Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

ULM def. Marshall 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Marshall 79.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

ULM beat visiting Marshall 3-2 (25-23, 25-23, 22-25, 19-25, 15-11) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Aniya Hall led ULM with 14 kills; Marshall's Maddie Smith had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set12345Sets
MARSH23232525112
LA MON25252219153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

ULM beat Marshall from a 21% pre-match call.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows ULM's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Marshall at 79% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Marshall 1–3 ULM

    7 straight Marshall points turned a 1–3 deficit into an 8–3 lead. The match swung to Marshall.

    ULM 65% → 42%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Marshall 4–2 ULM

    Down 2–4, ULM scored 3 straight to lead 5–4.

    ULM 22% → 47%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Marshall 11–11 ULM

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to ULM, enough to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.

    ULM 40% → >99%

ULM above 50Marshall belowMax swing 19.4%

MarshallULM

Sideout %
Marshall 61.0·ULM 60.2
Break %
Marshall 39.8·ULM 39.0
Hitting
Marshall .224·ULM .205
Longest run
Marshall 7·ULM 5

Aniya Hall
14 kills on .104, 15 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

ULM above 50 · Marshall below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+19.4% LA MONrally 213 · set 5

Biggest swing: 19.4% to ULM — set 5, MARSH 11-13 LA MON. Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli. LA MON win probability 58% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARSH 82.8%17.2% LA MON

Marshall wins

3-0
34.5%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
17.4%

ULM wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
8.9%
MARSH break %
47.4% vs this opp
LA MON break %
40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Beatrice CiccarelliAttack error+19.4%

    Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli

    Set 5 · MARSH 11-13 LA MON · LA MON 58% → 78%

  2. 02
    Aniya HallKill+18.2%

    Kill by Aniya Hall (set by Morgan Howard)

    Set 5 · MARSH 11-12 LA MON · LA MON 40% → 58%

  3. 03
    Aniya HallKill+15.5%

    Kill by Aniya Hall (set by Abby Cunningham)

    Set 5 · MARSH 11-14 LA MON · LA MON 78% → 93%

  4. 04
    Emma BarnettBlock+14.3%

    Abby Cunningham stuffed by Emma Barnett

    Set 5 · MARSH 11-10 LA MON · MARSH 57% → 71%

  5. 05

    Carys Kerr stuffed by Morgan Howard & Zharia Alleyne

    Set 2 · MARSH 23-25 LA MON · LA MON 57% → 71%

  6. 06
    Zharia AlleyneBlock+13.0%

    Marae Reilly stuffed by Zharia Alleyne

    Set 5 · MARSH 7-9 LA MON · LA MON 50% → 63%

  7. 07

    Kill by Beatrice Ciccarelli (set by Kahea Carvalho)

    Set 5 · MARSH 9-9 LA MON · MARSH 45% → 58%

  8. 08
    Carys KerrAttack error+11.4%

    Attack error by Carys Kerr

    Set 5 · MARSH 6-7 LA MON · LA MON 38% → 49%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520642.33301111202122
511644.11411371111.513.5
59422.22710220233.512.5
57115.4000112004210
5002.0003401900000
3339.000000000003
510324.2921001004212
5002.0002012300001
5001.0001013310000
2000–000000000
1112.000000000001
1112.000000000001
Team totals6225165.2245841168831410107
ULMhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514948.10410212110115
513633.21200010111.514.5
59114.57113110031.513.5
56314.21400010132.58.5
5001.000135610003
5002.0002111900001
510424.25020050132.512.5
58326.19210070010.58.5
5002.0002211100010.51.5
5002.0009001410000
Team totals6026166.2055881066441210106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marshall vs ULM

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MARSH · LA MON 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 MARSHLA MON 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 2 MARSHLA MON 2

