FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

East Carolina def. Hampton 3–0

(25-19, 25-20, 27-25)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
HAMPTN	19	20	25	0
E CAR	25	25	27	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

E CAR above 50 · HAMPTN below

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Hampton — set 1, HAMPTN 16-15 E CAR. Attack error by Kai Bailey. E CAR win probability 96% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HAMPTN 2.7%97.3% E CAR

Hampton wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.7%

East Carolina wins

3-0

63.4%

3-1

26.8%

3-2

7.0%

HAMPTN break %: 34.2% vs this opp
E CAR break %: 48.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kai BaileyAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Kai Bailey
Set 1 · HAMPTN 16-15 E CAR · HAMPTN 4% → 5%
02
Racquel FrazierAttack error+0.9%
Racquel Frazier stuffed by Kai Bailey & Taryn Gilreath
Set 1 · HAMPTN 16-17 E CAR · E CAR 96% → 97%
03
E CAR serverAce+0.7%
East Carolina ace on Team
Set 1 · HAMPTN 16-18 E CAR · E CAR 97% → 97%
04
Katerina PappaKill+0.7%
Kill by Katerina Pappa (set by Racquel Frazier)
Set 1 · HAMPTN 13-13 E CAR · HAMPTN 3% → 4%
05
Ellie PateKill+0.6%
Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Angeles Alderete)
Set 3 · HAMPTN 23-24 E CAR · E CAR 99% → 100%
06
Aulie HuffKill+0.6%
Kill by Aulie Huff (set by Taryn Gilreath)
Set 1 · HAMPTN 16-16 E CAR · E CAR 95% → 96%
07
E CAR serverService error+0.6%
East Carolina service error
Set 1 · HAMPTN 15-15 E CAR · HAMPTN 3% → 4%
08
Nikola JaroszewiczKill+0.6%
Kill by Nikola Jaroszewicz (set by Taryn Gilreath)
Set 3 · HAMPTN 22-20 E CAR · HAMPTN 1% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Hamptonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Katerina PappaOH	3	12	1	26	.423	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	13
11Racquel FrazierOH	3	9	6	33	.091	1	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	9
13Nikola JaroszewiczOH	3	6	1	22	.227	0	1	1	6	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
17Lillian CampbellMB	3	6	2	10	.400	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	6
5Janiah RobinsonMB	3	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Ana Luiza MatosS	3	1	0	9	.111	25	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
9Jaya RimmOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
8Olivia BryantOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	13	110	.209	26	3	9	40	3	1	2	2	64

East Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Ellie PateOH	3	20	3	41	.415	0	0	0	6	0	1	1	1.5	21.5
11Kai BaileyMB	3	8	3	15	.333	0	0	0	3	0	1	4	3	11
12Aulie HuffOH	3	7	2	19	.263	0	1	1	9	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
3Angeles AldereteOH	3	6	4	23	.087	4	0	3	6	0	0	0	0	6
1Taryn GilreathS	3	4	1	8	.375	34	1	1	5	0	0	2	1	6
6Ekwe AnwahMB	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	1
2Brooklyn AllisonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	12	0	0	0	0	1
8Allison ButrumL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	9	2	0	0	0	0
4Emma OrtizL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Nina EdwardsMB	1	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
40Naala KasungaOPP	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
16Clara CloningerDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	15	113	.292	40	3	10	50	3	3	12	9	77

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 HAMPTN · E CAR 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 HAMPTNE CAR 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 HAMPTNE CAR 6

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 HAMPTNE CAR 4

Bars above the line = East Carolina leads, below = Hampton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Hampton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	33%4/12
2	58%7/12	47%7/15
3	58%7/12	13%1/8
4	100%7/7	36%4/11
5	38%6/16	22%2/9
6	60%6/10	45%5/11
All	55%41/75	35%23/66

East Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	60%9/15
2	57%8/14	33%4/12
3	70%7/10	42%5/12
4	78%7/9	36%4/11
5	64%7/11	22%2/9
6	50%6/12	63%10/16
All	65%43/66	45%34/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	HAMPTN-E CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate		+0.2
2	1-1	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.3
3	1-2	HAMPTN	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
4	1-3	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
5	1-4	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Racquel Frazier	blk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff	+0.3
6	1-5	E CAR	E CAR×4	Ace	E CAR server	aced Team	+0.2
7	2-5	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Janiah Robinson	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
8	2-6	HAMPTN	E CAR×3	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
9	2-7	E CAR	E CAR×3	Bad set	Ana Luiza Matos		+0.2
10	2-8	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
11	3-8	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Lillian Campbell	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
12	4-8	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+0.1
13	4-9	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
14	5-9	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
15	5-10	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
16	6-10	E CAR	HAMPTN×4	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
17	7-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.2
18	8-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+0.3
19	9-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Racquel Frazier	+0.4
20	9-11	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
21	10-11	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.3
22	10-12	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
23	11-12	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.4
24	11-13	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
25	12-13	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.4
26	13-13	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Racquel Frazier	+0.7
27	13-14	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Angeles Alderete	+0.5
28	14-14	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa		+0.5
29	14-15	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
30	15-15	E CAR	HAMPTN	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.6
31	16-15	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Kai Bailey		+1.0
32	16-16	HAMPTN	E CAR×7	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
33	16-17	E CAR	E CAR×7	Attack err	Racquel Frazier	blk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath	+0.9
34	16-18	E CAR	E CAR×7	Ace	E CAR server	aced Team	+0.7
35	16-19	E CAR	E CAR×7	Kill	Taryn Gilreath	set Jaya Rimm	+0.5
36	16-20	E CAR	E CAR×7	Attack err	Racquel Frazier	blk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
37	16-21	E CAR	E CAR×7	Attack err	Lillian Campbell		+0.2
38	16-22	E CAR	E CAR×7	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
39	17-22	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.0
40	17-23	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
41	18-23	E CAR	HAMPTN	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.0
42	18-24	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
43	19-24	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.0
44	19-25	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	E CAR	E CAR×6	Attack err	Racquel Frazier	blk Ellie Pate, Kai Bailey	+0.2
2	0-2	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
3	0-3	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brooklyn Allison	+0.1
4	0-4	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
5	0-5	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Kai Bailey		+0.1
6	0-6	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
7	1-6	E CAR	HAMPTN	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+0.0
8	1-7	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
9	1-8	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Team	+0.0
10	2-8	E CAR	HAMPTN	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.0
11	2-9	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
12	2-10	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Angeles Alderete	+0.0
13	3-10	E CAR	HAMPTN×3	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.0
14	4-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Ekwe Anwah		+0.0
15	5-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Lillian Campbell	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
16	5-11	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
17	6-11	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.0
18	6-12	HAMPTN	E CAR×3	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
19	6-13	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Kai Bailey		+0.0
20	6-14	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Olivia Bryant		+0.0
21	7-14	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.0
22	7-15	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
23	7-16	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Janiah Robinson	blk Kai Bailey	+0.0
24	8-16	E CAR	HAMPTN×3	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.0
25	9-16	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Allison Butrum	+0.0
26	10-16	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Kai Bailey		+0.0
27	10-17	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
28	10-18	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
29	11-18	E CAR	HAMPTN	Attack err	Taryn Gilreath		+0.0
30	12-18	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Racquel Frazier	+0.0
31	12-19	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
32	13-19	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.0
33	13-20	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
34	14-20	E CAR	HAMPTN	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+0.0
35	14-21	HAMPTN	E CAR	Attack err	Katerina Pappa	blk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff	+0.0
36	15-21	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Ana Luiza Matos		+0.0
37	15-22	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
38	16-22	E CAR	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.0
39	17-22	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Kai Bailey		+0.0
40	18-22	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
41	18-23	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Naala Kasunga	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
42	18-24	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete		+0.0
43	19-24	E CAR	HAMPTN	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.0
44	20-24	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+0.0
45	20-25	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Clara Cloninger	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	HAMPTN	E CAR	Bad set	Racquel Frazier		+0.1
2	1-1	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
3	2-1	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Nikola Jaroszewicz	+0.1
4	2-2	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.1
5	3-2	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Katerina Pappa	+0.1
6	3-3	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Angeles Alderete	+0.1
7	4-3	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
8	5-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Allison Butrum	+0.2
9	5-4	HAMPTN	E CAR	Attack err	Nikola Jaroszewicz		+0.1
10	6-4	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Lillian Campbell	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
11	6-5	HAMPTN	E CAR	Bad set	Racquel Frazier		+0.1
12	7-5	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
13	7-6	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
14	7-7	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Taryn Gilreath	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.2
15	8-7	E CAR	HAMPTN	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.1
16	8-8	HAMPTN	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
17	8-9	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
18	8-10	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Racquel Frazier		+0.1
19	8-11	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Taryn Gilreath	set Jaya Rimm	+0.1
20	9-11	E CAR	HAMPTN×4	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.1
21	10-11	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
22	11-11	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Kill	Katerina Pappa		+0.2
23	12-11	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Nikola Jaroszewicz, Janiah Robinson	+0.2
24	12-12	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
25	13-12	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.2
26	13-13	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
27	13-14	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Lillian Campbell	blk Nina Edwards	+0.2
28	14-14	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Lillian Campbell	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.2
29	14-15	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
30	15-15	E CAR	HAMPTN	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.2
31	16-15	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Team	+0.3
32	16-16	HAMPTN	E CAR	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.2
33	16-17	E CAR	E CAR	Bad set	Ana Luiza Matos		+0.2
34	17-17	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Lillian Campbell	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.2
35	17-18	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
36	17-19	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Janiah Robinson	blk Ellie Pate	+0.2
37	18-19	E CAR	HAMPTN	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.1
38	19-19	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+0.3
39	19-20	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Taryn Gilreath	set Jaya Rimm	+0.2
40	20-20	E CAR	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Janiah Robinson	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.2
41	21-20	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+0.5
42	22-20	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
43	22-21	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
44	22-22	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
45	23-22	E CAR	HAMPTN	Attack err	Nina Edwards		+0.5
46	23-23	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
47	23-24	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Angeles Alderete	+0.6
48	24-24	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Lillian Campbell	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.4
49	24-25	HAMPTN	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Allison Butrum	+0.4
50	25-25	E CAR	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.4
51	25-26	HAMPTN	E CAR	Attack err	Racquel Frazier	blk Aulie Huff, Kai Bailey	+0.4
52	25-27	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Hampton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.