FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

East Carolina def. Campbell 3–0

East Carolina beat visiting Campbell 3-0 (25-13, 25-22, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Aulie Huff and Ellie Pate led East Carolina with 9 kills each; Campbell's Emma Mccartney had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
CAMPBL1322210
E CAR2525253

Win probability

East Carolina above 50 · Campbell below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.9% CAMPBLrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Campbell — set 1, CAMPBL 6-6 E CAR. Attack error by Ellie Pate. E CAR win probability 83% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CAMPBL 18.7%81.3% E CAR

Campbell wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
9.6%

East Carolina wins

3-0
32.8%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
17.9%
CAMPBL break %
38.5% vs this opp
E CAR break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ellie PateAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Ellie Pate

    Set 1 · CAMPBL 6-6 E CAR · CAMPBL 17% → 19%

  2. 02

    Kill by Emma Mccartney (set by Alexis Jodie)

    Set 2 · CAMPBL 9-7 E CAR · CAMPBL 12% → 14%

  3. 03
    Leah FreesemannAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Leah Freesemann

    Set 1 · CAMPBL 6-8 E CAR · E CAR 82% → 84%

  4. 04
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.6%

    Point East Carolina (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · CAMPBL 9-9 E CAR · E CAR 87% → 89%

  5. 05
    Angeles AldereteAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Angeles Alderete

    Set 2 · CAMPBL 5-1 E CAR · CAMPBL 14% → 16%

  6. 06
    Leah FreesemannAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Leah Freesemann

    Set 1 · CAMPBL 0-1 E CAR · E CAR 81% → 83%

  7. 07
    Victoria TupyAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Victoria Tupy

    Set 2 · CAMPBL 9-10 E CAR · E CAR 89% → 91%

  8. 08

    Kill by Maddie Lambers (set by Hannah Pattie)

    Set 2 · CAMPBL 4-1 E CAR · CAMPBL 13% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315935.1710023100015
35313.15400010010.55.5
35517.000100200005
3108.12500110010.51.5
3001.000001300000
3001.000901300000
35515.00000000010.55.5
34620-.10000060010.54.5
3000–110610001
3001.000100200000
3001.000501100000
3000–1600400000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals3528112.063331632404256
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39318.33302110111.512.5
39527.14821150010.510.5
3619.55610010111.57.5
35319.1050001001016
3517.571230160010.55.5
3005.00000010212.52.5
3102.50000000010.51.5
3000–011800001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–001000000
3000–100500000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals351387.253274537156875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CAMPBL · E CAR 8

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 CAMPBLE CAR 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 CAMPBLE CAR 8

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 CAMPBLE CAR 6

Bars above the line = East Carolina leads, below = Campbell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Campbell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%2/3
50%1/2
2
50%2/4
0%0/2
3
33%2/6
0%0/2
4
33%2/6
33%1/3
5
100%1/1
0%0/2
6
20%1/5
50%1/2
All
40%10/25
23%3/13

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%2/2
33%1/3
2
100%2/2
50%2/4
3
67%2/3
67%4/6
4
100%2/2
67%4/6
5
50%1/2
0%0/1
6
50%1/2
80%4/5
All
77%10/13
60%15/25