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 MARSHLA MON 5

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 7 MARSHLA MON 3

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 MARSHLA MON 5

Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = Marshall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marshall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%12/30
33%6/18
2
80%12/15
45%10/22
3
79%11/14
42%8/19
4
63%10/16
35%6/17
5
63%10/16
38%6/16
6
64%9/14
44%7/16
All
61%64/105
40%43/108

ULM

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%14/22
45%9/20
2
58%11/19
45%10/22
3
52%11/21
21%3/14
4
59%10/17
23%3/13
5
77%10/13
41%7/17
6
56%9/16
47%9/19
All
60%65/108
39%41/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#MARSH-LA MONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LA MONLA MONKillTatum Clayset Briana Raney+1.9
21-1LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
31-2MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+1.5
42-2LA MONMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
52-3MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+1.5
62-4LA MONLA MONAttack errMaddie Smith+2.1
73-4LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
84-4MARSHMARSHAttack errAniya Hall+1.9
94-5MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+1.6
104-6LA MONLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+2.2
115-6LA MONMARSH×4Attack errAbby Cunningham+1.6
126-6MARSHMARSH×4KillMaddie Smithset Logan Henderson+2.1
137-6MARSHMARSH×4KillLogan Hendersonset Maya Hunt+2.0
148-6MARSHMARSH×4Bad setMorgan Howard+1.8
158-7MARSHLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+1.4
168-8LA MONLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+2.1
179-8LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+1.6
1810-8MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+2.0
1910-9MARSHLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Aniya Hall+1.5
2011-9LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+1.5
2111-10MARSHLA MON×4KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.6
2211-11LA MONLA MON×4AceULM+2.3
2311-12LA MONLA MON×4Attack errEmma Barnett+2.6
2411-13LA MONLA MON×4AceULMaced Maddie Smith+2.8
2512-13LA MONMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
2613-13MARSHMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
2713-14MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+2.2
2813-15LA MONLA MONBlockedCarys Kerrblk Aniya Hall+3.1
2914-15LA MONMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.1
3014-16MARSHLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+2.5
3115-16LA MONMARSHServe errULM+2.2
3215-17MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+2.7
3316-17LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Maya Hunt+2.3
3416-18MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+2.8
3516-19LA MONLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+3.6
3617-19LA MONMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Maya Hunt+2.1
3717-20MARSHLA MONBlockedEmma Barnettblk Tatum Clay, Abby Cunningham+2.9
3818-20LA MONMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Maya Hunt+2.1
3918-21MARSHLA MONAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+3.1
4018-22LA MONLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+3.2
4119-22LA MONMARSHServe errULM+1.4
4219-23MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+2.4
4320-23LA MONMARSHAttack errKenzie Behl+1.1
4420-24MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+2.2
4521-24LA MONMARSH×3Attack errZharia Alleyne+0.6
4622-24MARSHMARSH×3AceMarshallaced Aniya Hall+1.9
4723-24MARSHMARSH×3BlockedAniya Hallblk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly+4.0
4823-25MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+7.5
Set 2
10-1MARSHLA MONAttack errEmma Barnett+2.2
20-2LA MONLA MONAceULM+3.0
31-2LA MONMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.1
41-3MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+2.4
52-3LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.2
62-4MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.4
73-4LA MONMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+2.2
84-4MARSHMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Maya Hunt+2.9
94-5MARSHLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+2.4
104-6LA MONLA MONAttack errMaddie Smith+3.3
115-6LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre+2.3
126-6MARSHMARSHKillLogan Henderson+3.1
136-7MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Eden Pietrzak+2.6
146-8LA MONLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Eden Pietrzak+3.5
157-8LA MONMARSHServe errULM+2.5
