Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Georgia Tech def. Duke 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Georgia Tech 84.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Georgia Tech won at Duke 3-1 (23-25, 25-19, 25-20, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Bianca Garibaldi led Georgia Tech with 14 kills; Duke's Ashby Zubchevich had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
GATECH232525253
DUKE251920171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Georgia Tech held on against Duke.

One stretch decided it. Percentages are Georgia Tech's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Georgia Tech 85% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Georgia Tech 22–22 Duke

    Duke closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.

    Georgia Tech 83% → 67%

Duke above 50Georgia Tech belowMax swing 8.9%

Georgia TechDuke

Sideout %
Georgia Tech 63.4·Duke 52.6
Break %
Georgia Tech 47.4·Duke 36.6
Hitting
Georgia Tech .302·Duke .198
Longest run
Georgia Tech 5·Duke 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Duke above 50 · Georgia Tech below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.9% DUKErally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.9% to Duke — set 1, GATECH 23-25 DUKE. Laura Perugini Bieleski stuffed by Charlotte Glass & Breonna Goss. DUKE win probability 24% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GATECH 81.6%18.4% DUKE

Georgia Tech wins

3-0
33.2%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.8%

Duke wins

3-0
2.9%
3-1
6.0%
3-2
9.4%
GATECH break %
43.9% vs this opp
DUKE break %
37.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Laura Perugini Bieleski stuffed by Charlotte Glass & Breonna Goss

    Set 1 · GATECH 23-25 DUKE · DUKE 24% → 33%

  2. 02
    Alida BennourAttack error+5.9%

    Attack error by Alida Bennour

    Set 1 · GATECH 22-23 DUKE · DUKE 17% → 23%

  3. 03

    Kill by Zoe Gillen-Malveaux (set by Nikki Quinn)

    Set 1 · GATECH 23-24 DUKE · DUKE 19% → 24%

  4. 04
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+3.8%

    Point Duke (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 3 · GATECH 14-14 DUKE · DUKE 19% → 23%

  5. 05

    Kill by Nataly Moravec (set by Avery Hamlin)

    Set 1 · GATECH 21-21 DUKE · DUKE 13% → 17%

  6. 06

    Kill by Laura Perugini Bieleski (set by Heloise Soares)

    Set 1 · GATECH 23-23 DUKE · GATECH 77% → 81%

  7. 07
    Zoe Gillen-MalveauxAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Zoe Gillen-Malveaux

    Set 3 · GATECH 16-14 DUKE · GATECH 80% → 83%

  8. 08
    DukeAce+3.4%

    Duke ace

    Set 3 · GATECH 2-7 DUKE · DUKE 33% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413836.13902330073.518.5
414320.5500211004218
411424.292222100010.513.5
410118.5000000004212
410626.15420010100010
41011.00048111000002
41011.0005011400001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6022126.3025778485016898
Dukehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415757.14002153111.518.5
417733.3030026102118
45412.08300000153.58.5
46010.60000020031.57.5
42214.000212400214
4000–4012700212
4000–1121010001
4000–100400000
4000–000100000
3000–00000010.50.5
Team totals4520126.19844593972161081

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 GATECH · DUKE 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 GATECHDUKE 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 GATECHDUKE 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 GATECHDUKE 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 GATECHDUKE 5

Bars above the line = Duke leads, below = Georgia Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Georgia Tech

No clean sets to split.

