Clemson vs Duke Volleyball: Duke Wins 3-0 (Oct 4, 2026)

FinalSun, Oct 4, 2026ACCNX

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Duke 82.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Duke beat visiting Clemson 3-0 (25-21, 25-21, 28-26) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Duke's Nataly Moravec led with 15 kills, and Mailinh Godschall added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 4

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CLEM	21	21	26	0
DUKE	25	25	28	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Nataly Moravec needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Duke swept Clemson.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.9 points. Clemson peaked at 24% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Duke 82% before first serve.

ClemsonDuke

Hitting+.134
.143.277
Kills and errors: 48–17 vs 29–15.
Longest run+1
45
Down 19–20 in the second set, Duke scored 5 straight to lead 24–20. The set finished 25–21.

Duke above 50Clemson belowMax swing 3.9%

ClemsonDuke

Aces: Clemson 5·Duke 4
Serve err: Clemson 10·Duke 17
Blocks: Clemson 4·Duke 60 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs: Clemson 45·Duke 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Duke above 50 · Clemson below

Biggest swing: 3.9% to Clemson — set 1, CLEM 19-18 DUKE. Attack error by Avery Hamlin. DUKE win probability 80% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CLEM 15.4%84.6% DUKE

Clemson wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

8.1%

Duke wins

3-0

36.6%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.7%

CLEM break %: 36.4% vs this opp
DUKE break %: 44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Avery HamlinAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Avery Hamlin
Set 1 · CLEM 19-18 DUKE · CLEM 20% → 24%
02
Nataly MoravecKill+3.8%
Kill by Nataly Moravec (set by Kyndal Ganoe)
Set 1 · CLEM 19-20 DUKE · DUKE 79% → 82%
03
Lauren SchneiderBad set+3.4%
Bad set by Lauren Schneider
Set 1 · CLEM 19-21 DUKE · DUKE 82% → 86%
04
Kennedy WagnerKill+3.2%
Kill by Kennedy Wagner (set by Addi Rains)
Set 1 · CLEM 18-18 DUKE · CLEM 17% → 20%
05
Nataly MoravecAttack error+3.1%
Attack error by Nataly Moravec
Set 2 · CLEM 20-19 DUKE · CLEM 11% → 14%
06
Ashby ZubchevichKill+3.1%
Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 2 · CLEM 20-21 DUKE · DUKE 88% → 91%
07
Audrey ArmbrusterKill+3.1%
Kill by Audrey Armbruster (set by Addi Rains)
Set 3 · CLEM 24-23 DUKE · CLEM 4% → 7%
08
Alyssa IrwinAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Alyssa Irwin
Set 3 · CLEM 25-26 DUKE · DUKE 95% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Clemsonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Alyssa IrwinMB	3	10	4	23	.261	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	11
4Brianna WashingtonMB	3	4	0	9	.444	1	3	4	2	0	2	1	8
24Anika GroomOH	3	4	4	17	.000	0	0	1	9	0	1	0.5	4.5
19Lauren SchneiderOH	3	3	2	15	.067	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	4
6Katherine SandtS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
2Kennedy WagnerOH	2	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
10Lina MerzOPP	3	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Audrey ArmbrusterS	3	0	0	1	.000	9	1	2	5	0	0	0	1
12Claire LuomaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	1
11Addi RainsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	9	1	0	0	0
8Khaya GordonOH	2	2	1	12	.083	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
Team totals		29	15	98	.143	28	5	10	45	4	8	4	68

Dukehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Nataly MoravecOH	3	15	4	37	.297	0	1	3	7	0	1	0.5	16.5
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	3	13	7	30	.200	0	1	3	9	1	2	1	15
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	3	11	3	18	.444	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
5Breonna GossMB	3	5	0	12	.417	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
12Avery HamlinOH	3	3	2	12	.083	1	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
23Nikki QuinnS	3	0	0	0	–	42	0	5	3	0	2	1	1
4Kyndal GanoeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	15	1	0	0	1
19Alyce DonoghueL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
2Grace ThrowerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Carlyle JohnsonOH	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		48	17	112	.277	46	4	17	44	5	12	6	78

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CLEM · DUKE 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 CLEMDUKE 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 CLEMDUKE 5