168-8MARSHMARSHBlockedGrace Troxellblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Logan Henderson+3.3
178-9MARSHLA MONAttack errEmma Barnett+2.7
189-9LA MONMARSHServe errULM+2.5
1910-9MARSHMARSHAttack errAniya Hall+3.2
2010-10MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+2.6
2111-10LA MONMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+2.5
2211-11MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+2.7
2312-11LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
2412-12MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+2.8
2513-12LA MONMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
2613-13MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+2.9
2714-13LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Maya Hunt+2.9
2814-14MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+3.1
2914-15LA MONLA MONAttack errLogan Henderson+4.5
3015-15LA MONMARSHBlockedKenzie Behlblk Emma Barnett, Marae Reilly+3.3
3115-16MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+3.7
3216-16LA MONMARSHServe errULM+3.4
3316-17MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+3.9
3417-17LA MONMARSHServe errULM+3.7
3517-18MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+4.2
3618-18LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+3.9
3718-19MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+4.5
3819-19LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+4.2
3919-20MARSHLA MONBlockedMaddie Smithblk Zharia Alleyne, Abby Cunningham+5.0
4019-21LA MONLA MONKillGrace Troxell+6.8
4120-21LA MONMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+4.2
4220-22MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+5.9
4321-22LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+4.5
4421-23MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+6.7
4522-23LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Beatrice Ciccarelli+4.7
4623-23MARSHMARSHAttack errAniya Hall+9.2
4723-24MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Grace Troxell+9.6
4823-25LA MONLA MONBlockedCarys Kerrblk Morgan Howard, Zharia Alleyne+14.2
Set 3
10-1LA MONLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+2.7
21-1LA MONMARSHBlockedAniya Hallblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Logan Henderson+1.9
32-1MARSHMARSHBad setEden Pietrzak+2.4
42-2MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+2.0
53-2LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
64-2MARSHMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.3
74-3MARSHLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.8
85-3LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Barnett+1.8
96-3MARSHMARSHKillLia Beverly+2.1
106-4MARSHLA MONBad setMaya Hunt+1.6
117-4LA MONMARSH×3Serve errULM+1.7
128-4MARSHMARSH×3AceMarshallaced Eden Pietrzak+1.9
139-4MARSHMARSH×3Attack errAbby Cunningham+1.6
149-5MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+1.1
1510-5LA MONMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+1.2
1611-5MARSHMARSHAttack errTatum Clay+1.3
1711-6MARSHLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Eden Pietrzak+0.8
1811-7LA MONLA MONBad setMaya Hunt+1.4
1912-7LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+1.2
2013-7MARSHMARSHAttack errGrace Troxell+1.3
2113-8MARSHLA MON×3Serve errMarshall+0.8
2213-9LA MONLA MON×3AceULMaced Maddie Smith+1.4
2313-10LA MONLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.9
2414-10LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.6
2515-10MARSHMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
2615-11MARSHLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.1
2716-11LA MONMARSHBad setAniya Hall+1.3
2816-12MARSHLA MONBlockedMaddie Smithblk Kenzie Behl, Zharia Alleyne+1.1
2917-12LA MONMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.3
3017-13MARSHLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+1.0
3118-13LA MONMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+1.3
3218-14MARSHLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Abby Cunningham+1.0
3319-14LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+1.3
3419-15MARSHLA MON×5KillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.9
3519-16LA MONLA MON×5AceULM+1.9
3619-17LA MONLA MON×5Attack errLia Beverly+2.8
3719-18LA MONLA MON×5Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+3.9
3819-19LA MONLA MON×5KillKenzie Behlset Briana Raney+5.1
3920-19LA MONMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+4.1
4021-19MARSHMARSHAttack errGrace Troxell+5.0
4121-20MARSHLA MONBlockedLogan Hendersonblk Tatum Clay, Grace Troxell+3.3
4221-21LA MONLA MONAttack errEmma Barnett+6.1
4322-21LA MONMARSHServe errULM+5.2
4423-21MARSHMARSHAttack errKenzie Behl+6.2