Duke

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#GATECH-DUKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.1
21-1DUKEGATECHKillZoe Humphreyset Heloise Soares+1.0
31-2GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.1
42-2DUKEGATECHKillAlida Bennourset Heloise Soares+1.0
52-3GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.2
63-3DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+1.1
73-4GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.2
84-4DUKEGATECHKillLaura Perugini Bieleskiset Heloise Soares+1.1
95-4GATECHGATECHKillAlida Bennourset Heloise Soares+1.6
105-5DUKE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
116-5DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldi+1.1
12–148-6GATECH 2 · DUKE
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
158-7GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.0
168-8DUKEDUKEBlockedAlida Bennourblk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nataly Moravec+1.8
179-8DUKEGATECH×4KillMagda Kobaidzeset Heloise Soares+1.2
1810-8GATECHGATECH×4Attack errNataly Moravec+1.7
1911-8GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
2012-8GATECHGATECH×4Attack errZoe Gillen-Malveaux+1.1
2112-9GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevich+0.7
2212-10DUKEDUKEAceDuke+1.3
2313-10DUKEGATECHKillLaura Perugini Bieleskiset Heloise Soares+1.0
2413-11GATECHDUKE×3KillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+0.9
25–2915-14GATECH 2 · DUKE 3
NCAA feed gap5 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
3016-14GATECHGATECHBad setNikki Quinn+2.1
3116-15GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.4
3217-15DUKEGATECHKillMagda Kobaidzeset Heloise Soares+1.4
3317-16GATECHDUKE×3KillBreonna Gossset Nikki Quinn+1.4
3417-17DUKE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.7
3517-18DUKEDUKE×3Serve errDuke+3.3
3618-18DUKEGATECH×3KillAlida Bennour+2.0
3719-18GATECHGATECH×3Attack errNataly Moravec+3.1
3820-18GATECHGATECH×3Attack errAvery Hamlin+2.8
3920-19GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+1.6
4021-19GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
4121-20GATECHDUKEKillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+1.7
4221-21DUKEDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Avery Hamlin+3.7
4322-21DUKEGATECHKillAlida Bennourset Heloise Soares+2.8
4422-22GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevich+2.8
4522-23DUKEDUKEAttack errAlida Bennour+5.9
4623-23DUKEGATECHKillLaura Perugini Bieleskiset Heloise Soares+3.6
4723-24GATECHDUKEKillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn+5.0
4823-25DUKEDUKEBlockedLaura Perugini Bieleskiblk Charlotte Glass, Breonna Goss+8.9
Set 2
11-0DUKEGATECHKillZoe Humphreyset Heloise Soares+1.6
21-1GATECHDUKEAttack errAlida Bennour+1.7
32-1DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+1.6
4–63-3GATECH · DUKE 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
74-3GATECHGATECH×3KillAlida Bennour+2.7
85-3GATECHGATECH×3Attack errAshby Zubchevich+2.4
95-4GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.6
106-4GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
117-4GATECHGATECH×3Serve errGeorgia Tech+2.2
128-4GATECHGATECH×3BlockedAshby Zubchevichblk Alida Bennour, Zoe Humphrey+1.8
13–149-5GATECH · DUKE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
159-6GATECHDUKEServe errGeorgia Tech+1.1
169-7DUKEDUKEAttack errLaura Perugini Bieleski+2.1
1710-7DUKEGATECHKillZoe Humphreyset Heloise Soares+1.5
1811-7GATECHGATECHKillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+1.9
1911-8GATECHDUKEServe errGeorgia Tech+1.1
2012-8DUKEGATECH×3Attack errZoe Gillen-Malveaux+1.2
2113-8GATECHGATECH×3AceGeorgia Tech+1.5
2214-8GATECHGATECH×3AceGeorgia Techaced Ashby Zubchevich+1.1
23–2515-10GATECH · DUKE 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
2616-10DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+0.7
2716-11GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+0.5
2817-11DUKEGATECHKillMagda Kobaidzeset Mana Kaneko+0.6
2918-11GATECHGATECHKillAlida Bennourset Heloise Soares+0.6
3018-12GATECHDUKEServe errGeorgia Tech+0.2
3118-13DUKEDUKEAceDukeaced Laura Perugini Bieleski+0.6
3219-13DUKEGATECHKillMagda Kobaidze+0.6
3319-14GATECHDUKE×3KillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+0.4
3419-15DUKEDUKE×3AceDuke+1.0
3519-16DUKEDUKE×3KillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.6
3620-16DUKEGATECHKillAlida Bennourset Heloise Soares+1.5
3721-16GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
3821-17GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Mailinh Godschall+0.5
3922-17DUKEGATECHKillZoe Humphreyset Heloise Soares+0.8
4022-18GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+0.4
4123-18DUKEGATECHKillLaura Perugini Bieleskiset Mana Kaneko+0.7
