FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayACC

3:0

HomeASUN

Duke def. Queens (NC) 3–0

(25-13, 25-14, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DUKE	25	25	25	3
QUENNC	13	14	20	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

QUENNC above 50 · DUKE below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Duke — set 1, DUKE 4-2 QUENNC. Duke ace on Emma Norris. QUENNC win probability 11% → 10%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DUKE 88.6%11.4% QUENNC

Duke wins

3-0

42.2%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.8%

Queens (NC) wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.5%

3-2

6.3%

DUKE break %: 46.4% vs this opp
QUENNC break %: 37.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
DUKE serverAce+1.1%
Duke ace on Emma Norris
Set 1 · DUKE 4-2 QUENNC · DUKE 89% → 90%
02
Ashby ZubchevichKill+0.9%
Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Tilley Collins)
Set 1 · DUKE 5-2 QUENNC · DUKE 90% → 91%
03
Camryn TeasleyKill+0.9%
Kill by Camryn Teasley (set by Megan Kelly)
Set 1 · DUKE 2-2 QUENNC · QUENNC 11% → 12%
04
DUKE serverService error+0.9%
Duke service error
Set 1 · DUKE 1-1 QUENNC · QUENNC 11% → 11%
05
Avery HamlinKill+0.8%
Kill by Avery Hamlin (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 1 · DUKE 3-2 QUENNC · DUKE 88% → 89%
06
Taylor WilliamsKill+0.8%
Kill by Taylor Williams (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 1 · DUKE 2-1 QUENNC · DUKE 89% → 89%
07
Zoe Gillen-MalveauxKill+0.8%
Kill by Zoe Gillen-Malveaux (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 1 · DUKE 1-0 QUENNC · DUKE 89% → 89%
08
Taylor WilliamsKill+0.8%
Kill by Taylor Williams (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 2 · DUKE 1-0 QUENNC · DUKE 94% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Dukeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Taylor WilliamsOH	3	12	4	25	.320	0	2	0	3	0	2	1	15
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	3	13	3	28	.357	1	1	0	6	0	1	0.5	14.5
5Breonna GossMB	3	7	1	13	.462	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	9
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	3	8	0	9	.889	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
23Nikki QuinnS	3	1	0	2	.500	34	3	3	7	0	0	0	4
4Kyndal GanoeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
12Avery HamlinOH	3	7	1	10	.600	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	8
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	11	0	0	0	0
8Nataly MoravecOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	9	87	.448	40	8	7	32	1	6	3	75

Queens (NC)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Elizabeth LaysonOH	3	5	2	18	.167	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	1	7
4Callie DeSchryverOH	3	6	2	20	.200	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	6
8Emma NorrisOH	3	4	1	12	.250	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	1	5
15Naomi ColeOH	3	5	4	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
3Megan KellyS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Camryn TeasleyMB	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Layni TobiasMB	3	4	2	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
22Marlee CookS	3	1	0	4	.250	11	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
17Destiny WigginsL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Tilley CollinsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	2	0	0	0	0
11Lydia ChambersMB	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
6Tyler PelusoS	2	0	0	0	–	9	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
5Ella HaleOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	13	84	.190	26	1	4	26	8	1	4	3	47

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 DUKE · QUENNC 3

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 5 DUKEQUENNC 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 8 DUKEQUENNC 2

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 DUKEQUENNC 3

Bars above the line = Queens (NC) leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	44%4/9
2	78%7/9	0%0/7
3	100%7/7	67%14/21
4	64%7/11	59%10/17
5	83%5/6	44%4/9
6	80%4/5	60%6/10
All	76%37/49	52%38/73

Queens (NC)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	40%4/10
2	58%7/12	22%2/9
3	27%7/26	13%1/8
4	75%6/8	30%3/10
5	36%4/11	25%2/8
6	67%4/6	0%0/4
All	48%35/73	24%12/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

