Duke vs Virginia Volleyball: Duke Wins 3-2 (Oct 9, 2026)

Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026ACCNX

3:2

RallyIQ pre-match: Duke 57.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 2:05 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Duke won at Virginia 3-2 (25-20, 22-25, 20-25, 25-23, 15-13) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Duke's Ashby Zubchevich and Nataly Moravec led with 21 kills each, and Nikki Quinn added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
DUKE	25	22	20	25	15	3
UVA	20	25	25	23	13	2

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ashby Zubchevich hit .395 on 38 swings as Duke edged Virginia.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Duke's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Duke went in as RallyIQ's 57% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 4 · Duke 15–19 Virginia
From here Duke won 10 of 14 rallies to take the set 25–23. That flipped the match to Duke.
Duke 7% → 55%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Duke 2–2 Virginia
Duke scored 3 straight to go from 2–2 to a 5–2 lead.
Duke 55% → 79%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Duke 10–9 Virginia
Up 10–9, Duke had 4 straight kills to make it 14–9.
Duke 69% → 99%

Virginia above 50Duke belowMax swing 17.0%

DukeVirginia

Sideout %: Duke 60.7·Virginia 60.4
Break %: Duke 39.6·Virginia 39.3
Hitting: Duke .248·Virginia .264
Longest run: Duke 5·Virginia 8

Ashby Zubchevich
21 kills on .395, 22 points; 8 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Virginia above 50 · Duke below

Biggest swing: 17.0% to Duke — set 5, DUKE 15-13 UVA. Reese Wuebker stuffed by Olivia Wayne & Breonna Goss. UVA win probability 17% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DUKE 70.4%29.6% UVA

Duke wins

3-0

23.5%

3-1

27.0%

3-2

19.9%

Virginia wins

3-0

5.6%

3-1

10.4%

3-2

13.6%

DUKE break %: 42.7% vs this opp
UVA break %: 38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Olivia Wayne&Breonna GossBlock+17.0%
Reese Wuebker stuffed by Olivia Wayne & Breonna Goss
Set 5 · DUKE 15-13 UVA · DUKE 83% → 100%
02
Nataly MoravecKill+12.1%
Kill by Nataly Moravec (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 5 · DUKE 9-7 UVA · DUKE 63% → 75%
03
Reagan EnnistKill+11.7%
Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Emily Fowler)
Set 5 · DUKE 7-7 UVA · UVA 34% → 45%
04
DukeAce+11.7%
Duke ace
Set 4 · DUKE 23-22 UVA · DUKE 26% → 37%
05
Nataly MoravecKill+11.2%
Kill by Nataly Moravec (set by Mailinh Godschall)
Set 5 · DUKE 12-9 UVA · DUKE 79% → 90%
06
Ashby ZubchevichKill+10.7%
Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Olivia Wayne)
Set 4 · DUKE 24-22 UVA · DUKE 37% → 48%
07
Nataly MoravecKill+10.6%
Kill by Nataly Moravec (set by Ashby Zubchevich)
Set 4 · DUKE 25-23 UVA · DUKE 44% → 55%
08
Nataly MoravecAttack error+10.4%
Attack error by Nataly Moravec
Set 5 · DUKE 14-13 UVA · UVA 7% → 17%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Dukeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	5	21	6	38	.395	2	1	6	9	0	0	0	0	22
8Nataly MoravecOH	5	21	9	65	.185	1	0	4	8	0	0	1	0.5	21.5
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	5	5	3	11	.182	0	0	0	1	0	3	3	4.5	9.5
12Avery HamlinOH	5	4	2	11	.182	0	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	7
5Breonna GossMB	5	4	0	11	.364	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
23Nikki QuinnS	5	0	0	9	.000	47	1	1	10	0	1	2	2	3
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	4	3	1	9	0	0	0	0	3
19Alyce DonoghueL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Olivia WayneMB	4	7	3	11	.364	1	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
22Charlotte GlassS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Kyndal GanoeL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		62	23	157	.248	58	8	19	43	2	4	12	10	107

Virginiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Reese WuebkerOH	5	18	8	44	.227	2	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	18
16Emily FowlerMB	5	10	2	16	.500	1	0	2	3	0	1	4	3	13
33Lauryn BowieOH	5	8	5	18	.167	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
5Caroline LangOH	5	6	0	11	.545	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	8
11Hannah ScottS	5	1	0	5	.200	23	0	2	14	0	0	0	0	1
1Meredith ReegL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	0	0
30Becca WightOH	5	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
2Reagan EnnistOH	5	8	5	28	.107	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	8
3Katie BarrierDS	5	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	12	0	0	0	0	2
14Olivia SiskinS	5	0	0	3	.000	21	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		59	22	140	.264	52	2	12	49	8	3	12	9	106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 DUKE · UVA 8

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 DUKEUVA 2

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 DUKEUVA 8

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 DUKEUVA 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 DUKEUVA 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 DUKEUVA 4

Bars above the line = Virginia leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%11/19	27%3/11
2	59%10/17	35%6/17
3	60%9/15	53%10/19
4	80%8/10	20%2/10
5	80%8/10	47%7/15
6	58%7/12	36%4/11
All	64%53/83	39%32/83

Virginia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	41%7/17
2	47%9/19	50%10/20
3	73%8/11	36%5/14
4	67%8/12	27%3/11
5	67%8/12	20%2/10
6	54%7/13	27%3/11
All	61%51/83	36%30/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#	DUKE-UVA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+2.6
2	1-1	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
3	1-2	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+1.8
4	1-3	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+2.7
5	2-3	UVA	DUKE×3	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+1.7
6	3-3	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+2.7
7	4-3	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Lauryn Bowie		+2.7
8	4-4	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+1.8
9	5-4	UVA	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.8
10	6-4	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+2.7
11	7-4	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.6
12	7-5	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+1.6
13	8-5	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
14	8-6	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+1.6
15	8-7	UVA	UVA	Bad set	Alyce Donoghue		+2.8
16	9-7	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.9
17	9-8	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+1.9
18	10-8	UVA	DUKE×3	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
19	11-8	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke		+2.8
20	12-8	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
21	12-9	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Katie Barrier	+1.4
22	12-10	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Lauryn Bowie	+2.6
23	13-10	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Ashby Zubchevich	+2.0
24	13-11	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+1.7
25	13-12	UVA	UVA	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Emily Fowler	+3.2
26	14-12	UVA	DUKE×5	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
27	15-12	DUKE	DUKE×5	Attack err	Lauryn Bowie		+3.2
28	16-12	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
29	17-12	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke		+2.0
30	18-12	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke		+1.4
31	18-13	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+0.6
32	19-13	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
33	19-14	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+0.5
34	20-14	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
35	20-15	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+0.4
36	21-15	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
37	21-16	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+0.4
38	21-17	UVA	UVA	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Caroline Lang	+1.0
39	22-17	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
40	22-18	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+0.5
41	23-18	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
42	23-19	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+0.3
43	24-19	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
44	24-20	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Hannah Scott	+0.2
45	25-20	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
Set 2
1	0-1	DUKE	UVA×8	Serve err	Duke		+1.6
2	0-2	UVA	UVA×8	Kill	Reese Wuebker		+2.5
3	0-3	UVA	UVA×8	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Lauryn Bowie	+2.4
4	0-4	UVA	UVA×8	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Hannah Scott	+2.3
5	0-5	UVA	UVA×8	Ace	Katie Barrier		+2.1
6	0-6		UVA	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.8
7	0-7	UVA	UVA×8	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+1.5
8	0-8	UVA	UVA×8	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Katie Barrier	+1.2
9	1-8	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
10	2-8	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Kyndal Ganoe	+1.2
11	2-9	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+1.0
12	3-9	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
