Tulane def. Duke 3–0
(25-23, 25-23, 26-24)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 23 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| TULANE | 25 | 25 | 26 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 7.4% to Tulane — set 1, DUKE 22-24 TULANE. Taylor Williams stuffed by Riley Tucker & Lauryn Mack. TULANE win probability 64% → 71%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Duke wins
Tulane wins
- DUKE break %
- 38.9% vs this opp
- TULANE break %
- 40.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Taylor WilliamsAttack error+7.4%
Taylor Williams stuffed by Riley Tucker & Lauryn Mack
Set 1 · DUKE 22-24 TULANE · TULANE 64% → 71%
- 02
- 03Lauryn MackKill+6.3%
Kill by Lauryn Mack (set by Charlee Solomon)
Set 1 · DUKE 23-25 TULANE · TULANE 69% → 75%
- 04
- 05
- 06Chloe ListKill+5.6%
Kill by Chloe List (set by Dayla Ortiz)
Set 3 · DUKE 24-25 TULANE · TULANE 89% → 95%
- 07Nataly MoravecAttack error+5.4%
Attack error by Nataly Moravec
Set 3 · DUKE 24-26 TULANE · TULANE 95% → 100%
- 08Charlee SolomonKill+5.3%
Kill by Charlee Solomon (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 1 · DUKE 22-23 TULANE · TULANE 58% → 64%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13 | 3 | 38 | .263 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 11 | .545 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .154 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | .000 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 16 | .188 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 18 | 112 | .205 | 39 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 70 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 30 | .133 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .353 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 13 | .462 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 13 | 4 | 30 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 13 | 106 | .274 | 39 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 76 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
23-25
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
24-26
Bars above the line = Tulane leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Duke
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 90%9/10 | 50%7/14 |
| 2 | 60%9/15 | 36%5/14 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 25%3/12 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 56%9/16 |
| 5 | 67%6/9 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 33%6/18 | 14%1/7 |
| All | 57%43/75 | 38%27/71 |
Tulane
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%9/17 | 38%5/13 |
| 2 | 82%9/11 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 47%8/17 | 43%6/14 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 67%6/9 | 63%10/16 |
| All | 62%44/71 | 43%32/75 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
146 rallies
Rally log
| # | DUKE-TULANE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DUKE | TULANE×4 | Attack err | Breonna Goss | blk Lauryn Mack | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TULANE | TULANE×4 | Attack err | Breonna Goss | +2.6 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | TULANE | TULANE×4 | Ace | TULANE server | aced Team | +2.6 |
| 5 | 1-4 | TULANE | TULANE×4 | Bad set | Nikki Quinn | +2.4 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +1.5 |
| 7 | 2-5 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +1.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | TULANE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Mailinh Godschall | +1.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Ace | DUKE server | aced Team | +2.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +2.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DUKE | TULANE | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | TULANE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +2.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +1.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +1.8 |
| 16 | 7-9 | DUKE | TULANE×4 | Attack err | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | blk Madison McLin | +1.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | TULANE | TULANE×4 | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | blk Riley Tucker, Charlee Solomon | +2.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | TULANE | TULANE×4 | Ace | TULANE server | aced Team | +2.4 |
| 19 | 7-12 | TULANE | TULANE×4 | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +2.0 |
| 20 | 8-12 | TULANE | DUKE | Serve err | TULANE server | +1.1 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +2.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | DUKE | TULANE | Serve err | DUKE server | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | TULANE | TULANE | Kill | Riley Tucker | set Charlee Solomon | +2.0 |
| 24 | 10-14 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +1.0 |
| 25 | 10-15 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Riley Tucker | set Charlee Solomon | +1.3 |
| 26 | 11-15 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Kyndal Ganoe | +1.0 |
| 27 | 12-15 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | DUKE server | aced Team | +2.1 |
| 28 | 12-16 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +1.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +1.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +1.8 |
| 31 | 13-18 | TULANE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +2.0 |
| 32 | 14-18 | TULANE | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Lauryn Mack | +0.9 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Madison McLin | +2.0 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Madison McLin | +2.8 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +2.4 |
| 36 | 17-19 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +1.9 |
| 37 | 18-19 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +3.9 |
| 38 | 18-20 | DUKE | TULANE | Serve err | DUKE server | +3.1 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | TULANE | TULANE | Kill | Avery Burks | set Charlee Solomon | +4.0 |
| 40 | 19-21 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +1.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | DUKE server | aced Team | +4.2 |
| 42 | 20-22 | DUKE | TULANE | Serve err | DUKE server | +3.7 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +2.9 |
| 44 | 22-22 | DUKE | DUKE | Attack err | Lauryn Mack | +6.5 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Charlee Solomon | set Nikki Quinn | +5.3 |
| 46 | 22-24 | TULANE | TULANE | Attack err | Taylor Williams | blk Riley Tucker, Lauryn Mack | +7.4 |
| 47 | 23-24 | TULANE | DUKE | Attack err | Lauryn Mack | +2.5 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +6.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | DUKE server | aced Avery Burks | +2.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | +2.5 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Avery Burks | set Charlee Solomon | +1.5 |
| 4 | 3-1 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | +1.7 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | DUKE | TULANE | Serve err | DUKE server | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +1.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | DUKE server | aced Team | +2.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +1.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +1.7 |
| 10 | 7-3 | DUKE | DUKE | Attack err | Lauryn Mack | +2.4 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +1.4 |
| 12 | 8-4 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Ashby Zubchevich | +1.6 |
