Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

3:2

HomeSUN-BELT

East Carolina def. App State 3–2

(25-20, 20-25, 17-25, 25-22, 15-12)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
E CAR	25	20	17	25	15	3
APP ST	20	25	25	22	12	2

RallyIQ model

Win probability

APP ST above 50 · E CAR below

Biggest swing: 15.3% to East Carolina — set 5, E CAR 11-9 APP ST. Kill by Taryn Gilreath (set by Raegan Richardson). APP ST win probability 40% → 25%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E CAR 39.7%60.3% APP ST

East Carolina wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

16.6%

App State wins

3-0

17.3%

3-1

23.0%

3-2

19.9%

E CAR break %: 38.4% vs this opp
APP ST break %: 40.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Taryn GilreathKill+15.3%
Kill by Taryn Gilreath (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 5 · E CAR 11-9 APP ST · E CAR 60% → 75%
02
Brooke DohertyAttack error+14.4%
Brooke Doherty stuffed by Aulie Huff & Ekwe Anwah
Set 5 · E CAR 14-12 APP ST · E CAR 74% → 88%
03
Delanie GrevengoedKill+13.6%
Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 5 · E CAR 9-9 APP ST · APP ST 37% → 50%
04
E CAR serverAce+13.1%
East Carolina ace on Team
Set 5 · E CAR 13-10 APP ST · E CAR 78% → 91%
05
APP ST serverAce+12.8%
App State ace on Angeles Alderete
Set 5 · E CAR 13-12 APP ST · APP ST 13% → 26%
06
E CAR serverAce+12.3%
East Carolina ace on Brooke Doherty
Set 5 · E CAR 8-6 APP ST · E CAR 56% → 69%
07
E CAR serverAce+12.2%
East Carolina ace on MeMe Davis
Set 5 · E CAR 7-6 APP ST · E CAR 44% → 56%
08
Angeles AldereteKill+11.8%
Kill by Angeles Alderete (set by Taryn Gilreath)
Set 5 · E CAR 15-12 APP ST · E CAR 88% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

East Carolinaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Ellie PateOH	5	14	4	53	.189	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	0	14
3Angeles AldereteOH	5	10	7	31	.097	0	2	2	9	1	0	2	1	13
12Aulie HuffOH	5	10	2	26	.308	1	2	0	5	0	0	2	1	13
11Kai BaileyMB	5	6	1	11	.455	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	9
1Taryn GilreathS	5	5	4	21	.048	38	2	2	10	0	0	0	0	7
6Ekwe AnwahMB	5	4	3	10	.100	0	0	2	0	0	2	2	3	7
2Brooklyn AllisonL/DS	5	0	0	2	.000	1	0	1	13	2	0	0	0	0
4Emma OrtizL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
21Jaci HallOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Allison ButrumL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
9Kanani MageeOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
22Brook WatkinsS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Nina EdwardsMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	22	156	.173	42	6	10	58	7	4	8	8	102

App Statehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Bella HutchensOH	5	18	5	45	.289	0	2	4	8	0	2	1	21
23Delanie GrevengoedOH	5	13	5	34	.235	0	1	4	4	0	2	1	15
2Brooke DohertyOH	5	13	6	40	.175	0	0	3	10	2	1	0.5	13.5
8Chelsea GilmoreMB	5	4	6	13	-.154	0	2	0	3	0	4	2	8
18Raegan RichardsonS	5	0	1	6	-.167	41	1	3	6	0	1	0.5	1.5
98Lou JohnsonMB	1	2	2	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
7Molly TeagueOH	5	7	1	12	.500	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	8.5
3Lexi ShondellS	5	2	0	5	.400	13	0	0	4	0	0	0	2
4MeMe DavisL/DS	5	0	0	2	.000	2	0	1	22	1	0	0	0
20Nevaeh HaysMB	4	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
6Bella DaffornL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
24Iris WilliamsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
5Caroline FarthingL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
1Eva GoodsonS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		62	28	170	.200	57	7	15	63	6	18	9	104

