Duke vs LIU Volleyball: LIU Wins 3-2 (Sep 19, 2026)

Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

2:3

LIU beat Duke 3-2 (23-25, 22-25, 25-21, 25-21, 15-11) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Sara Van gisteren led LIU with 20 kills; Duke's Nataly Moravec had a match-high 28.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
DUKE	25	25	21	21	11	2
LIU	23	22	25	25	15	3

Win probability

LIU above 50 · Duke below

Biggest swing: 17.7% to LIU — set 5, DUKE 10-12 LIU. Nataly Moravec stuffed by Sara Garcia & Sara Van gisteren. LIU win probability 55% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DUKE 80.7%19.3% LIU

Duke wins

3-0

32.2%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

18.1%

LIU wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.4%

3-2

9.8%

DUKE break %: 44.6% vs this opp
LIU break %: 38.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sara Garcia&Sara Van gisterenBlock+17.7%
Nataly Moravec stuffed by Sara Garcia & Sara Van gisteren
Set 5 · DUKE 10-12 LIU · LIU 55% → 73%
02
LIUAce+15.2%
LIU ace on Carlyle Johnson
Set 5 · DUKE 10-13 LIU · LIU 73% → 88%
03
Nataly MoravecKill+13.1%
Kill by Nataly Moravec (set by Carlyle Johnson)
Set 5 · DUKE 9-9 LIU · DUKE 45% → 58%
04
Bella CorreiaKill+11.9%
Kill by Bella Correia (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 5 · DUKE 10-11 LIU · LIU 43% → 55%
05
Bella CorreiaKill+11.8%
Kill by Bella Correia (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 5 · DUKE 5-8 LIU · LIU 59% → 71%
06
Nataly MoravecKill+11.6%
Kill by Nataly Moravec
Set 5 · DUKE 8-9 LIU · DUKE 33% → 45%
07
Sara Van gisterenKill+11.3%
Kill by Sara Van gisteren (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 5 · DUKE 11-14 LIU · LIU 82% → 93%
08
Sara Van gisterenKill+11.3%
Kill by Sara Van gisteren (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 5 · DUKE 4-6 LIU · LIU 46% → 57%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Dukeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Nataly MoravecOH	5	28	8	58	.345	1	0	4	7	2	0	3	1.5	29.5
12Avery HamlinOH	5	13	3	32	.313	0	4	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	17.5
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	5	15	2	25	.520	0	2	1	10	4	0	0	0	17
0Zoe Gillen-malveauxMB	5	4	2	8	.250	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	7
5Breonna GossMB	5	4	2	8	.250	1	1	2	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
23Nikki QuinnS	5	1	1	3	.000	53	1	2	6	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
14Carlyle JohnsonOH	5	2	1	5	.200	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	2
15Olivia WayneMB	5	1	1	5	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
22Charlotte GlassS	5	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	17	2	0	0	0	1
19Alyce DonoghueL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Grace ThrowerOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Kyndal GanoeL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Lauren IngramOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Riley CopenhaverOPP	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Sara LozanoOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Taylor WilliamsOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		69	20	145	.338	64	9	15	52	10	3	10	8	103

LIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sara Van gisterenOH	5	20	4	42	.381	0	5	1	7	0	0	7	3.5	28.5
13Bella CorreiaOH	5	13	4	30	.300	2	2	2	14	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
24Sara GarciaMB	5	11	1	20	.500	4	1	0	1	0	1	5	3.5	15.5
15Yasmeen MuhammadMB	5	10	2	16	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	3.5	13.5
3Mia Rojas-avilaOH	5	7	4	27	.111	1	1	2	4	4	1	1	1.5	9.5
7Dilara ElmaciogluS	5	2	1	3	.333	32	0	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
27Rodaina MohamedS	5	1	1	3	.000	10	1	1	3	0	0	2	1	3
11Anna LigartOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26Daniela De los santos castilloMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Miabella MusignacL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Neela FelibertyL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Reese TevesL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	11	4	0	0	0	0
10Sibana González acevedoOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		64	17	141	.333	55	10	8	49	9	2	24	14	110

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 DUKE · LIU 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 8 DUKELIU 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 DUKELIU 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 DUKELIU 3

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 DUKELIU 3

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 DUKELIU 3

Bars above the line = LIU leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	47%7/15
2	73%11/15	8%1/12
3	47%9/19	60%15/25
4	50%8/16	18%2/11
5	70%7/10	22%2/9
6	70%7/10	22%2/9
All	62%53/86	36%29/81

LIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	38%6/16
2	50%10/20	21%3/14
3	56%9/16	47%8/17
4	80%8/10	58%11/19
5	88%7/8	20%2/10
6	58%7/12	30%3/10
All	64%52/81	38%33/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#	DUKE-LIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin		+1.1
2	1-1	DUKE	LIU	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Bella Correia, Sara Garcia	+1.2
3	2-1	LIU	DUKE×8	Serve err	LIU		+1.2
4	3-1	DUKE	DUKE×8	Ace	Duke	aced Reese Teves	+1.6
5	4-1	DUKE	DUKE×8	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
6	5-1	DUKE	DUKE×8	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
7	6-1	DUKE	DUKE×8	Kill	Zoe Gillen-malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
8	7-1	DUKE	DUKE×8	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.8
9	8-1	DUKE	DUKE×8	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Breonna Goss	+0.6
10	9-1	DUKE	DUKE×8	Attack err	Sara Garcia		+0.4
11	9-2	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
12	9-3	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+0.5
13	10-3	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
14	10-4	DUKE	LIU	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Sara Van gisteren, Yasmeen Muhammad	+0.3
15	11-4	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
16	11-5	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.3
17	12-5	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
18	13-5	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Mia Rojas-avila	+0.4
19	13-6	DUKE	LIU×3	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
20	13-7	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Nikki Quinn	blk Sara Garcia	+0.4
21	13-8	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia		+0.6
22	14-8	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
23	15-8	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Reese Teves	+0.5
24	15-9	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.3
25	16-9	LIU	DUKE	Serve err	LIU		+0.4
26	16-10	DUKE	LIU	Attack err	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
27	16-11	LIU	LIU	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Sara Garcia, Sara Van gisteren	+0.6
28	17-11	LIU	DUKE	Blocked	Sara Van gisteren	blk Breonna Goss, Nataly Moravec	+0.5
29	18-11	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Rodaina Mohamed		+0.5
30	18-12	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
31	19-12	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
32	20-12	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Mia Rojas-avila	+0.2
33	20-13	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.1
34	20-14	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.2
35	20-15	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Nataly Moravec	+0.4
36	21-15	LIU	DUKE	Blocked	Mia Rojas-avila	blk Nikki Quinn, Zoe Gillen-malveaux	+0.4
37	21-16	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Rodaina Mohamed	set Bella Correia	+0.2
38	21-17	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU	aced Nataly Moravec	+0.6
39	22-17	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
40	22-18	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.3
41	23-18	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
42	23-19	DUKE	LIU×4	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
43	23-20	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+0.7
44	23-21	LIU	LIU×4	Blocked	Avery Hamlin	blk Sara Garcia, Sara Van gisteren	+1.5
45	23-22	LIU	LIU×4	Ace	LIU	aced Mailinh Godschall	+3.0
46	24-22	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+3.4
47	24-23	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Miabella Musignac	+1.9
48	25-23	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+4.3
Set 2
1	1-0	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Reese Teves	+1.2
2	1-1	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren		+0.9
3	2-1	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
4	2-2	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Rodaina Mohamed	+0.9
5	3-2	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.9
6	4-2	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Sara Van gisteren	blk Nataly Moravec, Zoe Gillen-malveaux	+1.2
7	4-3	DUKE	LIU×4	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Reese Teves	+0.9
8	4-4	LIU	LIU×4	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Rodaina Mohamed, Yasmeen Muhammad	+1.4
9	4-5	LIU	LIU×4	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad		+1.5
10	4-6	LIU	LIU×4	Ace	LIU		+1.7
11	5-6	LIU	DUKE	Serve err	LIU		+1.1
12	5-7	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad		+1.2
13	6-7	LIU	DUKE	Blocked	Bella Correia	blk Nikki Quinn	+1.1
14	6-8	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Rodaina Mohamed	+1.3
15	7-8	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.1
16	8-8	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.6
17	8-9	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+1.3
18	8-10	LIU	LIU	Blocked	Avery Hamlin	blk Sara Garcia, Sara Van gisteren	+1.9
19	9-10	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
20	10-10	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+1.8
21	10-11	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Rodaina Mohamed	+1.4
22	11-11	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.3
23	11-12	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+1.4
24	12-12	LIU	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+1.3
25	13-12	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke	aced Mia Rojas-avila	+1.8
26	14-12	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
27	14-13	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Rodaina Mohamed	+1.2
28	15-13	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
29	15-14	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+1.2
30	16-14	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.3
31	16-15	DUKE	LIU	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Rodaina Mohamed, Yasmeen Muhammad	+1.2
32	16-16	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia		+2.2
33	17-16	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.6
34	17-17	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Reese Teves	+1.7
35	18-17	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
36	19-17	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Sara Van gisteren	blk Avery Hamlin, Breonna Goss	+2.2
37	19-18	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+1.4
38	20-18	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.6
39	20-19	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Rodaina Mohamed	+1.5
40	20-20	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Sara Garcia	+2.9
41	21-20	LIU	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.2
42	22-20	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Zoe Gillen-malveaux		+2.8
43	23-20	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke	aced Mia Rojas-avila	+2.0
44	23-21	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+0.8
45	24-21	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
46	24-22	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+0.5
47	25-22	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Alyce Donoghue	+1.2
Set 3
1	1-0	LIU	DUKE	Serve err	LIU		+0.4
2	1-1	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
3	2-1	LIU	DUKE	Serve err	LIU		+0.5
4	2-2	DUKE	LIU×3	Bad set	Nikki Quinn		+0.5
5	2-3	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-malveaux	blk Yasmeen Muhammad, Mia Rojas-avila	+0.8
6	2-4	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.8
7	3-4	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Alyce Donoghue	+0.5
8	4-4	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich		+0.8
9	4-5	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.6
