East Carolina def. App State 3–2
East Carolina beat App State 3-2 (25-20, 20-25, 17-25, 25-22, 15-12) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Ellie Pate led East Carolina with 14 kills; App State's Bella Hutchens had a match-high 18.
Data through · final Sep 4
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E CAR | 25 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| APP ST | 20 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 14.4% to East Carolina — set 5, E CAR 11-9 APP ST. Kill by Taryn Gilreath (set by Raegan Richardson). APP ST win probability 37% → 23%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
East Carolina wins
App State wins
- E CAR break %
- 40.0% vs this opp
- APP ST break %
- 39.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Taryn GilreathKill+14.4%
Kill by Taryn Gilreath (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 5 · E CAR 11-9 APP ST · E CAR 63% → 77%
- 02Aulie Huff&Ekwe AnwahBlock+13.7%
Brooke Doherty stuffed by Aulie Huff & Ekwe Anwah
Set 5 · E CAR 14-12 APP ST · E CAR 75% → 89%
- 03Delanie GrevengoedKill+13.4%
Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 5 · E CAR 9-9 APP ST · APP ST 34% → 47%
- 04App StateAce+12.2%
App State ace on Angeles Alderete
Set 5 · E CAR 13-12 APP ST · APP ST 12% → 25%
- 05East CarolinaAce+12.1%
East Carolina ace
Set 5 · E CAR 13-10 APP ST · E CAR 80% → 92%
- 06East CarolinaAce+11.9%
East Carolina ace on MeMe Davis
Set 5 · E CAR 7-6 APP ST · E CAR 48% → 60%
- 07East CarolinaAce+11.7%
East Carolina ace on Brooke Doherty
Set 5 · E CAR 8-6 APP ST · E CAR 60% → 72%
- 08Angeles AldereteKill+10.8%
Kill by Angeles Alderete (set by Taryn Gilreath)
Set 5 · E CAR 15-12 APP ST · E CAR 89% → 100%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 14 | 4 | 53 | .189 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 31 | .097 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 26 | .308 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .455 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | .048 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 10 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 22 | 156 | .173 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 5 | 45 | .289 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 34 | .235 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 40 | .175 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -.154 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -.167 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 7 | 1 | 12 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | .111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 28 | 170 | .200 | 57 | 7 | 15 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 104 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-20
Set 2
20-25
Set 3
17-25
Set 4
25-22
Set 5
15-12
Bars above the line = App State leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
East Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63%12/19 | 17%2/12 |
| 2 | 43%12/28 | 40%8/20 |
| 3 | 59%10/17 | 45%9/20 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 40%6/15 |
| 5 | 82%9/11 | 25%3/12 |
| 6 | 53%8/15 | 61%14/23 |
| All | 58%60/104 | 41%42/102 |
App State
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86%12/14 | 47%9/19 |
| 2 | 58%11/19 | 50%12/24 |
| 3 | 50%11/22 | 42%8/19 |
| 4 | 69%9/13 | 33%5/15 |
| 5 | 43%9/21 | 40%6/15 |
| 6 | 62%8/13 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 59%60/102 | 42%44/104 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
206 rallies
| # | E CAR-APP ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +2.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | E CAR | APP ST×3 | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Ekwe Anwah | +2.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Aulie Huff | +2.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +1.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +1.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +2.0 |
| 12 | 5-7 | APP ST | APP ST | Blocked | Ekwe Anwah | blk Raegan Richardson, Chelsea Gilmore | +2.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | APP ST | E CAR×3 | Serve err | App State | +1.9 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Chelsea Gilmore | +3.0 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Blocked | Brooke Doherty | blk Kai Bailey | +3.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | E CAR | APP ST×3 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Ace | App State | aced Brooklyn Allison | +3.2 |
| 18 | 8-10 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Ace | App State | aced Brooklyn Allison | +3.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | APP ST | E CAR | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +2.0 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +2.2 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | APP ST | APP ST | Ace | App State | aced Ellie Pate | +3.1 |
| 22 | 10-12 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.8 |
| 23 | 10-13 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ekwe Anwah | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.9 |
| 25 | 12-13 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Lou Johnson | +3.3 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +2.4 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.2 |
| 28 | 13-15 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +2.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | APP ST | E CAR | Blocked | Chelsea Gilmore | blk Ekwe Anwah, Angeles Alderete | +2.3 |
| 30 | 14-16 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +2.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | APP ST | E CAR×8 | Serve err | App State | +2.4 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | E CAR | E CAR×8 | Attack err | Chelsea Gilmore | +4.2 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | E CAR | E CAR×8 | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Kai Bailey | +4.5 |
| 34 | 18-16 | E CAR | E CAR×8 | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | +4.4 |
| 35 | 19-16 | E CAR | E CAR×8 | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | +3.9 |
| 36 | 20-16 | E CAR | E CAR×8 | Blocked | Molly Teague | blk Kai Bailey, Angeles Alderete | +3.0 |
| 37 | 21-16 | E CAR | E CAR×8 | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.0 |
| 38 | 22-16 | E CAR | E CAR×8 | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.1 |
| 39 | 22-17 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Lexi Shondell | set MeMe Davis | +0.3 |
