Holy Cross vs Providence Volleyball: Providence Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

0:3

Providence beat visiting Holy Cross 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Providence's Tori Otter led with 9 kills, and Ava Dyer added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Sep 12

Set	1	2	3	Sets
HOLYCR	19	20	21	0
PROV	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Providence above 50 · Holy Cross below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Providence — set 2, HOLYCR 19-21 PROV. Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Miller McDonald). PROV win probability 95% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOLYCR 8.7%91.3% PROV

Holy Cross wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

5.0%

Providence wins

3-0

46.8%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.1%

HOLYCR break %: 38.9% vs this opp
PROV break %: 49.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sophia AdkinsKill+1.3%
Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Miller McDonald)
Set 2 · HOLYCR 19-21 PROV · PROV 95% → 97%
02
Lyric BerryKill+1.3%
Kill by Lyric Berry (set by Sarah Musial)
Set 2 · HOLYCR 17-18 PROV · PROV 94% → 95%
03
ProvidenceAce+1.3%
Providence ace on KK Green
Set 2 · HOLYCR 16-16 PROV · PROV 93% → 94%
04
Emma SorensenKill+1.2%
Kill by Emma Sorensen (set by Tuana Ozarpaci)
Set 2 · HOLYCR 12-8 PROV · HOLYCR 8% → 9%
05
Shea Dupuis&Aubrey EasterwoodBlock+1.2%
KK Green stuffed by Shea Dupuis & Aubrey Easterwood
Set 2 · HOLYCR 15-14 PROV · PROV 92% → 93%
06
Sarahya College&Kyla HarrisBlock+1.2%
Macy Taylor stuffed by Sarahya College & Kyla Harris
Set 2 · HOLYCR 19-19 PROV · HOLYCR 5% → 6%
07
Holy CrossService error+1.2%
Holy Cross service error
Set 2 · HOLYCR 19-20 PROV · PROV 94% → 95%
08
KK GreenKill+1.2%
Kill by KK Green (set by Tuana Ozarpaci)
Set 2 · HOLYCR 17-16 PROV · HOLYCR 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Holy Crossaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Emma SorensenOH	3	8	6	29	.069	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	8
23Sarahya CollegeOH	3	3	2	10	.100	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
8Lacey MurphyMB	3	3	3	9	.000	0	0	4	0	1	2	2	5
19Kyla HarrisMB	3	2	2	14	.000	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
3Tuana OzarpaciS	3	1	0	3	.333	15	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
16Georgia MurphyOH	1	0	2	5	-.400	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
1KK GreenOH	3	7	6	26	.038	0	1	6	3	0	0	0	7
11Kat TeepeOH	3	7	2	18	.278	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
26Keira MullenS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	3	9	0	0	0	0	1
15Elizabeth HallDS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	0	9	4	0	0	0	0
21Alana WhitwellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Savannah BaronDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	23	117	.077	29	8	46	8	1	10	6	60

Providencehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Tori OtterMB	3	9	2	20	.350	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	10
21Sophia AdkinsOH	3	8	4	22	.182	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	8.5
0Aubrey EasterwoodMB	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	2	1	0	5	2.5	7.5
11Lyric BerryMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
15Macy TaylorOH	3	4	6	21	-.095	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	4
1Miller McDonaldS	3	0	0	0	–	17	3	2	5	0	0	0	3
7Shea DupuisOH	3	5	4	19	.053	0	0	0	1	1	4	3	8
20Sarah MusialS	3	1	0	5	.200	10	2	0	6	0	0	0	3
8Gwenyth KossOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	7	0	0	0	3
6Ava DyerL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	4	0	2	17	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	19	112	.152	31	8	8	49	1	14	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 HOLYCR · PROV 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 HOLYCRPROV 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 HOLYCRPROV 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 HOLYCRPROV 7

Bars above the line = Providence leads, below = Holy Cross leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Holy Cross

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	46%6/13
2	50%7/14	22%2/9
3	88%7/8	30%3/10
4	55%6/11	36%4/11
5	43%6/14	40%4/10
6	55%6/11	25%2/8
All	53%39/74	34%21/61