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 4 CLEMDUKE 5

Bars above the line = Duke leads, below = Clemson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Clemson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	50%8/16
2	53%9/17	25%3/12
3	78%7/9	18%2/11
4	47%7/15	22%2/9
5	46%6/13	36%4/11
6	75%6/8	45%5/11
All	58%44/76	34%24/70

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	30%3/10
2	75%9/12	36%5/14
3	69%9/13	44%7/16
4	100%7/7	46%6/13
5	60%6/10	54%7/13
6	43%6/14	40%4/10
All	66%46/70	42%32/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

146 rallies

#	CLEM-DUKE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
2	1-1	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Lauren Schneider	set Katherine Sandt	+1.2
3	1-2	CLEM	DUKE	Attack err	Lauren Schneider		+1.1
4	2-2	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Katherine Sandt	+1.2
5	2-3	CLEM	DUKE	Blocked	Anika Groom	blk Nikki Quinn, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+1.1
6	3-3	DUKE	CLEM	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+1.2
7	3-4	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+1.2
8	4-4	DUKE	CLEM	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Lina Merz, Brianna Washington	+1.2
9	5-4	CLEM	CLEM	Kill	Lina Merz	set Addi Rains	+2.0
10	5-5	CLEM	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Mailinh Godschall	+1.3
11	5-6	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.9
12	5-7	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Kennedy Wagner		+1.7
13	5-8	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Lina Merz		+1.5
14	6-8	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.0
15	7-8	CLEM	CLEM	Ace	Clemson		+1.7
16	7-9	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
17	8-9	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Audrey Armbruster	+1.2
18	8-10	CLEM	DUKE	Blocked	Kennedy Wagner	blk Avery Hamlin, Breonna Goss	+1.2
19	9-10	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.3
20	10-10	CLEM	CLEM	Ace	Clemson	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+2.2
21	10-11	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+1.5
22	11-11	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Lauren Schneider	set Katherine Sandt	+1.6
23	11-12	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
24	11-13	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
25	12-13	DUKE	CLEM	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+1.4
26	12-14	CLEM	DUKE	Attack err	Anika Groom		+1.4
27	13-14	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.4
28	13-15	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
29	14-15	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.5
30	15-15	CLEM	CLEM	Ace	Clemson		+2.7
31	15-16	CLEM	DUKE×3	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.8
32	15-17	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
33	15-18	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke		+2.1
34	16-18	DUKE	CLEM×4	Kill	Kennedy Wagner	set Audrey Armbruster	+1.2
35	17-18	CLEM	CLEM×4	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
36	18-18	CLEM	CLEM×4	Kill	Kennedy Wagner	set Addi Rains	+3.2
37	19-18	CLEM	CLEM×4	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+3.9
38	19-19	CLEM	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
39	19-20	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Kyndal Ganoe	+3.8
40	19-21	DUKE	DUKE×4	Bad set	Lauren Schneider		+3.4
41	19-22	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
42	20-22	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Katherine Sandt	+1.1
43	20-23	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
44	20-24	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Alyssa Irwin		+1.2
45	21-24	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Katherine Sandt	+0.2
46	21-25	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
Set 2
1	1-0	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Anika Groom	set Katherine Sandt	+0.9
2	1-1	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+0.9
3	1-2	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
4	2-2	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Brianna Washington	set Katherine Sandt	+0.9
5	2-3	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
6	3-3	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+0.9
7	3-4	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+0.8
8	4-4	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+0.9
9	4-5	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
10	5-5	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+0.9
11	5-6	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
12	6-6	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.0
13	7-6	CLEM	CLEM	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.6
14	7-7	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+1.0
15	7-8	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Lauren Schneider	blk Nataly Moravec, Breonna Goss	+1.5
16	8-8	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.0
17	8-9	CLEM	DUKE	Attack err	Anika Groom		+1.0
18	9-9	DUKE	CLEM	Blocked	Avery Hamlin	blk Anika Groom, Brianna Washington	+1.1
19	9-10	CLEM	DUKE	Attack err	Anika Groom		+1.0
20	10-10	DUKE	CLEM	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+1.1
21	10-11	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
22	11-11	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.2
23	11-12	CLEM	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
24	11-13	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Alyssa Irwin		+1.5
25	11-14	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Mailinh Godschall	+1.3
