Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

East Carolina def. App State 3–2

East Carolina beat App State 3-2 (25-20, 20-25, 17-25, 25-22, 15-12) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Ellie Pate led East Carolina with 14 kills; App State's Bella Hutchens had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set12345Sets
E CAR25201725153
APP ST20252522122

Win probability

App State above 50 · East Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+14.4% E CARrally 206 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.4% to East Carolina — set 5, E CAR 11-9 APP ST. Kill by Taryn Gilreath (set by Raegan Richardson). APP ST win probability 37% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E CAR 50.7%49.3% APP ST

East Carolina wins

3-0
12.8%
3-1
19.1%
3-2
18.9%

App State wins

3-0
12.2%
3-1
18.4%
3-2
18.6%
E CAR break %
40.0% vs this opp
APP ST break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Taryn GilreathKill+14.4%

    Kill by Taryn Gilreath (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 5 · E CAR 11-9 APP ST · E CAR 63% → 77%

  2. 02

    Brooke Doherty stuffed by Aulie Huff & Ekwe Anwah

    Set 5 · E CAR 14-12 APP ST · E CAR 75% → 89%

  3. 03

    Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 5 · E CAR 9-9 APP ST · APP ST 34% → 47%

  4. 04
    App StateAce+12.2%

    App State ace on Angeles Alderete

    Set 5 · E CAR 13-12 APP ST · APP ST 12% → 25%

  5. 05
    East CarolinaAce+12.1%

    East Carolina ace

    Set 5 · E CAR 13-10 APP ST · E CAR 80% → 92%

  6. 06
    East CarolinaAce+11.9%

    East Carolina ace on MeMe Davis

    Set 5 · E CAR 7-6 APP ST · E CAR 48% → 60%

  7. 07
    East CarolinaAce+11.7%

    East Carolina ace on Brooke Doherty

    Set 5 · E CAR 8-6 APP ST · E CAR 60% → 72%

  8. 08

    Kill by Angeles Alderete (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 5 · E CAR 15-12 APP ST · E CAR 89% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514453.1890026100014
510731.0970229102113
510226.3081205002113
56111.455100102239
55421.04838221000007
54310.100002002237
5002.0001011320000
5001.0001001000000
3000–001100000
2000–000220000
1011-1.000000100000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4922156.17342610587488102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518545.2890248002121
513534.2350144002115
513640.175003102010.513.5
54613-.154020300428
5016-.167411360010.51.5
1224.000000000002
57112.50000010031.58.5
5205.4001300400002
5002.0002012210000
4329.11100000052.55.5
4000–010100001
2000–000200000
1000–000200000
1000–100000000
Team totals6228170.200577156360189104

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 E CAR · APP ST 7

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 8 E CARAPP ST 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 E CARAPP ST 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 E CARAPP ST 7

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 E CARAPP ST 4

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 3 E CARAPP ST 2

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
17%2/12
2
43%12/28
40%8/20
3
59%10/17
45%9/20
4
64%9/14
40%6/15
5
82%9/11
25%3/12
6
53%8/15
61%14/23
All
58%60/104
41%42/102

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%12/14
47%9/19
2
58%11/19
50%12/24
3
50%11/22
42%8/19
4
69%9/13
33%5/15
5
43%9/21
40%6/15
6
62%8/13
33%4/12
All
59%60/102
42%44/104

