Duke vs Butler Volleyball: Duke Wins 3-1 (Sep 18, 2026)

Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

3:1

Duke won at Butler 3-1 (25-22, 28-26, 12-25, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Nataly Moravec and Ashby Zubchevich led Duke with 18 kills each; Butler's Chase Lemming had a match-high 28.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 18

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
DUKE	25	28	12	26	3
BUTLER	22	26	25	24	1

Win probability

Butler above 50 · Duke below

Biggest swing: 12.4% to Butler — set 4, DUKE 23-24 BUTLER. Butler ace on Nataly Moravec. BUTLER win probability 19% → 31%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DUKE 62.3%37.7% BUTLER

Duke wins

3-0

18.4%

3-1

23.8%

3-2

20.0%

Butler wins

3-0

8.0%

3-1

13.6%

3-2

16.1%

DUKE break %: 41.3% vs this opp
BUTLER break %: 39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
ButlerAce+12.4%
Butler ace on Nataly Moravec
Set 4 · DUKE 23-24 BUTLER · BUTLER 19% → 31%
02
Ashby ZubchevichKill+11.9%
Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 4 · DUKE 25-24 BUTLER · DUKE 77% → 89%
03
DukeAce+11.2%
Duke ace on Elise Ward
Set 4 · DUKE 26-24 BUTLER · DUKE 89% → 100%
04
Chase LemmingKill+8.9%
Kill by Chase Lemming (set by Ava Hunter)
Set 2 · DUKE 25-26 BUTLER · BUTLER 22% → 31%
05
DukeAce+8.6%
Duke ace on Marin Thaxton
Set 2 · DUKE 27-26 BUTLER · DUKE 75% → 84%
06
Chase LemmingAttack error+8.6%
Attack error by Chase Lemming
Set 2 · DUKE 24-23 BUTLER · DUKE 75% → 84%
07
Ashby ZubchevichKill+8.4%
Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 4 · DUKE 24-24 BUTLER · DUKE 69% → 77%
08
Zoe Gillen-Malveaux&Nikki QuinnBlock+8.1%
Chase Lemming stuffed by Zoe Gillen-Malveaux & Nikki Quinn
Set 2 · DUKE 28-26 BUTLER · DUKE 84% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Dukeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Nataly MoravecOH	4	18	3	40	.375	0	2	3	11	4	0	0	0	20
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	4	18	6	38	.316	1	2	5	4	1	0	0	0	20
12Avery HamlinOH	4	4	2	17	.118	1	2	3	5	0	0	2	1	7
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	4	2	4	11	-.182	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	5	7
5Breonna GossMB	4	4	1	12	.250	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
23Nikki QuinnS	4	1	1	3	.000	38	0	3	3	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	4	13	2	0	0	0	1
19Alyce DonoghueL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Grace ThrowerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
22Charlotte GlassS	2	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
15Olivia WayneMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Carlyle JohnsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	17	122	.246	42	9	20	41	7	4	10	9	91

Butlerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Chase LemmingOH	4	28	5	48	.479	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	30
13Carly SlusserMB	4	6	2	15	.267	0	1	2	1	0	1	6	4	11
14Karen DutroMB	4	4	2	10	.200	1	1	2	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
10Maria NixOH	4	5	4	14	.071	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5
4Ava HunterS	4	1	0	2	.500	24	0	2	8	0	0	0	0	1
8Raegan DurbinOH	2	3	4	14	-.071	1	0	2	3	5	0	1	0.5	3.5
16Elise WardOH	4	4	3	10	.100	0	4	0	8	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
9Kaylee FinneganS	4	0	0	1	.000	19	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
5Jersey LoyerDS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	3	22	0	0	0	0	0
12Lucy GrayOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1
6Aesha VogtDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18Marin ThaxtonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
11Sawyer JonesOH	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
Team totals		53	20	119	.277	49	7	14	53	9	2	18	11	97

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 DUKE · BUTLER 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 6 DUKEBUTLER 4

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 5 DUKEBUTLER 4

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 DUKEBUTLER 6

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 3 DUKEBUTLER 3

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%11/26	36%5/14
2	73%11/15	39%7/18
3	56%10/18	17%2/12
4	60%9/15	55%11/20
5	50%8/16	36%5/14
6	88%7/8	42%5/12
All	57%56/98	39%35/90