13	3-10	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+1.0
14	3-11	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+1.1
15	4-11	UVA	DUKE×3	Serve err	Virginia		+0.5
16	5-11	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
17	6-11	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Becca Wight	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+1.4
18	6-12	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+1.2
19	6-13	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.4
20	7-13	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nataly Moravec	+0.7
21	8-13	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke		+1.3
22	8-14	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+1.2
23	9-14	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
24	10-14	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Charlotte Glass	+1.7
25	10-15	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+1.5
26	11-15	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
27	11-16	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+1.5
28	12-16	UVA	DUKE×3	Serve err	Virginia		+1.1
29	13-16	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Lauryn Bowie	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+2.2
30	14-16	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Emily Fowler	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+2.8
31	14-17	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+2.3
32	14-18	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+2.9
33	15-18	UVA	DUKE×4	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
34	16-18	DUKE	DUKE×4	Bad set	Reese Wuebker		+2.9
35	17-18	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Becca Wight		+3.7
36	18-18	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	Duke		+4.3
37	18-19	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+3.2
38	19-19	UVA	DUKE	Blocked	Reagan Ennist	blk Nikki Quinn, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+3.0
39	19-20	DUKE	UVA×3	Serve err	Duke		+3.4
40	19-21	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+5.2
41	19-22	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Reagan Ennist		+4.3
42	20-22	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
43	20-23	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Olivia Siskin	+2.9
44	21-23	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+1.5
45	21-24	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+2.9
46	22-24	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+1.0
47	22-25	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+2.6
Set 3
1	1-0	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
2	1-1	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+2.3
3	1-2	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+3.6
4	2-2	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
5	3-2	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+3.6
6	3-3	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+2.4
7	3-4	UVA	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+3.8
8	4-4	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.4
9	4-5	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+2.6
10	5-5	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+2.5
11	5-6	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+2.6
12	6-6	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+2.6
13	6-7	DUKE	UVA×3	Kill	Becca Wight	set Reese Wuebker	+2.7
14	6-8	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+4.1
15	6-9	UVA	UVA×3	Bad set	Ashby Zubchevich		+4.0
16	7-9	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+2.3
17	8-9	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+4.0
18	8-10	DUKE	UVA×3	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Caroline Lang, Lauryn Bowie	+2.9
19	8-11	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Olivia Wayne		+4.2
20	8-12	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+3.8
21	9-12	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
22	10-12	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+3.8
23	10-13	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+2.9
24	11-13	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+2.5
25	11-14	DUKE	UVA×5	Serve err	Duke		+3.0
26	11-15	UVA	UVA×5	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Emily Fowler, Becca Wight	+4.0
27	11-16	UVA	UVA×5	Kill	Emily Fowler		+3.3
28	11-17	UVA	UVA×5	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Emily Fowler, Becca Wight	+2.4
29	11-18	UVA	UVA×5	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+1.6
30	12-18	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
31	12-19	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+1.0
32	12-20	UVA	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+0.8
33	13-20	UVA	DUKE×5	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
34	14-20	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke		+0.6
35	15-20	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	Duke		+1.1
36	16-20	DUKE	DUKE×5	Attack err	Reagan Ennist		+1.8
37	17-20	DUKE	DUKE×5	Attack err	Emily Fowler		+2.8
38	17-21	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Reese Wuebker	+2.8
39	18-21	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
40	18-22	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Charlotte Glass	+2.8
41	19-22	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
42	19-23	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+2.6
43	19-24	UVA	UVA	Kill	Hannah Scott	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
