Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayCUSA

3:1

HomeSOUTHLAND

Jacksonville St. def. Nicholls 3–1

(17-25, 25-23, 25-22, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
JAX ST	17	25	25	25	3
NICHST	25	23	22	19	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NICHST above 50 · JAX ST below

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Jacksonville St. — set 2, JAX ST 25-23 NICHST. Jacksonville St. ace on Kera Arrington. NICHST win probability 59% → 49%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JAX ST 51.8%48.2% NICHST

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

13.3%

3-1

19.5%

3-2

19.0%

Nicholls wins

3-0

11.8%

3-1

18.0%

3-2

18.4%

JAX ST break %: 43.4% vs this opp
NICHST break %: 43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
JAX ST serverAce+10.0%
Jacksonville St. ace on Kera Arrington
Set 2 · JAX ST 25-23 NICHST · JAX ST 41% → 51%
02
Azavia ThomasKill+7.7%
Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Delaney Moon)
Set 2 · JAX ST 24-23 NICHST · JAX ST 34% → 41%
03
Harper HoldenAttack error+6.7%
Harper Holden stuffed by Anna Ray
Set 2 · JAX ST 22-21 NICHST · JAX ST 32% → 38%
04
NICHST serverService error+6.1%
Nicholls service error
Set 2 · JAX ST 23-22 NICHST · JAX ST 33% → 39%
05
Izzy WhittakerKill+6.0%
Kill by Izzy Whittaker (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 3 · JAX ST 23-20 NICHST · JAX ST 65% → 71%
06
NICHST serverAce+5.9%
Nicholls ace on Team
Set 2 · JAX ST 20-21 NICHST · NICHST 67% → 73%
07
JAX ST serverService error+5.8%
Jacksonville St. service error
Set 2 · JAX ST 23-23 NICHST · NICHST 61% → 66%
08
NICHST serverAce+5.7%
Nicholls ace on Lauren Buchanan
Set 3 · JAX ST 21-20 NICHST · NICHST 35% → 41%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Jacksonville St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Azavia ThomasOH	4	9	3	22	.273	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
8Lauren BuchananOH	4	7	2	18	.278	1	3	2	8	2	0	0	0	10
13Taya NordmannMB	4	5	5	14	.000	0	1	1	2	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
6Anna RayOH	4	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	3	6
1Sophia SchweikertOH	4	4	7	17	-.176	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
23Sofia VarelaS	4	1	1	2	.000	21	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	2
26Claire EvansOH	4	11	3	24	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	13
16Delaney MoonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	3	0	7	1	0	0	0	3
2Addison StoneS	4	0	0	1	.000	16	2	1	8	0	0	0	0	2
7Gemma MorrisDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
5Izzy WhittakerOH	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	4
11Reese TiesingDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Mia DuongL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	22	112	.196	42	10	9	47	6	2	14	9	92

Nichollshome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Harper HoldenMB	4	7	2	16	.313	1	1	1	3	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
5Maya SchirmerMB	4	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	9
18Kera ArringtonOH	4	7	4	24	.125	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	1	8
7Amelie ShalfoonOH	4	5	2	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
12Jenna CicherskiS	4	0	0	0	–	23	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
16Mckenzie MitchellOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
19Madison SmithOH	4	20	6	40	.350	2	1	2	7	1	0	1	0.5	21.5
8Isabella PadillaS	4	0	0	2	.000	11	2	4	3	0	0	0	0	2
11Natalia NavarroL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	4	0	5	15	1	0	0	0	0
1Lizzie KraftDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	0
3Zahahrah Edwards-WyllieOH	3	2	4	13	-.154	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
6Karina SmithL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
9Sydney ValentineOH	1	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		49	22	127	.213	43	6	14	44	10	1	14	8	89

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 JAX ST · NICHST 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 JAX STNICHST 7

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 JAX STNICHST 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 JAX STNICHST 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 JAX STNICHST 3

Bars above the line = Nicholls leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Jacksonville St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%11/21	31%4/13
2	85%11/13	39%7/18
3	47%9/19	47%8/17
4	73%8/11	20%2/10
5	67%8/12	64%14/22
6	50%7/14	27%3/11
All	60%54/90	42%38/91

Nicholls

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%11/20	40%6/15
2	65%11/17	35%6/17
3	67%8/12	39%7/18
4	50%8/16	47%7/15
5	47%8/17	11%1/9
6	78%7/9	56%9/16
All	58%53/91	40%36/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

