ST×3 | Kill | Lauren Buchanan | set Sofia Varela | +0.8 |
| 40 | 23-17 | JAX ST | NICHST | Serve err | Jacksonville St. | +0.2 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | NICHST | NICHST | Blocked | Lauren Buchanan | blk Harper Holden, Amelie Shalfoon | +0.5 |
| 42 | 24-18 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Azavia Thomas | set Sofia Varela | +0.8 |
| 43 | 24-19 | JAX ST | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Jenna Cicherski | +0.2 |
| 44 | 25-19 | NICHST | JAX ST | Kill | Izzy Whittaker | set Sofia Varela | +0.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).