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 E CAR · APP ST 7

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 8 E CARAPP ST 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 E CARAPP ST 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 E CARAPP ST 7

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 E CARAPP ST 4

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 3 E CARAPP ST 2

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

East Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%12/19	17%2/12
2	43%12/28	40%8/20
3	59%10/17	45%9/20
4	64%9/14	40%6/15
5	82%9/11	25%3/12
6	53%8/15	61%14/23
All	58%60/104	41%42/102

App State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%12/14	47%9/19
2	58%11/19	50%12/24
3	50%11/22	42%8/19
4	69%9/13	33%5/15
5	43%9/21	40%6/15
6	62%8/13	33%4/12
All	59%60/102	42%44/104

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

206 rallies

Rally log

#	E CAR-APP ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.7
2	2-0	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Delanie Grevengoed		+2.7
3	2-1	E CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.6
4	2-2	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Ekwe Anwah		+2.6
5	2-3	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+2.6
6	3-3	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+1.7
7	3-4	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.7
8	4-4	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.8
9	4-5	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
10	5-5	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+1.8
11	5-6	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
12	5-7	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Ekwe Anwah	blk Raegan Richardson, Chelsea Gilmore	+2.7
13	6-7	APP ST	E CAR×3	Serve err	APP ST server		+1.7
14	7-7	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Chelsea Gilmore		+2.9
15	8-7	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Brooke Doherty	blk Kai Bailey	+3.1
16	8-8	E CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+2.0
17	8-9	APP ST	APP ST×3	Ace	APP ST server	aced Brooklyn Allison	+3.1
18	8-10	APP ST	APP ST×3	Ace	APP ST server	aced Brooklyn Allison	+3.0
19	9-10	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+1.9
20	9-11	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.0
21	9-12	APP ST	APP ST	Ace	APP ST server	aced Ellie Pate	+2.8
22	10-12	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.6
23	10-13	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.9
24	11-13	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.7
25	12-13	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Lou Johnson		+3.1
26	12-14	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.2
27	13-14	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.1
28	13-15	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+2.3
29	14-15	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Chelsea Gilmore	blk Ekwe Anwah, Angeles Alderete	+2.1
30	14-16	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+2.4
31	15-16	APP ST	E CAR×8	Serve err	APP ST server		+2.2
32	16-16	E CAR	E CAR×8	Attack err	Chelsea Gilmore		+4.0
33	17-16	E CAR	E CAR×8	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Kai Bailey	+4.5
34	18-16	E CAR	E CAR×8	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+4.5
35	19-16	E CAR	E CAR×8	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+4.1
36	20-16	E CAR	E CAR×8	Attack err	Molly Teague	blk Kai Bailey, Angeles Alderete	+3.3
37	21-16	E CAR	E CAR×8	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.2
38	22-16	E CAR	E CAR×8	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.2
39	22-17	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Lexi Shondell	set MeMe Davis	+0.3
40	22-18	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Lexi Shondell	+0.9
41	23-18	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Lou Johnson		+1.1
42	23-19	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Lexi Shondell	+0.4
43	24-19	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Delanie Grevengoed		+0.9
44	24-20	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.2
45	25-20	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
Set 2
1	0-1	E CAR	APP ST	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Nevaeh Hays, Bella Hutchens	+1.8
2	0-2	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+2.7
3	1-2	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.7
4	2-2	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Brooke Doherty		+2.9
5	2-3	E CAR	APP ST×4	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+1.9
6	2-4	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+2.9
7	2-5	APP ST	APP ST×4	Attack err	Taryn Gilreath		+2.7
8	2-6	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+2.4
9	3-6	APP ST	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.4
10	4-6	E CAR	E CAR×3	Bad set	Raegan Richardson		+2.5
11	5-6	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brooklyn Allison	+2.9
12	5-7	E CAR	APP ST	Attack err	Taryn Gilreath	blk Bella Hutchens, Nevaeh Hays	+2.0
13	6-7	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.9
14	6-8	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Lexi Shondell	+2.0
