Final · 5 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ECUPirates.com

Fla. Atlantic def. East Carolina 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: East Carolina 52.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fla. Atlantic won at East Carolina 3-2 (25-16, 17-25, 21-25, 25-23, 15-12) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Olivia Hart led Fla. Atlantic with 20 kills; East Carolina's Ellie Pate had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set12345Sets
FAU25172125153
E CAR16252523122

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.405 on 37 swings: Olivia Hart and Fla. Atlantic edged East Carolina.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Fla. Atlantic's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, East Carolina was RallyIQ's 52% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Fla. Atlantic 2–3 East Carolina

    Fla. Atlantic scored 3 straight to turn a 2–3 deficit into a 5–3 lead. The match swung to Fla. Atlantic.

    Fla. Atlantic 41% → 68%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Fla. Atlantic 5–4 East Carolina

    Up 5–4, Fla. Atlantic scored 5 straight to make it 10–4.

    Fla. Atlantic 62% → 97%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Fla. Atlantic 12–11 East Carolina

    Fla. Atlantic won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–12 and win the match 3–2.

    Fla. Atlantic 71% → >99%

East Carolina above 50Fla. Atlantic belowMax swing 12.4%

Fla. AtlanticEast Carolina

Sideout %
Fla. Atlantic 58.4·East Carolina 57.3
Break %
Fla. Atlantic 42.7·East Carolina 41.6
Hitting
Fla. Atlantic .236·East Carolina .264
Longest run
Fla. Atlantic 5·East Carolina 4

Olivia Hart
3 kills inside the turning points, 20 K and .405 for the match (21 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

East Carolina above 50 · Fla. Atlantic below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+12.4% FAUrally 204 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.4% to Fla. Atlantic — set 5, FAU 14-11 E CAR. Kill by Anna Hartman (set by Isabelle Northam). E CAR win probability 17% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FAU 54.5%45.5% E CAR

Fla. Atlantic wins

3-0
14.5%
3-1
20.6%
3-2
19.4%

East Carolina wins

3-0
10.7%
3-1
16.9%
3-2
17.9%
FAU break %
39.7% vs this opp
E CAR break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Anna HartmanKill+12.4%

    Kill by Anna Hartman (set by Isabelle Northam)

    Set 5 · FAU 14-11 E CAR · FAU 83% → 96%

  2. 02
    Sequoia LayneAttack error+12.3%

    Attack error by Sequoia Layne

    Set 5 · FAU 12-11 E CAR · E CAR 16% → 29%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kierstin Bevelle (set by Maya Van Heyst)

    Set 5 · FAU 13-11 E CAR · FAU 71% → 83%

  4. 04
    Olivia HartKill+10.4%

    Kill by Olivia Hart (set by Isabelle Northam)

    Set 5 · FAU 4-3 E CAR · FAU 47% → 58%

  5. 05
    Fla. AtlanticAce+10.3%

    Fla. Atlantic ace on Ellie Pate

    Set 5 · FAU 5-3 E CAR · FAU 58% → 68%

  6. 06
    Ekwe AnwahKill+9.9%

    Kill by Ekwe Anwah (set by Maya Van Heyst)

    Set 5 · FAU 2-3 E CAR · E CAR 49% → 59%

  7. 07
    Libby AshlineKill+9.8%

    Kill by Libby Ashline (set by Maya Van Heyst)

    Set 5 · FAU 7-4 E CAR · FAU 69% → 79%

  8. 08

    Kill by Luye Marquez-Moreno (set by Isabelle Northam)

    Set 5 · FAU 1-0 E CAR · FAU 48% → 57%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520537.4051031110121
59319.3161001012211
58420.20001030111.510.5
55318.1110111200006
5127-.14347021000001
42210.00000031031.53.5
5000–6111410001
5000–0101410001
38011.727000000008
35617-.059000000005
1215.200000000002
Team totals6026144.2365547589366103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521655.27311111100022
510329.24104360052.516.5
59216.4380131014313
57520.1001227020211
57213.38500000031.58.5
54210.2004812501227
5001.0000011400000
5000–000500000
2000–000100000
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5820144.2645091350441411101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Fla. Atlantic vs East Carolina

Season series · Fla. Atlantic leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FAU · E CAR 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 FAUE CAR 3

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 FAUE CAR 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 FAUE CAR 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 FAUE CAR 4

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 5 FAUE CAR 4

Bars above the line = East Carolina leads, below = Fla. Atlantic leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fla. Atlantic

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
44%8/18
2
50%10/20
38%6/16
3
67%10/15
52%11/21
4
56%10/18
57%13/23
5
77%10/13
38%6/16
6
42%8/19
0%0/9
All
58%59/101
43%44/103

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
47%7/15
2
59%10/17
42%8/19
3
45%10/22
38%6/16
4
43%10/23
41%7/17
5
91%10/11
38%6/16
6
62%8/13
44%8/18
All
57%59/103
42%42/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