181 rallies

Rally log

#	JAX ST-NICHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NICHST	JAX ST	Attack err	Kera Arrington		+1.9
2	1-1	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.9
3	2-1	NICHST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+1.9
4	3-1	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Anna Ray		+2.5
5	4-1	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Mckenzie Mitchell	+2.4
6	4-2	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.7
7	4-3	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+2.5
8	5-3	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+2.0
9	5-4	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla	+1.9
10	5-5	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+2.7
11	6-5	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+2.1
12	7-5	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Madison Smith	blk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans	+2.7
13	7-6	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Natalia Navarro	+2.0
14	7-7	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Natalia Navarro	+2.8
15	8-7	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+2.2
16	8-8	JAX ST	NICHST×7	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla	+2.2
17	8-9	NICHST	NICHST×7	Kill	Madison Smith	set Lauren Buchanan	+3.0
18	8-10	NICHST	NICHST×7	Kill	Harper Holden	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.0
19	8-11	NICHST	NICHST×7	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+2.9
20	8-12	NICHST	NICHST×7	Attack err	Claire Evans		+2.6
21	8-13	NICHST	NICHST×7	Kill	Madison Smith		+2.3
22	8-14	NICHST	NICHST×7	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.8
23	9-14	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+1.1
24	9-15	JAX ST	NICHST×3	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.4
25	9-16	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.4
26	9-17	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Harper Holden	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.9
27	10-17	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.4
28	10-18	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.7
29	11-18	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+0.4
30	11-19	JAX ST	NICHST×4	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.6
31	11-20	NICHST	NICHST×4	Ace	NICHST server	aced Team	+0.4
32	11-21	NICHST	NICHST×4	Bad set	Sofia Varela		+0.2
33	11-22	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+0.1
34	12-22	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
35	12-23	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+0.0
36	13-23	NICHST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.0
37	14-23	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Madison Smith	blk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans	+0.0
38	15-23	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Lizzie Kraft	+0.0
39	15-24	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Isabella Padilla	+0.1
40	16-24	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+0.0
41	17-24	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Harper Holden	blk Taya Nordmann	+0.0
42	17-25	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	JAX ST	NICHST×3	Attack err	Anna Ray	blk Harper Holden, Amelie Shalfoon	+1.9
2	0-2	NICHST	NICHST×3	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+2.5
3	0-3	NICHST	NICHST×3	Ace	NICHST server	aced Delaney Moon	+2.4
4	1-3	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+1.7
5	1-4	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.9
6	2-4	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+1.8
7	3-4	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Natalia Navarro	+2.5
8	3-5	JAX ST	NICHST×3	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Jenna Cicherski	+2.0
9	3-6	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Maya Schirmer		+2.6
10	3-7	NICHST	NICHST×3	Ace	NICHST server	aced Team	+2.4
11	4-7	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+1.7
12	4-8	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert	blk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington	+1.9
13	5-8	NICHST	JAX ST×4	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Delaney Moon	+1.7
14	6-8	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+2.5
15	7-8	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Kill	Claire Evans	set Delaney Moon	+2.8
16	8-8	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Attack err	Madison Smith	blk Taya Nordmann, Claire Evans	+3.0
17	8-9	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Madison Smith	+2.3
18	9-9	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+2.3
19	9-10	JAX ST	NICHST	Bad set	Claire Evans		+2.4
20	10-10	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Delaney Moon	+2.4
21	10-11	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Harper Holden	+2.5
22	10-12	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Kera Arrington	+3.3
23	11-12	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+2.3
24	12-12	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Kera Arrington	blk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas	+3.4
25	12-13	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Jenna Cicherski	+2.7
26	12-14	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.5
27	13-14	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+2.5
28	13-15	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+2.8
29	13-16	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer		+3.4
30	14-16	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+2.2
31	15-16	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Karina Smith	+3.5
32	15-17	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+3.1
33	16-17	NICHST	JAX ST×4	Bad set	Isabella Padilla		+2.8
34	17-17	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Attack err	Maya Schirmer		+4.2
35	18-17	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie		+4.5
36	19-17	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie		+4.5
37	19-18	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Claire Evans		+3.0
38	19-19	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Natalia Navarro	+4.8
39	20-19	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+4.0
40	20-20	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla	+4.0
41	20-21	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	NICHST server	aced Team	+5.9
42	21-21	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+4.4
43	22-21	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Harper Holden	blk Anna Ray	+6.7
44	22-22	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+5.0
45	23-22	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+6.1
46	23-23	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+5.8
47	24-23	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Delaney Moon	+7.7
48	25-23	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Kera Arrington	+10.0