122 rallies

Rally log

#	DUKE-QUENNC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
2	1-1	DUKE	QUENNC	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.9
3	2-1	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
4	2-2	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Camryn Teasley	set Megan Kelly	+0.9
5	3-2	QUENNC	DUKE×5	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
6	4-2	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	DUKE server	aced Emma Norris	+1.1
7	5-2	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Tilley Collins	+0.9
8	6-2	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Megan Kelly	+0.8
9	7-2	DUKE	DUKE×5	Bad set	Megan Kelly		+0.6
10	7-3	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Elizabeth Layson	set Megan Kelly	+0.4
11	7-4	QUENNC	QUENNC	Kill	Elizabeth Layson	set Marlee Cook	+0.7
12	8-4	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Breonna Goss	+0.6
13	9-4	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Marlee Cook	+0.6
14	9-5	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Elizabeth Layson	set Emma Norris	+0.4
15	10-5	QUENNC	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
16	11-5	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
17	12-5	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Destiny Wiggins		+0.3
18	12-6	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Layni Tobias	set Marlee Cook	+0.2
19	13-6	QUENNC	DUKE	Attack err	Naomi Cole		+0.2
20	13-7	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Marlee Cook		+0.2
21	14-7	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
22	14-8	DUKE	QUENNC	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.2
23	15-8	QUENNC	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
24	16-8	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Megan Kelly	+0.2
25	17-8	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.1
26	18-8	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
27	19-8	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	DUKE server	aced Team	+0.0
28	19-9	DUKE	QUENNC	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+0.0
29	20-9	QUENNC	DUKE×4	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.0
30	21-9	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Tilley Collins	+0.0
31	22-9	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	DUKE server	aced Team	+0.0
32	23-9	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.0
33	23-10	DUKE	QUENNC×3	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Elizabeth Layson	+0.0
34	23-11	QUENNC	QUENNC×3	Kill	Elizabeth Layson	set Tilley Collins	+0.0
35	23-12	QUENNC	QUENNC×3	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Layni Tobias, Emma Norris	+0.0
36	24-12	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.0
37	24-13	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Layni Tobias	set Marlee Cook	+0.0
38	25-13	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
2	1-1	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Callie DeSchryver	set Marlee Cook	+0.6
3	2-1	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
4	2-2	DUKE	QUENNC	Attack err	Taylor Williams		+0.6
5	3-2	QUENNC	DUKE×8	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
6	4-2	DUKE	DUKE×8	Ace	DUKE server	aced Tilley Collins	+0.7
7	5-2	DUKE	DUKE×8	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
8	6-2	DUKE	DUKE×8	Ace	DUKE server	aced Callie DeSchryver	+0.5
9	7-2	DUKE	DUKE×8	Attack err	Camryn Teasley		+0.4
10	8-2	DUKE	DUKE×8	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
11	9-2	DUKE	DUKE×8	Bad set	Naomi Cole		+0.2
12	10-2	DUKE	DUKE×8	Attack err	Callie DeSchryver		+0.2
13	10-3	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Naomi Cole	set Tyler Peluso	+0.1
14	11-3	QUENNC	DUKE	Serve err	QUENNC server		+0.1
15	11-4	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Camryn Teasley	set Tyler Peluso	+0.1
16	12-4	QUENNC	DUKE	Attack err	Elizabeth Layson		+0.1
17	12-5	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Emma Norris	set Tyler Peluso	+0.1
18	13-5	QUENNC	DUKE	Attack err	Emma Norris	blk Ashby Zubchevich, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+0.1
19	14-5	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Layni Tobias		+0.1
20	14-6	DUKE	QUENNC	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.0
21	14-7	QUENNC	QUENNC	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+0.1
22	15-7	QUENNC	DUKE×3	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
23	16-7	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
24	17-7	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Tilley Collins	+0.0
25	17-8	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Callie DeSchryver	set Avery Hamlin	+0.0
26	17-9	QUENNC	QUENNC	Attack err	Taylor Williams		+0.0
27	18-9	QUENNC	DUKE	Attack err	Layni Tobias		+0.0
28	18-10	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Naomi Cole	set Marlee Cook	+0.0
29	18-11	QUENNC	QUENNC	Kill	Callie DeSchryver	set Tyler Peluso	+0.1
30	19-11	QUENNC	DUKE×3	Serve err	QUENNC server		+0.1
31	20-11	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
32	21-11	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Naomi Cole	blk Breonna Goss, Taylor Williams	+0.0
33	21-12	DUKE	QUENNC	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.0
34	22-12	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.0
35	22-13	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Naomi Cole	set Tyler Peluso	+0.0
36	22-14	QUENNC	QUENNC	Attack err	Taylor Williams		+0.0
37	23-14	QUENNC	DUKE×3	Attack err	Elizabeth Layson		+0.0
38	24-14	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Emma Norris	+0.0
39	25-14	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Avery Hamlin	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	QUENNC	QUENNC×3	Attack err	Taylor Williams	blk Emma Norris, Layni Tobias	+0.4
2	0-2	QUENNC	QUENNC×3	Kill	Emma Norris	set Destiny Wiggins	+0.5
3	0-3	QUENNC	QUENNC×3	Kill	Layni Tobias		+0.5
4	1-3	QUENNC	DUKE	Serve err	QUENNC server		+0.3
5	1-4	DUKE	QUENNC	Attack err	Breonna Goss		+0.4
6	2-4	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
7	3-4	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Breonna Goss	+0.5
8	3-5	DUKE	QUENNC	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.4
9	4-5	QUENNC	DUKE×4	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
10	5-5	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
11	6-5	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
12	7-5	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Naomi Cole		+0.4
13	7-6	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Naomi Cole	set Marlee Cook	+0.3
14	8-6	QUENNC	DUKE	Serve err	QUENNC server		+0.3
15	9-6	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
16	9-7	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Callie DeSchryver	set Destiny Wiggins	+0.3
17	9-8	QUENNC	QUENNC	Bad set	Taylor Williams		+0.4
18	10-8	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
19	11-8	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+0.4
20	11-9	DUKE	QUENNC	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.3
21	12-9	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
22	12-10	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Emma Norris	set Tyler Peluso	+0.3
23	13-10	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
24	13-11	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Elizabeth Layson	set Marlee Cook	+0.3
25	13-12	QUENNC	QUENNC	Ace	QUENNC server	aced Team	+0.5
26	14-12	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Nikki Quinn		+0.4
27	14-13	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Emma Norris	set Marlee Cook	+0.4
28	15-13	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
29	15-14	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Callie DeSchryver	set Marlee Cook	+0.4
30	16-14	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
31	16-15	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Lydia Chambers	set Tyler Peluso	+0.4
32	17-15	QUENNC	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
33	18-15	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Elizabeth Layson	+0.5
34	19-15	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Naomi Cole		+0.4
35	19-16	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Naomi Cole	set Tyler Peluso	+0.2
36	20-16	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
37	21-16	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
38	21-17	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Lydia Chambers	set Tyler Peluso	+0.1
39	22-17	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
40	22-18	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Layni Tobias	set Marlee Cook	+0.1
41	23-18	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
42	23-19	DUKE	QUENNC	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.1
43	24-19	QUENNC	DUKE	Attack err	Callie DeSchryver	blk Taylor Williams, Breonna Goss	+0.1
44	24-20	DUKE	QUENNC	Kill	Callie DeSchryver	set Marlee Cook	+0.0
45	25-20	QUENNC	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Duke first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.