204 rallies

#FAU-E CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0E CARFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+1.7
22-0FAUFAU×3KillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+2.7
33-0FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.6
43-1FAUE CARBlockedLibby Ashlineblk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath+1.5
54-1E CARFAUAttack errAngeles Alderete+1.7
65-1FAUFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.4
75-2FAUE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
86-2E CARFAUAttack errAulie Huff+1.6
96-3FAUE CARServe errFla. Atlantic+1.4
107-3E CARFAU×3Attack errAngeles Alderete+1.6
118-3FAUFAU×3KillSara Gamboa+2.2
129-3FAUFAU×3AceFla. Atlantic+1.9
139-4FAUE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
1410-4E CARFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+1.2
1510-5FAUE CAR×3KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.9
1610-6E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolina+1.8
1710-7E CARE CAR×3Attack errSara Gamboa+2.3
1811-7E CARFAU×5BlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Sequoia Layne, Anna Hartman+1.8
1912-7FAUFAU×5Attack errKai Bailey+2.3
2013-7FAUFAU×5BlockedTaryn Gilreathblk Sequoia Layne+1.8
2114-7FAUFAU×5KillOlivia Hartset Isabelle Northam+1.4
2215-7FAUFAU×5KillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Maya Van Heyst+0.9
2315-8FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
2416-8E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+0.6
2517-8FAUFAUAttack errAulie Huff+0.5
2617-9FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
2717-10E CARE CARAttack errLibby Ashline+0.5
2818-10E CARFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Maya Van Heyst+0.5
2919-10FAUFAUKillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+0.4
3019-11FAUE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
3119-12E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
3220-12E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+0.4
3321-12FAUFAUKillSara Gamboaset Olivia Hart+0.2
3421-13FAUE CARBlockedSara Gamboablk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah+0.1
3522-13E CARFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+0.1
3622-14FAUE CARServe errFla. Atlantic·
3723-14E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+0.1
3823-15FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath·
3923-16E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Anna Hartman+0.1
4024-16E CARFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+0.1
4125-16FAUFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst·
Set 2
11-0FAUFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+2.7
21-1FAUE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
31-2E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.8
41-3E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.7
52-3E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+1.7
62-4FAUE CARAttack errOlivia Hart+1.8
73-4E CARFAU×4Attack errEllie Pate+1.7
84-4FAUFAU×4Bad setTaryn Gilreath+2.9
95-4FAUFAU×4KillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Maya Van Heyst+3.0
106-4FAUFAU×4Attack errEkwe Anwah+3.0
116-5FAUE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
127-5E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.0
138-5FAUFAUBlockedAulie Huffblk Olivia Hart+2.9
148-6FAUE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
158-7E CARE CAR×3BlockedOlivia Hartblk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff+3.0
168-8E CARE CAR×3KillKai Baileyset Zoe Winford+3.2
179-8E CARFAUKillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+2.2
1810-8FAUFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+3.3
1910-9FAUE CAR×3Serve errFla. Atlantic+2.0
2010-10E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolina+3.4
2110-11E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolina+3.5
2211-11E CARFAUKillMaya Van Heyst+2.3
2311-12FAUE CARAttack errSara Gamboa+2.4
2411-13E CARE CARBlockedSara Gamboablk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath+3.6
2512-13E CARFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+2.2
2612-14FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.4
2712-15E CARE CARBlockedSequoia Layneblk Ekwe Anwah+3.4
2813-15E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+1.9
2913-16FAUE CAR×4KillTaryn Gilreath+2.3
3013-17E CARE CAR×4Attack errAnna Hartman+3.0
3113-18E CARE CAR×4BlockedOlivia Hartblk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff+2.2
3213-19E CARE CAR×4AceEast Carolinaaced Isabelle Northam+1.5
3314-19E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+0.6
3414-20FAUE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.9
3515-20E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+0.5
3615-21FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
3715-22E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Zoe Winford+0.6
3816-22E CARFAUKillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+0.1
3916-23FAUE CARServe errFla. Atlantic+0.3
4017-23E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+0.1
4117-24FAUE CARAttack errSara Gamboa+0.2
4217-25E CARE CARAceEast Carolina·
Set 3
10-1E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+3.5
20-2E CARE CARAttack errSequoia Layne+3.5
31-2E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+2.2
41-3FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
51-4E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+3.4
62-4E CARFAUKillNatalie Depaulaset Maya Van Heyst+2.1
72-5FAUE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
83-5E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.1
94-5FAUFAUKillLuye Marquez-Moreno+3.6
104-6FAUE CAR×4BlockedLuye Marquez-Morenoblk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah+2.5
114-7E CARE CAR×4Attack errMaya Van Heyst+3.6
124-8E CARE CAR×4AceEast Carolina+3.3
134-9E CARE CAR×4Attack errLuye Marquez-Moreno+2.9
145-9E CARFAU×3Bad setAngeles Alderete+1.5
156-9FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.9
167-9FAUFAU×3Bad setTaryn Gilreath+3.4
177-10FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.5
187-11E CARE CARAttack errLuye Marquez-Moreno+3.5
198-11E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+1.9
208-12FAUE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