44	20-24	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+0.2
45	20-25	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.6
Set 4
1	0-1	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+2.5
2	1-1	UVA	DUKE	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+2.4
3	1-2	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+2.6
4	2-2	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
5	2-3	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+2.6
6	2-4	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+4.0
7	3-4	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
8	3-5	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Olivia Siskin	+2.7
9	4-5	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.5
10	4-6	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+2.8
11	5-6	UVA	DUKE×4	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+2.6
12	6-6	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+4.2
13	7-6	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec		+4.3
14	8-6	DUKE	DUKE×4	Blocked	Reagan Ennist	blk Olivia Wayne, Breonna Goss	+4.1
15	8-7	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+2.6
16	9-7	UVA	DUKE	Blocked	Lauryn Bowie	blk Breonna Goss, Nataly Moravec	+2.8
17	9-8	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+2.7
18	9-9	UVA	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler		+4.5
19	10-9	UVA	DUKE	Bad set	Katie Barrier		+3.0
20	10-10	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+3.1
21	11-10	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+3.1
22	11-11	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Katie Barrier	+3.2
23	12-11	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+3.3
24	12-12	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Olivia Siskin	+3.3
25	13-12	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+3.4
26	13-13	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+3.4
27	14-13	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Olivia Wayne	set Nikki Quinn	+3.5
28	14-14	DUKE	UVA×3	Serve err	Duke		+3.6
29	14-15	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+5.8
30	14-16	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Olivia Wayne		+5.8
31	15-16	UVA	DUKE	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+3.4
32	15-17	DUKE	UVA×3	Serve err	Duke		+4.1
33	15-18	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Katie Barrier	+5.6
34	15-19	UVA	UVA×3	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie	+4.6
35	16-19	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
36	17-19	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Lauryn Bowie		+4.5
37	17-20	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+4.0
38	18-20	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Alyce Donoghue	+2.9
39	19-20	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Mailinh Godschall	+6.2
40	19-21	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+5.3
41	20-21	UVA	DUKE	Blocked	Reagan Ennist	blk Nikki Quinn	+4.2
42	20-22	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+5.8
43	21-22	UVA	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+4.4
44	22-22	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+9.6
45	23-22	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	Duke		+11.7
46	24-22	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Olivia Wayne	+10.7
47	24-23	DUKE	UVA	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Caroline Lang, Becca Wight	+3.7
48	25-23	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Ashby Zubchevich	+10.6
Set 5
1	1-0	UVA	DUKE	Serve err	Virginia		+5.9
2	2-0	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+8.8
3	2-1	DUKE	UVA	Attack err	Olivia Wayne		+5.5
4	2-2	UVA	UVA	Ace	Katie Barrier		+9.3
5	3-2	UVA	DUKE×3	Bad set	Emily Fowler		+6.4
6	4-2	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Hannah Scott	+9.5
7	5-2	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Reese Wuebker	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Olivia Wayne	+8.6
8	5-3	DUKE	UVA	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+4.9
9	6-3	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+5.8
10	6-4	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+4.9
11	6-5	UVA	UVA	Bad set	Nataly Moravec		+9.4
12	7-5	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+7.1
13	7-6	DUKE	UVA	Serve err	Duke		+6.4
14	7-7	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Emily Fowler	+11.7
15	8-7	UVA	DUKE	Attack err	Reagan Ennist		+8.2
16	9-7	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+12.1
17	9-8	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+7.0
18	10-8	UVA	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+8.5
19	10-9	DUKE	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+7.3
20	11-9	UVA	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+9.2
21	12-9	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+11.2
22	13-9	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich		+6.9
23	14-9	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.9
24	14-10	DUKE	UVA×4	Serve err	Duke		+0.4
25	14-11	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+1.6
26	14-12	UVA	UVA×4	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie	+4.0
27	14-13	UVA	UVA×4	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+10.4
28	15-13	UVA	DUKE	Blocked	Reese Wuebker	blk Olivia Wayne, Breonna Goss	+17.0

Score shown after each rally, Duke first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Duke def. Virginia 3–2

Ashby Zubchevich hit .395 on 38 swings as Duke edged Virginia.