Set 3
1	0-1	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.3
2	0-2	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.3
3	1-2	NICHST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Kera Arrington	blk Anna Ray, Azavia Thomas	+2.4
4	2-2	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Anna Ray	set Sofia Varela	+3.3
5	3-2	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Anna Ray	set Sofia Varela	+3.4
6	3-3	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Jenna Cicherski	+2.6
7	3-4	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+3.5
8	4-4	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+2.7
9	5-4	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie		+3.6
10	5-5	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+2.7
11	6-5	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+2.8
12	6-6	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+2.8
13	6-7	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Claire Evans	blk Harper Holden, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	+3.8
14	7-7	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+2.9
15	8-7	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+3.9
16	8-8	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Isabella Padilla	+2.9
17	9-8	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+3.0
18	9-9	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+3.0
19	10-9	NICHST	JAX ST	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+3.1
20	10-10	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.1
21	11-10	NICHST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+3.2
22	12-10	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Kera Arrington	+4.2
23	13-10	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Kera Arrington	+4.0
24	13-11	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Jenna Cicherski	+2.7
25	14-11	NICHST	JAX ST	Attack err	Kera Arrington	blk Azavia Thomas, Anna Ray	+3.1
26	15-11	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sofia Varela	set Natalia Navarro	+3.6
27	15-12	JAX ST	NICHST×3	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert	blk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington	+2.3
28	15-13	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Madison Smith	set Isabella Padilla	+3.7
29	15-14	NICHST	NICHST×3	Attack err	Taya Nordmann	blk Maya Schirmer, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	+4.4
30	16-14	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+3.8
31	16-15	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Isabella Padilla	+3.5
32	16-16	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Natalia Navarro	+5.2
33	17-16	NICHST	JAX ST×3	Serve err	NICHST server		+4.2
34	18-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie		+5.5
35	19-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+4.9
36	19-17	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+3.0
37	20-17	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	+3.9
38	20-18	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.1
39	21-18	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+4.1
40	21-19	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+3.0
41	21-20	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	NICHST server	aced Lauren Buchanan	+5.7
42	22-20	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+5.7
43	23-20	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela	+6.0
44	23-21	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Jenna Cicherski	+2.6
45	24-21	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+4.6
46	24-22	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	+1.9
47	25-22	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Lauren Buchanan	+4.3
Set 4
1	0-1	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Sofia Varela	blk Harper Holden	+2.5
2	0-2	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	NICHST server	aced Lauren Buchanan	+3.2
3	1-2	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+2.4
4	2-2	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Madison Smith		+3.3
5	2-3	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+2.6
6	3-3	NICHST	JAX ST	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+2.6
7	4-3	JAX ST	JAX ST	Bad set	Jenna Cicherski		+3.4
8	4-4	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Jenna Cicherski	+2.6
9	4-5	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+3.5
10	5-5	NICHST	JAX ST	Attack err	Sydney Valentine		+2.7
11	5-6	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla	+2.8
12	6-6	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+2.7
13	7-6	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	+3.7
14	7-7	JAX ST	NICHST×3	Serve err	JAX ST server		+2.8
15	7-8	NICHST	NICHST×3	Bad set	Addison Stone		+3.8
16	7-9	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Sydney Valentine	set Madison Smith	+3.8
17	8-9	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+2.8
18	9-9	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Team	+3.9
19	9-10	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+3.1
20	10-10	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+3.1
21	11-10	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Lizzie Kraft	+4.2
22	11-11	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.2
23	12-11	NICHST	JAX ST	Serve err	NICHST server		+3.3
24	12-12	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.3
25	13-12	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+3.4
26	14-12	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	JAX ST server	aced Madison Smith	+4.5
27	14-13	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+3.2
28	15-13	NICHST	JAX ST	Attack err	Sydney Valentine		+3.5
29	16-13	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+4.3
30	16-14	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla	+2.8
31	17-14	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+3.4
32	18-14	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Maya Schirmer		+3.8
33	18-15	JAX ST	NICHST	Attack err	Taya Nordmann	blk Maya Schirmer, Madison Smith	+2.2
34	19-15	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+2.9
35	20-15	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Madison Smith	blk Claire Evans, Anna Ray	+2.8
36	20-16	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Isabella Padilla	+1.4
37	21-16	NICHST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+2.1
38	22-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Madison Smith		+1.6
39	23-16	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
40	23-17	JAX ST	NICHST	Serve err	JAX ST server		+0.2
41	23-18	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan	blk Harper Holden, Amelie Shalfoon	+0.5
42	24-18	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
43	24-19	JAX ST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.1
44	25-19	NICHST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.