Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

East Carolina def. Rice 3–1

East Carolina won at Rice 3-1 (25-15, 18-25, 25-23, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Ellie Pate led East Carolina with 15 kills; Rice's Sydnee Peterson had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set1234Sets
E CAR251825253
RICE152523221

Win probability

Rice above 50 · East Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.4% E CARrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.4% to East Carolina — set 4, E CAR 24-22 RICE. Kellen Dorotik stuffed by Ellie Pate & Ekwe Anwah. RICE win probability 22% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E CAR 26.4%73.6% RICE

East Carolina wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.1%
3-2
12.5%

Rice wins

3-0
25.9%
3-1
28.2%
3-2
19.5%
E CAR break %
36.5% vs this opp
RICE break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kellen Dorotik stuffed by Ellie Pate & Ekwe Anwah

    Set 4 · E CAR 24-22 RICE · E CAR 78% → 92%

  2. 02
    RiceService error+9.8%

    Rice service error

    Set 3 · E CAR 25-23 RICE · E CAR 52% → 62%

  3. 03
    East CarolinaAce+9.5%

    East Carolina ace on Jordan Hummel

    Set 4 · E CAR 20-19 RICE · E CAR 63% → 73%

  4. 04
    Ellie PateKill+9.1%

    Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 4 · E CAR 23-22 RICE · E CAR 68% → 78%

  5. 05
    Ellie PateKill+8.1%

    Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Emma Ortiz)

    Set 4 · E CAR 25-22 RICE · E CAR 92% → 100%

  6. 06
    Ellie PateKill+7.9%

    Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 4 · E CAR 19-19 RICE · E CAR 55% → 63%

  7. 07
    Aulie HuffKill+7.8%

    Kill by Aulie Huff (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 4 · E CAR 22-21 RICE · E CAR 68% → 75%

  8. 08
    Maggie CroftKill+7.1%

    Kill by Maggie Croft (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 4 · E CAR 22-22 RICE · RICE 25% → 32%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412435.22903170031.516.5
415947.128002110010.515.5
414241.293102200010.514.5
49314.42900020233.512.5
46317.17644021600217
4406.667000000426
4000–010100001
4001.0005002540000
2000–001000000
2000–001200000
Team totals6021161.2425049844214993
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418652.23101113100019
48740.0250003012210
47217.294002500429
4108.1253721900214
4000–012920001
35117.23500010010.55.5
41319-.105100100212
4011-1.000200300000
4000–400700000
3000–0001000000
27112.50010010010.57.5
1114.000000200001
11011.000000000001
1001.000000100000
1000–100000000
Team totals4922172.1574646654112785

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 E CAR · RICE 4

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 E CARRICE 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 E CARRICE 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 E CARRICE 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 E CARRICE 2

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
0%0/9
2
67%10/15
38%6/16
3
71%10/14
52%11/21
4
56%9/16
44%7/16
5
53%9/17
31%4/13
6
80%8/10
53%9/17
All
65%56/86
40%37/92