Butler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	50%9/18
2	71%10/14	50%11/22
3	56%10/18	33%5/15
4	60%9/15	33%5/15
5	67%8/12	53%9/17
6	47%7/15	27%3/11
All	61%55/90	43%42/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#	DUKE-BUTLER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+2.5
2	1-1	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
3	1-2	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+1.8
4	2-2	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
5	2-3	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+1.8
6	3-3	BUTLER	DUKE×6	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
7	4-3	DUKE	DUKE×6	Kill	Nataly Moravec		+2.6
8	5-3	DUKE	DUKE×6	Attack err	Maria Nix		+2.5
9	6-3	DUKE	DUKE×6	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+2.3
10	7-3	DUKE	DUKE×6	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
11	8-3	DUKE	DUKE×6	Ace	Duke	aced Raegan Durbin	+1.8
12	8-4	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.0
13	8-5	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser	+1.9
14	9-5	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nikki Quinn	set Ashby Zubchevich	+1.4
15	9-6	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.3
16	9-7	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Carly Slusser, Raegan Durbin	+2.3
17	10-7	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
18	10-8	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.6
19	11-8	BUTLER	DUKE×4	Serve err	Butler		+1.8
20	12-8	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+2.3
21	13-8	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.9
22	14-8	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
23	14-9	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+0.7
24	15-9	BUTLER	DUKE	Bad set	Karen Dutro		+0.9
25	16-9	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.0
26	16-10	DUKE	BUTLER×3	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+0.4
27	16-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+1.0
28	16-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.4
29	17-12	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.3
30	17-13	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Ava Hunter	+0.9
31	18-13	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+1.2
32	19-13	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+1.2
33	19-14	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+0.5
34	20-14	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+0.8
35	20-15	DUKE	BUTLER×4	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.4
36	20-16	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Carly Slusser, Sawyer Jones	+1.1
37	20-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Nataly Moravec	+1.7
38	20-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Carly Slusser		+2.7
39	21-18	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
40	21-19	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.8
41	22-19	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.6
42	22-20	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Sawyer Jones	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.7
43	22-21	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Ava Hunter	+4.2
44	23-21	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+4.0
45	24-21	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Raegan Durbin	+4.0
46	24-22	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Raegan Durbin	set Ava Hunter	+1.0
47	25-22	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+2.4
Set 2
1	0-1	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Ava Hunter	set Raegan Durbin	+1.5
2	1-1	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+1.5
3	1-2	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+1.6
4	2-2	BUTLER	DUKE×3	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
5	3-2	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Carly Slusser	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+2.3
6	4-2	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Avery Hamlin	+2.2
7	4-3	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Ava Hunter	+1.4
8	5-3	BUTLER	DUKE	Attack err	Raegan Durbin		+1.5
9	5-4	DUKE	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.5
10	5-5	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Nataly Moravec	+2.4
11	5-6	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Attack err	Nikki Quinn		+2.5
12	6-6	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
13	6-7	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+1.8
14	7-7	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+1.7
15	8-7	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Mailinh Godschall	+2.6
16	8-8	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+1.7
17	9-8	BUTLER	DUKE	Attack err	Maria Nix		+1.8
18	9-9	DUKE	BUTLER×4	Serve err	Duke		+1.8
19	9-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Breonna Goss		+2.9
20	9-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Karen Dutro, Chase Lemming	+2.9
21	9-12	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Karen Dutro	+2.8
22	10-12	BUTLER	DUKE×4	Blocked	Karen Dutro	blk Breonna Goss	+1.7
23	11-12	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec		+2.8
24	12-12	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	Duke	aced Raegan Durbin	+3.0
25	13-12	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+3.1
26	13-13	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+2.1
27	14-13	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+2.1
28	14-14	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+2.2
29	15-14	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+2.2
30	15-15	DUKE	BUTLER	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Sawyer Jones, Carly Slusser	+2.3
31	16-15	BUTLER	DUKE×5	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
32	17-15	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+3.4
33	18-15	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke	aced Raegan Durbin	+2.9
34	19-15	DUKE	DUKE×5	Blocked	Raegan Durbin	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+2.3
35	20-15	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke	aced Raegan Durbin	+1.6
36	20-16	DUKE	BUTLER×3	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.6
37	20-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Lucy Gray, Karen Dutro	+1.5
38	20-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Mailinh Godschall	+2.4
39	21-18	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.2
40	21-19	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+1.6
41	22-19	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
42	22-20	DUKE	BUTLER×4	Serve err	Duke		+1.5
43	22-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+3.7
44	22-22	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+5.6
45	22-23	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+7.2
46	23-23	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+4.5
47	24-23	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Chase Lemming		+8.6