Providence

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	50%7/14
2	88%7/8	50%7/14
3	54%7/13	36%4/11
4	100%6/6	45%5/11
5	50%6/12	60%9/15
6	60%6/10	33%3/9
All	66%40/61	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	HOLYCR-PROV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	PROV	HOLYCR	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+0.8
2	1-1	HOLYCR	PROV	Attack err	Emma Sorensen		+0.7
3	2-1	PROV	HOLYCR	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+0.9
4	2-2	HOLYCR	PROV	Serve err	Holy Cross		+0.8
5	3-2	PROV	HOLYCR	Serve err	Providence		+0.9
6	3-3	HOLYCR	PROV×5	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.8
7	3-4	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.9
8	3-5	PROV	PROV×5	Ace	Providence	aced Elizabeth Hall	+0.8
9	3-6	PROV	PROV×5	Blocked	Georgia Murphy	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+0.7
10	3-7	PROV	PROV×5	Ace	Providence		+0.6
11	4-7	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Keira Mullen	set Sarah Musial	+0.5
12	4-8	HOLYCR	PROV	Blocked	Kat Teepe	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Sophia Adkins	+0.5
13	5-8	PROV	HOLYCR×3	Serve err	Providence		+0.5
14	6-8	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+0.8
15	7-8	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Blocked	Aubrey Easterwood	blk Lacey Murphy, Sarahya College	+1.0
16	7-9	HOLYCR	PROV	Blocked	Georgia Murphy	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+0.7
17	7-10	PROV	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.8
18	8-10	PROV	HOLYCR	Serve err	Providence		+0.7
19	8-11	HOLYCR	PROV	Serve err	Holy Cross		+0.7
20	9-11	PROV	HOLYCR	Attack err	Lyric Berry		+0.7
21	9-12	HOLYCR	PROV×4	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+0.7
22	9-13	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.7
23	9-14	PROV	PROV×4	Blocked	Emma Sorensen	blk Tori Otter, Lyric Berry	+0.5
24	9-15	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Lyric Berry		+0.4
25	10-15	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.3
26	11-15	HOLYCR	HOLYCR	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Elizabeth Hall	+0.5
27	11-16	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.4
28	12-16	PROV	HOLYCR	Attack err	Tori Otter		+0.4
29	13-16	HOLYCR	HOLYCR	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.7
30	13-17	HOLYCR	PROV	Attack err	Kyla Harris		+0.6
31	14-17	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kat Teepe	set Keira Mullen	+0.6
32	14-18	HOLYCR	PROV	Attack err	KK Green		+0.6
33	15-18	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kat Teepe	set Keira Mullen	+0.6
34	15-19	HOLYCR	PROV×3	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.7
35	15-20	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Lacey Murphy		+0.6
36	15-21	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	KK Green		+0.3
37	16-21	PROV	HOLYCR×4	Kill	Tuana Ozarpaci		+0.1
38	17-21	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×4	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Elizabeth Hall	+0.3
39	18-21	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×4	Kill	Lacey Murphy	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.6
40	19-21	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×4	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+1.1
41	19-22	HOLYCR	PROV×4	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+1.1
42	19-23	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Elizabeth Hall	+0.9
43	19-24	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced KK Green	+0.4
44	19-25	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Elizabeth Hall	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	HOLYCR	HOLYCR	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+0.7
2	2-0	HOLYCR	HOLYCR	Kill	KK Green	set Keira Mullen	+0.8
3	2-1	HOLYCR	PROV	Attack err	KK Green		+0.6
4	2-2	PROV	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+0.7
5	3-2	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	KK Green	set Keira Mullen	+0.6
6	3-3	HOLYCR	PROV×4	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.5
7	3-4	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	KK Green		+0.6
8	3-5	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Lacey Murphy		+0.6
9	3-6	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+0.5
10	4-6	PROV	HOLYCR×3	Kill	Kat Teepe	set Keira Mullen	+0.4
11	5-6	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Lacey Murphy	+0.6
12	6-6	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Kill	Sarahya College	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.7
13	6-7	HOLYCR	PROV	Attack err	Lacey Murphy		+0.5
14	7-7	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	KK Green	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.6
15	7-8	HOLYCR	PROV	Serve err	Holy Cross		+0.6
16	8-8	PROV	HOLYCR×5	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.6
17	9-8	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×5	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+0.9
18	10-8	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×5	Blocked	Macy Taylor	blk Kyla Harris, Sarahya College	+1.1
19	11-8	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×5	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+1.2
20	12-8	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×5	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+1.2