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#CAMPBL-E CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1E CARE CARAttack errLeah Freesemann+1.6
21-1E CARCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartney+1.2
31-2CAMPBLE CARServe errCampbell+1.1
42-2E CARCAMPBLKillMaddie Lambersset Hannah Pattie+1.2
52-3CAMPBLE CARAttack errMaddie Lambersset Emma Mccartney+1.2
62-4E CARE CARAttack errMaddie Lambers+1.5
73-4E CARCAMPBLKillBreanna Mcmillanset Lauren Wheeler+1.1
83-5CAMPBLE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.1
94-5E CARCAMPBLAttack errAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
104-6CAMPBLE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.1
115-6E CARCAMPBLAttack errAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
126-6CAMPBLCAMPBLAttack errEllie Pate+1.9
136-7CAMPBLE CAR×5Serve errCampbell+1.3
146-8E CARE CAR×5Attack errLeah Freesemann+1.7
156-9E CARE CAR×5AceEast Carolinaaced Sadie Johnston+1.5
166-10E CARE CAR×5KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
176-11E CARE CAR×5Attack errEmma Mccartney+1.0
187-11E CARCAMPBLServe errEast Carolina+0.6
198-11CAMPBLCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Hannah Pattie+1.2
208-12CAMPBLE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+0.9
219-12E CARCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Leah Freesemann+0.9
229-13CAMPBLE CAR×3Attack errEmma Mccartneyset Hannah Pattie+1.0
239-14E CARE CAR×3Attack errLeah Freesemann+1.1
249-15E CARE CAR×3Attack errEmma Mccartney+0.8
2510-15E CARCAMPBLKillLeah Freesemannset Hannah Pattie+0.4
2610-16CAMPBLE CAR×4Serve errCampbell+0.5
2710-17E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
2810-18E CARE CAR×4KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
2910-19E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
3011-19E CARCAMPBLAttack errEllie Pateset Sadie Johnston+0.1
3112-19CAMPBLCAMPBLAttack errEllie Pate+0.1
3212-20CAMPBLE CAR×5Serve errCampbell+0.2
3312-21E CARE CAR×5Attack errVictoria Tupy+0.1
3412-22E CARE CAR×5KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath·
3512-23E CARE CAR×5BlockedBreanna Mcmillanblk Angeles Alderete·
3612-24E CARE CAR×5KillAngeles Alderete·
3713-24E CARCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupy·
3813-25CAMPBLE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Emma Ortiz·
Set 2
10-1CAMPBLE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+0.8
21-1E CARCAMPBL×5KillEmma Mccartneyset Hannah Pattie+0.9
32-1CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillLeah Freesemannset Hannah Pattie+1.4
43-1CAMPBLCAMPBL×5Attack errTaryn Gilreath+1.5
54-1CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillMaddie Lambersset Hannah Pattie+1.6
65-1CAMPBLCAMPBL×5Attack errAngeles Alderete+1.6
75-2CAMPBLE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
85-3E CARE CAR×4BlockedLeah Freesemannblk Ellie Pate, Ekwe Anwah+1.4
95-4E CARE CAR×4BlockedEmma Mccartneyblk Ekwe Anwah+1.5
105-5E CARE CAR×4BlockedEmma Mccartneyblk Aulie Huff+1.4
116-5E CARCAMPBLKillMaddie Lambersset Hannah Pattie+1.1
126-6CAMPBLE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
137-6E CARCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+1.2
147-7CAMPBLE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.1
158-7E CARCAMPBLServe errEast Carolina+1.2
169-7CAMPBLCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+1.8
179-8CAMPBLE CAR×8KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
189-9E CAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
199-10E CARE CAR×8Attack errVictoria Tupy+1.6
209-11E CARE CAR×8Attack errBreanna Mcmillan+1.4
219-12E CARE CAR×8KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
229-13E CARE CAR×8Attack errEmma Mccartney+1.0
239-14E CARE CAR×8AceEast Carolinaaced Emma Mccartney+0.8
249-15E CARE CAR×8BlockedVictoria Tupyblk Kai Bailey+0.6
2510-15E CARCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Alexis Jodie+0.3
2610-16CAMPBLE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+0.4
2711-16E CARCAMPBLKillHailey Heytveltset Hannah Pattie+0.3