15	7-8	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+2.0
16	7-9	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Lexi Shondell	+2.1
17	8-9	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.0
18	8-10	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Lexi Shondell	+2.2
19	8-11	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+3.1
20	9-11	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+1.8
21	9-12	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.0
22	10-12	APP ST	E CAR×3	Serve err	APP ST server		+1.8
23	11-12	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Nevaeh Hays	blk Ekwe Anwah	+3.4
24	12-12	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Taryn Gilreath		+3.8
25	12-13	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+2.6
26	13-13	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.6
27	13-14	E CAR	APP ST	Bad set	Aulie Huff		+2.7
28	13-15	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+4.0
29	14-15	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+2.4
30	14-16	E CAR	APP ST×5	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.7
31	14-17	APP ST	APP ST×5	Ace	APP ST server	aced Team	+3.7
32	14-18	APP ST	APP ST×5	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+3.0
33	14-19	APP ST	APP ST×5	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+2.1
34	14-20	APP ST	APP ST×5	Attack err	Angeles Alderete	blk Molly Teague, Chelsea Gilmore	+1.3
35	15-20	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
36	16-20	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Bella Hutchens	blk Kai Bailey	+1.2
37	16-21	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+1.2
38	17-21	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.7
39	17-22	E CAR	APP ST	Bad set	Aulie Huff		+1.1
40	18-22	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.5
41	18-23	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.0
42	19-23	APP ST	E CAR	Bad set	Nevaeh Hays		+0.3
43	19-24	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+0.7
44	20-24	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Raegan Richardson		+0.2
45	20-25	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+3.4
2	0-2	APP ST	APP ST×4	Attack err	Taryn Gilreath		+3.3
3	0-3	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+3.1
4	0-4	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+2.8
5	1-4	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.7
6	1-5	E CAR	APP ST×7	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
7	1-6	APP ST	APP ST×7	Ace	APP ST server	aced Allison Butrum	+2.5
8	1-7	APP ST	APP ST×7	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed	+2.0
9	1-8	APP ST	APP ST×7	Ace	APP ST server	aced Allison Butrum	+1.6
10	1-9	APP ST	APP ST×7	Attack err	Ekwe Anwah		+1.2
11	1-10	APP ST	APP ST×7	Attack err	Taryn Gilreath		+0.9
12	1-11	APP ST	APP ST×7	Bad set	Angeles Alderete		+0.6
13	2-11	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.3
14	2-12	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
15	2-13	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Aulie Huff	blk Brooke Doherty, Chelsea Gilmore	+0.3
16	3-13	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
17	3-14	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+0.2
18	4-14	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Aulie Huff	+0.1
19	4-15	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.2
20	5-15	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
21	6-15	E CAR	E CAR	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.2
22	6-16	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Lexi Shondell	+0.2
23	7-16	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
24	8-16	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Team	+0.3
25	8-17	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Lexi Shondell	+0.3
26	9-17	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+0.2
27	9-18	E CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
28	9-19	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+0.2
29	9-20	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set MeMe Davis	+0.1
30	10-20	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set MeMe Davis	+0.0
31	10-21	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
32	10-22	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
33	11-22	APP ST	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
34	12-22	E CAR	E CAR×4	Bad set	Delanie Grevengoed		+0.0
35	13-22	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
36	14-22	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Chelsea Gilmore		+0.1
37	14-23	E CAR	APP ST	Attack err	Kanani Magee		+0.1
38	15-23	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.0
39	16-23	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
40	16-24	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+0.1
41	17-24	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.0
42	17-25	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Eva Goodson	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+2.0
2	1-1	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Taryn Gilreath		+2.1
3	1-2	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.1
4	2-2	APP ST	E CAR×3	Serve err	APP ST server		+2.1
