Final · 4 setsSun, Aug 30, 2026

East Carolina def. Radford 3–1

East Carolina beat visiting Radford 3-1 (25-21, 25-19, 19-25, 25-15) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026. East Carolina's Ellie Pate led with 15 kills, and Angeles Alderete added 15 digs.

Data through · final Aug 30

Set1234Sets
RADFRD211925151
E CAR252519253

Win probability

East Carolina above 50 · Radford below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.0% E CARrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.0% to East Carolina — set 1, RADFRD 19-20 E CAR. Attack error by Katrina Miller. E CAR win probability 85% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RADFRD 12.2%87.8% E CAR

Radford wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
6.7%

East Carolina wins

3-0
40.9%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.3%
RADFRD break %
35.1% vs this opp
E CAR break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Katrina MillerAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Katrina Miller

    Set 1 · RADFRD 19-20 E CAR · E CAR 85% → 88%

  2. 02
    Aubrey HatchAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Aubrey Hatch

    Set 1 · RADFRD 17-17 E CAR · E CAR 83% → 85%

  3. 03

    Kill by Angeles Alderete (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 1 · RADFRD 19-21 E CAR · E CAR 88% → 91%

  4. 04
    Aulie HuffAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Aulie Huff

    Set 1 · RADFRD 14-11 E CAR · RADFRD 17% → 20%

  5. 05
    Kai BaileyKill+2.4%

    Kill by Kai Bailey

    Set 1 · RADFRD 16-15 E CAR · E CAR 81% → 83%

  6. 06
    Lea GageKill+2.2%

    Kill by Lea Gage (set by Macie Potter)

    Set 1 · RADFRD 12-10 E CAR · RADFRD 15% → 17%

  7. 07
    Maja BochenekKill+2.2%

    Kill by Maja Bochenek (set by Lea Gage)

    Set 1 · RADFRD 19-18 E CAR · RADFRD 15% → 17%

  8. 08
    East CarolinaService error+2.0%

    East Carolina service error

    Set 1 · RADFRD 18-17 E CAR · RADFRD 15% → 17%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410534.147004113010.510.5
49423.21710010031.510.5
48320.250100000219
44313.077102300215
44010.4001812500005
44324.042102810004
411424.2920004002112
4002.0001700700000
4001.0005012110000
2000–000300000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5022152.18444111637010580
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415648.18801170010.516.5
49732.0630127004212
410328.250001150010.510.5
47111.5450001014310
46312.250001100428
42111.0914041800217
4000–011300001
4001.000000110000
4001.0001001000000
4001.0001001100000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4921145.1934277641116994

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 RADFRD · E CAR 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 RADFRDE CAR 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 2 RADFRDE CAR 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 8 RADFRDE CAR 3

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 RADFRDE CAR 4

Bars above the line = East Carolina leads, below = Radford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Radford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
40%6/15
2
64%9/14
0%0/11
3
43%9/21
50%9/18
4
75%9/12
40%6/15
5
50%8/16
25%3/12
6
57%8/14
20%2/10
All
58%54/93
32%26/81