48	24-24	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+5.7
49	25-24	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+5.7
50	25-25	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+5.7
51	25-26	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+8.9
52	26-26	BUTLER	DUKE×3	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nataly Moravec	+6.0
53	27-26	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke	aced Marin Thaxton	+8.6
54	28-26	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nikki Quinn	+8.1
Set 3
1	0-1	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro		+1.4
2	0-2	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.4
3	0-3	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Ace	Butler	aced Mailinh Godschall	+1.4
4	0-4	BUTLER	BUTLER×4	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	+1.3
5	1-4	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
6	2-4	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Chase Lemming	blk Avery Hamlin, Breonna Goss	+1.3
7	2-5	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+1.0
8	3-5	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+0.9
9	3-6	DUKE	BUTLER×6	Serve err	Duke		+1.0
10	3-7	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Chase Lemming		+1.4
11	3-8	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Chase Lemming		+1.3
12	3-9	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+1.1
13	3-10	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.9
14	3-11	BUTLER	BUTLER×6	Blocked	Avery Hamlin	blk Carly Slusser, Chase Lemming	+0.7
15	4-11	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+0.3
16	4-12	DUKE	BUTLER	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Chase Lemming	+0.5
17	4-13	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.5
18	5-13	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
19	5-14	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.3
20	6-14	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
21	6-15	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Kaylee Finnegan	+0.3
22	7-15	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+0.2
23	7-16	DUKE	BUTLER×3	Serve err	Duke		+0.3
24	7-17	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.2
25	7-18	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Karen Dutro	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
26	8-18	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	·
27	8-19	DUKE	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+0.1
28	8-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Ace	Butler	aced Ashby Zubchevich	·
29	8-21	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	·
30	9-21	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Avery Hamlin	·
31	9-22	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Ava Hunter	·
32	10-22	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	·
33	10-23	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	·
34	11-23	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec		·
35	12-23	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	·
36	12-24	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		·
37	12-25	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	·
Set 4
1	0-1	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Jersey Loyer	+2.1
2	1-1	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+2.0
3	1-2	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+2.2
4	2-2	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+2.1
5	2-3	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.2
6	3-3	BUTLER	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
7	4-3	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nikki Quinn	+3.2
8	5-3	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+3.1
9	5-4	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+2.0
10	6-4	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+2.1
11	6-5	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Jersey Loyer	+2.1
12	7-5	BUTLER	DUKE	Serve err	Butler		+2.2
13	7-6	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+2.1
14	7-7	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Nataly Moravec	+3.5
15	8-7	BUTLER	DUKE×3	Attack err	Maria Nix		+2.4
16	9-7	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke		+3.4
17	10-7	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke		+3.2
18	10-8	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Maria Nix	set Ava Hunter	+1.9
19	11-8	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.2
20	11-9	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+2.0
21	12-9	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+2.2
22	12-10	DUKE	BUTLER	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+2.0
23	13-10	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
24	13-11	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Carly Slusser	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.1
25	13-12	BUTLER	BUTLER	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Karen Dutro, Elise Ward	+3.7
26	14-12	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
27	14-13	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+2.6
28	15-13	BUTLER	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.8
29	16-13	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+3.8
30	17-13	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Karen Dutro		+3.1
31	17-14	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+1.6
32	18-14	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
33	18-15	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+1.6
34	18-16	BUTLER	BUTLER	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+3.3
35	19-16	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.8
36	19-17	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Ava Hunter	+2.2
37	20-17	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.9
38	20-18	DUKE	BUTLER×3	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+2.2
39	20-19	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Carly Slusser, Lucy Gray	+4.8
40	20-20	BUTLER	BUTLER×3	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Carly Slusser	+6.3
41	21-20	BUTLER	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+4.7
42	22-20	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Elise Ward		+6.7
43	22-21	DUKE	BUTLER	Serve err	Duke		+3.5
44	22-22	BUTLER	BUTLER	Kill	Chase Lemming	set Kaylee Finnegan	+7.8
45	23-22	BUTLER	DUKE	Blocked	Elise Ward	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nikki Quinn	+6.4
46	23-23	DUKE	BUTLER	Kill	Elise Ward	set Kaylee Finnegan	+6.1
47	23-24	BUTLER	BUTLER	Ace	Butler	aced Nataly Moravec	+12.4
48	24-24	BUTLER	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+8.4
49	25-24	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+11.9
50	26-24	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke	aced Elise Ward	+11.2

Score shown after each rally, Duke first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Duke def. Butler 3–1