Duke vs Louisville Volleyball: Louisville Wins 3-0 (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026ACCNX

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Louisville 99.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Louisville beat visiting Duke 3-0 (25-19, 25-11, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Louisville's Chloe Chicoine led with 18 kills, and Payton Petersen added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DUKE	19	11	15	0
LOUIS	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.607 and 18 kills for Chloe Chicoine as Louisville rolled past Duke.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.1 points, and Duke's high was <1% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Louisville at >99%.

DukeLouisville

Break %+29.3 pts
26.155.4
On serve: 41/74 against 12/46 (Duke sideout 44.6%).
Hitting+.250
.120.370
42 kills, 12 errors vs 27 kills, 15 errors.
Longest run+3
36
From 4–4 in the third set, Louisville scored 6 straight to lead 10–4. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Louisville above 50Duke belowMax swing 0.1%

DukeLouisville

Aces: Duke 2·Louisville 6
Serve err: Duke 12·Louisville 4
Blocks: Duke 3·Louisville 80 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 12 BA
Digs: Duke 22·Louisville 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Louisville above 50 · Duke below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Louisville stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DUKE 0.4%99.6% LOUIS

Duke wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.3%

Louisville wins

3-0

81.4%

3-1

16.2%

3-2

2.0%

DUKE break %: 30.0% vs this opp
LOUIS break %: 50.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Dukeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Nataly MoravecOH	3	11	4	38	.184	1	0	2	4	1	0	0	11
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	3	7	6	28	.036	1	1	3	3	0	1	0.5	8.5
12Avery HamlinOH	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	4	3	0	1	0.5	3.5
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	3	2	3	12	-.083	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
5Breonna GossMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
23Nikki QuinnS	3	2	0	4	.500	23	0	2	2	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	5	5	0	0	1
4Kyndal GanoeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
9Taylor WilliamsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Charlotte GlassS	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Olivia WayneMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	15	100	.120	27	2	12	22	6	6	3	45

Louisvillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Chloe ChicoineOH	3	18	1	28	.607	1	0	1	8	0	1	1	1.5	19.5
44Brooke BultemaMB	3	8	1	11	.636	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	11
8Nayelis CabelloS	3	4	0	7	.571	36	0	1	6	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
24Kalyssa BlackshearOPP	3	6	2	17	.235	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
3Kamden SchrandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	8	0	0	0	0	2
4Addison MakunMB	3	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1
2Chloe MeesterOH	3	6	6	16	.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	6
21Payton PetersenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	1	16	2	0	0	0	3
17Molly UrbanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
6Hannah KennyS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
10Elsi KarjanlahtiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Hannah ShermanMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	12	81	.370	41	6	4	47	2	2	12	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 DUKE · LOUIS 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 DUKELOUIS 4

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 DUKELOUIS 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 DUKELOUIS 6

Bars above the line = Louisville leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	50%5/10
2	50%7/14	13%1/8
3	43%6/14	22%2/9
4	31%5/16	14%1/7
5	36%4/11	17%1/6
6	80%4/5	33%2/6
All	45%33/74	26%12/46