| 13 | 8-5 | DUKE | TULANE×3 | Attack err | Avery Hamlin | blk Chloe List, Madison McLin | +1.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Ace | TULANE server | aced Team | +2.4 |
| 15 | 8-7 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Attack err | Avery Hamlin | +2.7 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | TULANE | DUKE | Serve err | TULANE server | +1.9 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Avery Burks | set Charlee Solomon | +1.8 |
| 18 | 10-8 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +2.0 |
| 19 | 11-8 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | DUKE server | aced Team | +2.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | DUKE | TULANE | Serve err | DUKE server | +1.7 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +2.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | DUKE | DUKE | Bad set | Charlee Solomon | +2.7 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | DUKE | TULANE×3 | Serve err | DUKE server | +1.4 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Kill | Chloe List | set Dayla Ortiz | +2.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +3.1 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | TULANE | DUKE | Serve err | TULANE server | +2.3 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Riley Tucker | set Charlee Solomon | +2.1 |
| 28 | 14-14 | TULANE | TULANE | Kill | Madison McLin | set Charlee Solomon | +3.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Mailinh Godschall | +2.5 |
| 30 | 16-14 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Taylor Williams | +3.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +2.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | TULANE | TULANE | Ace | TULANE server | aced Taylor Williams | +3.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +2.8 |
| 34 | 17-17 | DUKE | TULANE | Serve err | DUKE server | +2.7 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +2.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | DUKE | TULANE×5 | Kill | Avery Burks | set Charlee Solomon | +2.8 |
| 37 | 18-19 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Ace | TULANE server | aced Taylor Williams | +4.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +4.5 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Ace | TULANE server | aced Team | +3.7 |
| 40 | 18-22 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Attack err | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | +2.5 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | TULANE | DUKE | Serve err | TULANE server | +0.9 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | DUKE server | aced Team | +2.4 |
| 43 | 20-23 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Riley Tucker | set Charlee Solomon | +2.6 |
| 44 | 21-23 | TULANE | DUKE | Attack err | Avery Burks | +1.4 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | DUKE | TULANE | Attack err | Taylor Williams | +2.6 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | TULANE | DUKE | Attack err | Lauryn Mack | blk Breonna Goss, Taylor Williams | +0.9 |
| 47 | 23-24 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | DUKE server | aced Team | +3.6 |
| 48 | 23-25 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Charlee Solomon | +5.8 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TULANE | DUKE | Serve err | TULANE server | +1.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +1.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +1.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TULANE | DUKE×4 | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +1.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Nikki Quinn | +1.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Nikki Quinn | +1.5 |
| 8 | 6-2 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Attack err | Chloe List | blk Avery Hamlin, Breonna Goss | +1.4 |
| 9 | 6-3 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +0.8 |
| 10 | 7-3 | TULANE | DUKE | Attack err | Chloe List | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Madison McLin | set Charlee Solomon | +0.8 |
| 12 | 8-4 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Mailinh Godschall | +1.0 |
| 13 | 8-5 | DUKE | TULANE×5 | Serve err | DUKE server | +0.8 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Attack err | Nataly Moravec | +1.5 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Attack err | Nataly Moravec | +1.6 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Kill | Avery Burks | set Charlee Solomon | +1.7 |
| 17 | 8-9 | TULANE | TULANE×5 | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +1.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | TULANE | DUKE | Serve err | TULANE server | +1.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Nikki Quinn | +1.9 |
| 20 | 10-10 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Avery Burks | set Charlee Solomon | +1.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +1.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +1.9 |
| 23 | 12-11 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Riley Tucker | set Charlee Solomon | +1.2 |
| 24 | 13-11 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +1.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | DUKE | TULANE×3 | Serve err | DUKE server | +1.2 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Kill | Madison McLin | set Charlee Solomon | +2.0 |
| 27 | 13-14 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +2.1 |
| 28 | 14-14 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +1.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | DUKE | DUKE | Attack err | Chloe List | +2.3 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +1.5 |
| 31 | 16-15 | TULANE | DUKE | Attack err | Chloe List | blk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin | +1.6 |
| 32 | 16-16 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Chloe List | set Charlee Solomon | +1.5 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TULANE | TULANE | Kill | Avery Burks | set Charlee Solomon | +2.5 |
| 34 | 17-17 | TULANE | DUKE | Serve err | TULANE server | +1.6 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Charlee Solomon | +1.7 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Nikki Quinn | +1.7 |
| 37 | 18-19 | DUKE | TULANE | Attack err | Taylor Williams | +1.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | TULANE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +1.8 |
| 39 | 20-19 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Mailinh Godschall | +3.1 |
| 40 | 21-19 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Nikki Quinn | +3.1 |
| 41 | 21-20 | DUKE | TULANE | Kill | Riley Tucker | set Charlee Solomon | +1.7 |
| 42 | 22-20 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.3 |
| 43 | 22-21 | DUKE | TULANE×3 | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +1.7 |
| 44 | 22-22 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Attack err | Breonna Goss | +3.8 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Attack err | Avery Hamlin | blk Madison McLin | +4.6 |
| 46 | 23-23 | TULANE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.8 |
| 47 | 24-23 | DUKE | DUKE | Attack err | Lauryn Mack | +5.8 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | DUKE | TULANE×3 | Kill | Lauryn Mack | set Charlee Solomon | +3.8 |
| 49 | 24-25 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Kill | Chloe List | set Dayla Ortiz | +5.6 |
| 50 | 24-26 | TULANE | TULANE×3 | Attack err | Nataly Moravec | +5.4 | |
Score shown after each rally, Duke first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.