Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

Jacksonville St. def. Nicholls 3–1

Jacksonville St. beat Nicholls 3-1 (17-25, 25-23, 25-22, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Claire Evans led Jacksonville St. with 11 kills; Nicholls' Madison Smith had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
JAX ST172525253
NICHST252322191

Win probability

Nicholls above 50 · Jacksonville St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.0% JAX STrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Jacksonville St. — set 2, JAX ST 25-23 NICHST. Jacksonville St. ace on Kera Arrington. NICHST win probability 57% → 48%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JAX ST 53.2%46.8% NICHST

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
13.9%
3-1
20.1%
3-2
19.2%

Nicholls wins

3-0
11.2%
3-1
17.4%
3-2
18.2%
JAX ST break %
45.1% vs this opp
NICHST break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jacksonville St.Ace+10.0%

    Jacksonville St. ace on Kera Arrington

    Set 2 · JAX ST 25-23 NICHST · JAX ST 43% → 52%

  2. 02
    Azavia ThomasKill+8.2%

    Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Delaney Moon)

    Set 2 · JAX ST 24-23 NICHST · JAX ST 34% → 43%

  3. 03
    Anna RayBlock+6.6%

    Harper Holden stuffed by Anna Ray

    Set 2 · JAX ST 22-21 NICHST · JAX ST 33% → 39%

  4. 04
    NichollsService error+6.4%

    Nicholls service error

    Set 2 · JAX ST 23-22 NICHST · JAX ST 34% → 41%

  5. 05
    Jacksonville St.Service error+6.2%

    Jacksonville St. service error

    Set 2 · JAX ST 23-23 NICHST · NICHST 59% → 66%

  6. 06
    Azavia ThomasKill+5.9%

    Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 3 · JAX ST 22-20 NICHST · JAX ST 60% → 66%

  7. 07

    Kill by Izzy Whittaker (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 3 · JAX ST 23-20 NICHST · JAX ST 66% → 72%

  8. 08
    NichollsAce+5.9%

    Nicholls ace

    Set 2 · JAX ST 20-21 NICHST · NICHST 66% → 72%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49322.27300010031.510.5
47218.2781328200010
45514.00001120132.58.5
4317.286000101436
44717-.176000000004
4112.0002112300002
411324.3330001004213
4000–430710003
4001.0001621800002
4000–0001000000
3407.571001100004
3000–002500000
1000–000000000
Team totals4422112.19642109476214992
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
47216.31311130132.510.5
47215.333000100429
47424.125100230218
4529.333000000216
4000–2312400001
1000–000010000
420640.35021271010.521.5
4002.0001124300002
4002.0004051510000
4000–000720000
32413-.154100000213
2000–010210001
1126-.167000000001
Team totals4922127.213436144410114889

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 JAX ST · NICHST 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 JAX STNICHST 7

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 JAX STNICHST 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 JAX STNICHST 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 JAX STNICHST 3

Bars above the line = Nicholls leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
31%4/13
2
85%11/13
39%7/18
3
47%9/19
47%8/17
4
73%8/11
20%2/10
5
67%8/12
64%14/22
6
50%7/14
27%3/11
All
60%54/90
42%38/91