21	12-9	HOLYCR	PROV	Attack err	Sarahya College		+0.7
22	13-9	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+1.0
23	13-10	HOLYCR	PROV	Serve err	Holy Cross		+0.8
24	14-10	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kyla Harris	set Keira Mullen	+1.0
25	14-11	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.8
26	14-12	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+1.1
27	15-12	PROV	HOLYCR	Serve err	Providence		+1.1
28	15-13	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.9
29	15-14	PROV	PROV	Blocked	KK Green	blk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood	+1.2
30	16-14	PROV	HOLYCR	Bad set	Sarah Musial		+1.1
31	16-15	HOLYCR	PROV	Blocked	KK Green	blk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood	+1.0
32	16-16	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced KK Green	+1.3
33	17-16	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	KK Green	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+1.2
34	17-17	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+1.0
35	17-18	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+1.3
36	18-18	PROV	HOLYCR	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+1.1
37	18-19	HOLYCR	PROV	Blocked	Emma Sorensen	blk Shea Dupuis	+1.1
38	19-19	PROV	HOLYCR	Blocked	Macy Taylor	blk Sarahya College, Kyla Harris	+1.2
39	19-20	HOLYCR	PROV×3	Serve err	Holy Cross		+1.2
40	19-21	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.3
41	19-22	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Emma Sorensen		+1.0
42	20-22	PROV	HOLYCR	Serve err	Providence		+0.6
43	20-23	HOLYCR	PROV×3	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.8
44	20-24	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.5
45	20-25	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Kyla Harris		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.3
2	1-1	PROV	HOLYCR×3	Serve err	Providence		+0.2
3	2-1	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Kill	Lacey Murphy	set Keira Mullen	+0.3
4	3-1	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+0.4
5	3-2	HOLYCR	PROV	Serve err	Holy Cross		+0.3
6	4-2	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kat Teepe	set Keira Mullen	+0.3
7	4-3	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.3
8	5-3	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Lacey Murphy	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.3
9	5-4	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.3
10	6-4	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Sarahya College	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.3
11	6-5	HOLYCR	PROV×3	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+0.3
12	6-6	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Sarahya College		+0.4
13	6-7	PROV	PROV×3	Ace	Providence	aced Elizabeth Hall	+0.3
14	7-7	PROV	HOLYCR	Blocked	Macy Taylor	blk Sarahya College, Kyla Harris	+0.3
15	7-8	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.3
16	8-8	PROV	HOLYCR	Serve err	Providence		+0.3
17	8-9	HOLYCR	PROV	Attack err	Kat Teepe		+0.3
18	9-9	PROV	HOLYCR	Serve err	Providence		+0.3
19	9-10	HOLYCR	PROV	Blocked	Emma Sorensen	blk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter	+0.3
20	10-10	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kat Teepe	set Keira Mullen	+0.3
21	10-11	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.3
22	11-11	PROV	HOLYCR×3	Kill	KK Green	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.3
23	12-11	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Attack err	Tori Otter		+0.5
24	13-11	HOLYCR	HOLYCR×3	Kill	Emma Sorensen	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.6
25	13-12	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.4
26	14-12	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	KK Green	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.5
27	14-13	HOLYCR	PROV×7	Kill	Sarah Musial		+0.4
28	14-14	PROV	PROV×7	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Ava Dyer	+0.5
29	14-15	PROV	PROV×7	Attack err	Emma Sorensen		+0.5
30	14-16	PROV	PROV×7	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.4
31	14-17	PROV	PROV×7	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Tuana Ozarpaci	+0.3
32	14-18	PROV	PROV×7	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+0.3
33	14-19	PROV	PROV×7	Ace	Providence	aced KK Green	+0.2
34	15-19	PROV	HOLYCR	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+0.1
35	15-20	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Alana Whitwell	+0.1
36	16-20	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kat Teepe	set Alana Whitwell	+0.1
37	17-20	HOLYCR	HOLYCR	Kill	KK Green	set Emma Sorensen	+0.2
38	17-21	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Ava Dyer	+0.2
39	17-22	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+0.2
40	18-22	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kyla Harris	set Keira Mullen	+0.1
41	18-23	HOLYCR	PROV	Serve err	Holy Cross		+0.1
42	19-23	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Kat Teepe	set Keira Mullen	+0.1
43	19-24	HOLYCR	PROV	Serve err	Holy Cross		+0.1
44	20-24	PROV	HOLYCR	Kill	Sarahya College	set Tuana Ozarpaci	·
45	21-24	HOLYCR	HOLYCR	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Lacey Murphy, Sarahya College	+0.1
46	21-25	HOLYCR	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Holy Cross first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Providence def. Holy Cross 3–0