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#E CAR-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
22-0E CARE CARAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+2.6
32-1E CARAPP ST×3KillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.7
42-2APP STAPP ST×3Attack errEkwe Anwah+2.7
52-3APP STAPP ST×3Attack errAulie Huff+2.7
63-3APP STE CARServe errApp State+1.8
73-4E CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.9
84-4APP STE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
94-5E CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.9
105-5APP STE CARServe errApp State+1.9
115-6E CARAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.0
125-7APP STAPP STBlockedEkwe Anwahblk Raegan Richardson, Chelsea Gilmore+2.9
136-7APP STE CAR×3Serve errApp State+1.9
147-7E CARE CAR×3Attack errChelsea Gilmore+3.0
158-7E CARE CAR×3BlockedBrooke Dohertyblk Kai Bailey+3.1
168-8E CARAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.1
178-9APP STAPP ST×3AceApp Stateaced Brooklyn Allison+3.2
188-10APP STAPP ST×3AceApp Stateaced Brooklyn Allison+3.2
199-10APP STE CARAttack errBella Hutchens+2.0
209-11E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+2.2
219-12APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Ellie Pate+3.1
2210-12APP STE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
2310-13E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2411-13APP STE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
2512-13E CARE CARAttack errLou Johnson+3.3
2612-14E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+2.4
2713-14APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.2
2813-15E CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.5
2914-15APP STE CARBlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Ekwe Anwah, Angeles Alderete+2.3
3014-16E CARAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.7
3115-16APP STE CAR×8Serve errApp State+2.4
3216-16E CARE CAR×8Attack errChelsea Gilmore+4.2
3317-16E CARE CAR×8KillAngeles Aldereteset Kai Bailey+4.5
3418-16E CARE CAR×8KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+4.4
3519-16E CARE CAR×8KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+3.9
3620-16E CARE CAR×8BlockedMolly Teagueblk Kai Bailey, Angeles Alderete+3.0
3721-16E CARE CAR×8KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.0
3822-16E CARE CAR×8KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.1
3922-17E CARAPP STKillLexi Shondellset MeMe Davis+0.3
4022-18APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Lexi Shondell+0.8
4123-18APP STE CARAttack errLou Johnson+1.0
4223-19E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Lexi Shondell+0.4
4324-19APP STE CARAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+0.8
4424-20E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.2
4525-20APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
Set 2
10-1E CARAPP STBlockedEllie Pateblk Nevaeh Hays, Bella Hutchens+1.7
20-2APP STAPP STAttack errEllie Pate+2.6
31-2APP STE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
42-2E CARE CARAttack errBrooke Doherty+2.7
52-3E CARAPP ST×4KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.8
62-4APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.7
72-5APP STAPP ST×4Attack errTaryn Gilreath+2.6
82-6APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.4
93-6APP STE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
104-6E CARE CAR×3Bad setRaegan Richardson+2.4
115-6E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Brooklyn Allison+2.7
125-7E CARAPP STBlockedTaryn Gilreathblk Bella Hutchens, Nevaeh Hays+1.9
136-7APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
146-8E CARAPP STKillMolly Teagueset Lexi Shondell+2.0
157-8APP STE CARServe errApp State+1.9
167-9E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Lexi Shondell+2.0
178-9APP STE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
188-10E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Lexi Shondell+2.1
198-11APP STAPP STAttack errAngeles Alderete+3.0
209-11APP STE CARServe errApp State+1.8
219-12E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+2.0
2210-12APP STE CAR×3Serve errApp State+1.8
2311-12E CARE CAR×3BlockedNevaeh Haysblk Ekwe Anwah+3.2
2412-12E CARE CAR×3KillTaryn Gilreath+3.5
2512-13E CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.4
2613-13APP STE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.4
2713-14E CARAPP STBad setAulie Huff+2.5
2813-15APP STAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+3.8
2914-15APP STE CARServe errApp State+2.3
3014-16E CARAPP ST×5Serve errEast Carolina+2.6
3114-17APP STAPP ST×5AceApp State+3.6
3214-18APP STAPP ST×5Attack errAngeles Alderete+3.0
3314-19APP STAPP ST×5Attack errAngeles Alderete+2.2
3414-20APP STAPP ST×5BlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Molly Teague, Chelsea Gilmore+1.4
3515-20APP STE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
3616-20E CARE CARBlockedBella Hutchensblk Kai Bailey+1.3
3716-21E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+1.3
3817-21APP STE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.7
3917-22E CARAPP STBad setAulie Huff+1.2
4018-22APP STE CARServe errApp State+0.6
4118-23E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.1
4219-23APP STE CARBad setNevaeh Hays+0.4
4319-24E CARAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+0.8
4420-24APP STE CARAttack errRaegan Richardson+0.2
4520-25E CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.4
Set 3
10-1APP STAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.5
20-2APP STAPP ST×4Attack errTaryn Gilreath+3.5
30-3APP STAPP ST×4KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+3.4
40-4APP STAPP ST×4KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+3.1
51-4APP STE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
61-5E CARAPP ST×7KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.1
71-6APP STAPP ST×7AceApp Stateaced Allison Butrum+2.8
81-7APP STAPP ST×7BlockedEllie Pateblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+2.4
91-8APP STAPP ST×7AceApp Stateaced Allison Butrum+2.0
101-9APP STAPP ST×7Attack errEkwe Anwah+1.6
111-10APP STAPP ST×7Attack errTaryn Gilreath+1.2
121-11APP STAPP ST×7Bad setAngeles Alderete+0.8
132-11APP STE CARServe errApp State+0.4
142-12E CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.5
152-13APP STAPP STBlockedAulie Huffblk Brooke Doherty, Chelsea Gilmore+0.5
163-13APP STE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
173-14E CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.3