218-13E CARE CAR×3BlockedNatalie Depaulablk Angeles Alderete+2.9
228-14E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
239-14E CARFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+1.1
249-15FAUE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+1.5
2510-15E CARFAUKillNatalie Depaulaset Maya Van Heyst+1.0
2610-16FAUE CAR×4KillTaryn Gilreath+1.4
2710-17E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Angeles Alderete+1.5
2810-18E CARE CAR×4BlockedOlivia Hartblk Taryn Gilreath+0.9
2910-19E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
3011-19E CARFAU×3Serve errEast Carolina+0.1
3112-19FAUFAU×3KillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+0.4
3213-19FAUFAU×3KillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+0.7
3313-20FAUE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.7
3414-20E CARFAU×4KillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+0.4
3515-20FAUFAU×4KillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+1.0
3616-20FAUFAU×4Bad setEllie Pate+1.6
3717-20FAUFAU×4Bad setTaryn Gilreath+2.6
3817-21FAUE CARBlockedSara Gamboablk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah+2.6
3918-21E CARFAUKillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+1.5
4019-21FAUFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+3.9
4119-22FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+3.8
4220-22E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+2.4
4320-23FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+3.9
4420-24E CARE CARBad setIsabelle Northam+3.1
4521-24E CARFAUAttack errEllie Pate+0.5
4621-25FAUE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
Set 4
10-1FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
21-1E CARFAUKillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Sequoia Layne+2.2
32-1FAUFAUAceFla. Atlantic+3.6
42-2FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
53-2E CARFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+2.4
63-3FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
73-4E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+3.7
84-4E CARFAU×4KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.4
95-4FAUFAU×4Bad setTaryn Gilreath+3.8
106-4FAUFAU×4Attack errAngeles Alderete+3.8
117-4FAUFAU×4Attack errAngeles Alderete+3.7
127-5FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.2
138-5E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+2.4
148-6FAUE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.2
159-6E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+2.5
169-7FAUE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.2
1710-7E CARFAUKillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+2.5
1810-8FAUE CARServe errFla. Atlantic+2.3
1911-8E CARFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+2.6
2011-9FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
2112-9E CARFAU×3KillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+2.7
2213-9FAUFAU×3BlockedEllie Pateblk Anna Hartman, Libby Ashline+3.7
2314-9FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+3.0
2414-10FAUE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+1.5
2515-10E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+2.0
2615-11FAUE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
2716-11E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+2.0
2816-12FAUE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
2917-12E CARFAUServe errEast Carolina+2.0
3017-13FAUE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
3118-13E CARFAUKillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+1.9
3218-14FAUE CARServe errFla. Atlantic+1.3
3319-14E CARFAU×3Attack errEllie Pate+1.9
3420-14FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hart+1.9
3521-14FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Isabelle Northam+1.0
3621-15FAUE CARServe errFla. Atlantic+0.3
3721-16E CARE CARAttack errAnna Hartman+0.8
3822-16E CARFAUBlockedEllie Pateblk Sequoia Layne, Anna Hartman+0.9
3922-17FAUE CAR×4KillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
4022-18E CARE CAR×4Attack errOlivia Hart+1.1
4122-19E CARE CAR×4Attack errLibby Ashline+2.1
4222-20E CARE CAR×4KillAngeles Aldereteset Ellie Pate+3.7
4323-20E CARFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+3.9
4423-21FAUE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+2.1
4523-22E CARE CARBlockedMaya Van Heystblk Angeles Alderete+6.0
4624-22E CARFAUBlockedEllie Pateblk Libby Ashline+6.7
4724-23FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+3.5
4825-23E CARFAUKillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+7.2
Set 5
11-0FAUFAUKillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Isabelle Northam+9.3
21-1FAUE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+5.9
32-1E CARFAUAttack errTaryn Gilreath+6.2
42-2FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+6.1
52-3E CARE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Maya Van Heyst+9.9
63-3E CARFAU×3Serve errEast Carolina+6.4
74-3FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Isabelle Northam+10.4
85-3FAUFAU×3AceFla. Atlanticaced Ellie Pate+10.3
95-4FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+6.1
106-4E CARFAU×5KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+7.0
117-4FAUFAU×5KillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+9.8
128-4FAUFAU×5Attack errEkwe Anwah+8.1
139-4FAUFAU×5KillOlivia Hartset Isabelle Northam+6.0
1410-4FAUFAU×5AceFla. Atlantic+3.8
1510-5FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
1610-6E CARE CARAttack errLibby Ashline+3.4
1711-6E CARFAUKillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+3.5
1811-7FAUE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
1912-7E CARFAUAttack errKai Bailey+3.2
2012-8FAUE CAR×4KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
2112-9E CARE CAR×4AceEast Carolinaaced Olivia Hart+4.2
2212-10E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+7.5
2312-11E CARE CAR×4Attack errSequoia Layne+12.3
2413-11E CARFAUKillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+11.8
2514-11FAUFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Isabelle Northam+12.4
2614-12FAUE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.8
2715-12E CARFAUKillKierstin Bevelleset Maya Van Heyst+7.1

Score shown after each rally, Fla. Atlantic first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).