5	3-2	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Delanie Grevengoed		+3.4
6	4-2	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Brooke Doherty		+3.5
7	4-3	E CAR	APP ST×4	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+2.1
8	4-4	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+3.4
9	4-5	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+3.4
10	4-6	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set MeMe Davis	+3.3
11	5-6	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.1
12	5-7	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Lexi Shondell	+2.2
13	5-8	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Lexi Shondell	+3.2
14	6-8	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.9
15	6-9	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Lexi Shondell		+2.1
16	7-9	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.9
17	7-10	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+2.1
18	7-11	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+2.9
19	8-11	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Delanie Grevengoed		+1.6
20	8-12	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.9
21	9-12	APP ST	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.6
22	10-12	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Nevaeh Hays	blk Ekwe Anwah	+3.1
23	11-12	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Delanie Grevengoed		+3.7
24	12-12	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Brooke Doherty		+4.2
25	12-13	E CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+2.8
26	12-14	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+4.3
27	12-15	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+3.8
28	13-15	APP ST	E CAR×4	Kill	Taryn Gilreath	set Chelsea Gilmore	+2.1
29	14-15	E CAR	E CAR×4	Ace	E CAR server	aced Team	+4.1
30	15-15	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brooklyn Allison	+4.8
31	16-15	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Brooke Doherty		+5.3
32	16-16	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+3.3
33	17-16	APP ST	E CAR×3	Serve err	APP ST server		+3.6
34	18-16	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+5.6
35	19-16	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Chelsea Gilmore		+5.1
36	19-17	E CAR	APP ST	Attack err	Angeles Alderete	blk Chelsea Gilmore, Molly Teague	+2.5
37	20-17	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+3.5
38	21-17	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+4.0
39	21-18	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Lexi Shondell	+1.6
40	21-19	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Angeles Alderete	blk Nevaeh Hays, Molly Teague	+3.8
41	22-19	APP ST	E CAR×3	Attack err	Bella Hutchens	blk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff	+3.8
42	23-19	E CAR	E CAR×3	Bad set	Lexi Shondell		+3.7
43	24-19	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+1.6
44	24-20	E CAR	APP ST×3	Kill	Molly Teague	set Lexi Shondell	+0.2
45	24-21	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Angeles Alderete	blk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed	+0.8
46	24-22	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Kai Bailey		+2.1
47	25-22	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.9
Set 5
1	1-0	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Brooke Doherty	+9.3
2	1-1	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+5.9
3	2-1	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+6.3
4	2-2	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Aulie Huff	+6.1
5	2-3	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+9.7
6	3-3	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Emma Ortiz	+6.3
7	3-4	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+6.5
8	4-4	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+6.6
9	4-5	E CAR	APP ST	Serve err	E CAR server		+6.8
10	5-5	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+6.9
11	5-6	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Lexi Shondell	+7.2
12	6-6	APP ST	E CAR×3	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+7.3
13	7-6	E CAR	E CAR×3	Ace	E CAR server	aced MeMe Davis	+12.2
14	8-6	E CAR	E CAR×3	Ace	E CAR server	aced Brooke Doherty	+12.3
15	8-7	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Lexi Shondell	+7.0
16	9-7	APP ST	E CAR	Serve err	APP ST server		+8.6
17	9-8	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+7.3
18	9-9	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+13.6
19	10-9	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Taryn Gilreath		+10.0
20	11-9	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Taryn Gilreath	set Raegan Richardson	+15.3
21	11-10	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+7.9
22	12-10	APP ST	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+11.0
23	13-10	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Team	+13.1
24	13-11	E CAR	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+4.4
25	13-12	APP ST	APP ST	Ace	APP ST server	aced Angeles Alderete	+12.8
26	14-12	APP ST	E CAR	Attack err	Brooke Doherty	blk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah	+14.4
27	15-12	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+11.8

Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.