| 40 | 22-18 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Lexi Shondell | +0.8 |
| 41 | 23-18 | APP ST | E CAR | Attack err | Lou Johnson | +1.0 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Lexi Shondell | +0.4 |
| 43 | 24-19 | APP ST | E CAR | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +0.8 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.2 |
| 45 | 25-20 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | E CAR | APP ST | Blocked | Ellie Pate | blk Nevaeh Hays, Bella Hutchens | +1.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Ellie Pate | +2.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Brooke Doherty | +2.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | E CAR | APP ST×4 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +1.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +2.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Taryn Gilreath | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +2.4 |
| 9 | 3-6 | APP ST | E CAR×3 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Bad set | Raegan Richardson | +2.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brooklyn Allison | +2.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | E CAR | APP ST | Blocked | Taryn Gilreath | blk Bella Hutchens, Nevaeh Hays | +1.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Molly Teague | set Lexi Shondell | +2.0 |
| 15 | 7-8 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +1.9 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Lexi Shondell | +2.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.9 |
| 18 | 8-10 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Lexi Shondell | +2.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Angeles Alderete | +3.0 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +2.0 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | APP ST | E CAR×3 | Serve err | App State | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Blocked | Nevaeh Hays | blk Ekwe Anwah | +3.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Kill | Taryn Gilreath | +3.5 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +2.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | E CAR | APP ST | Bad set | Aulie Huff | +2.5 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +3.8 |
| 29 | 14-15 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +2.3 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | E CAR | APP ST×5 | Serve err | East Carolina | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Ace | App State | +3.6 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Angeles Alderete | +3.0 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Angeles Alderete | +2.2 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Blocked | Angeles Alderete | blk Molly Teague, Chelsea Gilmore | +1.4 |
| 35 | 15-20 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ekwe Anwah | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.5 |
| 36 | 16-20 | E CAR | E CAR | Blocked | Bella Hutchens | blk Kai Bailey | +1.3 |
| 37 | 16-21 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +1.3 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.7 |
| 39 | 17-22 | E CAR | APP ST | Bad set | Aulie Huff | +1.2 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +0.6 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +1.1 |
| 42 | 19-23 | APP ST | E CAR | Bad set | Nevaeh Hays | +0.4 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +0.8 |
| 44 | 20-24 | APP ST | E CAR | Attack err | Raegan Richardson | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +0.4 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +3.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Taryn Gilreath | +3.5 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +3.4 |
| 4 | 0-4 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +3.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Taryn Gilreath | +1.9 |
| 6 | 1-5 | E CAR | APP ST×7 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.1 |
| 7 | 1-6 | APP ST | APP ST×7 | Ace | App State | aced Allison Butrum | +2.8 |
| 8 | 1-7 | APP ST | APP ST×7 | Blocked | Ellie Pate | blk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed | +2.4 |
| 9 | 1-8 | APP ST | APP ST×7 | Ace | App State | aced Allison Butrum | +2.0 |
| 10 | 1-9 | APP ST | APP ST×7 | Attack err | Ekwe Anwah | +1.6 | |
| 11 | 1-10 | APP ST | APP ST×7 | Attack err | Taryn Gilreath | +1.2 | |
| 12 | 1-11 | APP ST | APP ST×7 | Bad set | Angeles Alderete | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 2-11 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +0.4 | |
| 14 | 2-12 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Nevaeh Hays | set Raegan Richardson | +0.5 |
| 15 | 2-13 | APP ST | APP ST | Blocked | Aulie Huff | blk Brooke Doherty, Chelsea Gilmore | +0.5 |
| 16 | 3-13 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.2 |
| 17 | 3-14 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +0.3 |
| 18 | 4-14 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Aulie Huff | +0.2 |
| 19 | 4-15 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 5-15 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.1 |
| 21 | 6-15 | E CAR | E CAR | Serve err | East Carolina | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 6-16 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Lexi Shondell | +0.3 |
| 23 | 7-16 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.2 |
| 24 | 8-16 | E CAR | E CAR | Ace | East Carolina | +0.5 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Lexi Shondell | +0.5 |
| 26 | 9-17 | APP ST | E CAR | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +0.3 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | E CAR | APP ST×3 | Kill | Nevaeh Hays | set Raegan Richardson | +0.4 |
| 28 | 9-19 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Ellie Pate | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 9-20 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set MeMe Davis | +0.1 |
| 30 | 10-20 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set MeMe Davis | · |
| 31 | 10-21 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.1 |
| 32 | 10-22 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | · |
| 33 | 11-22 | APP ST | E CAR×4 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | · |
| 34 | 12-22 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Bad set | Delanie Grevengoed | · | |
| 35 | 13-22 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | · |