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
25%3/12
2
53%10/19
38%6/16
3
59%10/17
17%2/12
4
60%9/15
41%7/17
5
44%8/18
31%4/13
6
73%8/11
50%8/16
All
60%55/92
35%30/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#E CAR-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1E CARRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.3
21-1RICEE CARServe errRice+1.4
31-2E CARRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.4
42-2RICEE CAR×3KillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
53-2E CARE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.4
64-2E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Emma Ortiz+2.6
74-3E CARRICEAttack errEllie Pate+1.5
85-3RICEE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
95-4E CARRICEAttack errEllie Pate+1.5
106-4RICEE CAR×3KillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
117-4E CARE CAR×3Attack errStephanie Gutierrez+2.7
128-4E CARE CAR×3KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.7
138-5E CARRICEKillAaliyah Smithset Kellen Dorotik+1.4
148-6RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.5
159-6RICEE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
169-7E CARRICEAttack errKai Bailey+1.6
1710-7RICEE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
1810-8E CARRICEAttack errAmalia Simmons+1.6
1911-8RICEE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.0
2012-8E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.9
2112-9E CARRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.5
2213-9RICEE CARAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.9
2314-9E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.6
2414-10E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.2
2515-10RICEE CAR×5Attack errCampbell Love+1.7
2616-10E CARE CAR×5KillAulie Huffset Savannah Skopal+2.0
2717-10E CARE CAR×5Bad setSavannah Skopal+1.5
2818-10E CARE CAR×5KillAngeles Alderete+1.0
2919-10E CARE CAR×5BlockedAaliyah Smithblk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff+0.5
3019-11E CARRICEKillKaia Mateo+0.2
3120-11RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
3221-11E CARE CARBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Kai Bailey+0.2
3321-12E CARRICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo·
3421-13RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Emma Ortiz+0.1
3521-14RICERICE×3BlockedKai Baileyblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Amalia Simmons+0.2
3622-14RICEE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
3723-14E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
3824-14E CARE CAR×3BlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Kai Bailey·
3924-15E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina·
4025-15RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath·
Set 2
11-0RICEE CARAttack errAmalia Simmons+2.0
22-0E CARE CARAttack errAmalia Simmons+3.3
32-1E CARRICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Mari Furoyama+1.9
42-2RICERICE×3Attack errAulie Huff+3.1
52-3RICERICE×3Attack errAngeles Alderete+3.0
63-3RICEE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.0
73-4E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina+1.9
84-4RICEE CARBlockedAmalia Simmonsblk Aulie Huff, Ekwe Anwah+2.0
94-5E CARRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+2.0
104-6RICERICEAttack errAulie Huff+2.9
115-6RICEE CARServe errRice+1.8
125-7E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina+1.9
136-7RICEE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
146-8E CARRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.9
157-8RICEE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
167-9E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina+2.0
178-9RICEE CARKillTaryn Gilreathset Kaia Mateo+2.0
188-10E CARRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.1
198-11RICERICEBlockedEllie Pateblk Arissa Smith, Kaia Mateo+2.9
209-11RICEE CAR×3Serve errRice+1.7
2110-11E CARE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+3.2
2211-11E CARE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+3.8
2311-12E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina+2.5
2412-12RICEE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+2.6
2513-12E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+4.5
2613-13E CARRICE×4Serve errEast Carolina+2.7
2713-14RICERICE×4Attack errAulie Huff+4.3
2813-15RICERICE×4Attack errEllie Pate+4.0
2913-16RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+3.4
3014-16RICEE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
3114-17E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.2
3214-18RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+2.7
3315-18RICEE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
3416-18E CARE CAR×3AceEast Carolinaaced Jordan Hummel+3.0
3517-18E CARE CAR×3KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+4.1
3617-19E CARRICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+3.1
3717-20RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+4.0
3817-21RICERICE×3Bad setAulie Huff+2.7
3918-21RICEE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+1.1
4018-22E CARRICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.6
4118-23RICERICE×4AceRiceaced Emma Ortiz+1.3
4218-24RICERICE×4BlockedTaryn Gilreathblk Amalia Simmons+0.4
4318-25RICERICE×4BlockedEllie Pateblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kaia Mateo+0.1
Set 3
10-1E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina+1.9
21-1RICEE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Emma Ortiz+2.0
32-1E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+3.4
43-1E CARE CAR×3Attack errArissa Smith+3.6
53-2E CARRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+2.1
64-2RICEE CAR×3Attack errAmalia Simmons+2.4