Louisville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	33%3/9
2	88%7/8	50%7/14
3	75%6/8	67%12/18
4	83%5/6	55%6/11
5	71%5/7	69%11/16
6	44%4/9	33%2/6
All	74%34/46	55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#	DUKE-LOUIS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	0-1	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec
2	0-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
3	0-3	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	Kamden Schrand	aced Mailinh Godschall
4	1-3	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
5	1-4	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
6	1-5	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
7	2-5	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
8	2-6	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
9	3-6	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn
10	3-7	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
11	4-7	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn
12	4-8	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Chloe Chicoine
13	4-9	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
14	5-9	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn
15	6-9	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Addison Makun
16	6-10	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
17	7-10	LOUIS	DUKE×3	Serve err	Louisville
18	8-10	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Chloe Meester
19	9-10	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Ashby Zubchevich	aced Payton Petersen
20	9-11	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Ashby Zubchevich
21	10-11	LOUIS	DUKE	Serve err	Louisville
22	10-12	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
23	11-12	LOUIS	DUKE	Serve err	Louisville
24	11-13	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
25	11-14	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux
26	12-14	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
27	12-15	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
28	13-15	LOUIS	DUKE	Attack err	Chloe Meester
29	13-16	DUKE	LOUIS×3	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
30	13-17	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec
31	13-18	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Breonna Goss
32	14-18	LOUIS	DUKE	Attack err	Chloe Meester
33	15-18	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Kalyssa Blackshear	blk Breonna Goss, Ashby Zubchevich
34	15-19	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Chloe Meester
35	16-19	LOUIS	DUKE	Attack err	Kalyssa Blackshear
36	17-19	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Addison Makun
37	17-20	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
38	18-20	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn
39	18-21	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
40	19-21	LOUIS	DUKE	Blocked	Chloe Chicoine	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Avery Hamlin
41	19-22	DUKE	LOUIS×4	Serve err	Duke
42	19-23	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
43	19-24	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
44	19-25	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Hannah Kenny
Set 2
1	0-1	DUKE	LOUIS×5	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
2	0-2	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Attack err	Nataly Moravec
3	0-3	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
4	0-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
5	0-5	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Ace	Louisville	aced Mailinh Godschall
6	1-5	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn
7	1-6	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
8	1-7	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich
9	2-7	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
10	3-7	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Brooke Bultema
11	3-8	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
12	4-8	LOUIS	DUKE	Serve err	Chloe Chicoine
13	4-9	DUKE	LOUIS×5	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
14	4-10	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Ace	Louisville	aced Nataly Moravec
15	4-11	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
16	4-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Addison Makun, Nayelis Cabello
17	4-13	LOUIS	LOUIS×5	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Nayelis Cabello, Addison Makun
18	5-13	LOUIS	DUKE	Blocked	Chloe Meester	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nikki Quinn
19	5-14	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
20	6-14	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn
21	6-15	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
22	7-15	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn
23	7-16	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
24	8-16	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn
25	8-17	DUKE	LOUIS×4	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
26	8-18	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Avery Hamlin	blk Chloe Chicoine, Brooke Bultema
27	8-19	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Brooke Bultema
28	8-20	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Chicoine
29	9-20	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall
30	9-21	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
31	10-21	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
32	10-22	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
33	10-23	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
34	11-23	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn
35	11-24	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
36	11-25	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
Set 3
1	1-0	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nikki Quinn	set Nataly Moravec
2	1-1	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
3	2-1	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
4	2-2	DUKE	LOUIS×3	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
5	2-3	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Ace	Louisville	aced Mailinh Godschall
6	2-4	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec
7	3-4	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn
8	4-4	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nikki Quinn	set Kyndal Ganoe
9	4-5	DUKE	LOUIS×6	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
10	4-6	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Ace	Louisville	aced Mailinh Godschall
11	4-7	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Chloe Chicoine
12	4-8	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
13	4-9	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
14	4-10	LOUIS	LOUIS×6	Ace	Louisville	aced Mailinh Godschall
15	5-10	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn
16	6-10	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Mailinh Godschall	aced Payton Petersen
17	6-11	DUKE	LOUIS×4	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
18	6-12	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello
19	6-13	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema
20	6-14	LOUIS	LOUIS×4	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Payton Petersen
21	7-14	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn
22	7-15	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello
23	7-16	LOUIS	LOUIS	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Brooke Bultema, Nayelis Cabello
24	8-16	LOUIS	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn
25	9-16	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
26	10-16	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
27	10-17	DUKE	LOUIS	Serve err	Duke
28	11-17	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn
29	12-17	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Chloe Meester
30	12-18	DUKE	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
31	12-19	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello
32	12-20	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Payton Petersen
33	13-20	LOUIS	DUKE	Attack err	Chloe Meester
34	14-20	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Ashby Zubchevich
35	14-21	DUKE	LOUIS×3	Serve err	Avery Hamlin
36	14-22	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
37	14-23	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello
38	15-23	LOUIS	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn
39	15-24	DUKE	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello
40	15-25	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello

Score shown after each rally, Duke first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Louisville def. Duke 3–0

.607 and 18 kills for Chloe Chicoine as Louisville rolled past Duke.