FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Ky. def. Jacksonville St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Ky. 99.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Ky. won at Jacksonville St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-11, 25-13) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Western Ky.'s Kaira Knox led with 9 kills, and Tayler Baron added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
W KY2525253
JAX ST2111130

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Western Ky. broke it open with an 8–0 run in the second set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.1 points. Jacksonville St. peaked at 1% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Western Ky. at 99%.

Western Ky.Jacksonville St.
  • Break %+27.7 pts
    57.529.8

    On serve: 42/73 against 14/47 (Jacksonville St. sideout 42.5%).

  • Hitting+.280
    .402.122

    Kills and errors: 40–7 vs 23–14.

  • Longest run+4
    84

    Western Ky. scored 8 straight in the second set to stretch a 16–9 lead to 24–9. The set finished 25–11.

Jacksonville St. above 50Western Ky. belowMax swing 0.1%

Western Ky.Jacksonville St.

Aces
Western Ky. 11·Jacksonville St. 2
Serve err
Western Ky. 13·Jacksonville St. 8
Blocks
Western Ky. 7·Jacksonville St. 33 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Western Ky. 33·Jacksonville St. 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Jacksonville St. above 50 · Western Ky. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 120 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Western Ky. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W KY 99.7%0.3% JAX ST

Western Ky. wins

3-0
82.4%
3-1
15.4%
3-2
1.8%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.2%
W KY break %
53.0% vs this opp
JAX ST break %
32.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39014.6430244002112
37319.2110322010111
3408.500210101227
3316.333302340010.55.5
3419.333100000004
3000–102500000
3408.500000001226
31011.0001321410004
3000–100210000
3000–000100000
2204.500000000002
1417.42900000010.54.5
1215.200000000002
1001.000000000000
Team totals40782.40236111333238775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38621.095011320009
34114.21400030111.55.5
35215.200002130005
33312.00000130111.54.5
3000–1210800001
3015-.200000000000
3316.333000400003
3001.000200620000
3000–702200000
3000–102110000
1000–000000000
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals231474.1222228321122345

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Ky. vs Jacksonville St.

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 W KY · JAX ST 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 W KYJAX ST 4

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 8 W KYJAX ST 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 5 W KYJAX ST 2

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
50%5/10
2
75%6/8
68%13/19
3
83%5/6
67%10/15
4
83%5/6
44%4/9
5
83%5/6
38%3/8
6
63%5/8
58%7/12
All
70%33/47
58%42/73

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%6/14
57%8/14
2
26%6/23
14%1/7
3
45%5/11
25%2/8
4
63%5/8
17%1/6
5
50%5/10
17%1/6
6
57%4/7
17%1/6
All
42%31/73
30%14/47