26	11-15	DUKE	DUKE×4	Blocked	Lina Merz	blk Ashby Zubchevich, Breonna Goss	+1.0
27	12-15	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Audrey Armbruster	+0.6
28	12-16	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
29	13-16	DUKE	CLEM×3	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Alyssa Irwin, Lauren Schneider	+0.6
30	14-16	CLEM	CLEM×3	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Alyssa Irwin, Lauren Schneider	+1.2
31	15-16	CLEM	CLEM×3	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.7
32	15-17	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
33	16-17	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Katherine Sandt	+1.2
34	16-18	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.3
35	17-18	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Anika Groom	set Katherine Sandt	+1.2
36	17-19	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
37	18-19	DUKE	CLEM×3	Serve err	Duke		+1.3
38	19-19	CLEM	CLEM×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+2.6
39	20-19	CLEM	CLEM×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+3.1
40	20-20	CLEM	DUKE×5	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
41	20-21	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+3.1
42	20-22	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
43	20-23	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke		+1.9
44	20-24	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
45	21-24	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
46	21-25	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
2	1-1	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Brianna Washington	set Audrey Armbruster	+0.4
3	2-1	CLEM	CLEM	Attack err	Carlyle Johnson		+0.7
4	2-2	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+0.5
5	2-3	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Khaya Gordon	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nikki Quinn	+0.7
6	3-3	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Lina Merz	set Audrey Armbruster	+0.5
7	3-4	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
8	4-4	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Lauren Schneider	set Katherine Sandt	+0.5
9	4-5	CLEM	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
10	4-6	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
11	4-7	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
12	4-8	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke		+0.5
13	4-9	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
14	5-9	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Katherine Sandt	+0.2
15	5-10	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
16	6-10	DUKE	CLEM×4	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
17	7-10	CLEM	CLEM×4	Kill	Anika Groom	set Brianna Washington	+0.4
18	8-10	CLEM	CLEM×4	Kill	Lina Merz	set Addi Rains	+0.6
19	9-10	CLEM	CLEM×4	Ace	Clemson	aced Mailinh Godschall	+0.7
20	9-11	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+0.5
21	10-11	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+0.5
22	10-12	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Carlyle Johnson	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
23	10-13	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Addi Rains	+0.7
24	11-13	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Khaya Gordon	set Audrey Armbruster	+0.4
25	12-13	CLEM	CLEM	Ace	Clemson		+0.8
26	12-14	CLEM	DUKE×5	Serve err	Clemson		+0.6
27	12-15	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
28	12-16	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+0.6
29	12-17	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
30	12-18	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
31	13-18	DUKE	CLEM×3	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Audrey Armbruster	+0.1
32	14-18	CLEM	CLEM×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+0.3
33	15-18	CLEM	CLEM×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+0.4
34	15-19	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
35	16-19	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Khaya Gordon	set Katherine Sandt	+0.3
36	16-20	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
37	17-20	DUKE	CLEM×4	Kill	Alyssa Irwin	set Katherine Sandt	+0.3
38	18-20	CLEM	CLEM×4	Kill	Anika Groom	set Katherine Sandt	+0.7
39	19-20	CLEM	CLEM×4	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.0
40	20-20	CLEM	CLEM×4	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.5
41	20-21	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
42	20-22	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Avery Hamlin	+1.4
43	21-22	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+0.8
44	21-23	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
45	22-23	DUKE	CLEM×3	Serve err	Duke		+0.8
46	23-23	CLEM	CLEM×3	Kill	Brianna Washington	set Audrey Armbruster	+2.1
47	24-23	CLEM	CLEM×3	Kill	Audrey Armbruster	set Addi Rains	+3.1
48	24-24	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
49	25-24	DUKE	CLEM	Kill	Brianna Washington	set Audrey Armbruster	+2.1
50	25-25	CLEM	DUKE	Serve err	Clemson		+2.1
51	25-26	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Alyssa Irwin		+2.7
52	26-26	DUKE	CLEM	Serve err	Duke		+1.8
53	26-27	CLEM	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.8
54	26-28	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Alyssa Irwin	blk Ashby Zubchevich, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Clemson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Duke def. Clemson 3–0

Nataly Moravec needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Duke swept Clemson.