4224-18GATECHGATECHKillLaura Perugini Bieleski+0.3
4324-19GATECHDUKEServe errGeorgia Tech·
4425-19DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+0.1
Set 3
10-1GATECHDUKE×4Serve errGeorgia Tech+1.8
20-2DUKEDUKE×4Bad setHeloise Soares+3.0
30-3DUKEDUKE×4BlockedLaura Perugini Bieleskiblk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Avery Hamlin+3.2
40-4DUKEDUKE×4Attack errBianca Garibaldi+3.3
51-4DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+1.8
61-5GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravec+2.3
72-5DUKEGATECHKillAlida Bennourset Heloise Soares+1.8
82-6GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+2.3
92-7DUKEDUKEAceDuke+3.4
103-7DUKEGATECH×3KillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+1.8
114-7GATECHGATECH×3KillMagda Kobaidze+3.0
125-7GATECHGATECH×3AceGeorgia Tech+3.1
135-8GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+2.5
146-8DUKEGATECH×5KillMagda Kobaidzeset Heloise Soares+2.0
157-8GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.3
168-8GATECHGATECH×5AceGeorgia Techaced Nataly Moravec+3.2
179-8GATECHGATECH×5KillAlida Bennour+3.0
1810-8GATECHGATECH×5KillZoe Humphreyset Heloise Soares+2.7
1910-9GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevich+1.8
2011-9DUKEGATECHAttack errAshby Zubchevich+1.8
2112-9GATECHGATECHKillLaura Perugini Bieleskiset Mana Kaneko+2.4
2212-10GATECHDUKEKillBreonna Gossset Nikki Quinn+1.5
2313-10DUKEGATECHAttack errBreonna Goss+1.6
2413-11GATECHDUKEKillAvery Hamlinset Nikki Quinn+1.5
2513-12DUKEDUKEAttack errBianca Garibaldi+2.9
2614-12DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+2.0
2714-13GATECHDUKEServe errGeorgia Tech+2.1
28–2915-14GATECH · DUKE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
3016-14GATECHGATECH×3Attack errZoe Gillen-Malveaux+3.5
3117-14GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
3217-15GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravec+1.7
3318-15DUKEGATECHAttack errNataly Moravec+1.9
3419-15GATECHGATECHAceGeorgia Techaced Mailinh Godschall+2.2
3519-16GATECHDUKEKillAshby Zubchevichset Nikki Quinn+1.1
3620-16DUKEGATECHKillMagda Kobaidze+1.4
3720-17GATECHDUKEAttack errMagda Kobaidze+1.0
3820-18DUKE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
3921-18DUKEGATECHKillMagda Kobaidze+2.2
4022-18GATECHGATECHAceGeorgia Techaced Nataly Moravec+2.1
4122-19GATECHDUKEServe errGeorgia Tech+0.8
4222-20DUKEDUKEBlockedLaura Perugini Bieleskiblk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin+2.3
4323-20DUKEGATECH×3KillAlida Bennourset Mana Kaneko+2.3
4424-20GATECHGATECH×3BlockedNataly Moravecblk Alida Bennour, Bianca Garibaldi+1.7
4525-20GATECHGATECH×3KillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+0.4
Set 4
11-0DUKEGATECHServe errDuke+1.2
2–43-1GATECH 2 · DUKE
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
54-1GATECHGATECH×3Attack errAshby Zubchevich+1.5
64-2GATECHDUKEAttack errLaura Perugini Bieleski+1.0
75-2DUKEGATECHServe errDuke+1.0
86-2GATECHGATECHServe errGeorgia Tech+1.3
96-3DUKE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
107-3DUKEGATECHKillBianca Garibaldi+0.8
117-4GATECHDUKE×5KillBreonna Gossset Nikki Quinn+0.8
127-5DUKEDUKE×5Serve errDuke+1.5
137-6DUKEDUKE×5Serve errDuke+1.9
147-7DUKEDUKE×5KillNataly Moravec+2.2
157-8DUKEDUKE×5Serve errDuke+2.6
168-8GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
179-8GATECHGATECH×5KillZoe Humphrey+2.3
1810-8GATECHGATECH×5KillMagda Kobaidzeset Heloise Soares+2.1
1911-8GATECHGATECH×5KillZoe Humphreyset Heloise Soares+1.8
2012-8GATECHGATECH×5Attack errBreonna Goss+1.5
2112-9GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+0.9
2212-10DUKEDUKEAttack errZoe Humphrey+1.7
2313-10DUKEGATECH×4KillAlida Bennourset Heloise Soares+1.2
2414-10GATECHGATECH×4AceGeorgia Techaced Nataly Moravec+1.5
2515-10GATECHGATECH×4BlockedNataly Moravecblk Alida Bennour, Zoe Humphrey+1.1
2616-10GATECHGATECH×4KillAlida Bennour+0.8
2716-11GATECHDUKEKillAvery Hamlin+0.4
2817-11DUKEGATECH×4KillZoe Humphreyset Heloise Soares+0.5
2918-11GATECHGATECH×4KillBianca Garibaldiset Heloise Soares+0.4
3019-11GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3120-11GATECHGATECH×4KillAlida Bennourset Magda Kobaidze+0.1
3220-12GATECHDUKE×4KillZoe Gillen-Malveauxset Nikki Quinn·
3320-13DUKEDUKE×4KillAshby Zubchevichset Alyce Donoghue+0.1
34–3621-15GATECH · DUKE 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3722-15GATECHGATECHAttack errNataly Moravec+0.2
3822-16GATECHDUKEKillNataly Moravecset Nikki Quinn+0.1
3923-16GATECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
4023-17GATECHDUKEKillBreonna Goss·
4124-17DUKEGATECHAttack errAvery Hamlin+0.1
4225-17GATECHGATECHBlockedNataly Moravecblk Alida Bennour, Zoe Humphrey·

Score shown after each rally, Georgia Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).