75-2E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Emma Ortiz+3.8
86-2E CARE CAR×3BlockedAmalia Simmonsblk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath+3.7
96-3E CARRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+2.0
107-3RICEE CAR×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Taryn Gilreath, Kai Bailey+2.4
118-3E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Emma Ortiz+3.5
129-3E CARE CAR×3KillTaryn Gilreathset Kaia Mateo+3.1
139-4E CARRICEBlockedEllie Pateblk Maggie Croft, Kellen Dorotik+1.5
1410-4RICEE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+2.0
1511-4E CARE CARAttack errSydnee Peterson+2.6
1611-5E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina+1.2
1711-6RICERICEAttack errTaryn Gilreath+2.4
1812-6RICEE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.0
1913-6E CARE CARBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff+2.5
2013-7E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.1
2114-7RICEE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.6
2214-8E CARRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.0
2315-8RICEE CARAttack errAmalia Simmons+1.5
2415-9E CARRICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+0.9
2516-9RICEE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
2617-9E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Sydnee Peterson+1.5
2717-10E CARRICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+0.5
2817-11RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Campbell Love+1.3
2918-11RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
3018-12E CARRICE×3KillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+0.7
3118-13RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.7
3218-14RICERICE×3Attack errKai Bailey+2.4
3319-14RICEE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+2.3
3419-15E CARRICE×3KillEllie Schneiderset Zora Bello+1.4
3519-16RICERICE×3Attack errAulie Huff+3.2
3619-17RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+4.4
3720-17RICEE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+3.9
3820-18E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.7
3921-18RICEE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+4.1
4021-19E CARRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+2.7
4121-20RICERICEAttack errEllie Pate+6.1
4222-20RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+5.5
4323-20E CARE CARAttack errSydnee Peterson+6.9
4423-21E CARRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+2.2
4524-21RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+4.5
4624-22E CARRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Mari Furoyama+1.5
4724-23RICERICEAceRiceaced Emma Ortiz+5.8
4825-23RICEE CARServe errRice+9.8
Set 4
11-0RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.8
22-0E CARE CARAceEast Carolina+4.5
32-1E CARRICEAttack errEllie Pate+2.7
42-2RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+4.3
53-2RICEE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.9
63-3E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.7
73-4RICERICEAttack errAngeles Alderete+4.3
84-4RICEE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.8
94-5E CARRICEServe errEast Carolina+2.7
104-6RICERICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Campbell Love+4.1
115-6RICEE CARAttack errKellen Dorotik+2.6
125-7E CARRICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+2.6
135-8RICERICEBlockedTaryn Gilreathblk Amalia Simmons+3.7
146-8RICEE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.2
157-8E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+4.1
168-8E CARE CAR×3Attack errKellen Dorotik+4.8
178-9E CARRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+3.1
189-9RICEE CARKillEllie Pateset Angeles Alderete+3.2
199-10E CARRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Mari Furoyama+3.2
2010-10RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+3.3
2110-11E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Taryn Gilreath+3.3
2211-11RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+3.4
2311-12E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+3.4
2411-13RICERICEAceRiceaced Emma Ortiz+5.1
2512-13RICEE CARServe errRice+3.1
2612-14E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+3.3
2713-14RICEE CARServe errRice+3.2
2813-15E CARRICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+3.4
2914-15RICEE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+3.3
3014-16E CARRICEBlockedEllie Pateblk Kellen Dorotik, Stephanie Gutierrez+3.6
3115-16RICEE CARAttack errAmalia Simmons+3.4
3215-17E CARRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+3.8
3316-17RICEE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+3.6
3416-18E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+4.0
3516-19RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Maggie Croft+5.3
3617-19RICEE CAR×4KillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.7
3718-19E CARE CAR×4BlockedMaggie Croftblk Angeles Alderete, Kai Bailey+5.9
3819-19E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+7.9
3920-19E CARE CAR×4AceEast Carolinaaced Jordan Hummel+9.5
4020-20E CARRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+5.7
4121-20RICEE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+6.8
4221-21E CARRICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+6.3
4322-21RICEE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+7.8
4422-22E CARRICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+7.1
4523-22RICEE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+9.1
4624-22E CARE CAR×3BlockedKellen Dorotikblk Ellie Pate, Ekwe Anwah+14.4
4725-22E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Emma Ortiz+8.1

Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).