| 36 | 14-22 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Attack err | Chelsea Gilmore | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 14-23 | E CAR | APP ST | Attack err | Kanani Magee | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | · | |
| 39 | 16-23 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 17-24 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | · |
| 42 | 17-25 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Eva Goodson | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Nevaeh Hays | set Raegan Richardson | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Taryn Gilreath | +2.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | APP ST | E CAR×3 | Serve err | App State | +2.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +3.7 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Brooke Doherty | +3.6 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | E CAR | APP ST×4 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +2.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +3.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +3.9 |
| 10 | 4-6 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set MeMe Davis | +3.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ekwe Anwah | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Molly Teague | set Lexi Shondell | +2.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Molly Teague | set Lexi Shondell | +3.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Lexi Shondell | +2.6 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set MeMe Davis | +2.6 |
| 18 | 7-11 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +3.6 |
| 19 | 8-11 | APP ST | E CAR | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +2.0 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +2.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | APP ST | E CAR×4 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.0 |
| 22 | 10-12 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Blocked | Nevaeh Hays | blk Ekwe Anwah | +3.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +4.3 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Attack err | Brooke Doherty | +4.7 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | E CAR | APP ST×3 | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +3.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +4.9 |
| 27 | 12-15 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +4.5 |
| 28 | 13-15 | APP ST | E CAR×4 | Kill | Taryn Gilreath | set Chelsea Gilmore | +2.6 |
| 29 | 14-15 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Ace | East Carolina | +4.7 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brooklyn Allison | +5.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Attack err | Brooke Doherty | +5.7 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +3.7 |
| 33 | 17-16 | APP ST | E CAR×3 | Serve err | App State | +4.0 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +5.9 |
| 35 | 19-16 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Chelsea Gilmore | +5.2 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | E CAR | APP ST | Blocked | Angeles Alderete | blk Chelsea Gilmore, Molly Teague | +2.7 |
| 37 | 20-17 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +3.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +4.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Molly Teague | set Lexi Shondell | +1.6 |
| 40 | 21-19 | APP ST | APP ST | Blocked | Angeles Alderete | blk Nevaeh Hays, Molly Teague | +3.9 |
| 41 | 22-19 | APP ST | E CAR×3 | Blocked | Bella Hutchens | blk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff | +3.9 |
| 42 | 23-19 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Bad set | Lexi Shondell | +3.7 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +1.6 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | E CAR | APP ST×3 | Kill | Molly Teague | set Lexi Shondell | +0.2 |
| 45 | 24-21 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Blocked | Angeles Alderete | blk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed | +0.9 |
| 46 | 24-22 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Kai Bailey | +2.2 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Taryn Gilreath | +2.1 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | E CAR | E CAR | Ace | East Carolina | aced Brooke Doherty | +9.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +6.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +6.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Aulie Huff | +6.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +9.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Emma Ortiz | +6.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +6.8 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +6.7 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | E CAR | APP ST | Serve err | East Carolina | +7.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ekwe Anwah | set Taryn Gilreath | +7.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Molly Teague | set Lexi Shondell | +7.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | APP ST | E CAR×3 | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Taryn Gilreath | +7.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Ace | East Carolina | aced MeMe Davis | +11.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Ace | East Carolina | aced Brooke Doherty | +11.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Molly Teague | set Lexi Shondell | +6.9 |
| 16 | 9-7 | APP ST | E CAR | Serve err | App State | +8.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +7.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +13.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Taryn Gilreath | +9.9 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Taryn Gilreath | set Raegan Richardson | +14.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +7.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | APP ST | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Taryn Gilreath | +10.5 |
| 23 | 13-10 | E CAR | E CAR | Ace | East Carolina | +12.1 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | E CAR | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +4.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | APP ST | APP ST | Ace | App State | aced Angeles Alderete | +12.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | APP ST | E CAR | Blocked | Brooke Doherty | blk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah | +13.7 |
| 27 | 15-12 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Taryn Gilreath | +10.8 |
Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).