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
40%6/15
2
58%11/19
21%3/14
3
60%9/15
55%11/20
4
75%9/12
36%5/14
5
89%8/9
43%6/14
6
58%7/12
50%8/16
All
68%55/81
42%39/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#RADFRD-E CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0E CARRADFRDAttack errEllie Pate+1.0
21-1RADFRDE CARAttack errKatrina Miller+0.9
32-1E CARRADFRDServe errEast Carolina+1.0
42-2RADFRDE CARAttack errTaryn Roberts+0.9
53-2E CARRADFRDAttack errAulie Huff+1.0
64-2RADFRDRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+1.7
74-3RADFRDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
85-3E CARRADFRD×3KillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid+1.2
96-3RADFRDRADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
107-3RADFRDRADFRD×3KillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
117-4RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+1.0
128-4E CARRADFRDAttack errAulie Huff+1.3
138-5RADFRDE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.1
148-6E CARE CAR×3BlockedMacie Potterblk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath+1.8
158-7E CARE CAR×3KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
169-7E CARRADFRDAttack errTaryn Gilreath+1.3
179-8RADFRDE CARAttack errAubrey Hatch+1.1
189-9E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
1910-9E CARRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.3
2010-10RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
2111-10E CARRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.4
2212-10RADFRDRADFRDKillLea Gageset Macie Potter+2.2
2312-11RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
2413-11E CARRADFRDBlockedEllie Pateblk Katrina Miller, Taryn Roberts+1.6
2514-11RADFRDRADFRDAttack errAulie Huff+2.5
2614-12RADFRDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
2715-12E CARRADFRDServe errEast Carolina+1.7
2815-13RADFRDE CARAttack errGabriela Smolenska+1.3
2916-13E CARRADFRDAttack errAulie Huff+1.8
3016-14RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+1.4
3116-15E CARE CARKillKai Bailey+2.4
3217-15E CARRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
3317-16RADFRDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.6
3417-17E CARE CARAttack errAubrey Hatch+2.7
3518-17E CARRADFRDServe errEast Carolina+2.0
3618-18RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+1.8
3719-18E CARRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+2.2
3819-19RADFRDE CAR×5Serve errRadford+1.9
3919-20E CARE CAR×5Attack errKatrina Miller+3.0
4019-21E CARE CAR×5KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.6
4119-22E CARE CAR×5AceEast Carolinaaced Macie Potter+1.8
4219-23E CARE CAR×5AceEast Carolinaaced Mia Jannazzo+1.0
4320-23E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+0.3
4420-24RADFRDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
4521-24E CARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+0.2
4621-25RADFRDE CARAttack errMacie Potter+0.4
Set 2
11-0RADFRDRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+1.0
21-1RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+0.6
32-1E CARRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+0.7
42-2RADFRDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.6
53-2E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+0.7
64-2RADFRDRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.2
74-3RADFRDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.7
85-3E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Mia Jannazzo+0.8
96-3RADFRDRADFRDAttack errKai Bailey+1.3
106-4RADFRDE CARBad setAlyssa Cadavid+0.7
116-5E CARE CARBad setMacie Potter+1.2
127-5E CARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+0.9
138-5RADFRDRADFRDBlockedEllie Pateblk Gabriela Smolenska, Taryn Roberts+1.4
148-6RADFRDE CARAttack errEllie Pate+0.8
159-6E CARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+1.0
1610-6RADFRDRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
1710-7RADFRDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
1811-7E CARRADFRDBlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Gabriela Smolenska, Maja Bochenek+1.0
1911-8RADFRDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
2012-8E CARRADFRDAttack errAngeles Alderete+1.1
2112-9RADFRDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
2213-9E CARRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.1
2313-10RADFRDE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
2413-11E CARE CAR×3Serve errEast Carolina+1.4
2513-12E CARE CAR×3KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
2614-12E CARRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.2
2714-13RADFRDE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
2814-14E CARE CAR×3Attack errGabriela Smolenska+1.6
2914-15E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
3015-15E CARRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid+1.0
3115-16RADFRDE CAR×3Serve errRadford+1.0
3215-17E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolinaaced Aubrey Hatch+1.4
3315-18E CARE CAR×3BlockedMacie Potterblk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff+1.1
3416-18E CARRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid+0.6
3517-18RADFRDRADFRDAttack errEkwe Anwah+1.3
3617-19RADFRDE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
3717-20E CARE CAR×3KillAulie Huff+1.2
3817-21E CARE CAR×3BlockedMaja Bochenekblk Ekwe Anwah+0.8
3918-21E CARRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Mia Jannazzo+0.3
4018-22RADFRDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
4118-23E CARE CARBlockedKatrina Millerblk Aulie Huff, Kai Bailey+0.4
4219-23E CARRADFRDKillLea Gage+0.1