4523-22MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+3.5
4624-22LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+5.4
4725-22MARSHMARSHBlockedAniya Hallblk Marae Reilly, Logan Henderson+3.7
Set 4
11-0MARSHMARSHAttack errAniya Hall+3.6
21-1MARSHLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+2.9
31-2LA MONLA MON×3AceULMaced Emma Sayre+4.1
41-3LA MONLA MON×3AceULMaced Emma Barnett+4.4
52-3LA MONMARSH×7KillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+3.1
63-3MARSHMARSH×7KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+4.0
74-3MARSHMARSH×7Attack errZharia Alleyne+3.9
85-3MARSHMARSH×7AceMarshallaced Briana Raney+3.6
96-3MARSHMARSH×7BlockedKenzie Behlblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Maddie Smith+3.2
107-3MARSHMARSH×7KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
118-3MARSHMARSH×7BlockedZharia Alleyneblk Beatrice Ciccarelli+2.3
128-4MARSHLA MONServe errMarshall+1.6
139-4LA MONMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
1410-4MARSHMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
1511-4MARSHMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
1611-5MARSHLA MONAttack errLogan Henderson+0.9
1712-5LA MONMARSHServe errULM+1.1
1812-6MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.9
1913-6LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Maya Hunt+1.0
2013-7MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.8
2113-8LA MONLA MONAttack errLilly Howell+1.5
2214-8LA MONMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+1.4
2315-8MARSHMARSH×3KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Maya Hunt+1.3
2416-8MARSHMARSH×3BlockedKenzie Behlblk Beatrice Ciccarelli+0.9
2516-9MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+0.5
2617-9LA MONMARSHBad setTatum Clay+0.6
2717-10MARSHLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+0.4
2817-11LA MONLA MONAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+0.8
2918-11LA MONMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
3018-12MARSHLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+0.6
3118-13LA MONLA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+1.2
3218-14LA MONLA MON×3AceULM+1.9
3319-14LA MONMARSH×3KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
3420-14MARSHMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.6
3521-14MARSHMARSH×3Bad setMorgan Howard+0.9
3621-15MARSHLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.3
3722-15LA MONMARSHAttack errAbby Cunningham+0.5
3822-16MARSHLA MON×3KillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+0.2
3922-17LA MONLA MON×3BlockedMaddie Smithblk Tatum Clay, Abby Cunningham+0.6
4022-18LA MONLA MON×3KillGrace Troxellset Eden Pietrzak+1.2
4123-18LA MONMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Maya Hunt+1.5
4223-19MARSHLA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+0.7
4324-19LA MONMARSHKillLilly Howellset Maya Hunt+1.2
4425-19MARSHMARSHAceMarshall+0.6
Set 5
10-1MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+6.6
21-1LA MONMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+6.1
31-2MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+6.9
42-2LA MONMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+6.4
53-2MARSHMARSH×3BlockedAniya Hallblk Marae Reilly, Logan Henderson+8.2
64-2MARSHMARSH×3Attack errAniya Hall+7.6
74-3MARSHLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+5.8
84-4LA MONLA MON×3Attack errMaddie Smith+8.9
94-5LA MONLA MON×3KillGrace Troxellset Tatum Clay+10.1
105-5LA MONMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+7.3
116-5MARSHMARSHAttack errKenzie Behl+9.6
126-6MARSHLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+7.7
136-7LA MONLA MONAttack errCarys Kerr+11.4
147-7LA MONMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+8.2
157-8MARSHLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+9.5
167-9LA MONLA MONBlockedMarae Reillyblk Zharia Alleyne+13.0
178-9LA MONMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+8.5
189-9MARSHMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+12.6
199-10MARSHLA MONKillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+11.2
2010-10LA MONMARSHServe errULM+10.3
2111-10MARSHMARSHBlockedAbby Cunninghamblk Emma Barnett+14.3
2211-11MARSHLA MON×5BlockedEmma Barnettblk Abby Cunningham+11.2
2311-12LA MONLA MON×5KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+18.2
2411-13LA MONLA MON×5Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+19.4
2511-14LA MONLA MON×5KillAniya Hallset Abby Cunningham+15.5
2611-15LA MONLA MON×5KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+6.9

Score shown after each rally, Marshall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).