184-14APP STE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Aulie Huff+0.2
194-15E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+0.3
205-15APP STE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
216-15E CARE CARServe errEast Carolina+0.3
226-16E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Lexi Shondell+0.3
237-16APP STE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
248-16E CARE CARAceEast Carolina+0.5
258-17E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Lexi Shondell+0.5
269-17APP STE CARAttack errBella Hutchens+0.3
279-18E CARAPP ST×3KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.4
289-19APP STAPP ST×3Attack errEllie Pate+0.3
299-20APP STAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+0.1
3010-20APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset MeMe Davis·
3110-21E CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
3210-22APP STAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson·
3311-22APP STE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath·
3412-22E CARE CAR×4Bad setDelanie Grevengoed·
3513-22E CARE CAR×4KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath·
3614-22E CARE CAR×4Attack errChelsea Gilmore+0.1
3714-23E CARAPP STAttack errKanani Magee+0.1
3815-23APP STE CARServe errApp State·
3916-23E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
4016-24E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+0.1
4117-24APP STE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath·
4217-25E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Eva Goodson·
Set 4
10-1E CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+2.3
21-1APP STE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+2.3
31-2E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+2.4
42-2APP STE CAR×3Serve errApp State+2.4
53-2E CARE CAR×3Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+3.7
64-2E CARE CAR×3Attack errBrooke Doherty+3.6
74-3E CARAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.3
84-4APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+3.7
94-5APP STAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+3.9
104-6APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset MeMe Davis+3.8
115-6APP STE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+2.4
125-7E CARAPP STKillMolly Teagueset Lexi Shondell+2.6
135-8APP STAPP STKillMolly Teagueset Lexi Shondell+3.8
146-8APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
156-9E CARAPP STKillLexi Shondell+2.6
167-9APP STE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
177-10E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+2.6
187-11APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.6
198-11APP STE CARAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+2.0
208-12E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.4
219-12APP STE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.0
2210-12E CARE CAR×4BlockedNevaeh Haysblk Ekwe Anwah+3.7
2311-12E CARE CAR×4Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+4.3
2412-12E CARE CAR×4Attack errBrooke Doherty+4.7
2512-13E CARAPP ST×3KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+3.3
2612-14APP STAPP ST×3KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+4.9
2712-15APP STAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+4.5
2813-15APP STE CAR×4KillTaryn Gilreathset Chelsea Gilmore+2.6
2914-15E CARE CAR×4AceEast Carolina+4.7
3015-15E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Brooklyn Allison+5.3
3116-15E CARE CAR×4Attack errBrooke Doherty+5.7
3216-16E CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+3.7
3317-16APP STE CAR×3Serve errApp State+4.0
3418-16E CARE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+5.9
3519-16E CARE CAR×3Attack errChelsea Gilmore+5.2
3619-17E CARAPP STBlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Chelsea Gilmore, Molly Teague+2.7
3720-17APP STE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+3.6
3821-17E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+4.0
3921-18E CARAPP STKillMolly Teagueset Lexi Shondell+1.6
4021-19APP STAPP STBlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Nevaeh Hays, Molly Teague+3.9
4122-19APP STE CAR×3BlockedBella Hutchensblk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff+3.9
4223-19E CARE CAR×3Bad setLexi Shondell+3.7
4324-19E CARE CAR×3Attack errBella Hutchens+1.6
4424-20E CARAPP ST×3KillMolly Teagueset Lexi Shondell+0.2
4524-21APP STAPP ST×3BlockedAngeles Aldereteblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+0.9
4624-22APP STAPP ST×3Attack errKai Bailey+2.2
4725-22APP STE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.1
Set 5
11-0E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Brooke Doherty+9.1
21-1E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+6.0
32-1APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+6.3
42-2E CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Aulie Huff+6.2
52-3APP STAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+9.8
63-3APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Emma Ortiz+6.5
73-4E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+6.8
84-4APP STE CARServe errApp State+6.7
94-5E CARAPP STServe errEast Carolina+7.2
105-5APP STE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+7.0
115-6E CARAPP STKillMolly Teagueset Lexi Shondell+7.5
126-6APP STE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+7.4
137-6E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolinaaced MeMe Davis+11.9
148-6E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolinaaced Brooke Doherty+11.7
158-7E CARAPP STKillMolly Teagueset Lexi Shondell+6.9
169-7APP STE CARServe errApp State+8.3
179-8E CARAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+7.2
189-9APP STAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+13.4
1910-9APP STE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+9.9
2011-9E CARE CARKillTaryn Gilreathset Raegan Richardson+14.4
2111-10E CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+7.8
2212-10APP STE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+10.5
2313-10E CARE CARAceEast Carolina+12.1
2413-11E CARAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+4.3
2513-12APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Angeles Alderete+12.2
2614-12APP STE CARBlockedBrooke Dohertyblk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah+13.7
2715-12E CARE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+10.8

Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).