2811-17CAMPBLE CARServe errCampbell+0.4
2911-18E CARE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Ellie Pate+0.4
3012-18E CARCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Sadie Johnston+0.2
3113-18CAMPBLCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Hannah Pattie+0.4
3213-19CAMPBLE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
3314-19E CARCAMPBL×3Serve errEast Carolina+0.2
3415-19CAMPBLCAMPBL×3KillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+0.5
3516-19CAMPBLCAMPBL×3KillBreanna Mcmillan+0.9
3616-20CAMPBLE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
3717-20E CARCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+0.6
3817-21CAMPBLE CAR×4KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
3917-22E CARE CAR×4Attack errVictoria Tupy+0.7
4017-23E CARE CAR×4Attack errVictoria Tupy+0.3
4117-24E CARE CAR×4Attack errBreanna Mcmillan+0.1
4218-24E CARCAMPBL×5KillMaddie Lambersset Alexis Jodie·
4319-24CAMPBLCAMPBL×5Attack errKai Bailey·
4420-24CAMPBLCAMPBL×5AceSadie Johnston+0.1
4521-24CAMPBLCAMPBL×5BlockedAulie Huffblk Hailey Heytvelt, Victoria Tupy+0.3
4622-24CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillVictoria Tupyset Alexis Jodie+0.8
4722-25CAMPBLE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.2
Set 3
10-1E CARE CAR×6Attack errEmma Mccartney+0.6
20-2E CARE CAR×6BlockedEmma Mccartneyblk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath+0.5
30-3E CARE CAR×6Attack errLeah Freesemann+0.5
40-4E CARE CAR×6KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
50-5E CARE CAR×6KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
60-6E CARE CAR×6KillEllie Pateset Kai Bailey+0.3
71-6E CARCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Lauren Wheeler+0.2
81-7CAMPBLE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
91-8E CARE CARAceEast Carolina+0.2
102-8E CARCAMPBLServe errEast Carolina+0.1
113-8CAMPBLCAMPBLKillBreanna Mcmillanset Aubree Fernandez+0.2
123-9CAMPBLE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+0.2
134-9E CARCAMPBL×3KillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+0.2
145-9CAMPBLCAMPBL×3KillMaddie Lambersset Alexis Jodie+0.3
156-9CAMPBLCAMPBL×3BlockedEllie Pateblk Maddie Lambers, Breanna Mcmillan+0.4
166-10CAMPBLE CARBlockedMaddie Lambersblk Ekwe Anwah+0.3
177-10E CARCAMPBLKillBreanna Mcmillanset Alexis Jodie+0.3
187-11CAMPBLE CARAttack errVictoria Tupyset Emma Mccartney+0.3
198-11E CARCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Alexis Jodie+0.3
208-12CAMPBLE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
218-13E CARE CARKillKai Bailey+0.4
229-13E CARCAMPBLKillLeah Freesemannset Lauren Wheeler+0.2
2310-13CAMPBLCAMPBLBall handlingTaryn Gilreath+0.4
2410-14CAMPBLE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
2510-15E CAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
2611-15E CARCAMPBLBad setAngeles Alderete+0.2
2712-15CAMPBLCAMPBLKillLeah Freesemannset Lauren Wheeler+0.5
2812-16CAMPBLE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
2912-17E CARE CARAttack errEmma Mccartney+0.4
3013-17E CARCAMPBL×5KillLeah Freesemannset Lauren Wheeler+0.2
3114-17CAMPBLCAMPBL×5Attack errEllie Pate+0.5
3215-17CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+0.6
3316-17CAMPBLCAMPBL×5Attack errAngeles Alderete+0.9
3417-17CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+1.1
3517-18CAMPBLE CAR×3KillTaryn Gilreath+0.8
3617-19E CARE CAR×3Attack errBreanna Mcmillan+1.1
3717-20E CARE CAR×3BlockedBreanna Mcmillanblk Nina Edwards, Aulie Huff+0.9
3818-20E CARCAMPBLKillEmma Mccartneyset Alexis Jodie+0.5
3918-21CAMPBLE CAR×3Serve errCampbell+0.6
4018-22E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolina+0.6
4118-23E CARE CAR×3KillNina Edwards+0.3
4219-23E CARCAMPBLServe errEast Carolina+0.1
4319-24CAMPBLE CARKillAulie Huffset Ellie Pate+0.2
4420-24E CARCAMPBLKillBreanna Mcmillanset Alexis Jodie·
4521-24CAMPBLCAMPBLAttack errAulie Huff+0.1
4621-25CAMPBLE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Campbell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).