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#W KY-JAX STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Tayler Baron
21-1JAX STW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush
32-1W KYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush
43-1W KYW KY×3BlockedTaya Nordmannblk Alivia Skidmore
53-2W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
63-3JAX STJAX STBlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Azavia Thomas
74-3JAX STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush
85-3W KYW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Tayler Baron
95-4W KYJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela
106-4JAX STW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush
117-4W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Lauren Buchanan
127-5W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
138-5JAX STW KYAttack errIzzy Whittaker
149-5W KYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush
159-6W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
1610-6JAX STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush
1711-6W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush
1811-7W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
1912-7JAX STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush
2012-8W KYJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone
2112-9JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errAlivia Skidmore
2212-10JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedEliza McKnightblk Taya Nordmann
2312-11JAX STJAX ST×4KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela
2413-11JAX STW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry
2513-12W KYJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela
2614-12JAX STW KY×4Serve errJacksonville St.
2715-12W KYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush
2816-12W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Mia Duong
2917-12W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Lauren Buchanan
3017-13W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
3117-14JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela
3218-14JAX STW KYKillKaira Knoxset Eliza McKnight
3318-15W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
3419-15JAX STW KYBlockedAnna Rayblk Faith Young
3520-15W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.
3620-16W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
3720-17JAX STJAX STAceJacksonville St.aced Cali Foster
3821-17JAX STW KY×3KillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush
3922-17W KYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush
4023-17W KYW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush
4123-18W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
4224-18JAX STW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush
4324-19W KYJAX ST×3KillIzzy Whittakerset Addison Stone
4424-20JAX STJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchanan
4524-21JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errAlivia Skidmore
4625-21JAX STW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush
Set 2
11-0W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush
22-0W KYW KY×4KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush
33-0W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Mia Duong
44-0W KYW KY×4KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush
54-1W KYJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela
65-1JAX STW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush
76-1W KYW KY×3Attack errSophia Schweikert
87-1W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.
97-2W KYJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela
108-2JAX STW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush
119-2W KYW KY×3BlockedAzavia Thomasblk Faith Young, Aubrey Sears
1210-2W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Sophia Schweikert
1310-3W KYJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Mia Duong
1411-3JAX STW KYServe errJacksonville St.
1511-4W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
1612-4JAX STW KYKillAubrey Searsset Kate Rush
1712-5W KYJAX STAttack errKate Rush
1813-5JAX STW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush
1914-5W KYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush
2015-5W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.
2115-6W KYJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone
2215-7JAX STJAX ST×3KillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela
2315-8JAX STJAX ST×3KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela
2416-8JAX STW KYAttack errLauren Buchanan
2516-9W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
2617-9JAX STW KY×8KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush
2718-9W KYW KY×8KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush
2819-9W KYW KY×8Attack errSophia Schweikert
2920-9W KYW KY×8KillAubrey Searsset Kate Rush
3021-9W KYW KY×8KillIzzy Van De Wiele
3122-9W KYW KY×8Attack errTaya Nordmann
3223-9W KYW KY×8KillAubrey Searsset Kate Rush
3324-9W KYW KY×8BlockedSophia Schweikertblk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kaira Knox
3424-10W KYJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela
3524-11JAX STJAX STAttack errAubrey Sears
3625-11JAX STW KYKillAubrey Searsset Cali Foster
Set 3
11-0JAX STW KYBad setMia Duong
21-1W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
32-1JAX STW KYServe errJacksonville St.
42-2W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
53-2JAX STW KYServe errJacksonville St.
63-3W KYJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela
73-4JAX STJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Mia Duong
84-4JAX STW KYKillTayler Baronset Mia Duong
94-5W KYJAX STServe errWestern Ky.
105-5JAX STW KYServe errJacksonville St.
115-6W KYJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone
125-7JAX STJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Addison Stone
136-7JAX STW KYServe errJacksonville St.
146-8W KYJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Delaney Moon
157-8JAX STW KY×3KillKate Rushset Taya Nordmann
168-8W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Delaney Moon
179-8W KYW KY×3Attack errSophia Schweikert
189-9W KYJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela
1910-9JAX STW KY×5KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush
2011-9W KYW KY×5KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush
2112-9W KYW KY×5BlockedLauren Buchananblk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kaira Knox
2213-9W KYW KY×5Attack errSophia Schweikert
2314-9W KYW KY×5BlockedTaya Nordmannblk Izzy Van De Wiele
2414-10W KYJAX STBlockedKendall Mellerblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas
2515-10JAX STW KY×4KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush
2616-10W KYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Faith Young
2717-10W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Lauren Buchanan
2818-10W KYW KY×4Bad setSophia Schweikert
2918-11W KYJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela
3019-11JAX STW KYServe errJacksonville St.
3120-11W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Sophia Schweikert
3220-12W KYJAX STKillIzzy Whittakerset Addison Stone
3321-12JAX STW KY×3KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush
3422-12W KYW KY×3BlockedSophia Schweikertblk Kate Rush, Faith Young
3523-12W KYW KY×3KillKate Rushset Faith Young
3623-13W KYJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone
3724-13JAX STW KYServe errJacksonville St.
3825-13W KYW KYKillEliza McKnightset Izzie Delacher

Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).