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
40%6/15
2
65%11/17
35%6/17
3
67%8/12
39%7/18
4
50%8/16
47%7/15
5
47%8/17
11%1/9
6
78%7/9
56%9/16
All
58%53/91
40%36/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#JAX ST-NICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NICHSTJAX STAttack errKera Arrington+1.9
21-1JAX STNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Jenna Cicherski+1.9
32-1NICHSTJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+2.0
43-1JAX STJAX ST×3KillAnna Ray+2.4
54-1JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.aced Mckenzie Mitchell+2.3
64-2JAX STNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+1.8
74-3NICHSTNICHSTAttack errSophia Schweikert+2.4
85-3NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+2.0
95-4JAX STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.0
105-5NICHSTNICHSTAttack errSophia Schweikert+2.6
116-5NICHSTJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+2.1
127-5JAX STJAX STBlockedMadison Smithblk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans+2.6
137-6JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+2.1
147-7NICHSTNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+2.7
158-7NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+2.3
168-8JAX STNICHST×7KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.3
178-9NICHSTNICHST×7KillMadison Smithset Lauren Buchanan+2.9
188-10NICHSTNICHST×7KillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+2.9
198-11NICHSTNICHST×7Attack errLauren Buchanan+2.8
208-12NICHSTNICHST×7Attack errClaire Evans+2.6
218-13NICHSTNICHST×7KillMadison Smith+2.3
228-14NICHSTNICHST×7KillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+1.9
239-14NICHSTJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.2
249-15JAX STNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+1.5
259-16NICHSTNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+1.4
269-17NICHSTNICHST×3KillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+1.0
2710-17NICHSTJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.5
2810-18JAX STNICHSTAttack errAzavia Thomas+0.8
2911-18NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+0.5
3011-19JAX STNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+0.7
3111-20NICHSTNICHST×4AceNicholls+0.5
3211-21NICHSTNICHST×4Bad setSofia Varela+0.2
3311-22NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errSophia Schweikert+0.1
3412-22NICHSTJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Sofia Varela·
3512-23JAX STNICHSTAttack errTaya Nordmann·
3613-23NICHSTJAX ST×3KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela·
3714-23JAX STJAX ST×3BlockedMadison Smithblk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans·
3815-23JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.aced Lizzie Kraft+0.1
3915-24JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+0.1
4016-24NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls·
4117-24JAX STJAX STBlockedHarper Holdenblk Taya Nordmann·
4217-25JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+0.1
Set 2
10-1JAX STNICHST×3BlockedAnna Rayblk Harper Holden, Amelie Shalfoon+2.0
20-2NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errAzavia Thomas+2.5
30-3NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Delaney Moon+2.4
41-3NICHSTJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.8
51-4JAX STNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+2.0
62-4NICHSTJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.9
73-4JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Natalia Navarro+2.5
83-5JAX STNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+2.2
93-6NICHSTNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmer+2.6
103-7NICHSTNICHST×3AceNicholls+2.4
114-7NICHSTJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+1.8
124-8JAX STNICHSTBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington+2.0
135-8NICHSTJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Delaney Moon+1.8
146-8JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+2.5
157-8JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Delaney Moon+2.7
168-8JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedMadison Smithblk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans+2.9
178-9JAX STNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Madison Smith+2.4
189-9NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+2.4
199-10JAX STNICHSTBad setClaire Evans+2.5
2010-10NICHSTJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Delaney Moon+2.5
2110-11JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Harper Holden+2.6
2210-12NICHSTNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Kera Arrington+3.2
2311-12NICHSTJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+2.5
2412-12JAX STJAX STBlockedKera Arringtonblk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas+3.3
2512-13JAX STNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+2.8
2612-14NICHSTNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Jenna Cicherski+3.5
2713-14NICHSTJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+2.6
2813-15JAX STNICHSTAttack errTaya Nordmann+2.9
2913-16NICHSTNICHSTKillMaya Schirmer+3.4
3014-16NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+2.4
3115-16JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Karina Smith+3.5
3215-17JAX STNICHSTAttack errSophia Schweikert+3.2
3316-17NICHSTJAX ST×4Bad setIsabella Padilla+3.0
3417-17JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errMaya Schirmer+4.2
3518-17JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+4.5
3619-17JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+4.4
3719-18JAX STNICHSTAttack errClaire Evans+3.2
3819-19NICHSTNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+4.8
3920-19NICHSTJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+4.2
4020-20JAX STNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+4.2
4120-21NICHSTNICHSTAceNicholls+5.9
4221-21NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+4.7
4322-21JAX STJAX STBlockedHarper Holdenblk Anna Ray+6.6
4422-22JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+5.3
4523-22NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+6.4
4623-23JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+6.2
4724-23NICHSTJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Delaney Moon+8.2