10	4-6	LIU	LIU	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-malveaux	blk Mia Rojas-avila	+0.9
11	5-6	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
12	5-7	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
13	6-7	LIU	DUKE	Serve err	LIU		+0.6
14	6-8	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
15	7-8	LIU	DUKE	Serve err	LIU		+0.6
16	8-8	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss		+0.9
17	8-9	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
18	9-9	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
19	10-9	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
20	10-10	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Reese Teves	+0.6
21	11-10	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
22	11-11	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+0.7
23	11-12	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren		+1.0
24	12-12	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
25	12-13	DUKE	LIU×3	Serve err	Duke		+0.8
26	12-14	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+1.2
27	12-15	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Yasmeen Muhammad, Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.2
28	13-15	LIU	DUKE×3	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
29	14-15	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Dilara Elmacioglu		+1.1
30	15-15	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
31	15-16	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+0.9
32	16-16	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
33	16-17	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.0
34	17-17	LIU	DUKE	Attack err	Bella Correia	set Sara Van gisteren	+0.9
35	17-18	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.0
36	17-19	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.5
37	17-20	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.5
38	18-20	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
39	18-21	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.1
40	19-21	LIU	DUKE	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
41	20-21	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
42	20-22	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren		+1.5
43	21-22	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
44	21-23	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.7
45	21-24	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+1.8
46	21-25	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+0.7
Set 4
1	1-0	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec		+2.0
2	2-0	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Reese Teves	+1.9
3	2-1	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.3
4	2-2	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila		+2.1
5	2-3	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Mailinh Godschall	+2.4
6	3-3	LIU	DUKE	Blocked	Sara Van gisteren	blk Nataly Moravec, Breonna Goss	+1.6
7	4-3	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.2
8	4-4	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.6
9	5-4	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
10	5-5	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.7
11	6-5	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.6
12	6-6	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.7
13	6-7	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Olivia Wayne		+2.7
14	6-8	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia		+2.9
15	7-8	LIU	DUKE	Attack err	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.8
16	7-9	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+2.2
17	8-9		DUKE	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.9
18	8-10	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+2.2
19	8-11	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Reese Teves	+3.2
20	8-12	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Garcia		+3.1
21	9-12	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.8
22	9-13	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+2.3
23	10-13	LIU	DUKE	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila	set Sara Van gisteren	+1.8
24	10-14	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+2.4
25	10-15		LIU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.0
26	10-16	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+2.5
27	11-16	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
28	12-16	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Bella Correia	+2.2
29	12-17	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila		+2.2
30	13-17	LIU	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
31	14-17	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Yasmeen Muhammad	blk Zoe Gillen-malveaux	+2.7
32	15-17	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Yasmeen Muhammad	blk Zoe Gillen-malveaux	+3.2
33	15-18	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Bella Correia	+3.0
34	16-18	LIU	DUKE	Serve err	LIU		+2.3
35	16-19	DUKE	LIU	Attack err	Carlyle Johnson	set Nataly Moravec	+3.1
36	16-20	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Breonna Goss		+3.8
37	17-20	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
38	17-21	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+2.7
39	18-21	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.6
40	18-22	DUKE	LIU	Attack err	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
41	19-22	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
42	19-23	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+2.6
43	20-23	LIU	DUKE	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+1.1
44	20-24	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+2.4
45	21-24	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec		+0.6
46	21-25	DUKE	LIU	Serve err	Duke		+0.4
Set 5
1	1-0	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+5.4
2	1-1	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+5.8
3	2-1	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nikki Quinn		+5.6
4	3-1	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Charlotte Glass	set Nataly Moravec	+7.4
5	3-2	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Sara Garcia	+5.2
6	3-3	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Sara Van gisteren, Yasmeen Muhammad	+8.7
7	3-4	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Sara Garcia	+10.0
8	4-4	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+6.6
9	4-5	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+7.5
10	4-6	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+11.3
11	5-6	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Carlyle Johnson	set Nikki Quinn	+6.9
12	5-7	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Reese Teves	+8.6
13	5-8	LIU	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+11.8
14	6-8	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+6.5
15	6-9	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+8.9
16	7-9	LIU	DUKE×3	Kill	Carlyle Johnson	set Nikki Quinn	+6.6
17	8-9	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec		+11.6
18	9-9	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Carlyle Johnson	+13.1
19	9-10	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+10.7
20	10-10	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+9.8
21	10-11	DUKE	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+11.9
22	10-12	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Sara Garcia, Sara Van gisteren	+17.7
23	10-13	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Carlyle Johnson	+15.2
24	11-13	LIU	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+5.7
25	11-14	DUKE	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+11.3
26	11-15	LIU	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Sara Garcia	+6.6

Score shown after each rally, Duke first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

LIU def. Duke 3–2