4319-24RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+0.2
4419-25E CARE CARKillKai Bailey·
Set 3
11-0E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Taryn Roberts+0.3
21-1RADFRDE CARBad setKatrina Miller+0.3
31-2E CARE CARBlockedTaryn Robertsblk Kai Bailey, Angeles Alderete+0.4
42-2E CARRADFRD×8KillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+0.3
53-2RADFRDRADFRD×8Attack errKai Bailey+0.5
64-2RADFRDRADFRD×8KillKatrina Millerset Maja Bochenek+0.6
75-2RADFRDRADFRD×8BlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Maja Bochenek, Aubrey Hatch+0.6
86-2RADFRDRADFRD×8KillLea Gageset Taryn Gilreath+0.6
97-2RADFRDRADFRD×8Attack errAulie Huff+0.6
108-2RADFRDRADFRD×8KillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+0.6
119-2RADFRDRADFRD×8Attack errEllie Pate+0.5
129-3RADFRDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
139-4E CARE CARAceEast Carolina+0.5
1410-4E CARRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+0.4
1511-4RADFRDRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+0.5
1611-5RADFRDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
1712-5E CARRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid+0.4
1812-6RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+0.2
1912-7E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Aubrey Hatch+0.4
2013-7E CARRADFRDAttack errEllie Pate+0.4
2113-8RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+0.3
2214-8E CARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Mia Jannazzo+0.4
2314-9RADFRDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
2414-10E CARE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
2515-10E CARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+0.5
2615-11RADFRDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
2716-11E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Katrina Miller+0.5
2816-12RADFRDE CAR×3KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
2916-13E CARE CAR×3BlockedAubrey Hatchblk Taryn Gilreath, Kai Bailey+0.6
3016-14E CARE CAR×3Attack errAubrey Hatch+0.7
3117-14E CARRADFRD×3Serve errEast Carolina+0.6
3218-14RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errKai Bailey+0.9
3319-14RADFRDRADFRD×3KillGabriela Smolenska+0.7
3419-15RADFRDE CARAttack errMaja Bochenek+0.3
3520-15E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+0.5
3620-16RADFRDE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
3720-17E CARE CAR×3BlockedGabriela Smolenskablk Ellie Pate, Ekwe Anwah+0.6
3820-18E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
3921-18E CARRADFRDServe errEast Carolina+0.8
4021-19RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Emma Ortiz+0.5
4122-19E CARRADFRD×4Serve errEast Carolina+0.8
4223-19RADFRDRADFRD×4Serve errRadford+0.8
4324-19RADFRDRADFRD×4KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+0.4
4425-19RADFRDRADFRD×4BlockedEllie Pateblk Taryn Roberts, Katrina Miller+0.1
Set 4
11-0RADFRDRADFRDKillLea Gageset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
21-1RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Allison Butrum+1.1
32-1E CARRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+1.3
42-2RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
52-3E CARE CARBlockedMaja Bochenekblk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah+1.7
63-3E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Maja Bochenek+1.2
73-4RADFRDE CAR×3KillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.1
83-5E CARE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.6
93-6E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Brooklyn Allison+1.4
104-6E CARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+0.9
114-7RADFRDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.9
125-7E CARRADFRDBad setAngeles Alderete+0.9
135-8RADFRDE CAR×4KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.9
145-9E CARE CAR×4KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
155-10E CARE CAR×4Attack errTaryn Roberts+0.9
165-11E CARE CAR×4Bad setAlyssa Cadavid+0.7
176-11E CARRADFRDServe errEast Carolina+0.4
186-12RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
196-13E CARE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+0.4
207-13E CARRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+0.2
217-14RADFRDE CARServe errRadford+0.3
228-14E CARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Jaci Hall+0.2
238-15RADFRDE CAR×3KillTaryn Gilreath+0.3
248-16E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolina+0.3
258-17E CARE CAR×3BlockedAubrey Hatchblk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah+0.1
269-17E CARRADFRDAttack errAulie Huff+0.1
279-18RADFRDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
289-19E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Aubrey Hatch+0.1
2910-19E CARRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage·
3010-20RADFRDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath·
3111-20E CARRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Mia Jannazzo·
3211-21RADFRDE CARServe errRadford·
3312-21E CARRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid·
3412-22RADFRDE CARAttack errGabriela Smolenska·
3513-22E CARRADFRDKillGabriela Smolenskaset Alyssa Cadavid·
3614-22RADFRDRADFRDAceLea Gageaced Allison Butrum·
3714-23RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath·
3814-24E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath·
3915-24E CARRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Mia Jannazzo·
4015-25RADFRDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath·

Score shown after each rally, Radford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).