4825-23JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Kera Arrington+10.0
Set 3
10-1NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+3.2
20-2NICHSTNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Jenna Cicherski+3.2
31-2NICHSTJAX ST×3BlockedKera Arringtonblk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas+2.5
42-2JAX STJAX ST×3KillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+3.2
53-2JAX STJAX ST×3KillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+3.3
63-3JAX STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+2.7
73-4NICHSTNICHSTAttack errAzavia Thomas+3.4
84-4NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+2.7
95-4JAX STJAX STAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+3.4
105-5JAX STNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.8
116-5NICHSTJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+2.9
126-6JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+2.9
136-7NICHSTNICHSTBlockedClaire Evansblk Harper Holden, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+3.7
147-7NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+3.0
158-7JAX STJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+3.7
168-8JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+3.0
179-8NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+3.1
189-9JAX STNICHSTAttack errTaya Nordmann+3.1
1910-9NICHSTJAX STAttack errAmelie Shalfoon+3.2
2010-10JAX STNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+3.2
2111-10NICHSTJAX ST×3KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+3.3
2212-10JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.aced Kera Arrington+4.1
2313-10JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.aced Kera Arrington+3.8
2413-11JAX STNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Jenna Cicherski+2.8
2514-11NICHSTJAX STBlockedKera Arringtonblk Azavia Thomas, Anna Ray+3.2
2615-11JAX STJAX STKillSofia Varelaset Natalia Navarro+3.5
2715-12JAX STNICHST×3BlockedSophia Schweikertblk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington+2.4
2815-13NICHSTNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+3.6
2915-14NICHSTNICHST×3BlockedTaya Nordmannblk Maya Schirmer, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+4.3
3016-14NICHSTJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+3.9
3116-15JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+3.6
3216-16NICHSTNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+5.1
3317-16NICHSTJAX ST×3Serve errNicholls+4.4
3418-16JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+5.3
3519-16JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+4.8
3619-17JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+3.2
3720-17NICHSTJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+4.1
3820-18JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+3.2
3921-18NICHSTJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+4.3
4021-19JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+3.2
4121-20NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Lauren Buchanan+5.6
4222-20NICHSTJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+5.9
4323-20JAX STJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Sofia Varela+5.9
4423-21JAX STNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Jenna Cicherski+2.9
4524-21NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+4.9
4624-22JAX STNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.1
4725-22NICHSTJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Lauren Buchanan+4.6
Set 4
10-1JAX STNICHSTBlockedSofia Varelablk Harper Holden+2.5
20-2NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Lauren Buchanan+3.1
31-2NICHSTJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+2.4
42-2JAX STJAX STAttack errMadison Smith+3.1
52-3JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+2.6
63-3NICHSTJAX STAttack errAmelie Shalfoon+2.6
74-3JAX STJAX STBad setJenna Cicherski+3.3
84-4JAX STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+2.7
94-5NICHSTNICHSTAttack errSophia Schweikert+3.4
105-5NICHSTJAX STAttack errSydney Valentine+2.7
115-6JAX STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.8
126-6NICHSTJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+2.8
137-6JAX STJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+3.5
147-7JAX STNICHST×3Serve errJacksonville St.+2.9
157-8NICHSTNICHST×3Bad setAddison Stone+3.7
167-9NICHSTNICHST×3KillSydney Valentineset Madison Smith+3.7
178-9NICHSTJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+2.9
189-9JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.+3.8
199-10JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+3.2
2010-10NICHSTJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+3.1
2111-10JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Lizzie Kraft+4.0
2211-11JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+3.2
2312-11NICHSTJAX STServe errNicholls+3.4
2412-12JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+3.4
2513-12NICHSTJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+3.5
2614-12JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Madison Smith+4.3
2714-13JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+3.3
2815-13NICHSTJAX STAttack errSydney Valentine+3.6
2916-13JAX STJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+4.1
3016-14JAX STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.9
3117-14NICHSTJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+3.5
3218-14JAX STJAX STAttack errMaya Schirmer+3.7
3318-15JAX STNICHSTBlockedTaya Nordmannblk Maya Schirmer, Madison Smith+2.3
3419-15NICHSTJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+3.0
3520-15JAX STJAX STBlockedMadison Smithblk Claire Evans, Anna Ray+2.8
3620-16JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+1.5
3721-16NICHSTJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+2.2
3822-16JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errMadison Smith+1.6
3923-16JAX STJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+0.8
4023-17JAX STNICHSTServe errJacksonville St.+0.2
4123-18NICHSTNICHSTBlockedLauren Buchananblk Harper Holden, Amelie Shalfoon+0.5
4224-18NICHSTJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.8
4324-19JAX STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+0.2
4425-19NICHSTJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Sofia Varela+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).